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☆ Wall St flat after rally as Fed speakers, Treasury auctions eyed
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Markets will look for more clarity on the Fed's intentions from officials speaking later in the week, including Chair Jerome Powell, and voting members such as New York Fed chief John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 99 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New, San Francisco

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors climbed, with information technology (.SPLRCT) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) leading gains. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jamie Cox, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dish, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Tesla, Reuters, Traders, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Harris Financial, Fed, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berlin ., Lisa Cook , New

☆ Futures edge up on rate cut hopes; Fed speakers awaited
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Walt Disney (DIS.N), Instacart (CART.O) and Biogen (BIIB.O) are among major companies reporting earnings this week. 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. ET, Dow e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.5 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.27%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mohit Kumar, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Walt Disney, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Jefferies, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Tesla, Reuters, University of, Dow e, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Lisa Cook , New, Berlin, Beijing

☆ Stocks week ahead: Here’s how America’s economy could begin to weaken
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The job market or spending? The spending argument: But there have been instances in which spending weakened before the job market. “I think it starts with the perception of the labor market,” Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife Investment Management, told CNN. The ticket-industry giant said it has sold a record 140 million tickets so far this year, up 17% year-over-year and has already surpassed the 121 million tickets sold in all of 2022. In the third quarter, Ticketmaster sales surged 57% to $833 million and 90 million fee-bearing tickets were sold in the period.

Persons: can’t, ” Shannon Seery, “ It’s, ” Seery, Luke Tilley, ” Tilley, Jerome Powell, ” Drew Matus, ”, Taylor Swift, Parija Kavilanz, Swifties, Taylor, Michael Rapino, Beyoncé, Harry Styles, Bunny, Jonas Brothers, Bruce Springsteen, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Jeffrey Schmid, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ralph Lauren, Steve Madden, Phillip Jefferson, Raphael Bostic, Tom Barkin, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, CNN, Employers, Investment Advisors, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNN Wednesday, Federal, MetLife Investment Management, Ticketmaster, Ryanair, Goodyear, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Uber, Occidental Petroleum, KKR, The Carlyle Group, US Commerce Department, Biogen, Warner Bros, Teva Pharma, The New York Times Company, Armour, SeaWorld, MGM Resorts, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Sony Group, Astrazeneca, Tapestry, News Corp, US Labor Department, Soho House, National Statistics, European Central Bank, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Wells, Wilmington, Lyft, Brookfield, Soho

☆ Stock futures are little changed after the S&P 500's best week of 2023: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. equity futures were flat on Sunday evening after the major averages capped their best week so far this year. S&P 500 futures ticked higher by 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered below the flat line at 0.01%. November is the best-performing month for the S&P 500, according to the Stock Traders' Almanac. The S&P 500 has generated an average return of 7% from November through April since then, he said. Several other Fed officials are making public remarks later in the week as well, including New York Federal Reserve President and CEO John Williams, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.

Persons: Dow, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Walt Disney, Wynn, Jerome Powell, Bharat Ramamurti, CNBC's, Lisa D, Cook, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Thomas Barkin, Lorie Logan Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Stock Traders, MGM Resorts, Occidental Petroleum, National Economic Council, New York Federal Reserve, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Richmond Federal, Dallas Fed Locations: Horton, Atlanta, Richmond

☆ Fed's reverse repo facility drawdown looms large in balance sheet debate
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Inflows have dropped sharply in recent months to around $1 trillion in the face of the Fed's aggressive policy tightening underway since last year. Fed officials, for their part, have said repeatedly they’ve got a lot of room to cut their holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, a process that complements Fed rate increases. So far, reverse repos have “come down very smoothly,” Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed said earlier this month. In his view, if reverse repos stopped contracting that could become a meaningful sign liquidity levels were getting tight enough for the Fed to change gears. "We still have a very large balance sheet" so the balance sheet cuts can likely continue over the next year and half to two years, she said, adding when it comes to getting to the finish line, "it's going to take a while."

Persons: they’ve, ” Lorie Logan, Logan, “ I’ve, Wells Fargo, Roberto Perli, Lou Crandall, Wrightson ICAP, Crandall reckons, Loretta Mester, Michael S, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Fed, Dallas Fed, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, Wells

☆ The Fed is about to make its next move. Here are 8 quotes from Jerome Powell and other central bankers that point to what comes next.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

After 11 interest rate hikes, Federal Reserve officials appear divided on next steps. Jerome Powell and other central bankers have signaled another rate hike could be on the table. Since the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting, several central bankers have signaled that interest rates could still go higher. Atlanta Fed President, Raphael Bostic, October 20: "I really do try to keep people focused on what inflation is, still at 3.7%. Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell, October 19: "Financial conditions have tightened significantly in recent months, and longer-term bond yields have been an important driving factor in this tightening.

