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Deep-pocketed Republicans donors also tried to close the gap by boosting a GOP super PAC working to seize the Senate majority. America PAC has taken on a critical supporting role for the Trump campaign, according to its independent expenditure filings, which cover some spending beyond September 30. Tuesday’s filings show other conservative billionaires also plowing extraordinary sums into the effort to reelect Trump. Another leading pro-Trump super PAC, Restoration PAC, also reported a huge haul from a single major donor. Meanwhile, the Congressional Leadership Fund – the main super PAC supporting House Republicans – hauled in more than $81 million in the third quarter.
Persons: , Miriam Adelson, Elon Musk, Donald Trump’s, Adelson, – Musk, Richard Uihlein –, megadonors, Kamala Harris, Harris, Musk, Trump, reelect Trump, Sheldon, Uihlein, Ike Perlmutter, Laura, Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Reid Hoffman, Steve Mnuchin, Dana White, White, Chuck Schumer, JB Pritzker, Eric Schmidt, Reed Hastings, Ken Griffin, Elliott, Paul Singer, Stephen Schwarzman, Republicans –, Timothy Mellon, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, Tim Sheehy, Brown, Bernie Moreno, Eric Hovde, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Baldwin, Colin Allred, Sen, Ted Cruz, Cruz, Nathan L, Democrat Adam Gray, Michelle Steel, Democrat Eugene Vindman, Trump’s, Vindman, Mary Peltola, CNN’s Kristen Holmes Organizations: CNN, Trump, PAC, Federal, Commission, Adelson, Democratic, Republican, GOP, White, House . America PAC, America PAC, Preserve, America, Restoration PAC, FF PAC, FF, New York, LinkedIn, Republican National Convention, Fund, Illinois Gov, Netflix, Citadel, Elliott Management, Blackstone Group, Congressional, Republicans, The New York Times, Democrats, West, Senate, Ohio, – Rep, Democrat, Alaska Rep Locations: Pennsylvania, California, New York, Preserve America, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Georgia, Lago, Florida, Montana, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona, Maryland, Republican, Texas, Virginia’s, District, Alaska
But the surveys also reveal a noticeable gap in support between the pro-abortion rights amendments and the Democratic presidential and Senate candidates who are campaigning on a pro-abortion rights platform. Pro-abortion rights ballot measures won in every state where they appeared on the ballot, including conservative-leaning ones, in the 2022 and 2023 elections. Similarly in Arizona, a proposed amendment to enshrine abortion rights in the state’s constitution has clear majority support. In Montana, there’s little evidence that the presence of an abortion rights amendment has had a major effect on the race between three-term Democratic Sen. Jon Tester and Republican challenger Tim Sheehy. For example, in Missouri, public polling indicates broad support for a constitutional amendment to enshrine abortion rights, while Republican Sen. Josh Hawley and Trump hold strong leads in their races.
Persons: Shannon Bilbray Axelrod, Axelrod, Roe, Wade, , , ’ ”, Mike Noble, Noble, ” Noble, , ” Montana GOP Sen, Steve Daines, haven’t, didn’t, Chuck Rocha, Tova, Jeri Burton, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen, Republican Sam Brown, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Ruben Gallego, Republican Kari Lake, Republican Sen, Rick Scott, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Sheehy, Chuck Denowh, ” Denowh, Josh Hawley, I’ve, Rocha, Bridget Bowman, Adam Edelman Organizations: Democratic, Nevada Assembly, U.S, ” Montana GOP, National Republican Senatorial, NBC News, Democrat, National Organization for Women’s, Fox, Senate, Republican, New York Times, Siena, Suffolk University, , The New York Times, Trump, Montana Republican Party, Locations: Nevada, Clark County, , Arizona, Montana, Florida, U.S ., Nevada , Arizona, ” Montana, National Organization for Women’s Nevada, The, Siena, Missouri, Las Vegas, New York
Plus, "Meet the Press" moderator breaks down the polling numbers behind Barack Obama's stern message to Black voters. Former President Barack Obama came to Pittsburgh on Thursday with a stark warning for Black men to step up their support for Harris. The survey found that men under the age of 50 were the most likely subgroup of Black voters to back Trump over Harris. While Harris had a 78-point lead among Black men over 50, the number drops to about 50 points with Black men under 50. Bottom line: This is the first time we have heard this powerful and direct plea from the nation’s first Black president to other Black men.
