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China's stock markets surged post-National Day break, driven by pent-up investor demand. Investors are assessing further economic stimulus measures from Beijing. AdvertisementChina's stock markets surged on Tuesday on pent-up demand from a weeklong trading break. Even before Tuesday's opening, China's social media was abuzz with what the stock markets may hold following the weeklong public holiday break. On Tuesday, hashtags about mainland China's stock market rushed to the top of Weibo's trending list.
Persons: , Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Service, Beijing's, CSI, National Development, Reform Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, hashtags
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.
Persons: , it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, , MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg
Western sanctions have forced Russia to rely on the Chinese yuan for reserves and trade. China's financial system is deeply tied to the greenback, limiting diversification options. These include the entrenched role of the greenback in the global commodities trade and much larger foreign reserves than Russia, wrote Greene, a former senior advisor at the US Treasury. However, many CIPS participants are highly connected to the dollar financial system and potentially subject to the reach of US sanctions. The dollar is still kingIn short, China just can't copy Russia's sanctions-proofing playbook and is likely to continue orbiting around the dollar financial system in the near-term.
Persons: , China —, Robert Greene, Greene, China's, It's, dollarization, James Lord, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Zezas Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment Asia, US Treasury, Patomak Global Partners, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Locations: Russia, China, Beijing, Russia's, Ukraine
The US port strike on the East and Gulf Coasts could threaten farm exports amid harvest season. AdvertisementThe US port strike at East and Gulf Coast ports isn't just impacting bananas and consumer imports into the country — it could hurt America's farm exports too. Seyfert told Politico on Friday that while some farm exports can be moved to the West Coast for shipping, there's probably not enough capacity there. "A prolonged strike would force importers to seek alternative supplies, either from West Coast ports or other countries," wrote Glauber. AdvertisementLogistics experts told Business Insider's Tim Paradis that the port strike could damage the US economy badly.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Mike Seyfert, Seyfert, Joseph Glauber, Tim Paradis, Biden Organizations: Association, Service, White, Politico, Food Policy Research Institute, Logistics, United States Maritime Alliance, International Longshoremen's Association Locations: Gulf, East, Gulf Coast, West Coast, Mexico
China's slowing crude demand growth and economic struggles are dampening oil market sentiment. Global benchmark Brent crude oil futures were up 0.17% to $71.82 per barrel at 2.14 a.m. This would be a big shift in policy, since Saudi Arabia has been leading OPEC and the group's allies, including Russia, in maintaining oil supply cuts since late 2022. AdvertisementDespite the downside pressure on oil prices, things could change quickly if geopolitical uncertainty rises further in the Middle East. The US may also provide some support to the market as crude oil inventories hit a two-and-a-half year low as of September 20, the latest data available.
Persons: Israel, , Henning Gloystein, Xi Jinping, Brent, Naeem Aslam, Aslam Organizations: Service, Israel, Brent, Benchmark, Texas, Eurasia Group, Beijing, BMI, Financial Times, London Locations: Lebanon, Brent, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia
China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.
Persons: , Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan
Chinese consumers are opting for affordable alternatives across various categories to save money. The trend, known as pingti, is driven by economic challenges and is popular among young people. Consumers are finding cheaper substitutes for luxury goods, everyday items, and even healthcare. It's now become a trend in China to save on nearly every consumer category, from luxury goods to everyday consumables to travel, with cheaper substitutes. A Bank of America survey of 1,052 adult Chinese consumers showed weakening consumer sentiment, with 30% of respondents planning to spend more — down from 45% in June.
Persons: , It's, Bobbi Brown, Estée Lauder, MingYii Lai, it's, Lindy, Hermes Lindy, Lai, Ruth Jin, Xiaohongshu Cleo Xie, they've, She's, Xie, Jin, Yves Saint Laurent, Keith, she's Organizations: Service, Daxue Consulting, Bottega, Prada, University, Dai, PPI, Bank of America Locations: China, Xiaohongshu, Beijing, Ili, Xinjiang, Provence, France, Xishuangbanna, Laos, Myanmar, Bangkok, Thailand, Chengdu, Europe, Asia
China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.
