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☆ The Fed's first rate cut is still on pace for June with inflation dropping like a rock, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's first rate cut is still on track to come in June, Fundstrat's Tom Lee said. Yet investors are only pricing in a 57% chance of a rate cut by June, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementThe Fed is still poised to issue its first rate cut in June as the pace of inflation continues to slow, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. All that points to a Fed that could be poised to cut rates sooner than markets are expecting, which is good news for stocks. Meanwhile, just 57% of investors are expecting the Fed to issue the first rate cut in June.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, —, Tom Lee, Lee, That's, Mohamed El Organizations: Service, Fed, University of Michigan's, France —, Traders Locations: France

☆ Chair Powell says the Fed isn’t more tolerant of higher inflation. Some economists disagree
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Some economists interpreted that as a sign that the Fed is now more tolerant of higher inflation. Powell pushed back on the perception that the central bank has grown more comfortable with inflation being higher for longer than expected in his post-meeting news conference. and my sense coming out of this month’s meeting was that Fed Chair Powell wants to get this easing cycle going sooner rather than later. What’s allowing the Fed to be patient or more tolerant of higher inflation? They’re willing to essentially look through some of the bumpiness in the inflation data at the beginning of the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, That’s, Powell, “, ” Powell, “ We’re, Mohamed El, Erian, ”, Bell, Lydia Boussour, they’re, What’s, we’ve, Nathaniel Meyersohn, Read, Levi Strauss, Tupperware Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Financial Times, Fed, Home Depot, Home, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Maine Foods, Dave, Buster’s Entertainment, US Labor Department, US Commerce Department, Stanford University Locations: EY, Cal

Kevin Plank, founder of Under Armour, during a CNBC interview on "Mad Money" on Feb. 28, 2018. Under Armour announced on Wednesday that CEO Stephanie Linnartz is stepping down from her role just over a year after she started, and founder Kevin Plank will return as the brand's chief executive. Linnartz took over as Under Armour's CEO in February 2023 after spending nearly 30 years at Marriott International, most recently as its president. Plank will remain a director on Under Armour's board but will hand over the chair position to Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at Allianz, Pimco's parent company. In a statement, Linnartz said she feels "honored" to have served as Under Armour's CEO.

Persons: Kevin Plank, Armour, Stephanie Linnartz, Linnartz, Plank, Mohamed El, Stephanie Organizations: CNBC, Marriott International, Allianz, Armour's

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Robinhood, SentinelOne, Under Armour and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

UiPath — Shares popped 8% after the software company reported fourth-quarter results that beat analysts' expectations. UiPath posted adjusted earnings of 22 cents per share on $405 million in revenue, higher than the 16 cents per share on $384 million in revenue analysts polled by LSEG, formerly Refinitiv, had anticipated. SentinelOne — The cybersecurity name slipped 10% after posting guidance for the first quarter and full year that came in line with analysts' estimates, per LSEG. Robinhood — The trading platform's stock added about 8% after the company reported its selected monthly operating data for February 2024. The company posted a wider-than-expected loss in 2023 and missed its production targets by a considerable margin.

Persons: UiPath, SentinelOne, Armour, Stephanie Linnartz, Kevin Plank, Mohamed El, Robinhood, Fisker, Lennar, LSEG, —, Christina Cheddar, Berk, Darla Mercado Organizations: LSEG, Street

☆ Biggest mistake the Fed can make is continue to be too data dependent, says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiggest mistake the Fed can make is continue to be too data dependent, says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from February's CPI data, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ Markets are hitting record highs. And economists like El-Erian and Krugman can't shake off their fears
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stellar prices for gold have also stolen investor attention, with the precious metal scaling a new record of over $2,100. The record-breaking numbers for markets, however, haven't stopped some investors from worrying about three key issues. Inflation resurgenceAfter months of cooling, U.S inflation is proving itself to be more stubborn than experts had predicted. That's despite the Federal Reserve embarking on an aggressive monetary policy campaign over the past year, in a bid to tame consumer price pressures from their 40-year highs. Ariel Investments' Vice Chair Charlie Bobrinskoy told CNBC markets are not focused on China's residential real estate problems.

