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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan strategist says the U.S. should be able to achieve a soft landingMarcella Chow, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses China and U.S. markets.
Persons: Marcella Chow Organizations: Asset Management Locations: U.S, China
The consensus view is that lower rates will stave off a recession by stimulating economic growth through lower borrowing costs. The hidden danger of a double cutHowever, David Kelly of JPMorgan Asset Management warned that lower rates aren't an economic panacea. In fact, the chief global strategist thinks these cuts could, paradoxically, cause the economy to slow in the near term. Advertisement"The important thing to recognize is that cutting interest rates at the start doesn't stimulate the economy at all," Kelly said on CNBC. "There is a J-curve effect; it actually slows the economy because people begin to anticipate those lower rates, so they want to wait for lower rates."
Persons: , Jim Caron, Claudia Sahm, Jerome Powell, Sahm, Ronald Temple, Kevin Philip of, David Kelly, Kelly, what's, you've, Kelly isn't, it's, they've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed, Dow Jones, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, New Century Advisors, Lazard, Kevin Philip of Bel Air Investment Advisors, JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's 50bps cut may send wrong message to equity markets, says JPMorgan's David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; Claudia Sahm, New Century chief economist; and Jim Caron, CIO of cross-asset solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to break down the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points and what it means for markets.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly David Kelly, Claudia Sahm, Jim Caron Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Claudia Sahm , New, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Locations: Claudia Sahm ,
The Fed just issued its first interest rate cut in four years. AdvertisementStocks got a brief leg up to a new intraday record on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve issued its first rate cut since 2020. "The Fed has given the market what it was looking for with the bigger 50-basis point rate cut," Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group said in a statement. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:AdvertisementStocks have historically reacted well to Fed rate cuts. "All we needed today was for Powell to validate market expectations that the Fed is acknowledging the downside risks to the labor market and responding appropriately."
Persons: Stocks, , Jerome Powell's, Joel Kruger, Morgan Stanley, Kruger, Tom Lee, Priya Misra, Powell, Jason Pride Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, LMAX, JPMorgan Asset Management Locations: Glenmede
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed 50 basis-point cut is a 'risk management' decision, says New Century's Claudia SahmDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; Claudia Sahm, New Century chief economist; and Jim Caron, CIO of cross-asset solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to break down the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis- points and what it means for markets.
Persons: Claudia Sahm David Kelly, Claudia Sahm, Jim Caron Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Claudia Sahm , New, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Locations: Claudia Sahm ,
New York CNN —The American economy appears to be just hours away from a major milestone: The first interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve since Covid. Yet there remains an unusual amount of drama over the magnitude of that rate cut, with some in Washington calling for a supersized move. Massachusetts Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren wants the Fed to slash interest rates at a pace rarely seen outside of a full-blown crisis. “It is clearly the time for the Fed to cut rates. For instance, in early 2008 the Fed slashed interest rates by three-quarters of a point or more on three occasions.
Persons: Massachusetts Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell, Warren, , ” Warren, Sheldon Whitehouse, John Hickenlooper, Powell, Bill Dudley, “ dawdling, Dudley, ” Dudley, panicking, David Kelly, ” Kelly, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Massachusetts Democratic, Sens, Wall, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNN, Democrats, Asset Management Locations: New York, Washington, Massachusetts, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA rate cut is not necessarily even warranted at this point, says JPMorgan's Oksana AronovOksana Aronov, JPMorgan Asset Management head of market strategy for alternative fixed income, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's policy meeting this week, the central banks' rate path outlook, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Oksana Aronov Oksana Aronov Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell is 'probably sympathetic' to a 50 basis point rate cut: JPMorgan's Kelsey BerroKelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision this week, what to expect from the central bank meeting, rate path outlook, state of the economy, latest market trends, and more.
