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☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Eli Lilly, Caterpillar, VinFast, Alphabet and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Eli Lilly — The drug maker tumbled 7.5% after missing analyst expectations for the third quarter and cutting full-year guidance. Eli Lilly earned $1.18 per share, excluding items, on $11.44 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had anticipated earnings of $1.47 a share and $12.11 billion in revenue. Caterpillar — Shares fell more than 5% in the premarket after the industrial giant reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the third quarter. The company posted a profit of $5.17 per share, while analysts polled by LSEG had forecast earnings of $5.34 per share.

Persons: Eli Lilly, LSEG, XPO, FactSet, Qorvo, Raymond James, Reddit, —, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Fred Imbert Organizations: Caterpillar, Revenue, Bloomberg, Emirates, Google, Visa, AMD

☆ Investors getting very bullish heading into the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. presidential election is less than one week away, and investor positioning has gotten very bullish. "Animal spirits have been unleashed, as investors haven't wasted time positioning themselves up for a typical post-election/year-end rally," Cau said in a note. He also pointed out that these inflows come as expectations of former President Donald Trump winning next week have increased. Indeed, shares of Trump Media — which have been a market proxy for Trump's 2024 election chances — have soared a whopping 220.5% in the past month alone. "After Q3, we lack confidence that Boeing shares can outperform the market in the next 12 months."

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, haven't, Cau, Donald Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Bernstein Organizations: U.S, Barclays, Trump Media, NBC, Boeing Locations: U.S

☆ The Trump-linked stocks set to make wild moves as election approaches
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that's also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. Schwarz said there's no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. "Trump Media has no fundamental value — it's worthless," he said.

Persons: Donald Trump, That's, that's, Phunware, Kamala Harris, Christopher Schwarz, It's, Trump, There's, Irvine's Schwarz, Schwarz, there's, LSEG, hasn't, Peter Thiel, — CNBC's Robert Frank, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, Trump Media, NBC, University of California Irvine, CNBC, Vanda Research, U.S, Trump, Marriott, Mayo Clinic, PayPal Locations: United States, Atlantis

☆ Eli Lilly shares could be set for a big move if the Zepbound maker adds to its winning streak
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Christina Cheddar Berk | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Revenue from obesity treatment Zepbound is forecast to climb to $1.73 billion from $1.24 billion quarter over quarter. For the year, analysts expect Mounjaro sales to reach $4.58 billion, while Zepbound revenue is seen rising to $5.88 billion. The consensus view for combined sales of both drugs now stands at $30.19 billion, according to FactSet. Other key announcements A clinical trial is in progress that pits Zepbound against Novo Nordisk's Wegovy in obesity treatment. Beyond obesity, Lilly has begun treating patients with Kisunla, its Alzheimer's disease treatment.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Lilly, Seamus Fernandez, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, David Risinger, Morgan Stanley's Flynn, Mounjaro, Cantor, Louise Chen, —, Fred Imbert Organizations: Investment, Food, Leerink, Novo Nordisk's, FDA, Kisunla Locations: U.S

☆ Big Tech stocks have a high earnings bar to clear
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Overall S & P 500 profit growth is tracking below what analysts anticipated heading into the reporting period. Still, the S & P 500 is less than 1% below a record high reached earlier this month. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer for the Americas, also warned that high valuations could be a problem for megacap tech stocks as earnings roll out. Technical patterns based on price charts aren't too favorable, either, heading into megacap tech earnings. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) in June hit its highest level relative to the S & P 500 since March 2000 , when the dot-com bubble peaked.

Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Wells Fargo Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Netflix Locations: Americas

☆ Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Earnings playbook: Busiest week of the season includes reports from megacaps Apple and Amazon
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Monday Ford Motor is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a conference call at 5 p.m. What history shows: Bespoke Investment Group data shows Ford beats earnings expectations 68% of the time. What to watch: Meta is in a good spot heading into this week's report, according to Bernstein's Mark Shmulik. Microsoft is set to report earnings after the close, with a conference call on deck for 5:30 p.m. Amazon is set to report earnings after the market close, with a conference call at 5 p.m.

