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☆ 30-year-old supercommutes over 500 miles to work in New York: ‘I'm the happiest I've ever been’
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Morgan Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Some mornings, Kaitlin Jorgenson travels 544 miles to get to a job she'll be at for 72 hours. Although Jorgenson was ready to leave New York, she didn't want to give up the career she had built there. All in all, Jorgenson estimates she would spend a minimum of $4,000 each month to live and work in Manhattan. Moving to Charlotte, Jorgenson estimates, has saved her at least $2,000 each month — commuting expenses and all. During the weeks she's not in New York, Jorgenson works part-time at Superbloom Hair Studio in Charlotte, a job with flexible hours that change depending on Jorgenson's appointment schedule.

Persons: Kaitlin Jorgenson, she's, she'll, Jorgenson, Scott J, — Organizations: Charlotte Douglas International, CNBC, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, Corporate Locations: New York City, Charlotte , North Carolina, Brooklyn, Charlotte, New York, —, New Jersey, Manhattan, New, LaGuardia, Houston, Chicago, Queens

☆ How One Tech Skeptic Decided A.I. Might Benefit the Middle Class
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Steve Lohr | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

David Autor seems an unlikely A.I. But Mr. Autor is now making the case that the new wave of technology — generative artificial intelligence, which can produce hyper-realistic images and video and convincingly imitate humans’ voices and writing — could reverse that trend. Mr. Autor’s stance on A.I. Modern A.I., Mr. Autor said, is a fundamentally different technology, opening the door to new possibilities. And if more people, including those without college degrees, can do more valuable work, they should be paid more, lifting more workers into the middle class.

Persons: David Autor, Autor, A.I, Mr Organizations: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, National Bureau of Economic Research, Mr

☆ Premarket stocks: Rate cut in June or July? What matters is the Fed wants to get started
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

[About 70% of investors now think a rate cut will occur in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.] Goldman Sachs is currently predicting a 15% chance of recession over the next 12 months, down from 35% last year. Seeing that happen made us more confident that the Fed wouldn’t be forced to cause a recession in order to get inflation down. The reason we say 15% risk is because that is roughly the historical unconditional average. So a 15% recession rate is baseline for you, it will never go below that number?

Persons: Dow, Bell, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs, It’s, it’s, we’ve, I’m, Samantha Delouya, authority’s, ” United, Joe Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs ’, Bell, National Bureau of Economic, FAA, United, Federal Aviation Administration, United Airlines, United Boeing, ”, Federal Communications Commission, Program, Lawmakers, ACP, FCC Locations: New York, We’re, Medford , Oregon

☆ Banks are still fighting safeguards even as risks pile up
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Ultimately, it’s very high leverage,” Tomasz Piskorski, a finance professor at Columbia Business School, tells me. Even a year after that exact thing happened — Silicon Valley Bank failed after depositor demand eclipsed the value of its assets — regulators haven’t addressed the core leverage issue. The most obvious answer is one the banking industry hates: Increase the amount of money a bank is required to hold in reserve. And their go-to argument against such regulations is that they force banks to curtail loans to customers, hurting folks in the real economy. The upshot: Despite the banking industry’s protest, banks can handle much higher capital requirements (at least, according to Piskorski et al).

Persons: CNN Business ’, it’s, ” Tomasz Piskorski, there’s, Piskorski, haven’t, Jerome Powell, ” Piskorski Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, New York Community Bank, Columbia Business School, Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, National Bureau of Economic Research Locations: New York, Basel, stow, “

☆ Harvard researchers think they know why the booming economy still isn't being felt by average Americans
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Now, a group of them has created an interesting model that suggests much of people's dissatisfaction with the economy comes down to interest rates. In fact, the impact of rising interest rates isn't directly accounted for anywhere in the official CPI report — even though they've also contributed to surging car payments and made credit card debt much more costly. That's why the economists developed their own inflation measure, and they think it provided a more accurate prediction of economic sentiment. Cramer said additional evidence for the impact of interest rates on consumer sentiment has come in recent months. Between November and January, the Michigan consumer sentiment index saw its biggest two-month increase since 1991 — just as mortgage rates fell from their recent peak.