Persons: Ryan Nobles, Frank Thorp, Donald Trump's, Sen, Jon Tester, Barack, Tim Combo, , , Donald Trump, Republican Tim Sheehy, Kamala Harris, I’ve, , Montana’s, Tester, Trump, Read, Ryan, Frank →, Bridget Bowman, Sam Brown, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen, Bridget →, Kristen Welker, Barack Obama, Harris, ” Obama, “ You’re Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Capitol Hill, Montana Senate, Western States Carpenters, Democrat, Republican, Navy SEAL, Trump, Democrats, Montana’s Trump, Senate, GOP, Democratic, Howard University Initiative, Black Locations: Montana, Mont, Butte, Nevada, Las Vegas, Pittsburgh
Poll after poll indicate Tester trailing Republican first-time candidate Tim Sheehy, a wealthy businessman and retired Navy SEAL, though by smaller margins than Vice President Kamala Harris trails Trump at the top of the ticket. To win, Tester will need even more Montanans willing to vote for a Republican for president and a Democrat for the Senate. “Look, I’ve got my own brand here in the state, and it’s different than national Democrats,” he said in an interview. In the Butte union hall, Tester touted his work to make sure billions of dollars for infrastructure projects appropriated in 2022 would create union jobs. The mostly male group packing the hall, many of whose members Tester concedes will vote for Trump, cheered loudly.
Persons: Tim Sheehy, Kamala Harris, Tester, I’ve, , , Sheehy, Trump Organizations: Navy SEAL, Trump, Republican, Democrat, Democrats, Biden, Montana Trump voters Locations: Montana, Butte
And one of them was life, because of course young women between the age of 19 and 30, abortion is their Number One concern. They are single-issue voters," Sheehy continued. “Tim Sheehy calling young women ‘indoctrinated’ because they value reproductive freedom just goes to show how out of touch he is with Montanans,” Tester spokesperson Monica Robinson said. “You know, the left has a lot of single-issue voters,” Moreno said at the event, according to video obtained by NBC affiliate WCMH of Columbus. “Sadly, by the way, there’s a lot of suburban women, a lot of suburban women that are like, ‘Listen, abortion is it.
Persons: Tim Sheehy, Jon Tester, they’ve, Sheehy, ’ ”, Donald Trump, they're, “ It’s, ” Sheehy, “ Tim Sheehy, , , Monica Robinson, , Tim, Roe, Wade, Sheehy's, Bernie Moreno, Moreno, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, ” Moreno, ’ ” Moreno Organizations: Democratic, Republican Party, NBC News, Republicans, Senate, Democratic Party, American Democrat Party, The Daily, Koosta, Trump, Republican, Ohio Republican, NBC Locations: Montana, “ In Montana, Columbus
Programming note: Stay tuned for a special edition of the From the Politics Desk newsletter tonight, where we will be recapping and analyzing the Vance-Walz debate. 5 things to watch for at tonight’s VP debateSen. JD Vance of Ohio and Minnesota Gov. Walz has the longer debate record, but Minnesota is something of a backwater on the national political scene. How Vance and Walz’s poll numbers stack up to past VP nomineesBy Steve KornackiHeading into tonight’s vice presidential debate, JD Vance has an image problem. With tens of millions expected to watch tonight’s debate, Vance does have an opportunity to improve his standing — just as a shaky performance by Walz could erase the advantage he now enjoys over Vance.
Persons: JD Vance, Tim Walz's, Vance, Walz, Sen, Tim Walz, Garrett Haake, Will Vance, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, who’ve, Vance —, Henry J, Gomez, Peter Nicholas, Harris ’, Emma Barnett, Gen, Raquel Coronell Uribe, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Steve Kornacki, James Stockdale, Ross Perot’s, Dan Quayle, George H.W, Bush, Lloyd Bentsen, Quayle, Michael Dukakis, Dan De Luce, Carol E, Lee, Courtney Kube, Monica Alba, Abigail Williams, Israel, Read, Rea, arter Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, CBS News, Minnesota Gov, Trump, Democratic, GOP, Quayle Republican, Bentsen Democratic, Biden White, Israel —, Washington Locations: Ohio, New York City, Minnesota, American, Israel, Iran, Tehran, United States, Syria —, U.S
The central clash in the pivotal Senate race in Montana — and the fight for control of the Senate itself — was on full display Monday night as Democratic Sen. Jon Tester and Republican Tim Sheehy faced off in a heated debate. Like other vulnerable Senate Democrats, Tester tried to make it personal — touting his bipartisan bona fides, highlighting his own connections to his red-leaning state and suggesting his opponent cannot be trusted. Montana is the party’s next top target, with Tester running for re-election in a state Trump won by 16 points in 2020. James Richmond, 50, an IT consultant and voter in Helena, pointed to those comments in explaining why he plans to support Sheehy, despite supporting Tester’s work for veterans. An AARP poll conducted in late August found Sheehy leading Tester by 6 points, 55% to 49%.
