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Passengers line up to check in at Chengdu Tianfu International Airport on October 6, 2024 as China's week-long National Day holiday draws to a close. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's Golden Week holiday affirmed a trend in more cautious spending, while consumers put greater emphasis on experiences. The Golden Week holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China on Oct. 1. "The Golden Week consumption could still suggest a modest recovery versus August, in our view, due to trade-in subsidies (for appliances and autos) and consumption vouchers issued by the local governments," Peng said. During Golden Week, mainland China recorded 765 million domestic trips, up from both the prior year and before the pandemic, according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Trip.com, Kenneth Chow, Oliver Wyman, Chow, It's, Christine Peng, Peng Organizations: Chengdu Tianfu International, China News Service, Getty, BEIJING, China Film Administration, Consumers, CNBC, UBS, Ministry of Culture, Tourism Locations: Chengdu, China, People's Republic of China, Greater China, Japan, Thailand
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government spending has been 'lagging behind' this year, economist saysRaymond Yeung, chief economist for Greater China at ANZ Bank, discusses what needs to happen for China to find "relief from the deflationary spiral."
Persons: Raymond Yeung Organizations: Greater China, ANZ Bank Locations: Greater, China
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese investors are looking for more policy direction from China's top economic planning body on Tuesday, when mainland markets return from a week-long holiday. Before the week-long holiday, authorities unveiled a flurry of stimulus policies, including interest rate cuts, lower cash reserve requirements at banks, looser property purchase rules and liquidity support for stock markets. Chinese major indexes have surged over 25% as investors cheer on the barrage of stimulus measures. Last week, China's CSI 300 blue-chip index extended a nine-day winning streak, surging over 8% Monday, before the market closed for a week-long holiday. Now the government needs to add fiscal stimulus to maintain the rally's momentum, said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Zheng Shanjie, Erica Tay, Tuesday's presser, Shaun Rein, Rein, Adek Berry, Lynn Song, Song, Gary Ng Organizations: Shoppers, Bloomberg, Getty Images, National Development, Reform, State Council, CSI, SGX FTSE, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Ministry, Finance, China Market Research, AFP, Getty, ING Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, SGX FTSE China, Tuesday's, Xicheng, Greater China, Shenzhen
Brian Niccol and Elliott Hill are taking over Starbucks and Nike , respectively, just as a key market that weighed on their predecessors gets a boost. As China's economic stimulus takes shape, it could end up helping these global brands. Nike and Starbucks in China While the exact plans for Niccol and Hill are still unclear, the Chinese market seems like it will be an area of focus. At Starbucks, the company's leadership team in China has already been reshuffled since Niccol took over in September. Still, a rebound for China's consumer won't necessarily boost sales for Starbucks and Nike without better execution.
Persons: Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill, Hartmut Issel, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Hill, Chen Luo, Ellen Hazen, . Putnam, Hazen, Eric Clark, I'd, it's, Clark, America's Luo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America — Nike, UBS, Bank of America, CNBC, Brands, Bank, America's Locations: China, United States, Niccol, .
Apple plans to release a new iPhone SE in early 2025, Bloomberg reported. An Emarketer analyst said a cheaper AI iPhone could boost sales in Greater China. The new iPhone SE will reportedly feature an edge-to-edge screen design similar to the iPhone 14. The current iPhone SE costs $429; it's also smaller than these newer models. Related storiesStill, Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, called China Apple's "big unanswered question when it comes to Apple Intelligence."
Persons: , it's, Mark Gurman, Jacob Bourne, Emarketer, Gene Munster, Munster Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Huawei, Pura, Deepwater Asset Management Locations: Greater China, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLombard Odier's John Woods discusses why he remains cautious on the Greater China marketsJohn Woods of Lombard Odier says that while the animal spirits in China have been unleashed, he remains cautious about the market until the Chinese government can meaningfully tackle the excess capacity in the property sector.
