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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation in services is still too sticky, says Fmr. Dallas Fed President Robert KaplanRobert Kaplan, Fmr. Dallas Fed president, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed minutes, rate cuts and the economy.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Robert Kaplan, Fmr Organizations: Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President: I'm on guard to look for at least 2-3 more months of positive CPI dataRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how Kaplan is considering the latest CPI data, whether the fiscal impulse is still boosting the economy, and more.
Persons: I'm, Robert Kaplan, Kaplan Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
Former Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan on NYCB turmoil
  + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan on NYCB turmoilRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed president, joins 'The Exchange to discuss New York Community Bank as the regional bank's stock took a hit after Moody’s cut its credit rating to junk.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed, New, Community Bank
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher on Q4 GDP data: The Fed should be congratulated for thisFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the better than expected Q4 GDP data, what it means for the Fed's rate path decision, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Dallas Fed, Former Dallas Fed
"The market seems to have gotten excited that the Fed's going to have to do more than what the Fed thinks in terms of rate cuts now. watch nowThere is certainly a wide gap between what the Fed has indicated in terms of rate cuts and what the market is expecting. It probably means that right now, the market needs to give back some of the rate cuts that they priced in." Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said this week that while she expects rate hikes could be done, she doesn't see the case yet for cuts. Still, Brusuelas thinks the market is too aggressive in pricing in six rate cuts.
Persons: Frederic J, Brown, Dow Jones, Jack McIntyre, McIntyre, they've, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Logan, Joseph Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Richard Clarida, … There's, Clarida Organizations: AFP, Getty, Federal, Brandywine Global Investment Management, Traders, Dallas, RSM Locations: Rosemead , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed Pres. Richard Fisher: The Fed pulled this off without destroying the economyFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's next move, state of inflation, 2024 outlook, and more.
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Fed
S&P 500 futures ticked lower Thursday night after the broad-market index ended an eight-day run of gains. S&P 500 futures slipped by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.2%. "The Fed's not cutting rates … We've got to prepare for a market that's going to have higher rates until the beginning of 2025," Simpson said. As the week winds down, the S&P 500 and the Dow are poised for modest losses of 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. Wall Street will also be listening closely toward several remarks from central bank officials, which include San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.
Persons: , Dow, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Kevin Simpson, he's, We've, Simpson, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wynn Resorts, Federal, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Wealth Planning, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed Locations: Boston, San
Fed is making progress on inflation, Goolsbee says
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
"Over the next couple of months, we might equal the fastest drop in inflation in the last century," Goolsbee said in an interview with broadcaster CNBC. "So we're making progress on the inflation rate. The term premium is the added compensation investors expect for owning longer-term debt and is measured using financial models. Higher yields and more broadly tightening financial conditions help the Fed by tamping down growth and cooling inflation. If that's coming from term premium and it's tightening, then we have got to take that into account," Goolsbee said.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, I've, Lorie Logan, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Andrew Cawthorne, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Dallas, Thomson Locations: U.S
Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. The session marks the sixth straight advance for the Dow and S&P 500 and seventh straight gain for the Nasdaq. The streak is the longest for the S&P 500 since early June, since July for the Dow and since January for the Nasdaq. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 113 new lows.
Persons: Bumble, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Brendan McDermid, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Dow, University of, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New, San Francisco, New York City, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Markets will look for more clarity on the Fed's intentions from officials speaking later in the week, including Chair Jerome Powell, and voting members such as New York Fed chief John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 99 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New, San Francisco
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors climbed, with information technology (.SPLRCT) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) leading gains. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jamie Cox, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dish, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Tesla, Reuters, Traders, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Harris Financial, Fed, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berlin ., Lisa Cook , New
Futures edge up on rate cut hopes; Fed speakers awaited
  + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Walt Disney (DIS.N), Instacart (CART.O) and Biogen (BIIB.O) are among major companies reporting earnings this week. 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. ET, Dow e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.5 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.27%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mohit Kumar, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Walt Disney, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Jefferies, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Tesla, Reuters, University of, Dow e, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Lisa Cook , New, Berlin, Beijing
U.S. equity futures were flat on Sunday evening after the major averages capped their best week so far this year. S&P 500 futures ticked higher by 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered below the flat line at 0.01%. November is the best-performing month for the S&P 500, according to the Stock Traders' Almanac. The S&P 500 has generated an average return of 7% from November through April since then, he said. Several other Fed officials are making public remarks later in the week as well, including New York Federal Reserve President and CEO John Williams, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.