Persons: —, Judd Cramer, Larry Summers, they've, hasn't, Harvard's Cramer, Cramer, pocketbooks, it's, Joe Biden's Organizations: Service, Business, National Bureau of Economic Research, Harvard University, International Monetary Fund, of Labor Statistics, University of, Harvard, BLS, Federal, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan

☆ Oldest siblings tend to make more money. Researchers have a new theory that explains why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

An NBER working paper found that older siblings tend to make more money than their younger siblings. AdvertisementFor years, researchers have found that the eldest child tends to earn more money and perform better on cognitive tests than their younger siblings. AdvertisementOther reasons first-born siblings might have an advantageDayal told BI that studies across various countries and contexts have corroborated the idea that older siblings tend to have more education and economic success than their younger siblings. "Interestingly, these benefits start to emerge around age 12, when older siblings have more to teach and younger siblings are more ready to learn." AdvertisementGrant cited a study of 240,000 Norwegian teenagers that found younger siblings who had firstborn siblings die in infancy went on to have higher intelligence scores than laterborns with firstborn siblings.

Persons: —, Meltem, Daysal, Younger, Dayal, Sandra Black, Columbia University who's, Adam Grant's, Grant Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Columbia University Locations: Denmark

Go beyond financial literacy"Gone are the days that we can hide behind the illusion that more financial literacy is enough," says Rahkim Sabree, AFC, financial therapist and counselor. Currently, 25 states require financial literacy education for students; however, rarely, if ever, does financial literacy address larger systemic issues that exist. Black students owe an average of 188% more than what white students borrowed by the fourth year after graduation. One 2016 study found that if current trends continue, closing the wealth gap would take more than 200 years. AdvertisementYounger Black Americans have now become the fastest-growing demographic of new investors in the stock market.

Persons: —, Martin Luther King, Jr, Moritz Kuhn, Moritz Schularick, Ulrike I, Rahkim Sabree, We've, Kristin Afelumo, Lazetta Rainey Braxton, Braxton Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Black, National Bureau of Economic Research, Economic Policy Institute, AFC, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Netflix, Lazetta, Associates Locations: America, Evanston , Illinois, Black

☆ Having double majors could make you less vulnerable to layoffs and AI
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Double majors are less likely to experience "earnings shocks" like job losses, per a new paper. While it’s unclear why graduates with double majors offered workers this protection, the researchers speculated that it had something to do with their diversified skillsets. A University of Pennsylvania research paper from 2021 found that double majors tended to earn more money over the course of their careers — STEM and business double majors saw the biggest income boost. As of 2015, about 13% of Americans between ages 20 and 29 were double majors, per American Community Survey data. Roughly 10% of the individuals analyzed in the working paper were double majors.

Persons: —, Andrew Hanks, ”, ” Bruce Weinberg Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Stanford, Ohio State University, American, Survey, Ohio State, University of Pennsylvania, US Department of Education Locations: Ohio State

☆ Japan and the UK are in recessions. Is the US next?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —And just like that, two of the world’s largest economies are in technical recessions. On Thursday, Japan and the UK both reported their second consecutive negative quarters of gross domestic product, fitting the widely agreed-upon definition of a recession. In 2022, the nation’s population declined by 800,000, marking the 14th consecutive year of contraction. In the UK, however, population and wage growth weren’t sufficient to stave off a drop in consumer spending, one of the main drivers of that economy. In the past two quarters, the nation’s economy experienced much higher than expected GDP growth, due in large part to robust consumer spending.

Persons: Paul Donovan, ” Donovan, Kazuhiro Nogi, ”, didn’t, Jerome Powell, “, it’s, there’s, Powell, Philipp Carlsson, doesn’t, “ it’s, Carlsson Organizations: New, New York CNN, UBS Global Wealth Management, Getty, National Bureau of Economic Research, don’t, US Federal Reserve, Boston Consulting Locations: New York, Japan, Germany, AFP, Ukraine

☆ More than 100 years since the Black Wall Street massacre, Tulsa is creating a haven for entrepreneurs
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Overlaid on that picture is the company name, Grier Shoe Shop, and its address — which is part of an area known as Black Wall Street. With these ventures, she's part of a growing class of Black entrepreneurs tapping into Tulsa's history for inspiration and resources for support. He also won a grant from a Black Wall Street organization. The Black Wall Street Mural in the Greenwood district of Tulsa, Oklahoma, on Friday, June 19, 2020. Greenwood, known as Black Wall Street, was one of the most prosperous African-American enclaves in the U.S. before it was burned down by a white mob in 1921.

