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Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), left, and Wolfgang Proissl, director of general communications at the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024. The European Central Bank is widely expected to announce its third interest rate cut of the year at its Thursday meeting, after policymakers flagged reduced inflation risks and a weakening growth outlook. Headline price rises in the euro area eased to 1.8% in September, coming in below the central bank's 2% target for the first time in three years. A cut on Thursday would see the ECB reducing rates at consecutive meetings for the first time in 13 years. Expectations for a faster pace of monetary easing have built since the ECB's Sept. 12 meeting, when market pricing suggested just one more rate cut this year, rather than the two priced in as of Thursday morning.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Wolfgang Proissl Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeaker euro zone growth outlook has led ECB to October rate cut, CIO saysIain Stealey, international chief investment officer of global fixed income currency and commodities at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, comments on what to watch for in the European Central Bank's October communications.
Persons: Iain Stealey Organizations: ECB, Morgan Asset Management, Central
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets rise on upbeat earningsU.S. stocks resumed their advance Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley and United Airlines earnings topped estimates. The ministry also announced that bank loans to developers will be speeded up and nearly double to 4 million trillion yuan by the end of 2024, from the 2.23 trillion yuan already approved. [PRO] A shining sector that's not tech nor utilitiesBig Tech stocks, fueled by excitement over generative artificial intelligence, have been responsible for most of this year's rally in the market. But there's a new group of stocks that's fast becoming one of the best-performing sectors for the year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it'd, CSAC Organizations: CNBC, United Airlines, CSI, Beijing, ECB, European Central Bank, Intel Intel, Cybersecurity Association of China, Officials, Big Tech Locations: Asia, Pacific
Former ECB president weighs in on the ECB rate decision Thursday
  + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer ECB president weighs in on the ECB rate decision ThursdayJean-Claude Trichet, former ECB president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss if central banks around the world should be declaring victory, if the European Central Bank will be able to stop the economy from weakening further, and much more.
Persons: Jean, Claude Trichet Organizations: ECB, European Central Bank
Treasury yields inch higher after Columbus Day holiday
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.9560%, rising over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Tuesday as bond markets reopened after the Columbus Day holiday. Investors were assessing the outlook for the economy as they considered the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials and looked to economic data due throughout the week. Investors are also looking ahead to upcoming economic data releases, including fresh insights from the manufacturing sector on Tuesday, as well as the latest consumer inflation expectations report. In Europe, the next interest rate decision from the European Central Bank is due on Thursday.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, Columbus, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe
European flags flutter in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) building prior to a news conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt/Main, Germany, on September 12, 2024. Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty ImagesThe European Central Bank is on course to deliver its third interest rate cut of the year at its meeting this Thursday, as policymakers say inflation risks are easing faster than previously expected. Headline price rises in the euro area cooled to 1.8% in September, below the central bank's 2% target. Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau last week described an October rate cut as "very likely" and said such a step "won't be the last." This led him to forecast ECB rate cuts will take place both this week and at each of the central bank's forthcoming meetings, until the deposit rate hits 2.5%.
Persons: Daniel Roland, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Villeroy, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Germany's Bundesbank, Jack Allen Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Afp, Getty, Bank of France, France, European Union, Citi, Media, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Capital Economics, Reynolds, Bank of America Global Research Locations: Frankfurt, Main, Germany, U.S .
A Trump win would pose risks to economic growth and inflation in Europe, ECB member Joachim Nagel says. Officials in Europe, for their part, are warily eyeing what a Donald Trump win would mean. Nagel's comments come just weeks before the US presidential election and follow previous warnings from ECB members about the potential impact of a Trump win. AdvertisementBack in January, ECB president Christine Lagarde said a Trump win is "clearly a threat" to Europe considering the policies he implemented during his first term in office. She pointed to Trump's tariffs, commitment to NATO, and climate change policies, which she said were misaligned with European interests.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel, , Donald Trump, Trump, he'd, " Nagel, there's, it's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, European Central Bank Governing, Tuesday, Bloomberg, Federal, NATO Locations: Europe, Germany, Berlin, Italy, EU
LONDON — European stocks are expected to kick off October trading in positive territory after ending September on a somber note. The upbeat start to October comes after European stocks closed lower on Monday, with almost all sectors and major bourses in negative territory. Investor focus on Tuesday will be centered on preliminary inflation data from the euro zone for September. Preliminary harmonized German inflation data released on Monday showed the country's consumer price index eased to 1.8% in September, down from 2% in August. Last week, preliminary data showed the harmonized inflation rate in both France and Spain plunged below the ECB's 2% target in September.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, IG, European Central Bank Locations: France, Spain
The September harmonized CPI figure had been forecast to come in at 1.9% according to a Reuters poll. The German harmonized CPI figure was last under 2% — which is the European Central Bank's target rate for inflation — in February 2021, LSEG data indicated. For that, the still elevated core inflation rate would also need to ease notably. Within Europe, data published last week showed that the harmonized inflation rate in France and Spain fell below the 2% target in September. "The recent series of disappointing economic sentiment indicators and lower-than-expected inflation data have provided new strong arguments for ECB doves," he said.