Persons: , Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Sheehy, Donald Trump, Tester, , ” Tester, who’s, ” Sheehy, Trump, Biden, Harris, heeding, Joe Biden, James Richmond, Joe Biden’s, ” Richmond, stater haven’t, Chuck Schumer, Jon Tester ”, , Kamala Harris, Gary Peters, Sen, Susan Collins, He’s, ” Peters, outspent Sheehy, Barack Obama, outperforming, Steve Bullock, GOP Sen, Steve Daines, Charlie Kirk, Montanans ”, Sarah Thaggard, ” Thaggard, Chuck Denowh, ” Denowh, ” Bridget Bowman, Alex Tabet Organizations: Senate, Democratic, Navy, Democratic Party, Republicans, Trump, GOP, Republican, MSNBC, Democrats, NBC News, , National Republican, AARP, Fox News, Maine Republican, National Press Club, Gov, Native, Koosta, University of Montana, Montana Republican Locations: Montana —, Montana, West Virginia . Montana, Helena, Washington, Maine, Georgia, Missoula , Montana
Trump and Harris have different reasons to try to attract the crypto community — donors, voters, the fact that the former president likes anyone who flatters him, etc. All of Trump's courting of the crypto industry is possible because Democrats left open an opportunity for him to pounce. Related storiesWhile Molly White, a crypto researcher and critic, described Harris' recent statements about crypto as "middle of the road," she said she thought the crypto industry was "definitely taking an optimistic view." The crypto industry doesn't mind the attention it's getting from policymakers. What Harris or Trump will actually do on crypto is unclear, but that's not really the point right now.
Persons: cryptocurrency, Crypto, Sen, Katie Porter, Jamaal Bowman, Sherrod Brown's, Bernie Moreno, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, Andreessen Horowitz, Cameron, Tyler Winklevoss, He's, Adam Kovacevich, Joe Biden's, Gary Gensler, Lina Khan, Biden, Sheila Warren, Brian Hughes, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Tester, Bernie Sanders, Barron, it's, Robert Weissman, he's, She's, Chuck Schumer, Jared Polis of, Anthony Scaramucci, Mark Cuban, Ron Conway, Sherrod Brown, Kamala, she's, Rachael Horwitz, " Horwitz, Harris hasn't, Molly White, Horwitz, It's, There's, Weissman, Dan Cassino, Khan, Warren, that's, Emily Stewart Organizations: Democratic, Sherrod Brown's Republican, Gemini, Facebook, Trump, GOP, Republican, of, Democrats, Securities and Exchange, Federal Trade Commission, Crypto, Innovation, Liberty Financial, Public Citizen, Financial Times, Politico, Gov, Jared Polis of Colorado, Wall Street, Haun Ventures, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Capitol Hill, SEC, FTC, Chamber, Business Locations: Ohio, Wisconsin, Nashville, United States, Silicon Valley, That's, California, New York, America, bitcoin, Washington
Trump and Harris have different reasons to try to attract the crypto community — donors, voters, the fact that the former president likes anyone who flatters him, etc. All of Trump's courting of the crypto industry is possible because Democrats left open an opportunity for him to pounce. In September, he unveiled his own crypto venture, World Liberty Financial. The crypto industry doesn't mind the attention it's getting from policymakers. What Harris or Trump will actually do on crypto is unclear, but that's not really the point right now.
Persons: cryptocurrency, Crypto, Sen, Katie Porter, Jamaal Bowman, Sherrod Brown's, Bernie Moreno, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, Andreessen Horowitz, Cameron, Tyler Winklevoss, He's, Adam Kovacevich, Joe Biden's, Gary Gensler, Lina Khan, Biden, Sheila Warren, Brian Hughes, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Tester, Bernie Sanders, Barron, it's, Robert Weissman, he's, She's, Chuck Schumer, Jared Polis of, Anthony Scaramucci, Mark Cuban, Ron Conway, Sherrod Brown, Kamala, she's, Rachael Horwitz, " Horwitz, Harris hasn't, Molly White, Horwitz, It's, There's, Weissman, Dan Cassino, Khan, Warren, that's, Emily Stewart Organizations: Democratic, Sherrod Brown's Republican, Gemini, Facebook, Trump, GOP, Republican, of, Democrats, Securities and Exchange, Federal Trade Commission, Crypto, Innovation, Liberty Financial, Public Citizen, Financial Times, Politico, Gov, Jared Polis of Colorado, Wall Street, Haun Ventures, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Capitol Hill, SEC, FTC, Chamber, Business Locations: Ohio, Wisconsin, Nashville, United States, Silicon Valley, That's, California, New York, America, bitcoin, Washington