Persons: John Woods, Lombard Odier Organizations: Lombard Locations: China
The Gap comeback that might actually be working
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Cathleen Chen | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +21 min
Designer Zac Posen — now creative director at Gap Inc., at the Vanity Fair Oscar party in March 2024. Danny Moloshok/ReutersSince 2014, the Gap brand has nearly halved its presence in North America, going from 968 stores in the market to 472 as of February. It makes up about 20% of overall Gap Inc. revenue, while Old Navy accounts for more than half. Before Gap, Posen was on track for a similar trajectory to Mizrahi’s. They started by redefining the positioning of each brand: Gap as a pop culture brand.
Persons: CNN — Zac Posen, Richard Dickson, Posen, Donald, Doris Fisher, Mickey Drexler, Drexler, Uniqlo, Zac Posen —, Danny Moloshok, Sonia Syngal, Dickson, Barbie, Troye Sivan, Da’vine Joy, Anne Hathaway, ” Posen, won’t, Zac, Isaac Mizrahi, , Gabriella Santaniello, Mizrahi, Zac Born, Saint Ann’s, Lola Schnabel, Julian Schnabel, Lena Dunham, Nicole Miller, Naomi Campbell, Grimm, , Da'Vine Joy Randolph —, Jamie McCarthy, Yucaipa, Ron Burkle, Sean Combs, Zac Posen, Neiman Marcus —, Zac Posen — that’s, Zac Posen’s, it’s, Paco Rabanne, Patrick Robinson, Ye, Julie Gilhart, Gilhart, ” Dickson, Bernadette Peters, , Harrison Ball, Ryan Murphy, ’ ”, TJ Maxx, Kennedy, Anne Hathway, Pietro S, Robert, William Fisher, didn’t, Mark Breitbard, Horacio Barbeito, Chris Blakeslee, Goodman, Stephanie Keith, Da’Vine Joy Randolph’s, Sivan, Hathaway, Julia Fox, influencer, Lee Peterson, hasn’t Organizations: The, Fashion, CNN, Old Navy, Inc, New Yorker, Gap Inc, Navy, Banana, Reuters, Mattel, Hollywood, Xcel Brands, QVC, Saint, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Central Saint Martins, New York Times, Centric Brands, Barneys, New York City Ballet, Swans, Disney, rockstar, Old, America ., Collins Group, Vogue, Bloomberg, Council of Fashion Designers of America, New York, Dôen Locations: Posen, San Francisco Bay, New, Banana Republic, Athleta, San Francisco, Oxford, Zara, North America, Asia, China, Republic, New York City, American, London, Bloomsbury, Balthazar, SoHo, Rome, Italy, New York, America, America . Banana
BEIJING — Chinese President Xi Jinping said Monday that no challenges can stop the country from moving forward and reiterated Beijing’s reunification aims with Taiwan. “The path ahead will definitely see challenges,” Xi said, before calling on the country to overcome uncertainties and risks. “No challenges can stop China’s progress.”The comments were translated by CNBC from a Chinese state media broadcast. Xi did not mention specific countries or trade conflicts in his Monday speech, instead portraying China as upholding globalization. In a 2019 speech commemorating the PRC’s 70th anniversary, Xi had said that no force could sway China’s development, amid festivities involving a military parade and large-scale celebrations.
Persons: Xi Jinping, ” Xi, Xi, Beijing’s, , Organizations: CNBC, Communist Party’s, Macao —, People’s Bank of, Ministry of Finance Locations: BEIJING, Taiwan, People’s Republic of China, Beijing, China, U.S, Europe, Greater China, Hong Kong, Macao, People’s Bank of China
Fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist says
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist saysMichelle Lam, greater China economist at Societe Generale, says that the implementation of fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China.
