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An escalation of trade and tariffs tensions between the U.S. and China would have "costly" economic consequences around the world, Gita Gopinath, deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund told CNBC on Wednesday. The U.S. and China are trading with one another less, and some parts of their trade is being re-routed through other countries, she added. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the European Union and China have been mounting this year, with both the U.S. and EU implementing higher tariffs on some Chinese goods over what they claim are unfair trade practices from Beijing. China has also announced higher temporary tariffs on some imports from the EU as the tit-for-tat measures continue. If tariffs were escalated, modelling from the IMF suggests it would be "costly for everybody," Gopinath told CNBC's Karen Tso on the sidelines of the agency's annual meeting in Washington.
Persons: Gita Gopinath, Gopinath, Karen Tso, that's Organizations: U.S, International Monetary Fund, CNBC, European Union Locations: China, U.S, Beijing, Washington
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of a possible worsening of the state of China's property market as it trimmed its growth expectations for the world's second-largest economy. In a report published Tuesday, the IMF trimmed its forecast for growth in China for this year to 4.8%, 0.2 percentage points lower than in its July projection. In 2025, growth is expected to come in at 4.5%, according to the IMF. The Washington, D.C.-based organization also highlighted that China's property sector contracting by more than expected is one of many downside risks for the global economic outlook. Subsidies in certain sectors, if targeted to boost exports, could exacerbate trade tensions with China's trading partners," the agency said.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Gourinchas Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Monetary Fund, IMF, The, D.C, U.S, Reuters Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, The Washington, Japan
IMF: Global battle against inflation ‘largely won’
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
“It looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries,” the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook. The rosy outlook on consumer prices comes just weeks before the US election, with inflation a key issue for voters. While upside risks to inflation are receding around the world, threats to economic growth are multiplying, according to the IMF. The IMF sees the global economy expanding 3.2% this year, as it forecast in July. “Economic growth must come instead from ambitious domestic reforms that boost technology and innovation, improve competition and resource allocation, further economic integration and stimulate productive private investment,” it argued.
Persons: Downside Organizations: London CNN —, International Monetary Fund, IMF, US Consumer Locations: East, Europe, China, India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with the Brazilian central bank governorRoberto Campos Neto, governor of the Central Bank of Brazil, speaks to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF Meetings in Washington, D.C.
Persons: Roberto Campos Neto, Karen Tso Organizations: Central Bank of Locations: Brazilian, Central Bank of Brazil, Washington ,
The International Monetary Fund raised its growth forecast for the US economy to 2.8% this year. AdvertisementThe International Monetary Fund raised its growth forecast for the US, projecting the world's largest economy would expand by 2.8% this year instead of the 2.6% it predicted in July. However, they predicted GDP growth would slow to 2.2% in 2025 as the US government curbs its spending and the labor market cools, sapping consumption. The IMF projected global growth of 3.2% in both 2024 and 2025, virtually unchanged from its previous prediction. They underscored their latest forecast for global growth over the next five years of 3.1% was "mediocre" compared with the pre-pandemic average.
Persons: Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, Service, UN Locations: China, East, Central Asia, Africa, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe energy markets are 'schizophrenic' right now: S&P Global vice chairmanDan Yergin, vice chairman of S&P Global, and author of "The New Map: Energy, Climate and the Clash of Nations" discusses energy markets with CNBC at the IMF meetings in Washington, D.C.
Persons: Dan Yergin Organizations: P Global, Nations, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is a backdrop of economic uncertainty given elections this year, says IMF's AdrianTobias Adrian, director of the monetary and capital markets department at the IMF, discusses financial stability at the IMF meetings in Washington, D.C.
Persons: Adrian Tobias Adrian Organizations: IMF Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economic stimulus measures 'going in the right direction,' IMF chief economist saysPierre-Olivier Gourinchas, chief economist of the IMF, discusses global inflation and growth and weighs in on economic stimulus measures in China.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: IMF Locations: China
"The global battle against inflation is almost won," the IMF report trumpeted, even as it called for "a policy triple pivot" to address interest rates, government spending, and reforms and investment to boost productivity. The fund kept its global growth estimate at 3.2% for 2024 and 2025 — which it called "stable yet underwhelming." Market volatility among key downside risksHeightened financial volatility is another threat to global growth, the IMF report said. Further challenges to global financial markets could come in the final stretch of the fight against inflation. The IMF forecasts global growth will rise 3.1% annually at the end of the 2020s, the lowest level in decades.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Global, Vigilance, IMF Locations: Washington , DC, United States, The Washington, Brazil, Mexico, America, Europe
General view of the City of London skyline, the capital's financial district, in October. LONDON — The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its 2024 growth outlook for the United Kingdom, saying declines in interest rates and inflation would boost domestic demand. The IMF now sees 1.1% growth for the U.K. economy this year, up from a July forecast of 0.7%. Inflation in the U.K. came in at 1.7% in September, a decline from 11.1% in October 2022. Economic growth has been tepid so far this year, coming in at 0.2% in August after flatlining in June and July.
