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☆ Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo

Earnings season is in full swing, and some names reporting this week are positioned for major moves. So far, 37% of those in the broad market index have reported this quarter, resulting in what has been a mixed reporting period. According to LSEG, earnings have come in 6.1% above expectations, while revenue is 1.5% higher, as of Monday. Last week, the stock advanced more than 1% on Wednesday due to JMP Securities upgrading it to market outperform from market perform. The financial services provider has jumped around 52% over the past three months and more than 41% over the past month.

Persons: Andrew Boone, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Dow Jones, Apple, CNBC Pro, Securities, Robin Hood Investors Conference, U.S, Technologies

☆ A look at how the stock market does the week before a presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is down 0.9% week to date, on pace to snap a six-week advance. There may be more turbulence next week as the election draws closer, but history shows all is not lost for the market. The week of the election itself, the broad market index has seen a median gain of 0.56%. In 2020, the S & P 500 dropped 5.6% the week before the election, then rallied 7.3% the week of the vote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, KeyBanc downgraded Apple to underweight, citing concerns around the company's iPhone sales.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, KeyBanc Organizations: U.S, CNBC, America Economic Survey, CNBC Pro, Apple

☆ The economy is a priority for Americans as they head to the polls. Here's what's really going on behind the numbers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo

☆ Here are Oppenheimer's best stock ideas heading into November
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Looking ahead to November, Oppenheimer has updated its top stock ideas list, which features additions such as CarMax , Mastercard and Atlassian . He has an outperform rating on the stock, and his price target implies nearly 26% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Ittai Kidron has an outperform rating on the stock, and his $230 target reflects nearly 22% upside, as of Wednesday's close. That implies more than 15% upside from Wednesday's close. Evercore ISI also added Broadcom to its top chip stock picks ahead of its earnings report later in the year.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Michael Wiederhorn, Cigna, Ittai Kidron, Kidron, Atlassian, Morgan Stanley, Rick Schafer, Schafer, Hock Tan Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Mastercard, Dick's Sporting Goods, Bloomberg, Humana, Bloomberg News, Broadcom, ISI

☆ BTIG warns of a 5% stock market pullback in the coming weeks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 suffered its first three-day decline since early September. Chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky noted a "decent probability" the broad market index could fall as much as 5% to roughly 5,500 in coming weeks. The S & P 500 has pulled back this week from record highs reached just Oct. 17. Krinsky pointed to the recent move higher in Treasury yields as the key catalyst. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, JPMorgan reiterated Live Nation with an overweight rating and raised a $137 price target, implying upside of more than 19%.

Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Tesla Organizations: UPS, JPMorgan

☆ The stock market is primed for more gains ahead, Canaccord says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.

Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S

☆ Goldman forecasts just a 3% S&P 500 annual return the next 10 years, down from 13% the last decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 returned 13% annually the last 10 years, above the long-term average of 11%, according to Goldman. Goldman's bearish long-term forecast comes just as the S & P 500 has entered the third year of a bull market, garnering a 27% annual total return the last two years. "The current high level of equity valuations is a key reason our 10-year forward return forecast sits at the lower end of the historical distribution," stated the note. The firm said the equal-weight S & P 500 would produce higher returns than the regular benchmark because of the concentration risk. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)F tracks an equally distributed version of the index.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Goldman's Organizations: Nvidia

☆ The S&P 500 once again briefly rode Nvidia's coattails to all-time highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Alex Harring | Kavitha Shastry | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia 's rally to a record intraday high on Thursday briefly helped lift the S & P 500 into uncharted waters, leaving investors to wonder what's next for the artificial intelligence trade. The S & P 500 broad market index also touched a record high during the day, mostly driven by strong semiconductor and financial stocks. Nvidia's stock, which scored an all-time closing high on Monday, has added 1.6% so far this week. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia, 1-day chart Martin likes the AI trade looking ahead, especially as year-end — typically a strong time for the market — nears. And then they'll try and take some profits, and then they'll try and buy it back a little cheaper, and then it'll go back up again."

Persons: what's, Jensen, Tom Martin, Martin, they'll, it'll Organizations: Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, Investments Locations: Taiwan, China

☆ Stifel’s Barry Bannister sticks to his bearish market stance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems

☆ Wall Street strategists sour on the China trade, see stimulus as another 'boom-bust' episode
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Beijing's lack of concrete economic stimulus actions poured cold water on U.S. investors who went big on the China trade, and strategists on Wall Street are warning of disappointment ahead. The professional cohort had piled into beaten-down stocks last month, stirred by hopes of more government assistance for the troubled China economy. "Indeed, the only part of the Chinese economy that appeared to be holding was its export sector. Investor sentiment toward Chinese stocks was partly aided by high-profile hedge fund manager David Tepper of Appaloosa Management, who turned extremely bullish. Stanley Druckenmiller reportedly said he's not interested in Chinese stocks under the current political leadership, regardless of the new policies.