However, there's an interesting dynamic at play in pivotal swing states like Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania headed into November: A relatively small but significant bloc of Trump voters are also backing Democratic Senate candidates. In Michigan, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin led Rogers by five points (47% to 42%). If Harris wins in November and Democrats win exactly 50 seats, then Minnesota Gov. But should Trump win the election and pro-Trump ticket-splitters help Democrats keep their majority, it would pump the brakes on a conservative agenda. AdvertisementA Democratic Senate would serve as a check on Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, , John Kerry, — Blanche Lincoln, Byron Dorgan — coasted, Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Susan Collins, Kamala Harris, Harris, Biden, Trump, Kari Lake, Mike Rogers of, Bernie Moreno, David McCormick of, he's, Elissa Slotkin, Andrew Harnik, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Moreno, Brown, Ruben Gallego, Rogers, Bob Casey Jr, Tammy Baldwin, it'll, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Republican Tim Sheehy, Tim Walz Organizations: Service, Democratic, GOP, Democrat, Republican, Trump, David McCormick of Pennsylvania, New York Times, Siena College, Buckeye State, Democratic Rep, Democrats, Minnesota Gov, Republicans Locations: Arkansas, North Dakota, Maine, Arizona , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Kari Lake of Arizona, Mike Rogers of Michigan, Bernie Moreno of Ohio, Siena, Arizona , Michigan , Ohio, Wisconsin, , Ohio, Michigan, Arizona, In Michigan, Sens, Ohio, Montana, Florida, Texas, Minnesota
By comparison, from Ohio’s March primary through August, Democrats held the edge, dropping $78.5 million on ads to Republicans’ $59 million. “Bernie’s special interest allies are dumping hundreds of millions of dollars into this race to try and defeat Sherrod because they know Sherrod will always stand up to them to do what’s right for Ohio,” Brown spokesperson Matt Keyes said in a statement. Democrats, who hold a one-seat majority in the Senate, are growing increasingly nervous about Sen. Jon Tester’s re-election bid in Montana. Democrats had a clear advertising advantage coming out of a contentious March primary that cost Moreno’s campaign millions of dollars to win. Close behind is WinSenate, a political action committee affiliated with the Democrats’ Senate Majority PAC, which has spent more than $22 million this month.
Persons: Sen, Sherrod Brown, Bernie Moreno, Brown, , Jai Chabria, JD Vance’s, , Moreno, Sherrod, ” Brown, Matt Keyes, Jon Tester’s, Larry Hogan, Gary Peters of, “ We’re, ” Philip Letsou, Chuck Schumer, Kamala Harris, ” Letsou, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, “ Sherrod, Chris Grant, Moreno’s, it’s, beholden, Harris, Joe Biden, Bernie, Scott Guthrie, ” Peters, I’m, “ Jon Tester, ” Moreno, Reagan McCarthy, chastise Brown, Mary Ann, ” Mary Ann, Bernie Moreno’s, ” Chabria, Vance Organizations: CLEVELAND, Senate, Democratic, , GOP, Republican, Democratic Senatorial, National Press Club, National Republican Senatorial Committee, Democrat Party, lockstep, Democrats, Defend, Jobs, Fund, PAC, National Republican, Moreno’s, Locations: Ohio, Montana, Florida, Texas, Montana and Ohio, Arizona , Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Maryland, Gary Peters of Michigan, Washington, lockstep ”, ” Ohio, Toledo
Ted Cruz of Texas and Rick Scott of Florida, with additional TV investments likely to come, according to the committee. “Senate Democrats are expanding the map and going on offense. That’s where Florida and Texas – which have been seen as relative long shots – come into play. Of the two states, Texas – which is at No. 9 on CNN’s ranking of flippable Senate seats – has been seen as a more viable target.
Persons: Ted Cruz of, Rick Scott of, Scott’s, Gary Peters, Cruz, Scott, Sen, Joe Manchin, Donald Trump, Trump, Larry Hogan, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, overperform Harris, Nathan L, Gonzales, Amy Walter, , Colin Allred, Cruz –, Beto O’Rourke, Allred, Ted Cruz, , University of Texas –, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Democratic Sen, Bill Nelson, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, he’s, , Republicans ’, Val Demings, GOP Sen, Marco Rubio, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Democratic Senatorial, Republican Sens, Sens, Michigan Democrat, Democrats, GOP, White, Republicans, That’s, Democratic Rep, NFL, Senate, Baylor University, Texas Politics, University of Texas, Rep, Social Security Locations: Texas, Florida, Ted Cruz of Texas, Rick Scott of Florida, Sens, Cruz, Michigan, West Virginia, Montana and Ohio, Maryland, Montana, Dallas, AdImpact, Ecuador
Read previewVice President Kamala Harris has made a number of promises as part of her proposed domestic agenda. That's left Democrats with little choice than to go on offense and try to beat Sen. Ted Cruz in Texas and Sen. Rick Scott in Florida. Cruz and Scott we will crystallize the case against them," Peters said. In Texas, Cruz faces Democratic Rep. Colin Allred, who was recently endorsed by former Republican Rep. Liz Cheney. A source close to Scott signaled that the Florida senator isn't sweating it, telling Business Insider that "if national Democrats decide to spend in Florida, Rick Scott will spend more."