Persons: Michelle Lam Organizations: Societe Generale Locations: China
Authorities "must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery," the readout said in Chinese, translated by CNBC. The readout said leaders called for strengthening fiscal and monetary policy support, and touched on a swath of issues from employment to the aging population. Just days after the U.S. cut interest rates, the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced a slew of planned interest rate cuts and real estate support. This real estate policy is aiming at reducing its drag on the economy." Tempering growth expectationsThe meeting readout said China would "work hard to complete" the country's full-year economic targets.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Zhiwei Zhang, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Yue Su, Zong Liang, Zong, Bruce Pang Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Communist Party, People's Bank of China, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Locations: Yuexi County, Anqing, Anhui province, China, BEIJING, Hong Kong, U.S, Beijing, JLL
Lynn Song, chief economist for greater China ING, called the repo rate cut announcement “the most important” move made during the news conference. “If we see a large fiscal policy push as well, momentum could recover heading into the fourth quarter.”The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing. During his first news conference as central bank governor in January, Pan said the PBOC would cut the reserve requirement ratio. Unlike the Fed’s focus on a main interest rate, the PBOC uses a variety of rates to manage monetary policy. Pan has indicated he would like the 7-day rate to become the main policy rate.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Lynn Song, , , Jiang Qiming, ” Edmund Goh, Goldman Sachs, Li Yunze, Li, Nomura Organizations: People’s Bank of China Gov, China ING, , U.S . Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, China News Service, Getty, Pan, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, abrdn
Property stocks in Hong Kong rally on homes mortgage stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Chinese property stocks rallied on Tuesday after top financial regulators vowed a range of monetary easing measures to provide some relief for millions of families and boost a recovery in the real estate market. During a high-level press conference Tuesday morning, People's Bank of China Gov. Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index surged as much as 5% when Hong Kong markets opened shortly after the announcement was made. Chinese policymakers have been ramping up support to reduce household's financial burden and shore up the troubled real estate sector. Homeowners could also be allowed to refinance with a different bank for the first time in years, the outlet reported.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, William Wu, Bruce Pang, Pang Organizations: People's Bank of China Gov, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, China Overseas Land & Investment, Daiwa, Bloomberg Locations: Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, China, JLL
"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China
The Chinese central bank's largest stimulus measures since Covid should provide the world's second-largest economy with a much-needed boost, which should help our portfolio companies doing business there. The Club has a broad range of companies with significant sales exposure to China, and some with none. Here's a look at the percentages in our 32 stock portfolio, as well as recent earnings call commentary, about the business climate and the potential in China. On the industrial side, DuPont has the most China exposure because of its electronics and water businesses. Eaton and Dover don't have nearly as much China exposure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Colette Kress, Tim Cook, Brian Niccol, Gamble, Andre Schulten, Peter Arduini, Lori Koch, Stanley Black, , Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Peng Organizations: People's Bank of China, Wall, Commodities, Republican, House, Democratic, Trump, Broadcom, Nvidia, AMD, Nvidia's, Apple, Starbucks, Investors, Huawei, Jefferies, Consumer, Procter, Barclays, GE Healthcare, GE, DuPont, Banking, Coterra Energy, Investing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Asia, China, America, U.S, Eaton, Dover, People's Republic of China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: China will benefit less from the Fed's rate cut than other APAC marketsEva Lee, head of Greater China equities at UBS, explains why she thinks China will not benefit much from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, and why it may also make it easier for the PBOC to move on its policy.
Persons: Eva Lee Organizations: UBS Locations: China
From property woes to sluggish economic data, China appears to be suffering from long Covid. Wall Street turns bullishBillionaire investors, including Appaloosa Management founder David Tepper and "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, recently revealed they are sticking to their China bets. The famed investor loaded up on Alibaba stock in the second quarter, revealing an $11.2 million position in the company. That makes Alibaba Burry's largest holding, with other Chinese tech stocks including Baidu and JD.com also featuring on Burry's portfolio. Meanwhile, BCA Research recently upgraded Chinese onshore stocks to overweight, with China strategist Jing Sima expecting Chinese onshore stocks to passively outperform global equities.