Persons: Michael M, haven't, Nobel, Paul Krugman, Mark Zandi's, Mark Zandi, Krugman, Nouriel Roubini, Doom, Trump, Marko Kolanovic, Mohamed El, Erian, Ariel, Charlie Bobrinskoy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Federal, stoke, Allianz, Bloomberg, CNBC, El, Ariel Investments Locations: New York City, U.S, China

☆ Supply-side issues make getting inflation to 2% 'really, really difficult', says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSupply-side issues make getting inflation to 2% 'really, really difficult', says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate path outlook, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ The Fed is 'held hostage' by data and risks sparking financial instability, Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's over-dependence on data risks financial instability, Mohamed El-Erian wrote in a recent op-ed for Bloomberg. He says the central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's strict adherence to data is sapping it of policy alternatives, economist Mohamed El-Erian wrote for Bloomberg on Friday. Many central bank officials want to see a clear disinflationary trend in the data before cutting rates. He expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged through 2024, citing that neither inflation nor the US economy is sufficiently cooling.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, Torsten Slok Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Fed

☆ The risk of a recession could flare up if the Fed waits too long to cut rates, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

At this point, only a disorderly financial adjustment or a central bank policy mistake could tip the balance, such as if the Fed hesitates to cut rates when the time comes. AdvertisementJanuary's inflation data did give the central bank reason to hold for longer, as Tuesday's report came in hotter than investors anticipated. Failure to come through with three cuts would also be a policy mistake. Generally, the US economy is suffering a "stock problem," as the market's rally been built on excessive Fed cut expectations. Instead, the CPI data provided a wake-up call for carried-away investors, El-Erian said, which explains Tuesday's market overreaction to the report.

Persons: —, Mohamed El, Erian, they've, Dow Jones Organizations: Service, Federal, CNBC, Business, Queens ' College

☆ Hot CPI data was a 'wake-up call' to people who got carried away, says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHot CPI data was a 'wake-up call' to people who got carried away, says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the hotter-than-expected CPI data, the impact on the Fed's rate path decision, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ El-Erian, Krugman and other economists have very different opinions on China’s struggling economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.

Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing

☆ The Fed isn't going to cut rates as aggressively as the market thinks, says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed isn't going to cut rates as aggressively as the market thinks, says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview the Fed's two-day policy meeting this week, rate path outlook, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ It's a make-or-break week for the stock market. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why this is such a big week for the stock market . The big storyA week to rememberThree trends in the stock market are bound to vault equities higher in 2024, Wall Street strategists say. Getty ImagesWe're less than a month into 2024, but this week could determine the market's trajectory for the rest of the year. Tim Cook AppleThe information overload comes amid an uncertain time for Big Tech and the broader stock market.

Persons: —, Netflix's, it's, Matthew Fox, Jerome Powell's, Tim Cook, Tesla, haven't, we'll, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Read, Jamie Dimon, Larry Downing, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Troy Rohrbaugh, Jeffrey Gundlach, Buckle, Mohamed El, isn't, Erian, Lyra, Maven, Tyler Le, Liquidators, Max Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Big Tech, Microsoft, Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Google, optimist, JPMorgan, DoubleLine, Prime, Comcast, Warner Bros, Lyra Health, Hong, Alaska Airlines Locations: India, Japan, Hong Kong, China, Alaska

☆ 3 reasons the US economy's strength right now is a head-fake, according to Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The narrative that the US economy could achieve a soft landing still faces challenges, Mohamed El-Erian told Bloomberg TV. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMarket confidence in a US soft landing ignores three vulnerabilities that still pose a recessionary threat, economist Mohamed El-Erian told Bloomberg TV. The bank expects a noticeable mid-year slowdown, contrasting Wall Street's soft landing consensus. Secondly, inflation will also keep a recession on standby, as it's no given that it won't rebound, El-Erian warned.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, it's, Wells, November's, I've, Yemen's Houthi Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe, Red, Africa