Persons: Edison Yu, Yu, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, LSEG, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, AAPL, KeyBanc, Justin Post Organizations: Apple, Ford Motor . Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Corporate America, Monday Ford, LSEG, Ford, AMD, Cloud Service, Google, Microsoft, Windows, CNBC, Management, Amazon Web Services, Bank of America, Amazon Locations: Temu, .

☆ CNBC Pro Talks: How chart guru Carter Worth knows when it's time to sell
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Fred Imbert | Jordan Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Talks: How chart guru Carter Worth knows when it's time to sellCNBC's Dominic Chu speaks with Carter Braxton Worth, founder and CEO of Worth Charting LLC, to find out how he uses charting alongside his 35 years of Wall Street expertise to decide which stocks are overbought and which could be on the cusp of an upswing. Plus, he takes stock-specific questions from Pro subscribers.

Persons: Carter Worth, CNBC's Dominic Chu, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Worth

☆ Chart analyst Carter Worth breaks down his most important technical indicator
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

For Carter Worth, there's one that stands out above all others: volume. They say it's all in the price action. … but volume is the essential criteria," Worth, the founder of Worth Charting with more than three decades on the Street, told CNBC's Dominic Chu in this special Pro Talks discussion available to all readers. "The study of volume and price volume correlation is the single most important thing one can do if one wants to engage in pattern recognition and studying price action trying to profit in the market." "[Philosophers] Camus and Sartre would argue that existence precedes essence, and in markets, volume precedes price," he added.

Persons: Carter Worth, CNBC's Dominic Chu, Camus, Sartre, Worth Organizations: Worth, CNBC PRO Locations: Worth

☆ A look at how the stock market does the week before a presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is down 0.9% week to date, on pace to snap a six-week advance. There may be more turbulence next week as the election draws closer, but history shows all is not lost for the market. The week of the election itself, the broad market index has seen a median gain of 0.56%. In 2020, the S & P 500 dropped 5.6% the week before the election, then rallied 7.3% the week of the vote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, KeyBanc downgraded Apple to underweight, citing concerns around the company's iPhone sales.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, KeyBanc Organizations: U.S, CNBC, America Economic Survey, CNBC Pro, Apple

☆ BTIG warns of a 5% stock market pullback in the coming weeks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 suffered its first three-day decline since early September. Chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky noted a "decent probability" the broad market index could fall as much as 5% to roughly 5,500 in coming weeks. The S & P 500 has pulled back this week from record highs reached just Oct. 17. Krinsky pointed to the recent move higher in Treasury yields as the key catalyst. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, JPMorgan reiterated Live Nation with an overweight rating and raised a $137 price target, implying upside of more than 19%.

Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Tesla Organizations: UPS, JPMorgan

☆ Rising bond yields are weighing on stocks. It could get worse after the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Treasury yields are raining on the stock market's parade. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield soared above 4.2% on Tuesday for the first time since late July. The bank compiled different scenarios for how the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields may react, depending on the election outcome. "We think a blue or red sweep is likely to impact Treasury yields more than a divided government," traders at the bank wrote. "We expect FSLR to benefit from either candidate winning the presidential election," analyst Vikram Bagri wrote.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Kamala Harris, Vikram Bagri Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Trump, NBC News, Citi, Democratic, Republican Locations: China

☆ As gold hits another record high, the pros reveal their outlook for the precious metal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Spot gold prices have soared above $2,700 an ounce, rallying for the fifth day on Monday to hit another record high of over $2,733 an ounce. But Wider noted the de-correlation of 10-year Treasury real interest rates (adjusted for inflation) and the price of gold. XAU= 5Y mountain Gold John Reade, senior markets strategist at the World Gold Council trade association, warned of volatility ahead, however. Allocating to gold Reade advised investors to always have a position in gold, albeit as a relatively small part of a portfolio. Principal Asset Management's Jablonski, meanwhile, said he has less than 5% of his portfolio allocated to commodities, including gold.