Persons: Jiang Sheng, It's, Ted Alexander, CNBC's, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Alibaba, Tepper, Burry, JD.com, Jing Sima, George Boubouras, Goldman Sachs, Song Zhiyong, Eric Lin Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Appaloosa Management, KE Holdings, Baidu, BCA Research, K2 Asset Management, CNBC, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, China's Ministry of Transport, Civil Aviation Administration, Asia Pacific Summit for Aviation Safety, Paris Olympic Games, Greater, Greater China Research, UBS Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Europe, Greater China
Economists have long called for an overhaul of the nation's retirement age laws, currently among the world's lowest, which was set in an era of lower life expectancies. Raising the retirement age would help ease local governments' pension pool cash crunch, Sheana Yue, an economist from Oxford Economics said. Still, "more needs to be done to improve retirement adequacy," Maybank's Tay said, while stating that China needs a stronger pension plan and diversified investment avenues to ensure sustainable retirement savings. China's Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security has added a few tools for citizens to check their indicated retirement age on its website and mobile app. China may roll out "another round of delay in the late 2030s, especially if China's pension fund balance is tight," Xu cautioned.
Persons: Erica Tay, Tay, Bruce Pang, Tianchen Xu, Xu, Yue, Maybank's Tay Organizations: Getty, Maybank Investment Banking Group, CNBC, Economist Intelligence Unit, Oxford Economics, Academy of Social Sciences, China's Ministry of Human Resources, Social Security Locations: Fuyang, China, JLL, Beijing
A banner plays up China's trade-in policy at a home goods expo in Qingdao, Shandong province, China, on June 1, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's plan to boost consumption by encouraging trade-ins has yet to show significant results, several businesses told CNBC. Analysts are not overly optimistic about the extent to which the trade-in program could support retail sales. China's retail sales for August are due Saturday morning. Retail sales in June rose by 2%, the slowest since the Covid-19 pandemic, while July sales growth saw a modest improvement at 2.7%.
Persons: Jens Eskelund, Tao Wang, Sally Loh, Otis, Kone, We've, Ilkka Hara, Hara Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, CNBC, EU Chamber of Commerce, UBS Investment Bank, China, U.S, Otis Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China, Greater China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina will stay in deflation if there is no 'meaningful recovery' in the property sector: ANZRaymond Yeung, ANZ's chief economist for Greater China, explains that weak domestic demand and exports running into overcapacity has contributed to the deflationary environment in China. He warned that if the property market does not recover meaningfully in the next 12 months, "a deflationary environment will stay in China for a long while."
Persons: ANZ Raymond Yeung Organizations: China, ANZ Locations: Greater China, overcapacity, China
Analysts have predicted a "golden upgrade cycle" for Apple following the official launch of the iPhone 16, complete with AI capabilities. Still, execs didn't mention the massive market — where its iPhone sales have struggled in 2024 — at the Glowtime event. AdvertisementThe reported partnership with Baidu "will fill in a missing piece of the AI puzzle in the key China market," Wedbush Securities analysts wrote in a Monday note. Apple's Chinese smartphone competitors aren't letting up in their pursuit of dethroning the giant. Related storiesApple may be experiencing a slip in smartphone sales in China, but Huawei saw its sales leap 69.7% in the first three months of 2024.
Persons: , OpenAI, Max, It's Organizations: Service, Analysts, Apple, Business, Huawei, Street Journal, Apple Intelligence, preorder, Baidu, Wedbush Securities Locations: China, , Greater China
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewApple is gearing up to announce a new lineup of devices at its Glowtime event Monday. All eyes have been on the tech giant since it unveiled Apple Intelligence at its Worldwide Developers Conference in June. The tech giant is also expected to launch new models of AirPods and the Apple Watch. Advertisement"We believe the excitement over Apple Intelligence can potentially accelerate hardware replacement and enable market share gain for iPhone, iPad, and Mac," Oppenheimer strategists said in a note.
Persons: , Dan Ives, Greg Joswiak, Gadjo Sevilla, Mark Gurman isn't, Gurman, Midlevel, Oppenheimer Organizations: Service, Apple Intelligence, Worldwide Developers Conference, Business, Wedbush Securities, Apple, Google, Huawei, Bloomberg, Apple Watch Locations: California, China
Major Chinese companies' latest quarterly reports reinforce how the local market is one for stock pickers. Another Chinese stock with growing exposure to overseas growth is Temu parent PDD Holdings , which is scheduled to report earnings before the U.S. market open on Monday. As of Friday, PDD held the second-largest weighting in CoreValues Alpha Greater China Growth ETF (CGRO). That gives the ETF managers timely information to move in and out of Chinese stocks. CGRO holds just over 30 Chinese companies that meet criteria such as "not compromising American tech, economic interests or values" or appearing on U.S. sanctions lists, according to the ETF's website.