Persons: Dow, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Walt Disney, Wynn, Jerome Powell, Bharat Ramamurti, CNBC's, Lisa D, Cook, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Thomas Barkin, Lorie Logan Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Stock Traders, MGM Resorts, Occidental Petroleum, National Economic Council, New York Federal Reserve, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Richmond Federal, Dallas Fed Locations: Horton, Atlanta, Richmond
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed President: The Fed will need to keep rates higher into a 'meaningful' part of 2024Former Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, Treasury yields, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Dallas Fed, Former Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed Pres. Richard Fisher: What's driving rates higher and longer is our fiscal policyFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's two-day policy meeting, what he believes is driving higher interest rates, the impact on the economy, and more.
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
The US is borrowing too much money and that's what is keeping rates up, the ex-Dallas Fed Chair says. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe higher for longer outlook for interest rates sparked a historic crash in Treasury bonds this month, but there's another factor that's set to keep yields higher going forward, and that's US fiscal policy. According to former Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher, massive government borrowing needed to fund massive spending will be a culprit of higher bond yields. "I believe what's driving rates higher and what will keep them higher for longer is our fiscal policy," Fisher told CNBC on Tuesday. Compounding the issue of soaring debt is rising interest rates, as borrowing costs rocket higher amid the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation.
Persons: Fisher, , Richard Fisher, Rowe Price's Organizations: Dallas Fed, Service, Dallas Federal, CNBC, Treasury Locations: Europe
After 11 interest rate hikes, Federal Reserve officials appear divided on next steps. Jerome Powell and other central bankers have signaled another rate hike could be on the table. Since the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting, several central bankers have signaled that interest rates could still go higher. Atlanta Fed President, Raphael Bostic, October 20: "I really do try to keep people focused on what inflation is, still at 3.7%. Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell, October 19: "Financial conditions have tightened significantly in recent months, and longer-term bond yields have been an important driving factor in this tightening.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , CME's, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Christopher Waller, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Dallas Fed, Governors, Boston Fed
Bond term premiums are now a focus for the Fed. What are they?
  + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A bond yield can be decomposed into three elements: Expectations for what the Fed does with short-term rates; a premium for expected inflation; and a term premium. Term premiums cannot be directly observed but a number of models for them exist. A New York Fed model shows the term premium for the benchmark 10-year Treasury note has climbed by more than a percentage point since the start of the third quarter. "A sudden rise in term premiums to more normal levels poses a downside risk to long-maturity Treasury prices, which could in turn affect the prices of other assets," the Fed said in its July 2017 Monetary Policy Report, a period during which term premiums were below zero. "If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate."
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Jerome Powell nodded, Lorie Logan, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Economic, of New, Reuters, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics, Dallas, National Association for Business Economics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, of New York, York
Morning Bid: To 5% and beyond, bond yields soar
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The company earnings picture, meantime, was mixed to sour over the past 24 hours in both the U.S. and Europe. Despite decent demand at a typically awkward 20-year bond auction on Wednesday, yields continued to spiral higher overnight and ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's key speech later on Thursday. The upshot of all factors has seen Treasury yields climb ever higher through the night - with two-year and 20-year yields , now both above 5.25%, the latter at a record high and the former the highest since 2006. Ten and five-year tenors also saw yields soar to within a hair's breadth of 5% early on Thursday too. The ructions in the bond market and incoming earnings saw Wall St indexes (.SPX), (.NDX) hit their lowest in 10 days on Wednesday and futures were in the red again ahead of the open today.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Republican Jim Jordan, Blackstone, Philip Morris, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, Patrick Harker, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S, Netflix, Republican, Bank of Japan, Mortgage Bankers Association, HK, Fifth Third Bancorp, Philip Morris , Union Pacific, CSX, Truist Financial, American Airlines, Alaska Air, Philadelphia Fed, U.S . Federal, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Housing, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Washington, Venezuela, Europe, Frankfurt, Freeport, McMoRan, China
Emma Jones, a spokesperson for the Fed, declined to comment on why many Fed officials, who in the past moved swiftly to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, weren’t addressing the war in Israel. There are some Fed officials who are starting to talk about it, though — albeit only when asked questions. Fed officials see little immediate threat to the US economyAtlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was the first to speak about the war, at the American Bankers Association’s annual conference last Tuesday. That’s probably why more Fed officials were quicker to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, Dorn said. “I don’t think the Fed wants to look like they’re taking sides,” Dorn added — but said Fed officials could easily talk about it without looking partial.