Persons: Powell, JPMorgan's Kelsey Berro Kelsey Berro Organizations: JPMorgan, Management
The Trump policy that freaks out economists the most
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump wants to spend trillions of dollars on tax cuts. “It’s enormously protectionist and terrible economic policy,” said Holtz-Eakin, who served as an economic adviser to former President George H.W. The cost of the Trump tax cutsTrump has called for extending his signature 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year if no action is taken by Congress. Trump has argued that extending the tax cuts will boost the economy, create jobs and help families. The Trump campaign has not detailed significant spending cuts or tax hikes to offset these tax cuts.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Goldman, , ” David Kelly, Kelly, “ It’s, , ’ Trump, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Holtz, George H.W, Bush, GOP Sen, John McCain, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, Karoline Leavitt, they’ll, ” Leavitt, Trump’s, ” Harris, “ Donald Trump, ” Brian Nelson, Harris, Kimberly Clausing, Mary Lovely, ” Trump, Joe Biden, Penn, Penn Wharton, The Trump, CNN’s Katie Lobosco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Asset Management, CNN, America, New York Economic Club, American, GOP, Moody’s, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, US Customs, Louis Federal Reserve, Biden, Congress, Princeton University, University of Chicago, Harvard University, US Treasury Department, Penn Wharton Model, Social Security Locations: New York, United States, China, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed looks set to 'get going' on rate cuts, JPMorgan Asset Management's John Bilton saysJohn Bilton, head of global multi-asset strategy at JPMorgan, says the Federal Reserve looks poised to "get going" on interest rate cuts.
Persons: John Bilton Organizations: JPMorgan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNow's the time for investors to add duration, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from key inflation data this week, impact on the Fed's rate decision, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
To start, the major funds that are marketed as "low volatility" or "minimum volatility" have been living up to the label. JPMorgan Asset Management has been a leader in this area, with Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) and Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) now holding more than $48 billion in combined assets, according to FactSet. Another area is preferred stock funds. The biggest preferred stock ETF, the iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF) , has gained 0.5% in the third quarter, though it has dipped 1.4% over the past month. "And those call features of a growing part of the preferred market has also helped in terms of the rate volatility and the impact."
Persons: Robert Hum, It's, it's, Hum, Yang Tang, John Burrello, Gary Kessler, Dodd Frank, Kessler Organizations: Trust, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq Equity, Nasdaq, Income Securities ETF, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Preferred, Hybrid Securities, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock
Kelly says the Fed needs to broadcast its confidence in the economy to soothe jittery markets. JPMorgan's David Kelly told Business Insider he sees a possibility for even deeper losses following the big rout. We do stand ready to cut rates as appropriate but we don't think there's a very urgent situation here," Kelly said. More importantly, cutting rates abruptly would potentially instill more fear about the economy among investors, Kelly said. And I don't think the Federal Reserve tells people that, or maybe they don't appreciate it themselves," Kelly said, adding, "It's a drag before it's a stimulus."
Persons: Kelly, JPMorgan's David Kelly, , David Kelly, Monday's, we've, Dow Jones Organizations: Fed, Service, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Reserve Locations: Japan
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow tumbles more than 1,000 points, S&P 500 sees worst day in two yearsDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: David Kelly, Scott Wren Organizations: Dow, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's David Kelly, Jefferies' David Zervos and Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth on market sell-offDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; David Zervos, Jefferies chief market strategist; Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research chief economist; and Steve Liesman join 'CNBC's Special' to discuss what Friday's weak job reports suggest, their expectation from the Fed, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, Jefferies, David Zervos, Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth, David Kelly, Stephanie Roth, Wolfe, Steve Liesman Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Jefferies, Wolfe Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFriday's jobs report makes September cut very likely: JPMorgan’s David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist; David Zervos, Jefferies chief market strategist; Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research chief economist; and Steve Liesman join 'CNBC's Special' to discuss what Friday's weak job reports suggest, their expectation from the Fed, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan’s David Kelly David Kelly, David Zervos, Stephanie Roth, Wolfe, Steve Liesman Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Jefferies, Wolfe Research
However, one exchange-traded fund (ETF) has done just that, beating the S & P 500 index for five consecutive years. The JPMorgan US Research Enhanced Index Equity ETF has beaten the benchmark every year since 2019 and is also outperforming in 2024. However, it wasn't until 2018 that JPMorgan decided to marry this time-tested strategy with the increasingly popular ETF structure. For instance, JPMorgan's ETF is overweight Microsoft shares by 45 basis points compared to the weighting for the stock in the iShares Core S & P 500 ETF. This extensive coverage forms the backbone of the REI strategy, according to Grassi.