Persons: Venita Cooper, Parnia Mazhar, Grier, Silhouette, They've, Cooper, Dominick Ard'is, George Floyd, Ashli Sims, she's, Sims, North Martin Luther King, Edna Martinson, It's, Martinson, LaTanya White, he's, Adesanya, Grant Warner, James Lowry, Lowry, who's, Greenwood, Christopher Creese Organizations: Silhouette, NBC News, Tulsa, Build, Art, NBC, North Martin Luther King Jr, Ku Klux, House, Art Basel, Southwest, Black, Stanford, National Bureau of Economic Research, Creative, CNBC, Harvard Business School, Center for Black Entrepreneurship, Black Economic Alliance Foundation, Boston Consulting, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Greenwood, Tulsa , Oklahoma, TULSA, Tulsa, North, Miami, South, Austin, U.S, PalmPlug, Seattle, America

☆ Renowned economist Claudia Sahm breaks down why her famous recession indicator won't be triggered this year — and why the last mile of the Fed's inflation battle could be the easiest
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewClaudia Sahm, the former Federal Reserve economist who developed the Sahm Rule recession indicator, believes the US economy will likely avoid a downturn this year. We solved the labor shortage by getting more labor," Sahm said. "The foreign-born labor force has made a disproportionate contribution to reducing the jobs-workers gap. This has been driven by two factors: above-trend immigration growth and greater foreign-born labor force participation," said Jan Hatzius, the chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, in an August 2023 client note. "Growth in the foreign-born labor force has accelerated by 50k to 160k per month this year, lifted by a surging foreign-born labor force participation rate," Hatzius added.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, doesn't, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, National Bureau of Economic, US, Labor, Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed Locations: flatlining

☆ Famed economist Claudia Sahm shares 2 things to watch for at the Fed policy meeting this week — and why the central bank should start cutting rates soon despite a seemingly strong economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

At its December meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank could institute up to three 25-basis-point cuts this year. The first thing Sahm said to look out for is whether or not Powell makes clear that they will not cut rates at the March meeting. If he seems upbeat, it could indicate that the Fed is going to take a more dovish stance and cut rates on the earlier side. This would likely manifest via trouble in financial markets that then affects the real economy. They're taking some big risks in that they're talking about the real economy being resilient, and yet I don't think that's where — if the Fed causes a problem they're doing it in the real economy first," she said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Powell, Stocks, — Organizations: Louis, Business, National Bureau of Economic, Fed Locations: St, Sahm

☆ Billionaire Jamie Dimon says the rich should pay more to fund tax cuts for lower-income Americans
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Jamie Dimon said increasing taxes for the rich could enable tax cuts for lower-income workers. AdvertisementJPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon said that rich people should pay more taxes to help struggling lower-income Americans. Dimon, who has previously hinted that he could run for office, spoke about how the Earned Income Tax Credit or EITC could be expanded. The EITC is a refundable tax credit aimed at reducing some of the tax lower-income Americans have to pay annually. Dimon said that "there are so many tax breaks out there that shouldn't be there" for wealthy people.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Dimon, filers, Katherine Michelmore, University of Michigan's Gerald R Organizations: Center, Service, Bloomberg, National Bureau of Economic Research, University of Michigan's, Ford School of Public Policy Locations: New York, Washington

☆ Recession risks are 'now more politics and geopolitics than economics,' says NBER's Lipsky
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession risks are 'now more politics and geopolitics than economics,' says NBER's LipskyJohn Lipsky, director-at-large at the National Bureau of Economic Research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the week's economic data, how Lipsky considers the geopolitical climate, and more.

Persons: NBER's Lipsky John Lipsky, Lipsky Organizations: National Bureau of Economic Research

☆ These 16 states are already in a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Sixteen US states' economies contracted between July and October, according to the Philadelphia Fed. While some economists believe a recession may come in the next year, the economies of 33 states grew. Meanwhile, looking at just the past month, 27 states experienced economic contraction. AdvertisementThe economies of sixteen US states contracted between July and October, even as economists are still betting the US can avoid a recession. Looking at month-over-month rates, 27 states experienced economic contraction, while just 16 grew.

Persons: —, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, Ken Griffin Organizations: Philadelphia Fed, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Bureau of Economic, Citadel, Bloomberg Locations: West Virginia, Wisconsin, Montana, Missouri , Illinois, Iowa, , Maryland, North Dakota, South Carolina, Texas, Nevada and Wyoming . California, Florida, California, Florida , Pennsylvania , Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina

☆ Now that inflation is slowing, here's when 10 experts think we'll see a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

High interest rates could slow consumer spending and lead to layoffs. Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates 10 consecutive times to fight inflation as the country emerged from its pandemic recovery. Here's how experts are feeling about the economy headed into the new year, and whether they think a recession is on the horizon. Some think a recession is likely in 2024Some experts predict high interest rates will take a toll on the economy, making a recession likely sometime next year. AdvertisementOthers think a recession is unlikely in 2024Other experts don't see a recession hitting the US economy in the next year.