Persons: Michael Widmer, I'm, CNBC's, Widmer, Todd Jablonski, Jablonski, John Reade, Reade, Management's Jablonski, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank of America, Treasury, CNBC Pro, World Gold Council, CNBC

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Cheesecake Factory, Sherwin-Williams, 3M and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

SAP — U.S.-listed shares of the enterprise software provider gained more than 3% after the company posted a third-quarter earnings and revenue beat. GE Aerospace reported adjusted revenue of $8.94 billion, while analysts had estimated $9.02 billion, according to LSEG. 3M — Shares of the industrial company rallied 5% after 3M posted third-quarter earnings of $1.98 per share on revenue of $6.07 billion. Despite this, the company posted a third-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue beat. Sherwin-Williams reported adjusted earnings of $3.37 per share, lower than a StreetAccount estimate of $3.55 per share.

Persons: LSEG, AppLovin, Rob Sanderson, Nucor, Danaher, Sherwin, Williams, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: JCP Investment Management, General Motors, GM, SAP — U.S, SAP, GE Aerospace, Citi, U.S, Loop Locations: Utah

☆ The stock market is primed for more gains ahead, Canaccord says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.

Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S

☆ Earnings playbook: More than 100 companies are slated to report this week, including General Motors
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

More than 70 S & P 500 names have posted their numbers, with 75% beating analyst earnings expectations. What history shows: General Motors has topped earnings estimates for eight straight quarters, Bespoke Investment Group data shows. What history shows: Coca-Cola has beaten analyst earnings expectations 73% of the time, Bespoke data shows. What history shows: Tesla has beaten earnings expectations 61% of the time, according to Bespoke. Thursday UPS is set to report earnings in the premarket, followed by a conference call at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Michael Wayland, Mary Barra, Peter Grom, Leslie Josephs, Kelly Ortberg, TSLA, Dan Levy, Levy, Tesla Organizations: General Motors, Boeing, Netflix, CNBC, Detroit automaker, UBS, Management, Barclays, UPS, Amazon Logistics, Walmart, Citi Locations: China

☆ Price of gold is proving an unstoppable force lately
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold recently regained momentum after the Federal Reserve began its easing cycle with a half-percentage point rate cut last month. However, the latest upturn comes despite rebounds in Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar too, which might be expected to take the wind from gold's sails. Higher yields typically make gold less attractive, as the metal doesn't offer any yield. The 10-year Treasury yield has soared to 4.08% from around 3.7% over the past month. The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency's performance against the euro, Japanese yen and others, is up nearly 3% over the past month.

Persons: Gold, Andrew Brenner, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, NatAlliance Securities, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Treasury Locations: NatAlliance

☆ Small caps just hit levels not seen in nearly three years
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | Kavitha Shastry | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Small-cap stocks are looking very good right now. Lower rates can boost smaller companies by allowing them to borrow money for cheaper and expand their businesses. Smaller companies are more vulnerable to economic cycles. Despite this recently strong performance, small caps are still lagging their large-cap counterparts for the year. To be sure, some on the Street are pointing to another driver for small caps: the potential of a Trump victory on Election Day.

Persons: Russell, IWM, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Cantor, Howard Lutnick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Insight Enterprises, Trump Locations: China

☆ Stifel’s Barry Bannister sticks to his bearish market stance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems

☆ UBS sees S&P 500 soaring to 6,400 by the end of 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Strategist Jonathan Golub raised his 2025 S & P 500 target to 6,400 from 6,000 in a note to clients released Tuesday. "UBS economists forecast 3.7% nominal GDP in 2025 (1.6% real), roughly in line with long-term averages," he said. Golub also noted that a "sharp decline in Fed Funds will likely increase profit margins by 20 [basis points] via lower interest expense." The Fed lowered its benchmark fed funds rates a half a point, to a range of 4.75% to 5.0%, in September. Bottom line: Stocks could consolidate to end 2024 before scaling new heights in the new year, based on UBS' outlook.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, Stocks, Golub doesn't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Monday's