Persons: , Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India
The measures were significant because Beijing has been holding back on a "bazooka" stimulus even though China's economy has been struggling to stage a convincing recovery post-pandemic. To be sure, this is not the first attempt China has made at boosting its economy in the past few years. However, Beijing's display of resolve also triggered market speculation that it's alarmed and panicked over the state of its economy, which is facing multiple challenges. Related storiesNotably, even on the heels of China's big stimulus announcement, most analysts also think Beijing still needs to do more to boost China's economy, particularly in boosting gloomy domestic demand. "Onshore stocks are a policy- and momentum-driven market, and policy signals don't get much clearer than this," they wrote.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Rocco, Rocco didn't, Pan, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, Rocco, macroeconomy, China's CSI300 Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Lombard, Investors, Zacks Investment Research, Global Data.TS, Yahoo Finance, Data.TS Locations: China, Beijing, Swiss, London
China's stimulus package has boosted market sentiment and pushed the Chinese yuan to a 16-month high. But a strong yuan could hurt exports, a key pillar of China's economy, amid weak domestic demand. AdvertisementChina's massive stimulus package for its battered economy has boosted market sentiment and injected confidence into the Chinese yuan. This means $1 could buy fewer Chinese yuan. A strong yuan is bad for exportsEven though a strong yuan signals confidence in China's economy, analysts aren't sure the gains will hold.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Vishnu, Varathan, Larry Hu, Hu, aren't, Pan, Macquarie's Hu Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, US Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Lombard, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Beijing, Swiss, China's
Caroline Ellison was the CEO of Alameda Research, a trading firm launched by Sam Bankman-Fried. She oversaw bets Alameda took with customer funds. She will be sentenced for her role in the fraud case on Tuesday. In August 2022, Ellison became the head of Alameda Research, Bankman-Fried's trading firm that was closely intertwined with his fallen crypto exchange, FTX. By November, as FTX swiftly spiraled into bankruptcy, Ellison began to draw attention for her role in overseeing the risky bets Alameda took with customers' funds.
Persons: Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, , Ellison, FTX Organizations: Alameda Research, Alameda, Service, Business
"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China
But Moscow doesn't appear ready to acknowledge that it's not in a financial position to cut Europe off from its natural gas exports completely. Russia's oil and gas revenues hit 8.82 trillion rubles, or $94.6 billion, in 2023. That's 24% lower than the 11.6 trillion rubles it recorded in 2022, when revenues jumped due to oil price volatility. In 2021, Russia's oil and gas sales revenue stood at 9 trillion rubles. To be sure, other geopolitical factors could also be playing into Russia's decision to keep natural gas exports moving into Europe.
Persons: , it's, Sergey Lavrov, Lavrov, It's, There's, Naftogaz Organizations: Service, Sky News Arabia, Russian, Business, West, P, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Bloomberg Locations: Moscow, Russia, Europe, United States, Ukraine, Nord, Ukraine's
China may be delaying economic stimulus ahead of the US election, economist Rory Green says. Beijing is cautious due to potential Trump tariffs, which could impact growth in 2025. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementChina may be holding back on economic stimulus ahead of the US presidential election, an economist wrote on Thursday. This is because Beijing is keeping its powder dry in case Republican candidate Donald Trump wins in the November polls, wrote Rory Green, the chief China economist at GlobalData.TS Lombard.
Persons: Rory Green, , Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Service, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Business Locations: China, Beijing, GlobalData.TS
However, Russia's birth rate remains dismal, prompting a politician to suggest that the country launch a "special demographic operation." Russia's birth rate was 8.3 per 1,000 people for the first half of this year — down from 10 per 1,000 people in 2019. The latest data from the US showed the country's birth rate was 11 per 1,000 people in 2022. Advertisement"Just like a special military operation — a special demographic operation," Ostanina added, referencing Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Furthermore, over 300,000 Russian troops died or were injured in the Ukraine war by the end of 2023, US intelligence officials estimated.
Persons: , It's, Putin, Nina Ostanina, Ostanina, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Business, RIA, HSE University, Moscow Times, TASS, An Atlantic Council Locations: Russia, Soviet, Ukraine, Moscow, Europe, Japan
Read previewChina's exports are booming, but profits could be under pressure, recent data from the country showed. China's exports rose 8.7% in August from a year ago to nearly $309 billion — a two-year high, official data showed on Tuesday. Imports, meanwhile, edged up by just 0.5% in August from a year ago — a sign that domestic demand was still weak. While China's robust exports have been supporting the country's flagging economy amid weak demand, data suggest that exporters have been slashing prices to stay competitive — a trend some economists have flagged. Meanwhile, official data released on Monday showed China's Producer Price Index — which measures the price of goods at the factory gate — falling 1.8% from a year ago.
Persons: , it's Organizations: Service, Reuters, Business, PPI, Bank of America, European Union Locations: China, Beijing
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewRussian President Vladimir Putin is having a very social year as his country continues to wage war in Ukraine. So far, Putin has met top leaders from Asian countries including China, India, Vietnam, and Indonesia. Russia is the BRICS chair this year, and Putin has invited Mongolia to join the group's summit in October. Russia's push for a multipolar world order resonates with countries who desire a more equitable international order.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Putin, Sean McFate, McFate, Anwar Ibrahim, Ukhnaagiin Khürelsükh, couldn't, Russia —, Serik, Li Qiang's, Syracuse University's McFate, it's, Derek Grossman, Grossman Organizations: Service, Syracuse University Maxwell School of Citizenship, Public Affairs, Business, Malaysian, Criminal, ICC, World Bank, European Union, NATO, Bloomberg, Moscow, Central, European, EU, United Nations, RAND, Foreign Locations: Ukraine, China, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, Russia, North Korea, Iran, Mongolia, Mongolian, Russia's, European, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Kazakhstan, Central Asian, European Union, Moscow, Beijing, Europe, Syracuse, Brazil, South Africa, Malaysia, Switzerland, United States
Russian banks are urging the country's central bank to boost yuan liquidity amid shortages. But Russia's central bank is advising lenders to limit yuan-denominated loans. The Russian central bank said currency swaps are a short-term, not a long-term solution to yuan supply. But Russia's central bank is passing the buck back to the country's banks. In a report published on Friday, Russia's central bank advised lenders to limit the issuance of yuan-denominated loans.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Central Bank of Russia, Business Locations: Russian, Russia's
Fearful of the US' secondary sanctions, nearly all Chinese banks are refusing payment transfers from Russia. Russia has used smaller banks and non-US dollar currencies to bypass sanctions since the Ukraine invasion. AdvertisementThe impact of the West's sanctions just seems to be getting worse and worse for Russia. Now, 98% of Chinese banks — even small regional ones — are refusing to accept direct Chinese payment transfers from Russia, Alexey Razumovsky, the commercial director of payments company Impaya Rus, told the pro-Kremlin Izvestia media outlet. Such issues appear to have intensified over the last three weeks, because smaller Chinese financial companies were still processing Russian payments in May and June, per Izvestia.