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Harris, She's, Donald Trump, Sen, Joe Manchin's, Tim Walz, Sherrod Brown, Jon Tester, Montana . Brown, Tester, Tim Sheehy, That's, Ted Cruz, Rick Scott, Gary Peters of, Cruz, Scott, Peters, Colin Allred, Liz Cheney, Scott's, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Allred Organizations: Service, Business, Senate, Gov, Republican, Democratic Senatorial, Gary Peters of Michigan, Sens, Democratic, Republicans Locations: Ohio, Montana ., Texas, Florida, In Texas, In Florida, New York, California
In the seven most competitive Senate races, Democratic campaigns and outside groups launched 33 TV ads on abortion just in the last week, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact. Just one Republican ad, a Spanish-language spot from an outside group targeting Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen of Nevada, mentioned abortion. Some Republicans warned that the party's failure to counter abortion attacks cost them crucial seats that year. In Arizona, Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake has softened her position on abortion rights. Sadly, by the way, there’s a lot of suburban women, a lot of suburban women that are like, ‘Listen, abortion is it.
Persons: Bernie Moreno’s, Sherrod Brown, “ Bernie oof, , Moreno, , Bernie, Sherrod, Sherrod Brown’s, Nikki Haley, Kamala Harris, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen of, Sarah Guggenheimer, Tommy Garcia, Joe Biden's, Harris, Gail Gitcho, Sam Brown, Pennsylvania's Dave McCormick, Larry Hogan —, Florida Sen, Rick Scott, Mike Berg, Lauren Zelt, Mitt Romney's, , Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Debbie Mucarsel Powell, Republican Sen, Amy Walter, haven't, Kari Lake, Republican Sam Brown, Brown, Alex Conant, it’s, Conant, Moreno’s, Reagan McCarthy, Ohioans, “ Moreno, ” Brown, Reeves Oyster Organizations: Ohio, GOP, Republican, Democratic, PAC, Democrats, Republicans, NBC News, Trump, didn’t, , NBC, WCMH Locations: Ohio, Spanish, Jacky Rosen of Nevada, Florida, America, Arizona, Florida , Nevada, Montana, Nevada, Columbus
While it was an asset to Biden in polling against Trump, it appears to be a much bigger advantage for Harris. And in this new NBC poll, Harris’ advantage was just under 20 points. It’s obvious at this point that Trump will win men by close to double digits, ditto with Harris among women. But many voters have seen "Vice President Kamala Harris" as a fresher candidate, including those who previously viewed Trump as a better steward of the economy. That would spell doom for Democrats' Senate majority.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Republican Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Biden, Clinton, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, George W, Bush, “ Bidenomics, I’d, don’t, it's, It’s, he’s, Trump’s, he’ll, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, doesn’t, won’t Organizations: Trump, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Republicans, nab, Senate, GOP Gov, Democrat, Democrats, GOP Locations: Trump, Arizona, North Carolina, stoke, Montana, Florida, Texas, Maryland , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Maryland, Maine, Kansas, Alaska, , Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire , Colorado, Ohio , Pennsylvania
A Republican-controlled chamber could thwart Harris’ nominees to fill out her administration and the courts, along with her legislative agenda. Top Senate Republicans told NBC News she would need their sign-off to secure votes on any judicial nominees, including for the Supreme Court. The prospect of a split Congress looms over a possible Harris win even if Democrats have a strong year and sweep every swing state. And if it’s a GOP-led Senate, Republicans would control a floor vote. Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, would have seniority to be the next Judiciary Committee chair and said he intends to claim the position if Republicans win control.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, , , Frankie Veltri, Biden, ” Sen, John Cornyn, Mitch McConnell, “ They’re, ” Cornyn, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, “ It’s, you’ve, Nanette Barragán, ” Charlie Veltri, Frankie, Ruben, Gallego, We’ve, She’s, didn’t, Jimmy Carter, it’s, John Thune, Sen, Chuck Grassley, “ I’m, Richard Blumenthal, Conn, Merrick Garland, Barack Obama’s, Blumenthal, Sheldon Whitehouse, they’d, Henry Wade, he’s, ” Louis Olivas, he’s “, “ she’s, ” “ They’re, ” Olivas, Sahil Kapur, Alex Tabet Organizations: Republican, Top, Republicans, NBC News, Supreme, GOP, Senate, Democratic, Pentagon, Republican Party, City Locations: Montana, Goodyear , Arizona, Texas, — West Virginia, Florida, Arizona, Iowa, Maricopa , Arizona, Tempe , Arizona, Washington, Phoenix