Persons: —, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, he's, Ken Griffin, we're, Griffin, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, Marc Lasry, Lasry, Rob Arnott, Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Adams, Raphael Bostic, Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Citadel, UBS, Capital, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNBC, DoubleLine, Comerica Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, UCLA, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: United States, Dallas, Atlanta

☆ What Long-Term Care Looks Like Around the World
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Jordan Rau | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +4 min

Provinces and territories fund long-term care services through general tax revenue. Notably, Canada’s long-term care system is separate from its national health care system, which pays for hospitals and doctors with no out-of-pocket costs to patients. on long-term care, 80 percent more than the United States spent. Britain has also taken steps to shield people from losing all of their wealth to pay for long-term care. Singapore recently instituted a system of mandatory long-term care insurance for those born in 1980 or later.

Persons: D.P., 🇸 🇬, ove, —, Kath l Organizations: Uni, pla, Citi, emi Locations: D. data, nis

☆ It's a terrible time to be a HENRY
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Their wage and job growth is slower than lower earners, they're piling on debt, and childcare costs are soaring. Workers with earnings in the bottom 10% of wages saw higher wage gains than those in the top 10%. AdvertisementAdvertisementWhile wage gains have stabilized a bit, the bottom half of workers are still notching greater gains than those at the top. Meanwhile, the already rich — those who make over $250,000 — only saw their childcare costs increase by about 4%. As the labor market continues to slow, and childcare costs only rise with the end of pandemic-era subsidies , it might continue to be a bad time to be a HENRY.

Persons: —, there's, Aaron Terrazas, What's, Priya Malani, HENRYs, Goldman Sachs, they're, HENRY Organizations: Service, MIT, University of Massachusetts Amherst, of Economic Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bank of America Institute, Walmart, Consumer Finances, Federal Reserve, Fed

☆ The fight over return-to-office is getting dirty
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Ed Zitron | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

Evidence is as evidence doesAs the return-to-office battle has heated up in the past six months, there has been a marked increase in declarations that remote work is less productive. The researchers determined that remote workers were 18% less productive than their in-person counterparts. Just the vibesDespite the limited evidence against it, corporations are increasingly trying to kill remote work. That's what makes the move to kill off remote work so frustrating. It's not clear that the return-to-office move is about making workers more productive or building a better culture.

Persons: it's, Mike Hopkins, they're, India —, Nicholas Bloom, who's, David Baszucki's, Geico, Amazon's Andy Jassy, Geico's Todd Combs, there's, Safra, Larry Ellison, wrongheaded, galvanizing sycophants, Ed Zitron Organizations: Amazon, Amazon Studios, National Bureau of Economic Research, Journalists, Stanford, Meta, —, Writers Guild of America, SAG, United Auto Workers Locations: India

☆ Stocks week ahead: Here’s how America’s economy could begin to weaken
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The job market or spending? The spending argument: But there have been instances in which spending weakened before the job market. “I think it starts with the perception of the labor market,” Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife Investment Management, told CNN. The ticket-industry giant said it has sold a record 140 million tickets so far this year, up 17% year-over-year and has already surpassed the 121 million tickets sold in all of 2022. In the third quarter, Ticketmaster sales surged 57% to $833 million and 90 million fee-bearing tickets were sold in the period.

Persons: can’t, ” Shannon Seery, “ It’s, ” Seery, Luke Tilley, ” Tilley, Jerome Powell, ” Drew Matus, ”, Taylor Swift, Parija Kavilanz, Swifties, Taylor, Michael Rapino, Beyoncé, Harry Styles, Bunny, Jonas Brothers, Bruce Springsteen, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Jeffrey Schmid, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ralph Lauren, Steve Madden, Phillip Jefferson, Raphael Bostic, Tom Barkin, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, CNN, Employers, Investment Advisors, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNN Wednesday, Federal, MetLife Investment Management, Ticketmaster, Ryanair, Goodyear, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Uber, Occidental Petroleum, KKR, The Carlyle Group, US Commerce Department, Biogen, Warner Bros, Teva Pharma, The New York Times Company, Armour, SeaWorld, MGM Resorts, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Sony Group, Astrazeneca, Tapestry, News Corp, US Labor Department, Soho House, National Statistics, European Central Bank, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Wells, Wilmington, Lyft, Brookfield, Soho

☆ What Is a Soft Landing?
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Aly J. Yale | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +4 min

But whether the central bank can meet its dual-objectives of slowing price growth and avoiding a recession—dubbed a “soft landing” by economists—remains to be seen. Threading that needle has proven to be quite elusive.”What is a soft landing? “The alternative to a soft landing is a hard landing,” Cirksena says. “How ‘soft’ that ‘soft landing’ is among citizens could vary widely,” he says. Will the Fed achieve a soft landing this time?