Persons: Lorraine Tan, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, PDD, Tencent, Ben Harburg, CoreValues, Harburg, CGRO, We've, we've, you've, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC, GDS Holdings, PDD Holdings, China Growth, CoreValues Alpha, U.S, KraneShares CSI China Internet Locations: Asia, Morgan Stanley China, U.S, China, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Alpha, Beijing, Japan, India
Chun Shui Tang founder Liu Han-chieh and managing director Angela Liu at one of their company's teahouses in Taichung. Chun Shui Tang's executives appear unperturbed by the many shapes and forms boba tea takes these days — Heinz ketchup boba tea, anyone? AdvertisementIn 2008, Chun Shui Tang introduced a boba tea hot pot with a savory tea-infused broth. Huileng Tan/Business InsiderChun Shui Tang OG shop in Taichung is a tourist hotspotToday, Liu's OG Chun Shui Tang teahouse in Taichung is on many tourists' checklists. Chun Shui Tang founder Liu said he isn't worried about the competition, because the market is big enough for everyone.
Persons: , Chui, Chui Shui Tang, Chun Shui Tang, Liu Han, Liu, It's, Lin Hsiu, Chun, Huileng Tan, Lin, Angela —, doesn't, he's, Tang, He's, boba, Tu, Liu's, Angela, Chun Shui, Angela Liu, Heinz, they've, Liu wasn't, Mark Anthony Villones, Villones, Filippino Mark Anthony Villones, Kayne Sy, China Chun Shui Tang, Jason Yu, Kantar, Aly Song, Yu, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Chun Shui, Starbucks, Purdue University, Chun Shui Tang, Liu's, BI Locations: Chui Shui, Taiwan, Taichung, Japan, Tainan, China, Huileng, , Philippines, Central China, Hong Kong
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — A theme emerging in the latest slew of U.S. companies' earnings reports is a drag from the China market. "Consumer sentiment in China is quite weak," McDonald's chairman, CEO and director Christopher Kempczinski, said of the quarter ended June 30. Apple said Greater China sales fell by 6.5% year-on-year in the quarter ended June 29. Procter and Gamble said China sales for the quarter ending late June fell by 9%. The only public disclosures regarding Peet's China business described it as "strong double-digit organic sales growth" in the first half of the year.
Persons: , Christopher Kempczinski, McDonald's, Lei Meng, Apple, Johnson, that's, General Mills, Kofi Bruce, Mills, Andre Schulten, Procter, Gamble, Schulten, Marriott's, Domino's, DPC Dash, There's, James Quincey, Quincey, We've, Laxman Narasimhan, Luckin Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, U.S, Nationwide, UBS Securities, General, Procter, Marriott, Asia Pacific, Starbucks Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, China, U.S, Canada, Greater China, Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, Asia, Peet's
Morgan Stanley reiterates Disney as overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on the stock to $110 per share from $130 but said it is sticking with Disney shares. Morgan Stanley upgrades Prosperity Bancshares to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the regional bank has "best in class capital and growing liquidity." Morgan Stanley initiates MKS Instruments as overweight Morgan Stanley said the controlling and measuring device manufacturing company is well positioned. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with the stock following its quarterly 10-Q report. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Walmart as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with its overweight rating on the stock following Walmart+ membership hitting a record high according to its survey checks.
Persons: Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Disney, Lockheed Martin, Berkshire Hathaway, HOOD, Apple, Jefferies, Mars, Bernstein Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia, Disney, Gulfport Energy, RBC, Lockheed, UBS, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Citi, RBC downgrades Moderna, Moderna, Walmart, underperform Bank of America, Netflix, Reuters, Kellanova, Boeing Locations: China, Gulfport, Berkshire, Underperform
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