Harris' labor split screen: From the Politics Desk
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +8 min
In today’s edition, we explore one positive and on negative development for Kamala Harris' support from organized labor. The influential Teamsters union on Wednesday declined to issue an endorsement in the presidential race, Megan Lebowitz and Alexandra Marquez report. Prior to the announcement, the Teamsters also released survey data showing more rank-and-file members preferred to endorse Trump than Harris. Still, Harris has won the endorsement of just about every other major labor union in the country (the International Association of Fire Fighters remains a notable holdout). Instead, the Trump campaign appears to be approaching this apparent assassination attempt as an opportunity rather than as a moment to reflect.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Chuck Todd, Harris, Megan Lebowitz, Alexandra Marquez, Natasha Korecki, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, , Sean O’Brien, Verrett, , Chuck Todd There’s, We’ve, isn’t, Chuck → 🗞️, ✂ ️, eason, alf, lea Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Teamsters, Democratic, Big Business, International Association of Fire Fighters, Belt . Workers, Service Employees International Union, Culinary Workers Union, AFL, SEIU Locations: California , Illinois, New York, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Butler , Pennsylvania, America
WASHINGTON — Divided House Republicans stumbled last week in their effort to pass Speaker Mike Johnson’s bill to fund the government. “A government shutdown is always a bad idea, at any time,” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., told reporters. The speaker’s initial strategy had called for a six-month continuing resolution (CR) tied to the SAVE Act, legislation backed by Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump requiring proof of citizenship to vote. It’s unclear whether Johnson this week will try to tweak the SAVE Act approach or try something entirely different. Republicans see the SAVE Act as a mechanism to try to force politically vulnerable Democrats into a difficult position.
Persons: Mike Johnson’s, They’ll, , Mitch McConnell, Johnson, he’s, , Sen, John Cornyn, ” Cornyn, ” Johnson, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Ohio, Mike Rogers, we’re, Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, ” Schumer, “ You’ve, Thomas Massie, it’s “, ” Massie, Jon Tester, ” Tester, it’s, noncitizens Organizations: Republicans, GOP, SAVE, Republican, Trump, CRs, Armed Services, NBC, Capitol, Locations: WASHINGTON, Ky, Texas
"For Montanans, it's been harder and harder to find a home that meets their needs and is affordable," he said. The result is not only more condos and duplexes, but a hot-button issue in a Senate race that could ultimately decide who controls the chamber. Tim Sheehy, the Republican nominee, is a former Navy SEAL who founded an aerial firefighting company in Montana. He blames high housing costs on inflation, and blames inflation on laws backed by President Joe Biden and voted on by Tester. "Our biggest challenge growing our company was convincing folks to come to Montana and absorb these crazy housing costs," Sheehy said during the debate.
Persons: DJ Smith, it's, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, Trump, Cook, Sheehy, Montanans, Tester, Tim Sheehy, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Montana Association of Realtors, Big Sky, Senate, Democratic, Republican, AARP, Montana Broadcasters Association, Navy SEAL Locations: MISSOULA, Mont, , Montana
Opinion | Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +81 min
You know, Hillary Clinton, who was, I think, kind of a terrible candidate, won the popular vote by two points. So I don’t think they gave her a very good hand to play. It doesn’t matter who you are, it matters that you’re right and you’re able to prove it or bet on it in some way. What wasn’t in the Harris model that should have been?” “Yeah, maybe you really can meme your way to victory. And there’s something in it that I don’t think she can explain how she does it, but it makes her a fascinating leader.
