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Gold rose to a fresh high on Monday, extending its blazing rally amid uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election, simmering Middle East tensions and rate cuts by major central banks, while silver scaled a near 12-year peak. Gold rose to a fresh high on Monday, extending its blazing rally amid uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election, simmering Middle East tensions and rate cuts by major central banks, while silver scaled a near 12-year peak. Helped by bullion's rally, spot silver rose 1.3% to $34.08 per ounce, its highest since late 2012. Elsewhere, traders are pricing in a 99% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut in November. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a quarter point last week.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Waterer Organizations: bullion's, KCM Trade, Investors, U.S, Federal, European Central Bank, Palladium Locations: China, Beirut, Israel
European markets are heading toward a mixed start to the new trading week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 17 points higher at 8,373, Germany's DAX down 12 points at 19,644, France's CAC up 1 point at 7,611 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 55 points at 35,087, according to data from IG. Regional markets had ended last week on a high note after the European Central Bank announced its third interest rate cut of the year last Thursday, lowering the deposit rate by another 25 basis points, as inflation risks in the European Union are seen to be easing faster than anticipated. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets were mixed as traders assessed China's loan prime rate announcement, with focus also on Japan's general election at the end of this week. Stateside, stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: France's CAC, IG, Regional, European Central Bank, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: European Union, Asia, Pacific
Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Bitcoin got a lift from Trump's improving prospects since his administration is seen as taking a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation. The clearest way to express the Trump tariff risk was to be long dollars versus the euro, Swiss franc and Mexican peso , he said. Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies, also noted that rising real interest rates were helping the dollar along, particularly against those three currencies. "We expect this trend to continue straight into the election and if Trump wins, likely well after the election as well," Bechtel wrote.
Persons: Cryptocurrency bitcoin, Donald Trump, Bitcoin, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Weston, Brad Bechtel, Bechtel Organizations: U.S, Trump, China, BTC, Swiss, FX, Jefferies Locations: Asia, U.S
The onshore yuan ticked 0.06% higher to 7.1199 per dollar, while its offshore counterpart rose 0.12% to 7.1282. Data on Thursday showed U.S. retail sales growth was higher than expected and the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points. "All of that has played in to a stronger dollar," said Jason Wong, senior strategist at BNZ in Wellington. The New Zealand dollar was similarly eyeing a 0.75% fall for the week and was little changed at $0.6063 in the Asia session. The U.S. dollar index hit a 2-1/2 month high of 103.87 on Thursday and is up nearly 0.8% forthe week thus far.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ho Woei Chen, Jason Wong, There's, Yahya Sinwar, Israel's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Sterling Organizations: European Central Bank, People's Bank of China, Securities, Fund, Insurance, ECB, Reuters, Trump, New Zealand, Bank of England, U.S Locations: Asia, China, Wellington, U.S, Israel, Gaza
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. That's higher than both the 0.1% gain in August and the 0.3% Dow Jones forecast, according to the advance report. Meanwhile, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co's reported its third-quarter net revenue jumped 36% year on year, and revised its fourth-quarter revenue upward.
Persons: it's, Dow, Christine Lagarde's, Dow Jones Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, European Central Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
Safe-haven gold breaks $2,700 per ounce level as uncertainty looms
  + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold firmed 0.5% to $2,706.76 per ounce by 0220 GMT, adding nearly 2% so far in the week. U.S. gold futures rose 0.5% to $2,722.00. It's just a bull market that shows no signs of exhaustion," said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals trader. Spot silver rose 0.5% to $31.92 per ounce and was headed for a weekly gain. Elsewhere, data showed that top metals consumer China's economy expanded 4.6% in the third quarter from a year earlier, slightly beating analysts' expectations.
Persons: Tai Wong, Yahya Sinwar, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: U.S ., Treasury, Federal, European Central Bank, Democratic, Republican Locations: New York, U.S, Israel
European markets were headed for a mixed open on Friday as investors digested the European Central Bank's decision to cut interest rates yet again and awaited fresh economic data and earnings. Germany's DAX , the U.K.'s FTSE 100 and France's CAC 40 are all expected to slip when markets open, according to IG data, while Italy's FTSE MIB is on track to rise. The pan-European Stoxx 600 ended Thursday in the green, with almost all sectors and regional bourses trading in positive territory. It came as the ECB announced its third interest rate cut of the year, lowering the deposit rate by another 25 basis points, as inflation risks in the European Union ease faster than anticipated. On Friday, investors will be watching the latest U.K. retail sales data and quarterly earnings from Volvo Group.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Central, CAC, ECB, Volvo Group, Dow Jones Locations: European Union, Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong
One basis point is equal to 0.01%. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up less than one basis point at 4.1045%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury yield ticked lower by one basis point to 3.9758%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Friday as investors digested the previous day's economic data which signaled economic resilience. Comments are also expected from several Federal Reserve officials including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari.