☆ Earnings ramp up this week. Here’s what to watch for this season
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Earnings will be the main event this week, as Wall Street looks to add to recent record-setting gains. Nearly 40 S & P 500 companies are scheduled to post third-quarter results this week. Check out our latest Earnings Playbook for more on the names reporting this week. The 30 S & P 500 names that reported last week beat earnings expectations by an average of 5%, according to Bank of America. The S & P 500 closed above 5,800 for the first time on Friday.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley —, Ohsung Kwon, Banks, JP Morgan, corporates, Kwon, Fastenal, Lori Calvasina, It's, Dow Organizations: Netflix, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, Big, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve

☆ Earnings playbook: The first big week of the season includes reports from Netflix and big banks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Last quarter: Bank of America jumped after saying a rebound in net interest income was coming . What history shows: Bank of America shares have risen in 10 of the last 12 earnings days, according to Bespoke Investment Group. What history shows: Netflix tends to struggle on earnings days, averaging a slight decline, according to Bespoke. Shares have also fallen in two of the last three earnings days, including a 9.1% drop in April. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Procter & Gamble beats earnings expectations 85% of the time.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wells, Hugh Son, Goldman, Leslie Josephs, Wednesday Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bryan Kraft, Kraft, Procter & Gamble, Procter, Lauren Lieberman Organizations: Netflix, Procter, Gamble, Big, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Tuesday Bank of America, CNBC, Investment, LSEG, JPMorgan, United Airlines, U.S, Delta, Wednesday, Deutsche Bank, Procter &, Barclays Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, China

The financial firm upgraded the athletic apparel stock to a buy rating from hold and raised its price target to $97 from $83. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:48 a.m.: Goldman Sachs trims Microsoft price target Goldman Sachs is still bullish shares of Microsoft , despite a minor price target adjustment. However, she accompanied the move by lifting her price target to $80 from $75. Analyst Andrew Mok accompanied the rating change by lifting his price target to $82 from $63. To be sure, he did raise his price target by $10 to $235, implying upside of nearly 10%.

Persons: Joseph Civello, Civello, Caitlin Clark, Lisa Kailai Han, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, Bernstein, Harshita Rawat, Venmo, Cash, Rawat, — Lisa Kailai Han, Shagun Singh, Singh, Medtronic, Andrew Mok, Mok, Stephen Tusa, Tusa, divestitures, YTD, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, JPMorgan, Honeywell International, Nike, Microsoft, PayPal, RBC, RBC Capital Markets, CVS, Aetna, Honeywell, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: buybacks, Wednesday's

☆ Why investors shouldn’t sweat this inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The latest inflation report came in slightly hotter than expected, knocking stock prices lower. But the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate cut in November actually rose after the report came out. "CPI Inflation data was slightly on the hotter side, with commodity prices (outside) energy rising more than expected. The good news is that shelter inflation is pulling back and that's going to pull inflation lower. Investors received fresh labor market data Thursday as well, with initial jobless claims jumping by 33,000 to 258,000.

Persons: Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Goldman Sachs, Whitney Watson, Ian Lyngen, Stephen Tusa Organizations: CPI, Reserve, Carson, Investors, BMO Capital Markets, JPMorgan, Honeywell

☆ Why health care could be a winner heading into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Health care may be the answer, if history is any indication. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) has posted a November gain in eight of the last 10 years. Health care trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2, while the S & P 500 has a multiple of 24. The optimism around health care comes as the sector lags the broader market. Some health care names poised to do well, according to Krinsky, are Masimo and Viking Therapeutics .

Persons: What's, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: iShares Biotechnology, Viking Therapeutics, Viking, Politan, Citi, UPS, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: China

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