Persons: Nate Silver, , ESPN’s Nate Silver, Silver, He’s, “ Savage, ” “, he’s, Ezra, Harris, we’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, There’s, Hillary Clinton, she’s, She’s, Gavin Newsom, It’s, Biden, I’m, you’re, Joe Biden, Democratic Party Harris, Liz, , , Donald Trump, that’s, George W, Bush, Donald Trump wasn’t, it’s, Michael Jackson, Woody Allen, , Chick, don’t, George Floyd, ‘ COVID, COVID, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Michael Moritz, Elon, Mark Cuban, Thiel, Max Chafkin, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Marc Andreessen, Ted Cruz, Sam Bankman, Tom Brady, SBF, Carrick Flynn, Oregon’s, I’m Carrick Flynn, Tara MacAulay, vouched, Bill Clinton, Tyler Cowen, they’ve, Jane, JD Vance, Peter Thiel’s, Vance, Trump, Steve Bannon, Don Trump, Jr, Tucker Carlson, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Tell, you’ve, Shapiro, Walz, I’ve, Iglesias, Obama, Susan Collins, Joe Manchin —, Jon Tester, ” “ Sherrod Brown, I’d, Dana White, Hulk Hogan, Joe Biden’s, — let’s, Mike Donilon, Kennedy, ” “ Tim Alberta, Georgia —, Brian Kemp, Blake Masters, Rick Scott, ” “ Trump, Doug Burgum, Black, didn’t, — Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Michael Jordan, everyone’s, Nancy Pelosi’s, Nancy Pelosi, Joe ’, we’re, I’ll, John Coates, Richard Rhodes, Natasha Schüll, Natasha Organizations: Oracle, Trump, Democratic Party, Facebook, Twitter, The New York Times, ’ Harvard University, Democratic White House, Republican White House, Democratic, Silver, George, Vegas, Poker, extroversion, Elon, Sequoia Capital, McLaren, Paypal, Republican, New, PAC, Alameda, Las, Ohio Senate, underperform, White, UFC, RNC, Biden, Biden ., National Association of Black Journalists, Deutsche Bank, Manhattan Project, Design Locations: Nate, Russian, Russia, , Elon, Florida, predestiny, Bahamas, Sam, Africa, New York, Oregon, Las Vegas, Petersburg, United States, Ohio, Trump, Minnesota, ” “ Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Gaza, Chicago, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Biden . Georgia, Carolina, Arizona, Ukraine, LA, It’s, Vegas
Aiming to unseat three-term Democratic incumbent Jon Tester, Sheehy is founder of Montana-based Bridger Aerospace, an aerial firefighting company. On July 1, Sheehy resigned as chief executive of Bridger to focus on his Senate campaign; the company is seeking a replacement. In mid-June, an editorial in The Wall Street Journal echoed Griffin’s view, branding Sheehy’s company Bridger a success. The PAC spent $5.3 million for Sheehy and $5.7 million against his opponent, Tester, records show. In 2022, Sheehy’s cash and stock compensation neared $5 million, and last year, he received $2.5 million, Bridger’s proxy says.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tim Sheehy, Jon Tester, Sheehy, , Bridger, Tim, ” Katie Martin, Louise Johns, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Stephen Schwarzman, “ Tim Sheehy, ” Griffin, Marc Cohodes, Cohodes, Sheehy’s, , Scott Olson, Blackstone, Matthew Sheehy, Bridger’s, Blackstone Tim Sheehy, Blackstone’s, ” Jon Tester, Andrew Harnik, Schwarzman, haven’t, Farrah Saint, Surin, Matthew, Martin, Bridger ”, Montana . Don, Melinda Crawford, Todd Hirsch, Thomas A, Waldman, Yocca Carlson, I’ve Organizations: Navy, Republican, Montana, Bridger Aerospace, International, Interior Department, U.S . Forest Service, Agriculture Department, Bloomberg, Getty, Wall, Citadel LLC, PAC, Commission, The Blackstone, “ Bridger Aerospace, Blackstone, Small Business Administration, Republican National Convention, Trump, , Cattle Company, Tallgrass Energy, Blackstone Group, Bridger, Forest Service, Bridger Air Tanker LLC, Bridger Air Tanker, SBA, ” Companies, Federal, NBC News, Mountain Air LLC, Mountain Air, Air, Service, U.S ., , Montana ., Rauth Locations: Bozeman , Montana, Bozeman, Mont, New York City, Bridger, America, Montana, Gallatin County, Milwaukee, Riding, disbursements, Surin, ” Saint, U.S, Los Angeles
The rally in Bozeman was Trump’s first since Vice President Kamala Harris officially secured the Democratic nomination and selected Minnesota Gov. “We need the Senate,” Trump told the crowd Friday, stressing the critical nature of the contest here. “His really is valor,” Trump said of Sheehy, who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, among other deployments. Trump used the attention to toss a familiar laundry list of attacks against Harris, Walz and Democrats more broadly. “You can imagine if President Trump had to call Chuck Schumer and try to figure out how to get his nominees through,” Daines said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Sen, Jon Tester, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, ” Trump, Trump, Matt Rosendale, Tim Sheehy, , Ronny Jackson, Jackson, Tester, , Donald Trump’s, , Harris, Walz, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Vance’s, Vance, I’m, Sheehy, ” Vance, ” Walz, mispronounced Harris, ” “ Kamala, Kamala, she’s, Montana Sen, Steve Daines, Daines, Chuck Schumer, ” Daines, Sherrod Brown’s, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: Montana CNN, GOP, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Trump, Senate, Navy, Senate Veterans ’ Affairs, White, Veterans Affairs Department, ” New Democratic, Republican, Marine Corps, ABC, Army National Guard, Congress, National Republican Senatorial Committee, Montana Republicans Locations: Bozeman, Montana, Rosendale, Texas, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Iraq, Afghanistan, Florida, Lago, Minnesota, nonjudicial, ” The Montana, Ohio