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, CME's, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Christopher Waller, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Dallas Fed, Governors, Boston Fed

A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will also be on investor radar during the day as Fed officials will be entering a media blackout starting Saturday ahead of their meeting on Nov 1. The 10-year Treasury yield , which briefly crossed 5% on Thursday for the first time since July 2007, were last at 4.9392%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 78 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 13 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 61 points, or 0.41%. Shares of solar firms Enphase Energy (ENPH.O) and First Solar (FSLR.O) were also down 15.6% and 5.2%, respectively.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell, Michael Hewson, Lorie Logan, Patrick Harker, Loretta Mester, CME's, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Economic, of New, CMC, Fed Bank of Dallas, Market, BofA, Research, U.S, Philadelphia Fed, Cleveland Fed, Traders, American Express, Investors, Dow e, Enphase Energy, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, of New York, East, Israel, Gaza, Bengaluru

☆ Fed has 'some time' to see data before deciding next rate move, says Logan
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Logan acknowledged progress in lowering inflation while still being unsure that price pressures are ebbing to the Fed's 2% target. She said a still-strong job market may need to weaken further to help the Fed achieve its inflation goals. "My focus is on price stability and what further tightening may be needed to achieve our mandate," Logan said. If tighter financial conditions are "persistent that could mitigate some of the need for further increases," Logan said. In her remarks Logan also took stock of the outlook for the Fed's balance sheet contraction policy.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Ann Saphir, Logan, Jerome Powell, Michael S, Sandra Maler, Leslie Adler Organizations: Reserve Bank, Dallas, Kansas City, REUTERS, Federal Reserve Bank, New York University, New, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, New York

☆ 10-year Treasury yield retreats after rising to 5% in previous session
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

During the previous session, 10-year Treasury yields topped 5% for the first time since July 20, 2007, after four consecutive days of climbs. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.9499% by 2 a.m. ET, down around 4 basis points. The 2-year Treasury yield was trading around 5.1418%, down around 3 basis points. No major data points or Treasury auctions are scheduled.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Lorie Logan, Patrick Harker, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New Locations: of New York

☆ Bond term premiums are now a focus for the Fed. What are they?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A bond yield can be decomposed into three elements: Expectations for what the Fed does with short-term rates; a premium for expected inflation; and a term premium. Term premiums cannot be directly observed but a number of models for them exist. A New York Fed model shows the term premium for the benchmark 10-year Treasury note has climbed by more than a percentage point since the start of the third quarter. "A sudden rise in term premiums to more normal levels poses a downside risk to long-maturity Treasury prices, which could in turn affect the prices of other assets," the Fed said in its July 2017 Monetary Policy Report, a period during which term premiums were below zero. "If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate."

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Jerome Powell nodded, Lorie Logan, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Economic, of New, Reuters, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics, Dallas, National Association for Business Economics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, of New York, York

☆ Morning Bid: Bond squeeze abates as Middle East war in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. Dallas Fed cheif Lorie Logan added overnight that recent data and bond yield moves gave the central bank space. Reactions in the market were curious, however, with implied Fed policy rates in the futures market and two-year Treasury yields easing back even as 10-year yields chomped at the 5% bit. The resulting further disinversion of the yield curve to show the gap between two and 10-year yields at its lowest in a year is some testament to that. But with another nervous weekend around the Israel-Gaza war ahead, when markets are closed or illiquid, Friday trading has shifted the focus back to short-term safety hedges.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Lorie Logan, Huntington, Loretta Mester, Patrick Harker, Joe Biden, Charles Michel, Ursula von der Leyen, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Atlanta Federal, Dallas Fed, Bank of Japan, L'Oreal, American Express, Interpublic, Schlumberger, Cleveland Federal, Philadelphia Fed, European Council, European Commission Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Israel, Gaza, Europe, China, Comerica, Huntington Bancshares, Washington

☆ Fed's Logan: Fed has "some time" to see data before deciding next rate move
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan walks to the opening dinner of the Kansas City Fed's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S., August 24, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said on Thursday recent data and market shifts give the central bank space to deliberate on its next monetary policy move. "We have some time" before having to make the call whether to raise rates again or hold them steady, Logan said at a gathering of the Money Marketeers of New York University. Logan noted that a desirable tightening in financial conditions gives officials some space to watch incoming data, as she noted progress in lowering inflation while still being unsure price pressures are ebbing to the 2% target. Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Sandra MalerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Ann Saphir, Logan, Michael S, Sandra Maler Organizations: Reserve Bank, Dallas, Kansas City, REUTERS, Federal Reserve Bank, New York University, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S