Persons: flatlining Organizations: LONDON, Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank of England Locations: London, United Kingdom
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina must reform pensions and support property sector if consumer confidence is to return, says IMF MDKristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, discusses Chinese fiscal policy, and explains what measures the IMF believe can be introduced to stimulate economic growth.
Organizations: China
The head of the International Monetary Fund cautioned on Thursday that high debt and low growth remained major impediments to the global economy. "When we look into the challenges ahead of us, the biggest one is low growth, high debt. "It is successful major economies that have done really well … and there are pockets in the world where inflation is still a problem," she said. Georgieva warned that international trade would no longer be the "engine of growth" it once was, highlighting the proliferation of restrictive policies among many economies. Earlier on Thursday, Georgieva also pointed to wider geopolitical tensions as one of the key risks to global financial stability.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Karen Tso, Georgieva, Ukraine — Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC, Washington DC, World Bank Group, European Union, Ukraine Locations: Washington, U.S, China, United States
Global government borrowing is set to hit $100 trillion this year, the International Monetary Fund said. In a report, it warned mushrooming public debt raises the chances of a "broader financial crisis." AdvertisementGlobal public debt is on track to surpass $100 trillion this year for the first time — and the increase threatens a wider financial crisis, the International Monetary Fund warned. The IMF also warned of a "severely adverse scenario," in which global debt could balloon to 115% of global GDP by 2026 because of "weaker growth, tighter financing conditions, fiscal slippages, and greater economic and policy uncertainty." The debt looks set to grow further with both presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, pledging to spend big if they enter the White House.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Service, IMF, Treasury, Social Security Locations: China, United States, Israel, Ukraine
The International Monetary Fund called for continued tight, data-driven monetary policy in Turkey until inflation converges to target as it concluded an Article IV consultation. The policy turnaround has reduced economic imbalances and revived confidence the IMF said on Saturday, adding that improved market sentiment caused foreign and domestic investors to shift into lira-denominated assets. In a statement containing the executive board assessment of Turkish economic policies, the IMF said the central bank needs to ensure that the path of disinflation stays on track.
Organizations: Monetary, IMF Locations: Turkey
The terror attack has helped push the Middle East to the brink of a wider regional war. One year after the massacre, the Middle East has only plunged deeper into violence and is on the brink of a broader war. Globally, the immediate concern is that oil supplies will diminish significantly should conflict spill over to the rest of the Middle East. Everyone but Biden can see this," wrote Andrew Exum, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for Middle East policy, in The Atlantic last week. The global economy on edgeWhen the conflict began a year ago, there were fears that wider conflict in the Middle East could impact the global economy.
Persons: , Israel, Chuck Frielich, Frielich, Yemen's Houthi, Mohammed Hamoud, barraged, Ammar Safarjalani, Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, Hasan Nasrallah, Qasem Soleimani, JOSEPH EID, JALAA MAREY, Nasrallah, bode, Benjamin Netanyahu, Carmel Gat, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Biden, Andrew Exum, Brent, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, The Washington Institute for Near East, Getty Images Iran, Getty, Israel's, United Nations General Assembly, Citigroup, Iranian, US, Middle, Business, Bank of Israel, Reuters, IMF Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Suez, Aden, Red, Palestine, Syria, Damascus, Xinhua, Tehran, Beirut, Haniyeh, Shukr, Lebanon, AFP, Hezbollah's, United States, Ukraine
The Middle East is anticipating strikes on the anniversary of the October 7 terror attacks. Israeli offensives have targeted several Middle Eastern regions, including Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. AdvertisementThe Middle East is on high alert for military strikes timed to coincide with the first anniversary of the October 7 terror attacks on Israel. AdvertisementThere are fears the conflict could escalate into a full-blown war in the Middle East. AdvertisementIn June, the IMF said that the long-term economic effects of conflict on real GDP per capita in the Middle East would be particularly severe.