"After their convention, yeah," Trump replied, referring again to the Democratic convention, which begins Aug. 19. CNBC reached out to the Trump campaign to confirm that the Republican nominee does not plan to resume large, in-person presidential campaign rallies until after the Democratic convention. "President Trump has a robust, travel schedule — consisting of rallies, messaging events, and fundraisers in the next week. In 2020, in-person campaign rallies on both sides were largely suspended because of the Covid pandemic. Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a campaign rally in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, U.S., July 31, 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Raedle, Trump, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz —, Ohio Sen, JD Vance —, Harris, Walz, Thursday's, Tim Sheehy, Sheehy, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, Steven Cheung, James Singer, Governor Walz, , Trump's, Barack Obama, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Frantz, Pennsylvania —, Adin Ross, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Getty, Democratic National Convention, Republican, White, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Trump, Republicans, CNBC, Erie Insurance, Hamptons, Reuters, Trump —, Fox News, Fox Locations: Lago, Palm Beach , Florida, Philadelphia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, Aspen , Colorado, Florida, Erie, Pa, North Carolina , Florida, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, North Carolina, Atlanta, New, Harrisburg , Pennsylvania, U.S, livestream
“I think folks think it’s Trump reverting to his Id,” a longtime Republican communications adviser said. “The momentum is with Vice President Harris, and we just need to work our hearts out until Election Day,” Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., said. “We have multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes,” Dan Kanninen, battleground states director for the Harris campaign, said of the threshold for winning the electoral college. Project 2025, which had been attacked by Democrats, announced that it would stop working on policy after taking criticism from the Trump campaign. “Crazy Kamala is saying she’s Indian, not Black,” Trump wrote on social media.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, National Association of Black Journalists —, , Trump, , Andrew Hitt, , Kamala, he’s, Sen, Tom Tillis, Biden, Vance, President Harris, Ro Khanna, ” Harris, Chris Kofinis, Hillary Clinton, Ed McMullen, It’s, ” Trump, “ I’ve, Harris ’, it’s, “ Harris, ” Dan Kanninen, ” Kofinis, Lauren Hitt, ” Hitt, Dave McCormick, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Brown, Black, rallygoers, Laura Loomer, Mindy Kaling Organizations: Ohio, National Association of Black Journalists, Republican Party of Wisconsin, Trump, NBC, Republican, Democratic, Democratic Party, Republican National Committee, Biden, Washington Post, , Trump stewing, Democratic National Convention, GOP, Democrats, Sun, Republicans, Immigration, Customs Enforcement, National Republican, Committee, Democratic Sens, Black, U.S . Senate Locations: Chicago, Harris, Trump, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, African American, Switzerland, St, Cloud , Minnesota, West, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, Michigan, Sherrod Brown of, Minnesota
It could also have a major impact on House and Senate races. We talked by email about the state of play for the House and Senate and how the shake-up in the presidential race might change things. PATHE: House races are typically more nationalized than Senate races because the candidates are lesser known; therefore, it’s harder for them to separate themselves from their party and the top of the ticket. WOLF: The presidential primary process is over, but we’re still in the thick of statewide primaries for House and Senate races. WOLF: If there’s one Senate race that could be a bellwether for the country as a whole, which one is it and why?
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Simone Pathe, Harris, Biden, It’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Wisconsin Sen, Tammy Baldwin, who’s, Baldwin, she’d, Sen, Jon Tester, Tester, it’s, Priscilla Alvarez, hasn’t, WOLF, Ohio’s Sherrod Brown, doesn’t, Brown, — Tester, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Jacky Rosen, Nevada –, , There’s, we’re, — GOP Sen, Rick Scott, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Colin Allred, GOP Sen, Ted Cruz, there’s, Cruz, we’ve, Beto O’Rourke’s, Jaime Harrison’s, South Carolina Sen, Lindsey Graham, Allred —, That’s, Debbie Stabenow, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers Organizations: CNN, CNN Politics, Senate, PATHE, Democratic, Black, Biden, Trump, Air Force, GOP, Republican, Democrat, House, — GOP, of Houston, South Carolina, Democrats, Democratic Rep Locations: Washington, Wisconsin, Madison, Milwaukee, Baldwin, Montana, California, Pennsylvania, Trump, New York, Oregon , Washington , Colorado , Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, Maine, Alaska, York, Ohio, In Ohio, Nevada, Arizona , Michigan, West Virginia, — Texas, Florida, Maryland, Texas, Michigan
Total: 25