Persons: Stefano Pascale, Sameer Samana, Donald Trump, Barclays Pascale, David Tepper, Tepper, Ray Dalio, Stanley Druckenmiller, he's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Trump, CSI, Appaloosa Management, CNBC Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Beijing

The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to fresh records Monday as investors awaited the next batch of key corporate earnings. The broad market index climbed 0.77% to 5,859.85, while the 30-stock Dow advanced 201.36 points to 43,065.22. Both averages hit all-time highs and closed at records, with the Dow ending the session above the 43,000 mark for the first time. The early signs of a recovery in banking profits helped push the broader market to all-time highs at the end of last week. The S&P 500 closed above 5,800 for the first time on Friday, while the blue-chip Dow also reached an all-time high.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Dow, Bernstein, ”, Baird, Ross Mayfield Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, UnitedHealth, Apple, Technology, Bank of America, Johnson, United Airlines, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Netflix, Procter, Gamble, JPMorgan Chase, Federal, Treasury, Columbus Day

☆ Why economists and strategists still say a recession is postponed, despite a startling inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.

Persons: —, Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China

☆ Stock market next week: Earnings season ramps up with more big bank results
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Sarah Min | Nicole Teo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.

Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB

☆ Another reason to rethink CDs: Your return is less than it seems
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.

Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ Stock futures are flat as traders await another inflation reading, big bank earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 11, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, as investors looked ahead to a wholesale inflation reading and quarterly results from major banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 inched higher by 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered just below the flatline. September's consumer price index rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% from a year earlier. The S&P 500 is up 0.5% week to date, while the Dow is toting a 0.2% gain.

Persons: Dow Jones, Preston Caldwell, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, JPMorgan Chase Locations: New York City

☆ Hedge funds do an about-face on the China trade, selling stocks in record numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Hedge funds that recently flocked into Chinese stocks on stimulus hopes just did a 180. The net selling was 1.4 times larger than the previous record, Goldman said. "As NDRC underwhelmed, hedge funds rapidly sold off Chinese equities," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients on Wednesday. "Hedge funds not only unwound their long positions but added shorts to their books as well, with long sells being double the amount of short sells." Hedge funds had only just piled into the developing market at a record pace one week before , as Beijing's rare stimulus blitz unleashed newfound optimism.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Tepper, Mehran Nakhjavani Organizations: National Development, Appaloosa Management, CNBC, China's CSI, MRB Partners Locations: China

☆ 15 stocks top funds and legendary investors are piling into, including those held most by billionaires like Warren Buffett and Ken Fisher
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 and Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund have surged over 30% in 2024. GuruFocus tracks top investors' stock picks, highlighting 15 popular stocks among gurus. The stock market has boom-and-bust cycles and periods of sector rotations. Some have taken to copying the so-called investing gurus of our world. The bucket of allocators adds up to more than 140 investors and funds, including Buffett and Fisher.

Persons: Ken Fisher, Warren Buffett, contrarian, —, it's, He's, Buffett, Fisher Organizations: Market, Service, Market Index

☆ Stock futures are little changed as September consumer inflation report looms: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S

☆ Investors slam the brakes on the hottest trade going in the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."

Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs is getting more bullish about stocks, raises S&P 500 forecast to 6,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's

☆ How to hedge the overall market with several critical events just around the corner
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?

Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ 4 market experts share 10 places to invest your money after September's jobs data blew expectations out of the water
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Below, four market experts share how investors should allocate their money going forward. The US job market blew past economists' predictions, with total nonfarm payrolls increasing by 254,000 last month — over 100,000 more jobs than expected. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer, Independent Advisor AllianceThe job market is showing signs of strengthening with the September data. With that being said, the current environment presents many opportunities to invest in equities, according to Zaccarelli. "Recession fears are elevated, and we think those are underpriced, underappreciated parts of the market," Zaccarelli said.

Persons: —, we've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, there'll, it's, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Shalett, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Independent

☆ Cheap stocks to buy in the fourth quarter, according to HSBC
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's officially a new trading month, and HSBC recommends investors broaden their exposure in the fourth quarter by seeking out stocks with more reasonable valuations. "These 'big' companies represent the lion's share of equity index returns year to date." HSBC has a buy rating on the stock. In all, 16 of the 29 analysts covering GM have a strong buy or buy rating, and its average price target of $54.35 implies nearly 19% upside from Friday's close, per LSEG. The remaining 11 have a buy or strong buy rating.

Persons: It's, Nicole Inui, General Motors, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: HSBC, Dow, Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, General, GM, Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Delta Air Lines Locations: Americas, U.S

☆ Short ideas: Here are the stocks JPMorgan is betting against in the fourth quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite the major indexes trading near their all-time highs, there are still plenty of stocks that JPMorgan is bearish on in the coming quarter. Against this backdrop, JPMorgan surveyed its analysts for their top short ideas, or stocks that might underperform going into the fourth quarter. Shares have risen 9% in 2024, leading to what JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut believes is an expensive valuation. JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Goldman also has an underweight rating on Beyond Meat . "Plant-based meat continues to struggle as the fad fades," the analyst wrote.

Persons: Stocks, Stanley Black, Decker, Michael Rehaut, Kenneth Goldman, Stephen Tusa, Mark Strouse Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Rockwell Automation, ROK, FuelCell Energy Locations: —, underinvestment

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