Persons: Dow Jones, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Dow, Labor Department, Federal, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, European Central Bank, European Union
ECB'S 25-basis-point rate cut was 'quite OK,' economist says
  + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB'S 25-basis-point rate cut was 'quite OK,' economist saysCyrus De La Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, says European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde "sounded rather dovish."
Persons: Cyrus De La Rubia, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Hamburg Commercial Bank, Central Bank Locations: Hamburg
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB will cut rates in October but not commit to a forward path, Goldman economist saysJari Stehn, chief Europe economist at Goldman Sachs, discusses the European Central Bank's October meeting and the growth outlook for the euro area.
Persons: Goldman, Jari Stehn, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Central Locations: Europe
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets rise on upbeat earningsU.S. stocks resumed their advance Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley and United Airlines earnings topped estimates. The ministry also announced that bank loans to developers will be speeded up and nearly double to 4 million trillion yuan by the end of 2024, from the 2.23 trillion yuan already approved. [PRO] A shining sector that's not tech nor utilitiesBig Tech stocks, fueled by excitement over generative artificial intelligence, have been responsible for most of this year's rally in the market. But there's a new group of stocks that's fast becoming one of the best-performing sectors for the year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it'd, CSAC Organizations: CNBC, United Airlines, CSI, Beijing, ECB, European Central Bank, Intel Intel, Cybersecurity Association of China, Officials, Big Tech Locations: Asia, Pacific
Dollar hovers near 11-week high, eyes on China property briefing
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Ahead of the press conference, the offshore yuan was last 0.04% higher at 7.1328 per dollar. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, fell 0.02% to $0.6665, languishing near a one-month low hit in the previous session. "Keeping a very close eye on China, waiting for yet another press conference which is probably going to be long in rhetoric and short in detail," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank. In the broader market, the dollar was on the front foot, after having scaled an 11-week top against a basket of peers in the previous session. The dollar index was last steady at 103.51, having peaked at 103.60 in the previous session.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Sterling, Donald Trump, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Reserve, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Republican, FX, Macquarie, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Asia, China
Treasury yields rise as investors await key data
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up by more than two basis points to 4.0415%. The 2-year Treasury yield was over one basis point higher to 3.9529%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher Thursday as investors weighed comments from Federal Reserve officials made throughout the week and awaited key economic data. Investors on Thursday looked to fresh key economic data which comes after the latest remarks from Fed officials about the potential path ahead for interest rates. The data comes after several Fed officials earlier this week hinted at further rate cuts to come.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Jeff Cox, Sophie Kiderlin Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), left, and Wolfgang Proissl, director of general communications at the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024. The European Central Bank is widely expected to announce its third interest rate cut of the year at its Thursday meeting, after policymakers flagged reduced inflation risks and a weakening growth outlook. Headline price rises in the euro area eased to 1.8% in September, coming in below the central bank's 2% target for the first time in three years. A cut on Thursday would see the ECB reducing rates at consecutive meetings for the first time in 13 years. Expectations for a faster pace of monetary easing have built since the ECB's Sept. 12 meeting, when market pricing suggested just one more rate cut this year, rather than the two priced in as of Thursday morning.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Wolfgang Proissl Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
Oil inches up after surprise drop in U.S. crude stockpiles
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday, paring sharp losses over the past two sessions, after industry data showed an unexpected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles last week. It's coming, we know that but we don't know when," Sycamore said, adding that both factors bring upside risks for crude oil. In the U.S., crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday, against expectations of a build-up in crude stockpiles. Crude stocks fell by 1.58 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 11, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories fell by 5.93 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 2.67 million barrels, they said.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, China NPC, IG, Investors, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, European Central Bank Locations: Almetyevsk, Tatarstan, Russia, Israel, Iran, China, Sydney, Beijing, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeaker euro zone growth outlook has led ECB to October rate cut, CIO saysIain Stealey, international chief investment officer of global fixed income currency and commodities at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, comments on what to watch for in the European Central Bank's October communications.
Persons: Iain Stealey Organizations: ECB, Morgan Asset Management, Central
Former ECB president weighs in on the ECB rate decision Thursday
  + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer ECB president weighs in on the ECB rate decision ThursdayJean-Claude Trichet, former ECB president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss if central banks around the world should be declaring victory, if the European Central Bank will be able to stop the economy from weakening further, and much more.