Persons: , Yuval Baron, Keith Siegel, Adm, Daniel Hagari, Israel, Khader Ali Tawil, Kfar Yuval, Georgios Petropoulos, Jake Oubina, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Gaza Health Ministry, Reuters, Military, UN Humanitarian Affairs, CNN, Hamas, Health Ministry, BBC, Bank of Israel, Fox Business Locations: Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Haifa, Israel, Iran, Tiberias, Beirut, Kfar, suboffice, Rafah, Yemen
Not long ago, Tunisia was hailed as the Arab Spring’s only success story. He advanced to a runoff promising to usher in a “New Tunisia” and hand more power to young people and local governments. Seventeen potential candidates filed paperwork to run and Tunisia’s election authority approved only three: Saied, Zouhair Maghzaoui and Ayachi Zammel. That includes the 83-year-old leader of Tunisia’s most well organized political party Ennahda, which rose to power after the Arab Spring. People stand in line outside a polling station during the presidential election in the capital Tunis, Tunisia, on October 6, 2024.
Persons: Press — Tunisians, Kais Saied, El, Ben Ali —, Zouhair Maghzaoui, Saied, Saied’s, Zouhair, Ayachi, Jihed Abidellaoui, Rached Ghannouchi, party’s, Abir, Ennahda —, Tunisians, Zoubeir Souissi, Yassine Mahjoub, who’ve, Tunisia won’t Organizations: Press, Abid, Authorities, Reuters, Free Destourian Party, World Bank, European Union, Today, International Monetary Fund, Reuters Economic, Tunisia's, Independent Authority, Elections, Getty, Initiative, Saied Locations: TUNIS, Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Tunis, Europe, Saharan Africa, Africa, AFP, , Iran, Russia, Saied, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Kristalina Georgieva: I pray my second term is more boring than my firstKristalina Georgieva, IMF managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Georgieva handles the 'new world' we are living in, what U.S. tariffs would mean for the global economy, and much more.
Persons: Georgieva
Incoming President Subianto has promised to continue the charge toward making Indonesia a high-income economy. Economic reforms passed through by the outgoing president will make the achieving Indonesia's grand vision easier. "Widodo put in place a bunch of economic reforms, the most noticeable being making it easier to hire and fire new workers. Indrawati hopes to avoid "the middle-income trap" — an economic development situation where growing economies stagnate at middle-income levels and are unable to advance to the ranks of high-income countries. Major policy reforms, she believes, will help Indonesia sidestep that.
Persons: Sri Mulyani Indrawati, CNBC's, Joko Widodo, Prabowo Subianto, Subianto, Widodo, Gareth Leather, Indrawati Organizations: Afp, Getty, country's Finance, International Monetary Fund, Defense, Capital Economics, CNBC, Lowy Institute Locations: Jakarta, Indonesia, Washington, Australian, China, Asia
COLOMBO — Sri Lanka’s leftist leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake took office as president on Monday, promising change in the island nation long led by powerful political families which is emerging from its worst economic crisis in more than seven decades. Supporters of Sri Lanka's newly elected President Anura Kumara Dissanayaka, celebrate in Colombo. Before Monday’s swearing-in, Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardena resigned to make way for the new prime minister and his cabinet. Sri Lanka’s sovereign dollar bonds shed 2.88 to 3.28 cents on the dollar in early trade on Monday to bid between 49.14 and 49.77 cents. Sri Lanka’s close neighbors India, Pakistan, and the Maldives also congratulated Dissanayake on his win, along with China, the largest bilateral creditor.
Persons: Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Lankans, , ” Dissanayake, Sri Lanka's, Anura Kumara Dissanayaka, Ishara, Ranil Wickremesinghe, , beautician, Dinesh Gunawardena, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Dissanayake, Sri Lanka’s Organizations: Sri, Kodikara, Getty, International Monetary Fund Locations: COLOMBO, Colombo, AFP, India, Pakistan, Maldives, China
This is Sri Lanka’s first election since the Indian Ocean nation’s economy buckled in 2022 under a severe foreign exchange shortage, leaving it unable to pay for imports of essentials including fuel, medicine and cooking gas. Marxist-leaning Anura Kumara Dissanayake leaves a polling station after casting his vote in Sri Lanka's capital Colombo on Saturday. Grinding poverty for millionsButtressed by the IMF deal, Sri Lanka’s economy has posted a tentative recovery. The younger Premadasa polled 42% of the votes in 2019 to finish second, behind Rajapaksa, in the last presidential election. Support from farming communities in north and central Sri Lanka helped him close the gap on Dissanayake as counting progressed.