Persons: Destatis, Sebastian Becker, Becker, Carsten Brzeski Organizations: European Union, Deutsche Bank Research, CNBC, European Central Bank, ING, ECB Locations: Berlin, Germany, European, Westphalia, Europe, France, Spain
France's harmonized inflation rate fell sharply in September, preliminary data from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (Insee) showed Friday. Harmonized consumer prices in the euro zone's second-largest economy came in at 1.5% in September, down from 2.2% in August. The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is adjusted for comparison with other euro zone countries. Altogether, Insee said that the September drop in consumer prices represents the sharpest monthly fall since 1990. Tobacco prices were expected to be virtually unchanged in September, compared to the previous month, Insee said.
Organizations: Eiffel, Paris, National Institute of Statistics, Economic Studies, Consumer, Reuters, European Central Bank, ECB, France's, Index, Olympic, Paralympic Games Locations: Paris, London
Kirill Kudryavtsev | Afp | Getty ImagesEuropean banking's latest takeover battle is widely regarded as a potential turning point for the region — particularly the bloc's incomplete banking union. Whatever the outcome of UniCredit's swoop on Commerzbank, Marsh said the episode marks "another huge test" for German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. What is Europe's banking union? OMFIF's Marsh said Germany's opposition to UniCredit's move on Commerzbank means Berlin "now stands accused of favouring European banking integration only on its own terms." The logo of German bank Commerzbank seen on a branch office near The Commerzbank Tower in Frankfurt.
Persons: Kirill Kudryavtsev, Italy's UniCredit, David Marsh, Marsh, Olaf Scholz, Scholz, , Germany's Scholz, OMFIF's Marsh, UniCredit's, Daniel Roland, Onur Genç, Mario Centeno, CNBC's, , Centeno Organizations: European Central Bank, Afp, Getty, London, European Union, CNBC, BBVA, Banco Sabadell, Reuters, European Central Bank's Governing, EU Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Germany's, Milan, Europe, Commerzbank, Italy, Berlin, Spanish, Brussels, Spain
ECB's Centeno on banking consolidation in Europe
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB's Centeno on banking consolidation in EuropeECB's Governing Council member Mario Centeno says officials must work through politicians' comments and focus on their job to finish the banking union.
Persons: Mario Centeno Locations: Europe
ECB's Centeno: We have been postponing the recovery in Europe
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB's Centeno: We have been postponing the recovery in EuropeECB Governing council member Mario Centeno joins Street Signs in an exclusive interview, commenting on recent data, and his outlook for the European economy.
Persons: Mario Centeno Organizations: Europe ECB Locations: Europe
Four worries that should keep market bulls awake at night
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors are still expressing signs of concern despite the stock market hitting all-time highs, according to Deutsche Bank. The S & P and the Dow weren't alone in their milestones. Gold prices also notched a new all-time high following the supersized Fed cut, crossing the $2,600 per ounce level on Friday. Allen also highlighted that traditional valuation metrics are "elevated" considering the "relentless" nature of the market in 2024. Year to date, the S & P has gained nearly 20%, and has risen in 24 of this year's 38 weeks, according to FactSet.
Persons: Dow, Henry Allen, Allen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ECB Locations: Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB has no grounds to block UniCredit's higher Commerzbank stake: Federated HermesFilippo Alloatti, head of financials in the credit team at Federated Hermes, discusses Italian bank UniCredit's request to raise its stake in Commerzbank.