Persons: , Alexey Razumovsky, Impaya Rus Organizations: Service, Impaya, Kremlin, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Read previewRussia and China are planning to revive the age-old practice of barter trade to get around Western sanctions, Reuters reported on Thursday. Since barter trade doesn't require monetary payments, it would allow Russia and China to skirt such issues. Russia has used barter trade beforeIt would not be Russia's first time using barter trade. Problems with barter tradeEven so, barter trade isn't widely practiced in modern society. Russian authorities are working on other ways to skirt Western payment sanctions.
Persons: , Alexandra Prokopenko Organizations: Service, Reuters, Business, Russia, Kommersant, United Arab, RIA Novosti, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center Locations: Russia, China, Russian, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Austria, Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
Russia's consumer sentiment hit a high in June as its wartime economy boosted spending. The sentiment index has risen since April 2022, despite the Ukraine invasion. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! In June, Russia's consumer sentiment hit a high not seen since the 2000s, according to Levada Center, Russia's last major independent pollster. Levada's consumer sentiment index has been moving steadily upward since April 2022, barely two months after Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Levada Locations: Ukraine, Russia
Chun Shui Tang founder Liu Han-chieh and managing director Angela Liu at one of their company's teahouses in Taichung. Chun Shui Tang's executives appear unperturbed by the many shapes and forms boba tea takes these days — Heinz ketchup boba tea, anyone? AdvertisementIn 2008, Chun Shui Tang introduced a boba tea hot pot with a savory tea-infused broth. Huileng Tan/Business InsiderChun Shui Tang OG shop in Taichung is a tourist hotspotToday, Liu's OG Chun Shui Tang teahouse in Taichung is on many tourists' checklists. Chun Shui Tang founder Liu said he isn't worried about the competition, because the market is big enough for everyone.
Persons: , Chui, Chui Shui Tang, Chun Shui Tang, Liu Han, Liu, It's, Lin Hsiu, Chun, Huileng Tan, Lin, Angela —, doesn't, he's, Tang, He's, boba, Tu, Liu's, Angela, Chun Shui, Angela Liu, Heinz, they've, Liu wasn't, Mark Anthony Villones, Villones, Filippino Mark Anthony Villones, Kayne Sy, China Chun Shui Tang, Jason Yu, Kantar, Aly Song, Yu, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Chun Shui, Starbucks, Purdue University, Chun Shui Tang, Liu's, BI Locations: Chui Shui, Taiwan, Taichung, Japan, Tainan, China, Huileng, , Philippines, Central China, Hong Kong
Stocks are rising after Monday's meltdown as Japan assured it will not hike rates if markets are unstable. Some analysts say BOJ's recent rate hike triggered Monday's sell-off as traders unwind yen carry trades. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Just last week, the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates and struck a hawkish stance that signaled more increases ahead following years of ultra-low and even negative rates. On Wednesday, Shinichi Uchida, a deputy governor at the Bank of Japan, said the central would not hike interest rates when the financial and capital markets are unstable.
Persons: , Shinichi Uchida Organizations: Service, Bank of Japan, Business Locations: Japan
Read previewMarkets are rebounding after Monday's meltdown, injecting challenges into central banks' interest-rate decisions. The market volatility is due to a mix of factors including poor earnings results from several tech giants and a weak July payroll report. AdvertisementSome analysts are speculating that the BOJ rate cut was because it was under political pressure to shore up the floundering yen, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Related storiesGoing forward, the BOJ could have a harder time with the timing of its rate hike decisions. Talks of an emergency rate cutThe market selloff has also made the Fed's rate hike timing harder.
Persons: , Kospi, Taiwan's Taiex, Kyle Rodda, It's, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's, Capital.com's Rodda Organizations: Service, Business, Bank of Japan, US Federal Reserve, , Bloomberg, Nikkei, Japan's, of Finance, Financial Services Agency Locations: Japan, Asia
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