Persons: Chris Waller, ” Waller, Michael Barr, Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Emma Jones, James Dorn, , , Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Neel Kashkari didn’t, aren't, they're, Al Drago, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Patrick Harker, we’ve, Harker, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dorn, Dorn, There’s, Gregory Daco, Daco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, , Dallas Fed, Fed, Cato Institute, CNN, Atlanta Fed, American Bankers, Minot State University, Minneapolis, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, ” Boston, Wellesley College, Philadelphia Fed, Delaware State Chamber of Commerce, JPMorgan, Rystad Energy Locations: New York, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Waller’s, North Dakota, Delaware, Iran, Lebanon, Syria, United States, That’s, Gaza, Hormuz, EY
Interest rates on traditionally "safer" investments like Treasury bonds are high. Economist Thomas Hogan of the American Institute for Economic Research recently pointed out this upside to the interest rates and how it is helping Americans. "Now, interest rates on US Treasury bonds are at the highest in more than a decade, giving savers a safe, stable place to store their money." If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate. However, to the extent that strength in the economy is behind the increase in long-term interest rates, the FOMC may need to do more."
Persons: , Thomas Hogan, Hogan, Jerome Powell, Kevin Dietsch, Tim Hayes, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Service, Treasury, American Institute for Economic Research, Federal, NDR, U.S, Supreme, Dallas Locations: Israel
MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We certainly hope Morgan Stanley's numbers are as good as Friday's report from our other bank holding Wells Fargo (WFC). Morgan Stanley is expected to grow revenue by more than 2% year over year to $13.2 billion in the third quarter. During a recent conference, Morgan Stanley executives said that capital markets will likely improve in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley have struggled this year, dropping more than 8% compared to the S & P 500's nearly 13% advance in 2023. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, WTI, Jerome Powell's, There's, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Powell, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Jefferson, – Morgan Stanley, Gamble –, Morgan Stanley YTD, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, there's, Gamble, Jim, we'll, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, — CNBC's Zev Fima, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Columbus Day, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Club, Fed, Market, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, National Association of Realtors, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil, Coterra Energy, of America, United Airlines, Gamble, Housing, Netflix, Alcoa, American Airlines, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alaska Air, CSX, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, New, Wells, KBW, Silicon, Manhattan, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher: The market is doing the work of the FedFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss this week's inflation data, what it means for the Fed's next interest rate decision, Treasury yield outlook, and more.
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Dallas Fed, Fed Former Dallas Fed
The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) gained 0.7% to the highest level in three weeks. Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) rallied 1.3% for a third straight day, climbing away from its five-month low hit last week. U.S. Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let it "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. With the long-awaited pivot for the Fed in sight, traders are bracing for the all-important U.S. consumer inflation report later in the day. Stakes are higher because a producer price inflation report came in hotter than expected on Wednesday.
Persons: HSI, Christopher Waller, Waller, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Alan Ruskin, payrolls, Brent, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Federal Reserve, Tokyo's Nikkei, Central Huijin Investment, Federal, U.S, Fed, Dallas Fed, Markets, FedTool, Deutsche Bank AG, Saudi, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Palestine
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