Persons: Piera Elisa Grassi, Raffaele Zingone, Grassi, REI, Berkshire, we've Organizations: JPMorgan US, Equity, London Stock Exchange, Borsa Italiana, Deutsche Borse, Six Swiss Exchange, JPMorgan Asset Management, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Global, Vanguard, Berkshire Hathaway, GE Aerospace, Asset Management, CNBC Locations: United States, U.S, Grassi, iShares
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors want Fed cuts to be proactive rather than reactive, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief markets strategist for the Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, regulatory outlook, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: Investors, JPMorgan Asset Management
Read previewJPMorgan Asset Management strategist Michael Cembalest was right on the money when he predicted that President Joe Biden would drop out from the 2024 presidential race. Cembalest, who chairs the company's market and investment strategy, made the prediction in his list of "top 10 possible surprises for 2024." "President Biden withdraws sometime between Super Tuesday and the November election, citing health reasons. Biden passes the torch to a replacement candidate named by the Democratic National Committee," Cembalest wrote. For one, Cembalest wrote in his list that "the driverless car backlash is coming."
Persons: , Michael Cembalest, Joe Biden, Cembalest, Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jake Sullivan, Christopher Cavoli, Cavoli Organizations: Service, Management, Business, Super, Biden, Democratic National Committee, Democratic Party, EV, Elon, Russia, US, Armed, Committee, Cembalest, JPMorgan Asset Management, BI Locations: Ukraine, Russia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf retail sales are weak the market will price in rate cuts 'very quickly', says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the impact of economic data on possible rate cuts.
Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewInvestors are still overtaken by the frenzy for generative AI — but there are underappreciated areas of the market that could offer gains like "coiled springs," according to JPMorgan Asset Management. Related storiesBy the fourth quarter of 2024, JPMorgan expects earnings expansion for the other 493 S&P 500 stocks to match that of the Magnificent 7, a dynamic shown in the chart below. Earnings growth is expected to climb in the S&P 500, barring the Magnificent Seven stocks. These stocks are bound to see upside due to "unexpected resiliency" in the US economy and the rising need to transport materials.
Persons: , Microsoft — Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Business, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Semiconductors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI: You should never write China off, says JPMorgan Asset ManagementAlexander Treves, managing director and investment specialist at JPMorgan Asset Management, says artificial intelligence in China has its own "local characteristics," and the country will "pursue its own path" in light of impediments from the United States.
Persons: Asset Management Alexander Treves Organizations: Asset Management, JPMorgan Asset Management Locations: China, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThings are setting up for two rate cuts this year, says JPMorgan's David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his take on the recent move in the 2-year Treasury, how much yields factor in U.S. equity exposure, and much more.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly David Kelly Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Treasury
Watch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's David Kelly
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his take on the recent move in the 2-year Treasury, how much yields factor in U.S. equity exposure, and much more.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly David Kelly Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, Treasury
Recent data sets the Fed up to cut interest rates twice this year, JPMorgan's David Kelly said. The bank's chief global strategist predicted Fed rate cuts were coming in September and December. Yet, he warned that stocks are expensive, and investors should be wary of adding exposure at high valuations. The chief global strategist predicted central bankers would begin dialing back interest rates at the September policy meeting, with another cut likely in December. But rate cuts shouldn't be the signal for investors to flock to the stock market, Kelly said.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, , David Kelly, That's, Kelly, We've, John Hussman Organizations: Service, Asset, CNBC
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