Persons: Hermes Filippo Alloatti Organizations: ECB, Federated Hermes Locations: Commerzbank
Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan
Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty ImagesIndia can achieve sustainable economic growth of up to 8% over the medium term, according to the country's central bank governor. The figures have ratcheted up pressure on the central bank to launch its own rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later. Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), speaks during the Global Fintech Fest 2024 in Mumbai, India, on August 28, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt comes as major central banks have started to ease monetary policy in recent months, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Women (silhouetted) walk past Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo displayed at Global Fintech Fest exhibition in Mumbai.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Nurphoto, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, The U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of India, Global Locations: Mumbai, India, Japan, Germany, U.S, China
Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.
Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPIIE's Kirkegaard: ECB will have to 'step on the pedal' when it comes to rate cuts in 2025Jacob Kirkegaard with PIIE does not expect the European Central Bank to move on rates in October after its 25 basis point interest rate cut in September.
Persons: Jacob Kirkegaard Organizations: ECB, European Central Bank
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe ECB needs to cut interest rates again in October and December 2024: AmundiGuy Stear of Amundi says 2025 growth in the Eurozone will be worse than the ECB is expecting and it warrants further interest rate cuts by the ECB this year and next.
Persons: Guy Stear, Amundi Organizations: ECB
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB to cut 'even more aggressively' in 2025 if the economy weakens, ING Bank saysCarsten Brzeski, global head of macro research at ING Bank, discusses European Central Bank's interest rate cut, saying it was a "very dovish" one.
Persons: Carsten Brzeski Organizations: ECB, ING Bank
LONDON — European stocks are set to open higher Friday as investors continue to digest the European Central Bank's decision to cut rates and its impact on future monetary policy. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 is seen opening 1 point higher at 8,239, France's CAC up 20 points at 7,448, Germany's DAX 57 points higher at 18,563 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 41 points at 33,484 ,according to IG data. The European Central Bank slashed rates as expected on Thursday, marking its second 25-basis-point cut this year and bringing its key interest rate to 3.5%. Policymakers gave little indication on the course for monetary policy, however, with President Christine Lagarde saying the bank was not "pre-committing to a particular rate path." Asia-Pacific markets, meanwhile, were mixed, as mainland Chinese markets rebounded from a six-year low and Australian markets near an all-time high.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Central, France's CAC, European Central Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe, France
Dollar weak as traders add to wagers of big rate cut from Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
While the Fed is all but certain to cut rates next week, uncertainty around whether it will go with a 25 basis point cut or 50 basis points has kept investors on the edge and weighed on the dollar. Analysts pointed to media reports from the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal suggesting the Fed's decision would be a close call as one of the reasons for traders adding to wagers of a big rate cut next week. Higher U.S. jobless claims data released on Thursday and the Wall Street Journal article on the Fed's rate cut dilemma revived bets on a jumbo cut at the September meeting, according to Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC. Besides the Fed, the Bank of England and Bank of Japan hold policy meetings next week. "Risks remain that inflation may not return to target as easily as everyone, including the Fed, seems to expect."
Persons: Christopher Wong, Christine Lagarde, Ryan Brandham, Naoki Tamura, Sterling, BoE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial Times, Wall, Traders, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Validus Risk Locations: North America
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference on the Eurozone's monetary policy, at the central bank's headquarters in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on July 18, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to rally at the open Thursday as investors in the region await the latest monetary policy decision from the European Central Bank. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 76 points higher at 8,267, Germany's DAX up 159 points at 18,482, France's CAC 40 up 64 points at 7,460 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 257 at 33,472, according to data from IG. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to slash rates again by 25 basis points on Thursday, a move that would mark the first cut since June, when it described the potential for a September reduction as "wide open." The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Germany's DAX Organizations: European Central Bank, LONDON, The, CAC, IG Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
The European Central Bank on Thursday delivered a quarter-point interest rate cut, marking its second reduction to the deposit rate this year. The widely anticipated move comes after a period of sluggish economic growth across the euro zone and cooling inflation, which fell back toward the central bank's 2% target in August. The ECB lowered its 2024 growth forecast to 0.8%, down slightly from an earlier projection of 0.9%, citing "weaker contribution from domestic demand over the next few quarters." For many market participants, the big question was not whether the ECB would cut rates in September — but whether the central bank will provide any clues as to what will follow. The ECB's meeting comes just days before the Federal Reserve appears poised to start its own rate-cutting cycle.
Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Federal
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