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US stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await third-quarter earnings from major companies. Investors will monitor retail sales and jobless claims data this week. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await a wave of third-quarter earnings results this week. More than 40 S&P 500 companies are set to report results this week, including Netflix, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementBoth data points will give investors insights into the health of the consumer and job market, respectively.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Adriana Kugler, , Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, Netflix, Fed Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
US stocks hit record highs on Monday as investors get ready for a wave of earnings reports. Over 80 S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Goldman Sachs, report earnings this week. Monday's close marked the S&P 500's 46th record close of the year, as investors continue to power the two-year-old bull market higher. More than 80 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings results this week, with major names like Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley on deck. According to data from Fundstrat, 6% of S&P 500 companies have already reported their results.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Fed Governor Waller, , Monday's, Morgan Stanley, Adriana Kugler, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Netflix, Fed, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal, Stanford University's Hoover Institution Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are near flat Monday night after the blue-chip index closed at a record. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also both traded near their flatlines. Those moves come after a winning day on Wall Street that propelled the S&P 500 and Dow to new intraday highs and record closes. Information technology stocks led the S&P 500 higher in the session, with the sector finishing nearly 1.4% higher. Beyond banks, United Airlines , Walgreens Boots Alliance and Johnson & Johnson are also on the docket.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Adriana Kugler Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Airlines, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, San Francisco Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, Citi's, United
Dollar extends gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans
  + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar extended its gains in early Monday trades in Asia as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention. The dollar extended its gains in early Monday trades in Asia as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention. "Markets are likely disappointed that China's Finance Ministry did not unveil concrete additional stimulus," said Richard Franulovich, head of FX strategy at Westpac, in a note. The yuan is down 0.9% against the dollar since Sept. 24, when the People's Bank of China kicked off China's most aggressive stimulus measures since the pandemic. The yen and euro both fell around 0.3% each, sterling shed 0.4% and the dollar index climbed 0.4%.
Persons: Lan Foan, Richard Franulovich, Christopher Wong, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Finance, China's Finance Ministry, Westpac, People's Bank of China, CSI, Fed, Traders, New Zealand Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Singapore, U.S, United States
“Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50bps (basis points)?” Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, wrote in a note on Friday. Second-guessing the Fed isn’t new, of course. Central bank officials themselves note the uncertainty inherent in their work, especially when the economy reaches inflection points. Even Fed officials don’t always agree with the central bank’s actions, such as Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, the lone dissenter to the Fed’s decision to cut rates by half a point in September. ‘This isn’t exact science’Fed officials aren’t shy about admitting that they don’t always have confidence in how the US economy will evolve.
Persons: Washington CNN —, Jerome Powell, Philipp Carlsson, Seema Shah, James Knightley, Powell, don’t, Michelle Bowman, wouldn’t, , ” Carlsson, Szlezak, , ” Gina Bolvin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Boston Consulting, Asset Management, ING, Bolvin Wealth Management Locations: Wall, Washington
Dollar firm following sharp rebound as Fed speakers eyed
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Earlier this week, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said policymakers "can't be behind the curve" if the economy is to have a soft landing. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the central bank needn't go on a "mad dash" to lower rates. Later Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gives pre-recorded remarks at a conference in New York, where New York Fed President John Williams also speaks. Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook take to the podium at various other venues as well. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's July meeting, when the central bank raised short-term interest rates, showed policymakers were divided on how quickly the central bank should raise interest rates further.
Persons: Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, I'm, it's, Kenneth Crompton, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Susan Collins, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, NAB's Crompton, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, National Australia Bank, New York Fed, Boston, Weekly U.S, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Swiss Locations: New York
Fed Governor Adriana Kugler says she sees more cuts to come
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Governor Adriana Kugler says she sees more cuts to comeCNBC's Steve Liesman and Adam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk comments from Fed Governor Adriana Kugler.
Persons: Adriana Kugler, Steve Liesman, Adam Crisafulli Organizations: Vital Knowledge
Gold touches record high on rate-cut bets, weaker U.S. dollar
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars sit in a vault at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp, in Perth, Australia, on August 9, 2018. Gold hit a record high on Wednesday, boosted by a softer U.S. dollar and hopes of more interest rate cuts, while investors looked for new signals for the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Spot gold was steady at $2,658.08 per ounce, as of 0557 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,670.43 earlier. On Tuesday, China announced a slew of support measures including outsized rate cuts, after the U.S. Fed cut rates by 50 basis points last week. Inflows to gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, will rise in the coming months, providing further support for record-high bullion prices, analysts said.
Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Wong, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, heightening Organizations: Perth Mint Refinery, Gold Corp, U.S, Fed, Asia Pacific, Traders Locations: Perth, Australia, China, Beirut
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
The stock market runs a bigger risk of an unsustainable melt-up, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementStocks run the risk of seeing an unsustainable, dot-com style melt-up, thanks to the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. That move sparked a rally in stocks to fresh records —but it's also raised the odds of a stock market melt-up, he said, meaning investors are now facing the risk of an unsustainable market boom. And while inflation has cooled from its highs several years ago, it is still a risk, Yardeni noted. Advertisement"If they get to overheat the economy and get to create a bubble in the stock market, yeah they're creating some issues," Yardeni added.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , Stocks, it's, Yardeni, Michelle Bowman, haven't Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 4 basis points higher at 3.789%, while the 2-year Treasury yield rose 2 basis points to trade at 3.597%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday as market participants awaited fresh economic data and further comments from Federal Reserve officials. The 10-year Treasury yield ended last week almost 8 basis points higher after the U.S. central bank lowered interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. "I think after 50 basis points, we're still in a net tight position," Kashkari said in a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. On the data front, consumer confidence data for September and Richmond Fed surveys for September are both scheduled to be released at 10 a.m.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, we're, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Adriana Kugler, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Jenni Reid Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Fed, Richmond Fed Locations: U.S, Minneapolis
Investors are parsing through data and Fed commentary to determine future rate cuts. On Tuesday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman explained why she dissented against a deep cut in September. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Both indexes closed at all-time highs on Monday amid rising outlooks that the Federal Reserve will deliver another half-point interest rate cut in November. To better understand where monetary policy may be headed after the Fed's first rate cut in four years, investors are tuning into Fed commentary and parsing through incoming data.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, , dovish, Michelle Bowman's, Bowman Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Fed, Richmond, Here's Locations: Kentucky
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week's half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed's twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week's meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
New York CNN —So we finally got a rate cut — and a supersized one at that. However, a recession started immediately when the Fed cut rates in July 1990 and just two months after it cut in January 2001. Unemployment rate: generally risesOn average, for those six cycles, the unemployment rate rose by 1.4 percentage points a year after the Fed cut rates. For instance, a year after the Fed cut rates in July 1995, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5%. In the other four instances, the unemployment rate was at least a percentage point higher a year after the Fed cut rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it’s, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Fed, Consumer Locations: New York, stoke
Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.
Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, , Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England
The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan
But Wall Street was mostly clueless this week when it came to predicting how big a rate cut the Fed would deliver on Wednesday. The jumbo half-point cut the Fed ultimately rolled out was not at all what traders expected a week ago. Powell: Fed officials ‘left the size of the rate cut open’ ahead of September meetingIn a closely watched speech at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, last month, Powell declared “the time has come” to cut interest rates. That data was apparently enough to spur some Fed officials to reconsider their position. “But we do not expect Fed officials to be intentionally opaque,” said Husby.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , , Price, Christopher Waller, , Powell’s, Thomas Simons, ” Simons, Michelle Bowman, “ We’re, Andrew Husby, Waller, there’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Fed, PPI, CNBC, Jefferies, BNP Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department
In a historic dissent, Michelle Bowman, a Fed governor, advocated instead for a smaller 25 basis point cut. AdvertisementLeading up to the rate cut, Fed Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly emphasized the Fed's goals of maximum employment and a 2% inflation rate. Bowman said she believes inflation could come closer to the Fed's target with more gradual easing, which would avoid a spike in demand from lower borrowing costs. AdvertisementBowman has long advocated for tighter monetary policy to rein in inflation, skewing hawkish among the Fed's members. "We should keep in mind the historical lessons and risks associated with prematurely declaring victory in the fight against inflation," Bowman said in a speech last year.
Persons: , Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Fed, Business, New York Fed
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for Pro subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: "Dissent" Jay Woods of Freedom Capital Markets said he's paying close attention to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman becoming the first dissenting Fed Governor since 2005. "I think this is the return of the cyclical trade," said Shah on Worldwide Exchange. Worldwide Exchange Pick: FedEx and Transports FedEx reports after the bell Thursday.
Persons: Jay Woods, Michelle Bowman, Seema Shah, Woods Organizations: Pro, Worldwide, Federal Reserve, Freedom Capital Markets, Management, FedEx, Transports FedEx, Dow
It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.
Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, , Powell, ” Gregory Daco, , ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN
The Fed's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points garnered support from 11 of 12 voting members. Fed governor Michelle Bowman dissented, marking the first split by a central bank governor since 2005. Bowman advocated for a smaller, 25 basis point cut. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman dissented, advocating for a smaller, 25 basis point cut as the committee opted for a large, 50 basis point cut. Bowman's dissent marks the first time a central bank governor has strayed from consensus on an interest rate decision since 2005.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Service, Federal, Business
The path ahead for rate cuts
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe path ahead for rate cutsRandy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School of Business professor and former Fed governor, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what to expect from the Federal Reserve in Wednesday's announcement, the uncertainty around how much the Fed will cut rates, and much more.
Persons: Randy Kroszner Organizations: University of Chicago Booth School, Business, Fed, Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Friday backed an interest rate cut at the upcoming central bank policy meeting in less than two weeks, and indicated he’d be open to a substantial reduction if necessary. Other policymakers recently have advocated easing policy soon, but this is one of the clearest indications it will happen at the Sept. 17-18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. “Determining the pace of rate cuts and ultimately the total reduction in the policy rate are decisions that lie in the future,” Waller added. With inflation and employment near our longer-run goals and the labor market moderating, it is likely that a series of reductions will be appropriate,” he said. Futures market pricing following the jobs report tilted toward a greater likelihood of a quarter percentage point rate reduction this month.
Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, verbiage, Jerome Powell, , nonfarm, Dow Jones, Organizations: Federal, Council, Foreign Relations, Labor Department, Dow Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Randy Kroszner: The Fed will not start cutting rates by 50 basis pointsRandy Kroszner, former Fed governor, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Fed Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, the labor market conditions required for the Fed to accelerate rate cuts, and much more
Persons: Randy Kroszner, Jackson Organizations: Former, Fed
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