☆ Morning Bid: To 5% and beyond, bond yields soar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The company earnings picture, meantime, was mixed to sour over the past 24 hours in both the U.S. and Europe. Despite decent demand at a typically awkward 20-year bond auction on Wednesday, yields continued to spiral higher overnight and ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's key speech later on Thursday. The upshot of all factors has seen Treasury yields climb ever higher through the night - with two-year and 20-year yields , now both above 5.25%, the latter at a record high and the former the highest since 2006. Ten and five-year tenors also saw yields soar to within a hair's breadth of 5% early on Thursday too. The ructions in the bond market and incoming earnings saw Wall St indexes (.SPX), (.NDX) hit their lowest in 10 days on Wednesday and futures were in the red again ahead of the open today.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Republican Jim Jordan, Blackstone, Philip Morris, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, Patrick Harker, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S, Netflix, Republican, Bank of Japan, Mortgage Bankers Association, HK, Fifth Third Bancorp, Philip Morris , Union Pacific, CSX, Truist Financial, American Airlines, Alaska Air, Philadelphia Fed, U.S . Federal, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Housing, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Washington, Venezuela, Europe, Frankfurt, Freeport, McMoRan, China

☆ Save like a boomer: Younger generations have a chance to make high interest rates work for them
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Interest rates on traditionally "safer" investments like Treasury bonds are high. Economist Thomas Hogan of the American Institute for Economic Research recently pointed out this upside to the interest rates and how it is helping Americans. "Now, interest rates on US Treasury bonds are at the highest in more than a decade, giving savers a safe, stable place to store their money." If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate. However, to the extent that strength in the economy is behind the increase in long-term interest rates, the FOMC may need to do more."

Persons: —, Thomas Hogan, Hogan, Jerome Powell, Kevin Dietsch, Tim Hayes, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Service, Treasury, American Institute for Economic Research, Federal, NDR, U.S, Supreme, Dallas Locations: Israel

☆ Why Fed officials aren’t addressing the Israel-Hamas war the way they did with Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Emma Jones, a spokesperson for the Fed, declined to comment on why many Fed officials, who in the past moved swiftly to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, weren’t addressing the war in Israel. There are some Fed officials who are starting to talk about it, though — albeit only when asked questions. Fed officials see little immediate threat to the US economyAtlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was the first to speak about the war, at the American Bankers Association’s annual conference last Tuesday. That’s probably why more Fed officials were quicker to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, Dorn said. “I don’t think the Fed wants to look like they’re taking sides,” Dorn added — but said Fed officials could easily talk about it without looking partial.

Persons: Chris Waller, ” Waller, Michael Barr, Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Emma Jones, James Dorn, “, ”, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Neel Kashkari didn’t, aren't, they're, Al Drago, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Patrick Harker, we’ve, Harker, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dorn, Dorn, There’s, Gregory Daco, Daco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ”, Dallas Fed, Fed, Cato Institute, CNN, Atlanta Fed, American Bankers, Minot State University, Minneapolis, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, ” Boston, Wellesley College, Philadelphia Fed, Delaware State Chamber of Commerce, JPMorgan, Rystad Energy Locations: New York, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Waller’s, North Dakota, Delaware, Iran, Lebanon, Syria, United States, That’s, Gaza, Hormuz, EY

☆ Here are 3 things to watch in the stock market after a very difficult week
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-14 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We certainly hope Morgan Stanley's numbers are as good as Friday's report from our other bank holding Wells Fargo (WFC). Morgan Stanley is expected to grow revenue by more than 2% year over year to $13.2 billion in the third quarter. During a recent conference, Morgan Stanley executives said that capital markets will likely improve in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley have struggled this year, dropping more than 8% compared to the S & P 500's nearly 13% advance in 2023. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Stocks, WTI, Jerome Powell's, There's, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Powell, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Jefferson, – Morgan Stanley, Gamble –, Morgan Stanley YTD, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, there's, Gamble, Jim, we'll, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, — CNBC's Zev Fima, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Columbus Day, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Club, Fed, Market, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, National Association of Realtors, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil, Coterra Energy, of America, United Airlines, Gamble, Housing, Netflix, Alcoa, American Airlines, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alaska Air, CSX, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, New, Wells, KBW, Silicon, Manhattan, New York City

The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson

☆ Asian shares rally as markets wager on Fed pivot; US inflation in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) gained 0.7% to the highest level in three weeks. Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) rallied 1.3% for a third straight day, climbing away from its five-month low hit last week. U.S. Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let it "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. With the long-awaited pivot for the Fed in sight, traders are bracing for the all-important U.S. consumer inflation report later in the day. Stakes are higher because a producer price inflation report came in hotter than expected on Wednesday.