Persons: Kumara Dissanayake, Sajith Premadasa, Sri Lanka’s, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Dissanayake, Premadasa, Lanka’s, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, , Pradeep Peiris, ” Dissanayake, Eranga, Ranasinghe Premadasa, Rajapaksa Organizations: Sri, Sunday, University of Colombo, Monetary Fund, Marxist, IMF, National People’s Power, JVP Locations: , Sri Lanka's, Colombo, Sri, Sri Lankans, Premadasa’s, Sri Lanka
A man waves Sri Lanka's national flag after climbing a tower near presidential secretariat in Colombo on July 11, 2022, after it was overrun by anti-government protestors. (Photo by ARUN SANKAR/AFP via Getty Images)Sri Lanka's Marxist-leaning leader, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, grabbed a commanding early lead on Sunday in his bid to become the next president of the debt-ridden country seeking to elect a leader to bolster its fragile economic recovery. Dissanayake won about 53% of a million votes counted so far in the election, Sri Lanka's Election Commission data showed. "Though I heavily campaigned for President Ranil Wickremasinghe, the people of Sri Lanka have made their decision, and I fully respect their mandate for Anura Kumara Dissanayake." This was Sri Lanka's first election since the economy buckled in 2022 under a severe foreign exchange shortage, leaving the country unable to pay for imports of essentials including fuel, medicine and cooking gas.
Persons: ARUN SANKAR, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Dissanayake, Sajith Premadasa, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Peremuna, Ali Sabry, Ranil Wickremasinghe, Kumara Dissanayake, Lanka's, Gotabaya Rajapaksa Organizations: Getty Images, Marxist, Sri, National, Power, JVP, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Colombo, Sri Lanka's, Saturday's, Sri Lanka
For me this is not a position, it is a responsibility,” Dissanayake told reporters after his victory which was confirmed after a second tally of votes. Dissanayake polled 5.6 million or 42.3% of the votes, a massive boost to the 3% he managed in the last presidential election in 2019. Anura Kumara Dissanayake of the National People's Power party leaves a polling station after casting his vote in Colombo, Sri Lanka, on Sept. 21, 2024. Grinding poverty for millionsButtressed by the IMF deal, Sri Lanka’s economy has managed a tentative recovery. Dissanayake ran as a candidate for the National People’s Power alliance, which includes his Marxist-leaning Janatha Vimukthi Peremuna party.
Persons: Kumara Dissanayake, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sajith Premadasa, , ” Dissanayake, “ Mr, ” Wickremesinghe, Dissanayake, Premadasa, Eranga, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, , Pradeep Peiris, Dissanayake’s, Janak Dias Organizations: COLOMBO Reuters, Marxist, National People's, Monetary Fund, University of Colombo, IMF, National People’s Power, JVP Locations: Lankans, Sri Lanka, Colombo, , Sri
A man waves Sri Lanka's national flag after climbing a tower near presidential secretariat in Colombo on July 11, 2022, after it was overrun by anti-government protestors. Rathnayake, the head of Sri Lanka's election commission, told Reuters. Buttressed by a $2.9 billion bailout programme from the International Monetary Fund, Sri Lanka's economy has posted a tentative recovery but the high cost of living remains a core issue for many voters. "Use your vote wisely so Sri Lanka can continue its recovery and move forward towards a sustainable and prosperous future." Sri Lanka's ranked voting system allows voters to cast three preferential votes for their chosen candidates.
Persons: ARUN SANKAR, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sajith Premadasa, Kumara Dissanayake, Sri, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Ali Sabry, Lanka's Organizations: Getty, Citizens, R.M.L, Reuters, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Colombo, Lanka's, Sri Lanka's, Sri, Sri Lanka
How Fed rate cuts affect the global economy
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Carlos Waters | In Carloswaters | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions can influence the trajectory of the U.S. economy. Changes to the Fed's interest rate can influence the cost of loan products such as mortgages and the value of cash, bonds and stocks. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rate comes after months of shaky labor market data in the U.S. Fed decisions can also impact foreign exchange markets given their effect on the value of U.S. dollars, the global reserve currency. Economists at the Fed write that China's central bank has managed the value of the yuan to help the country achieve its goals on trade.
Persons: Gregory Daco, Federal Reserve Board they're, Reena Aggarwal, they've, Freya Beamish, Beamish Organizations: Federal, Market Committee, International Monetary Fund, U.S, European Central Bank, IMF, Federal Reserve Board, Georgetown, Psaros, CNBC, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, TS Lombard Locations: U.S, EY, United States, People's Bank of China, China
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