Persons: Aly J, —, ”, David Johnston, Bank of Japan —, Aaron Cirksena, you’ll, ” Cirksena, Peter C, Earle, Jerome Powell, “ Organizations: Yale, Federal Reserve, Wealth Management, European Central Bank, Bank of, MDRN, American Institute for Economic Research, Fed, Bank of America, Wall Street, National Bureau of Economic Research Locations: Flemington, N.J, U.S, Bank of Japan, Annapolis, Md

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attends a press conference after its policy meeting in Tokyo, Japan October 31, 2023, in this photo taken by Kyodo. In addition, interest rate changes were asymmetric — Fed rate hikes following stock market recoveries were usually muted compared with the initial cuts. This was an explicit, open-ended policy to hold the currency at a set level and flood the Swiss economy and markets with oceans of liquidity, but essentially still a central bank put. As Marc Chandler at Bannockburn Global Forex points out, it is financial stability that is ultimately - and rightly - at the heart of the so-called central bank put. "There is a perception or myth that has built up around the central bank put.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Alan Greenspan, Louis, William Poole, Greenspan, Steven Englander, Marc Chandler, Chandler, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Japan, Kyodo, REUTERS Acquire, Rights, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Louis Fed, Swiss National Bank, Standard Chartered, National Bureau of Economic Research, Swiss, Reuters, Bannockburn Global, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, New York, Switzerland, Swiss, Bannockburn

☆ House Speaker Mike Johnson Is Not a Serious Person - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( David Firestone | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +5 min

But then he imposed a condition on the Israel money: Mr. Biden must agree to cut the same amount out of the money the Internal Revenue Service uses to chase down high-income tax cheats. Earlier this year, Republicans forced Mr. Biden to cut $20 billion from the I.R.S. cut isn’t really going to happen, as House Republicans know, because Mr. Johnson’s bill will die in the Senate, where many leading Republicans already oppose it. cut, he gets to show the same extremists who deposed his predecessor that he can play rough with the White House. If Mr. Johnson has substantive objections to helping Ukraine and Israel that justify the legislative impediments he is constructing, he should state what they are.

Persons: Mike Johnson, Johnson’s, he’s, Biden, Mr, Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham of, ” Mr, Graham, “, Mitt Romney, Joe Wilson of, He’s, Ritchie Torres, Axios, Johnson, Thomas Friedman Organizations: Republican House, Internal Revenue Service, Israel, Republican, Republicans, Treasury, Congressional Budget, National Bureau of Economic Research, Senate, Ukraine, Hamas, White, Democrats, Democrat, West Bank, Palestinian Authority Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, U.S, Nottingham, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Moscow, Utah, Joe Wilson of South Carolina, New York, Gaza, West

☆ 5 things investors should know about a coming recession, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The latest Bloomberg poll shows forecasters give 55% odds for a US recession in the next 12 months. Bank of America broke down the top factors to watch for ahead of a potential downturn. Third, investors should also understand that recessions typically do not last long. On average, recessions last just over 10 months, Bank of America said. Stock returns from post-recession lows have proved historically strong, with an average of 19.7% 3-month returns, 28% 6-month returns, and 43.7% 12-month returns.

Persons: —, Merrill, Joseph P, Quinlan, Stock Organizations: Bloomberg, Bank of America, of, Service, BofA Private Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Locations: of America's

☆ Bored at work? AI won't take your job, it will just make it more interesting, Google exec says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-22 | by ( Tom Carter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Google's Philip Moyer told Insider that generative AI will boost job satisfaction. He said AI tools are cutting out tedious work and that workers are now "waiting for it to show up." Some fear AI could lead to job losses, with Goldman Sachs saying 300 million jobs could be impacted. Philip Moyer, vice president of Google Cloud's global AI business, told Insider that rather than taking workers' jobs, generative AI tools like ChatGPT and Bard will likely boost job satisfaction and help employees be more productive. However, it has faced questions over the accuracy of generative AI tools such as its Bard chatbot, which like its rival ChatGPT is prone to "hallucinating" wildly false information .

Persons: Google's Philip Moyer, Goldman Sachs, —, Philip Moyer, Bard, Netzer, you've, Moyer, ChatGPT Organizations: Service, Google, National Bureau of Economic Research, Columbia University, Microsoft

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