Persons: HSI, Christopher Waller, Waller, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Alan Ruskin, payrolls, Brent, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Federal Reserve, Tokyo's Nikkei, Central Huijin Investment, Federal, U.S, Fed, Dallas Fed, Markets, FedTool, Deutsche Bank AG, Saudi, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Palestine

☆ Morning Bid: Inflation test looms for Fed doves
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

For now, the consistent and - for equity investors - very welcome refrain from Fed officials that caution is warranted before further rate rises has drowned out any concerns about data. But just how quickly markets turned at the start of the week shows how quickly they could turn again. Despite the dovish trimmings, the core Fed message remains that rates will rise as far as they have to in order to rein in inflation. Fed regional bank heads Lorie Logan, Susan Collins and Raphael Bostic have the chance to air their views in remarks at separate events today. It's a big day for British data as well, with GDP and industrial production due first thing.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Lorie Logan, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE, Sam Holmes Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Hong, Reuters, Bank of England, IMF, Bank, U.S . CPI, Thomson Locations: Asia, Washington, Marrakesh

Oct 11 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let the central bank "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. We will see how those higher rates feed into what we do on policy in the coming months." Waller's comments added weight to similar statements this week by Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Still, Waller offered some of the most optimistic reads yet on the path of inflation. "We're finally getting very good inflation data," he said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Paul Ryan, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, We're, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci Organizations: . Federal, Republican, Wisconsin, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Utah

☆ Insider Today: Israel's next steps
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementIn today's big story, we're looking at the latest developments in Israel's war with Hamas, including Israel's devastating airstrikes and a potentially complicated ground invasion of Gaza. What's on deck:Markets: Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Israel war is also impacting another conflict: Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.

Persons: Jimmy Buffett's, margarita, Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Faiz, NurPhoto, Insider's Kelsey Vlamis, Insider's Chris Panella, Amir Levy, Jake Epstein, Insider's Elias Chavez, David Donabedian, Insider's Bryan Metzger, Brendan McDermid, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, BRYAN R, SMITH Caroline Ellison, Ellison, Linda Yaccarino, X, Arantza Pena Popo, eBay's, they're, They'll, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Rachael Brennan, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Tech, Getty, CNN, Hamas, CIBC Private Wealth, Ukraine, Washington Post, Republican, Elite, Quantum Fund, Soros Fund Management, Atlanta Fed, Dallas, Fed, Alameda Research, Street, Gaza, Boomers, Republicans, Ohio, The Chicago, Tata Consultancy Services, Sam's Club Locations: Florida, Gaza, Israel, Ukraine, Russia, homebuying, Louisiana, New York City, San Diego, London, New York

☆ The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.

Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, ”, “, ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia

In both cases the outcome would push the Fed from that "golden path" onto a far more familiar one: An economy buckling as borrowing costs rise and confidence wanes. "I don't think it is unavoidable" that joblessness will have to rise significantly for inflation to return to target, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Monday. But the most important thing is that we stay focused on restoring price stability, and I think that will require some rebalancing in the labor market." Her look at past periods of inflation and disinflation makes her think the labor market may still need a shock for the Fed to succeed. "As nice as it is to see a really strong labor market, when you are trying to get inflation down, that's not your friend."

Persons: Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Austan Goolsbee, Jefferson, Christina Romer, Romer, Goolsbee, that's, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: DALLAS, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Treasury, University of California, White House's Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, Dallas, Israel, Palestinian, Berkeley

☆ Most Fed officials expect one more interest rate hike and that they'll remain elevated for a while, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Most Federal Reserve officials said last month that they expect one more rate hike, according to minutes from their September policy meeting released Wednesday. Some officials said that how fast inflation cools in the coming months will determine how long rates remain elevated. Inflation’s steady descent over the past year, and the job market’s gradual cooldown, gave officials enough reassurance to pause, the minutes showed. The central bank’s latest set of economic projections also showed that most Fed officials expect fewer rate cuts next year, confirming investors’ fears that rates could remain higher for longer. It’s unclear how much higher yields will weigh on economic activity, but several Fed officials have said in public remarks this week that it could mean less action from the Fed.

Persons: ’, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Lorie Logan, Mack Trucks Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Treasury, ” Dallas, Employers, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, UAW Locations: Washington

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