Photo illustration: Madeline MarshallAs the U.S. government nears yet another debt-ceiling crisis, an obscure Wall Street instrument is gaining attention for the first time in 10 years.
It is basically an insurance contract known as a credit-default swap, whose price is commonly interpreted as the probability the U.S. will default on its Treasury debt.
As of April 19, investors were willing to pay $9,600 a year to insure $1 million in U.S. Treasury debt, up from $1,400 at the start of the year.
That is even more than during major budget fights in 2011 and 2013 when, like now, Republicans in Congress were refusing to raise the statutory ceiling on how much Treasury could borrow unless a Democratic president agreed to reduce spending.