Persons: Jean, Claude Trichet Organizations: ECB, European Central Bank
The Aussie dropped as much as 0.51% to $0.6669, the lowest since Sept. 12, before changing hands down 0.38% at $0.6678 as of 0133 GMT. The New Zealand dollar sank as much as 0.69% to $0.6041, a level last seen on Aug. 19. China will hold a press conference on Thursday to discuss promoting the "steady and healthy" development of the property sector. The dollar was little changed at 149.135 yen , not far from Monday's high of 149.98 yen, the strongest since Aug. 1. The euro edged 0.05% lower to $1.08875, and earlier touched $1.0882, matching the low from Tuesday, which was the weakest level since Aug. 8.
Persons: There's, Ray Attrill, there's, Attrill Organizations: New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Statistics, U.S, Traders, Fed, European Central Bank Locations: New Zealand, Beijing, China, Statistics New Zealand
Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150 per dollar
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. central bank kicked off its easing cycle with an aggressive 50 basis points at its last policy meeting in September. The dollar got a lift after Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead, citing recent economic data. That has cast doubts over when Japan's central bank will next tighten policy.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Shigeru Ishiba, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Traders, Boeing, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Caixin Global, Treasury, IG, China National, Congress Locations: U.S, Japan, China
Treasury yields inch higher after Columbus Day holiday
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.9560%, rising over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Tuesday as bond markets reopened after the Columbus Day holiday. Investors were assessing the outlook for the economy as they considered the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials and looked to economic data due throughout the week. Investors are also looking ahead to upcoming economic data releases, including fresh insights from the manufacturing sector on Tuesday, as well as the latest consumer inflation expectations report. In Europe, the next interest rate decision from the European Central Bank is due on Thursday.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, Columbus, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia's numbers aren't a hallucinationNvidia shares rose 2.4% to close at $138.07, a new record for the stock. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. [PRO] Small cap strategyMarket wisdom has it that the performance of small-cap stocks will outstrip that of big-cap stocks.
Persons: Dow, it's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Kelly Ortberg, Russell, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Nvidia, U.S . Federal, Boeing, P Global
European flags flutter in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) building prior to a news conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt/Main, Germany, on September 12, 2024. Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty ImagesThe European Central Bank is on course to deliver its third interest rate cut of the year at its meeting this Thursday, as policymakers say inflation risks are easing faster than previously expected. Headline price rises in the euro area cooled to 1.8% in September, below the central bank's 2% target. Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau last week described an October rate cut as "very likely" and said such a step "won't be the last." This led him to forecast ECB rate cuts will take place both this week and at each of the central bank's forthcoming meetings, until the deposit rate hits 2.5%.
Persons: Daniel Roland, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Villeroy, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Germany's Bundesbank, Jack Allen Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Afp, Getty, Bank of France, France, European Union, Citi, Media, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Capital Economics, Reynolds, Bank of America Global Research Locations: Frankfurt, Main, Germany, U.S .
A Trump win would pose risks to economic growth and inflation in Europe, ECB member Joachim Nagel says. Officials in Europe, for their part, are warily eyeing what a Donald Trump win would mean. Nagel's comments come just weeks before the US presidential election and follow previous warnings from ECB members about the potential impact of a Trump win. AdvertisementBack in January, ECB president Christine Lagarde said a Trump win is "clearly a threat" to Europe considering the policies he implemented during his first term in office. She pointed to Trump's tariffs, commitment to NATO, and climate change policies, which she said were misaligned with European interests.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel, , Donald Trump, Trump, he'd, " Nagel, there's, it's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, European Central Bank Governing, Tuesday, Bloomberg, Federal, NATO Locations: Europe, Germany, Berlin, Italy, EU
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe European Central Bank is facing a 'catch-22' when it comes to interest rate cuts, Allianz economist saysLudovic Subran, chief economist at Alliaz, says the "situational crisis" in the Middle East and how central banks manage the descent of interest rates are the two main concerns that could impact monetary policy.
Persons: Ludovic Subran Organizations: European Central Bank, Allianz
The euro languished not far from a three-week trough reached in the previous session, after normally hawkish European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel took a dovish tone on inflation, cementing bets for a rate cut this month. Currently, traders lay 34.6% odds of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, after the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a super-sized reduction last month. "I do think that if the payrolls report overall is not too shabby tomorrow night, then we will see that pricing (for a 50 basis-point cut) coming in quite significantly." The dollar added 0.09% to 146.575 yen after earlier reaching 146.885 for the first time since Sept. 3. The euro was little changed at $1.10455, sitting not far from Wednesday's low of $1.10325, a level last seen on Sept. 12.
Persons: European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Asahi Noguchi, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Private U.S, ADP, Fed, National Australia Bank, Dovish Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel
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