☆ Why that ‘last mile’ of the inflation fight may be more challenging
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Inflation measures how fast prices are rising for goods and services — anything from concert tickets and haircuts to groceries and furniture. That means further broad disinflation likely won't come from consumer goods, economists said. In fact, attacks by Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea threaten to disrupt a key transit corridor and may trigger higher goods inflation if it persists, El-Erian explained. While down from more than 7% last year, services inflation still sits at 5.3%. Why this may all be 'nonsense'Not all economists think the last mile of disinflation will be harder than what came before, however.

Persons: Robyn Beck, Mohamed El, We're, Gargi Chaudhuri, Houthi, Erian, Chaudhuri, Mark Zandi, Sarah House, Paul Ashworth Organizations: Afp, Getty, Allianz, Queens ' College, University of Cambridge, CNBC, Americas, BlackRock, Finance, of Labor Statistics, Labor, Moody's Analytics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Capital Economics Locations: Los Angeles, U.S, Wells Fargo

☆ Inflation is stuck and the Fed can't lower prices without damaging the economy, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation looks to be stuck above the Fed's target rate, top economist Mohamed El-Erian said. If the Fed lowers inflation to 2% too quickly, it risks "crushing" the economy, El-Erian has warned. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's inflation fight has hit a wall, and central bankers can't lower prices in the economy any further without causing damage, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. El-Erian warned last year that inflation would likely get stuck around the 3%-4% mark, thanks to persistent pressures in the economy that will push prices higher, he said. Other commentators on Wall Street have warned of the possibility of resurgent inflation as price pressures in the economy linger.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, — Organizations: Service, Allianz, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, CPI, stoke, El, New York Fed, Cleveland Fed Locations: El, That's, Red

☆ The US economy is in a Goldilocks period, and the Fed has a 'loaded gun' it can use if conditions worsen, Apollo co-president says
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Fed has a "loaded gun" it can use if the Goldilocks economy worsens, Apollo Asset Management's co-president said. That's as the central back has kept rates high, giving policymakers room to lower them. "I would argue that the Fed put is back, sort of, on the market right now," James Zelter told Bloomberg TV. AdvertisementZelter noted the Fed has maintained "fairly high rates," which currently stand at 5.25%-5.5% — the highest since 2001 . Those Goldilocks conditions have helped stocks rocket upwards, as markets bet on the end of the Fed's rate hikes.

Persons: That's, James Zelter, —, Zelter, Mohamed El Organizations: Fed, Bloomberg, Service, Apollo Asset Management

☆ My hope is the Fed targets a 3% inflation instead of 2%, says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMy hope is the Fed targets a 3% inflation instead of 2%, says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, the state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Fed, Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ Markets are too optimistic about the economy, and 3 drivers behind big stock gains face headwinds, Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Markets are overly optimistic about the economy next year, Mohamed El-Erian said in a CNBC interview. Meanwhile, November's rally was driven by Goldilocks data, lower yields, and lower oil prices. According to the top economist, markets are overly optimistic about the economy next year. And thirdly, I don't think OPEC is going to stay quiet to see oil prices where they are now." AdvertisementAnd finally, falling oil prices may not sit well with OPEC+ countries, like Saudi Arabia and Russia, who have been slashing production to prop up oil prices.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, they've, I'm, Treasurys, there's Organizations: CNBC, Service, Federal, West Texas Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ The investing world reacts to death of Berkshire legend Charlie Munger
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Several investors mourned the passing of famed investor Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway , on Tuesday. "So sad to hear the news of the passing of Charlie Munger," El-Erian wrote. Mario Gabelli, chairman and CEO of Connecticut-based GAMCO Investors, wrote on Twitter: "Charlie Munger ….a titan has passed …all will miss Charlie." "Charlie Munger helped build an American institution, and through his wisdom and insights, inspired a generation of leaders. "Charlie Munger was a brilliant attorney," Annandale Capital chairman George Seay said Tuesday evening on Yahoo Finance.

Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Munger, Ariel Investments, Charles Bobrinskoy, Mohamed El, PIMCO, Erian, Mario Gabelli, Charlie Munger …, Charlie, Tim Cook, Cook, Stephanie Link, Hightower, Whitney Tilson, Tilson, George Seay, Wesley Chan, Chan, —, Christina Cheddar Berk, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: Warren, Allianz, Twitter, Apple, Berkshire, Hightower Advisors, Berkshire Hathaway, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Daily, Costco Locations: Munger, Connecticut, Berkshire, American, California, Annandale, FPV

☆ Charlie Munger death: Warren Buffett’s business partner in Berkshire Hathaway passes away, aged 99
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Billionaire investor Charlie Munger, the long-time friend and business partner of Warren Buffett, has died. Berkshire Hathaway, the investment firm where Munger served as vice chairman, said in a press release that Munger passed “peacefully” on Tuesday morning in a California hospital. Charles Thomas Munger, known by his nickname, “Charlie,” was born on January 1, 1924, in Omaha, Nebraska. Buffett told CNBC in 2021 that after their first meeting, he knew “I’m not going to find another guy like this …. “If people weren’t so often wrong, we wouldn’t be so rich,” Munger said during a 2015 Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting.

Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Munger, Charles Thomas Munger, “ Charlie, ”, Wall, Munger’s, “ Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie, Mohamed El, ” Whitney Tilson, Buffett, “, ” Munger, “ I’m, CNN Munger, — CNN’s Nicole Goodkind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Berkshire, US Army, University of Michigan, Harvard Law School, Berkshire Hathaway, Erian, Allianz, CNN, Forbes, CNBC, Xerox, Daily Journal Locations: New York, “, ”, California, Omaha , Nebraska, Southern California, Japan, Omaha, Berkshire, Munger, Los Angeles

☆ Upside surprise has led people to be overly optimistic about next year, says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUpside surprise has led people to be overly optimistic about next year, says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, economic outlook, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

Ten-year Treasury yields hit a 16-year high of 5.021% in late October, but have fallen back to 4.414%. Some big investors and advisers believe, however, that reasons to cheer are short-lived and growing concerns over the economy will start weighting on asset prices early next year. His focus now is more on earnings, credit markets and broader economic data for signs of a potential slowdown. The U.S. presidential race next year is also a concern because it could be a source of more market instability. For a new boost in market performance, tech stocks will depend more on showing how AI can lift results, investors said.

Persons: We've, Ryan Israel, Bill Ackman's, Mohamed El, Peter van Dooijeweert, Max Gokhman, Franklin Templeton, Bill Gross, van Dooijeweert, Carolina Mandl, David Randall, Svea, Bayliss, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: Nasdaq, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management, Allianz, Group's Solutions, U.S, Reuters, Microsoft, Wall, Svea Herbst, Thomson Locations: extrapolating, U.S, China

☆ What's priced in for rate cuts next year 'is probably too aggressive', says Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat's priced in for rate cuts next year 'is probably too aggressive', says Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the 'narrative ping pong' about the type of economic landing market analysts are expecting is far from over, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ' College , Cambridge

☆ The Fed's next move will be to cut rates as the drop in inflation was a 'gamechanger,' former PIMCO chief economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's next rate move will be to cut rates, former PIMCO chief economist Paul McCulley said. Some forecasters say the Fed will slash interest rates by nearly three percentage points next year. Most significant is the "crack" in shelter inflation, McCulley said, which rose 6.7% year-over-year in October. AdvertisementInvestors will debate over when the Fed will cut rates, he added, though most are expecting the first rate cut to happen sometime next year. Some economists, though, have cautioned that the Fed risks easing interest rates prematurely, which could eventually lead to a resurgence in inflation down the line.

Persons: Paul McCulley, McCulley, —, That's, we've, Mohamed El Organizations: Service, CNBC, UBS, Fed

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