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Treasury yields rise as investors weigh rate outlook
  + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.2000%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher to 4.4706%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Friday as investors considered the path ahead for interest rates after the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials. Investors digested remarks from Fed policymakers made throughout the week as they weighed the potential path ahead for interest rates. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also this week said that rate cuts would begin before inflation reaches the 2% target.
Persons: Mary Daly, we're, Daly, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Fed
Gold shines on rising Fed rate-cut outlook
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,461.27 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams both noted the shortening horizon toward looser monetary policy. Separately, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he is "very encouraged" on broadening declines in inflation. "Over the next 6-12 months, regardless of who wins the (U.S.) election, we see gold rising to $2700-$3000 and silver to $38," Citi Research said. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $30.35, platinum steadied at $994.81 and palladium gained 0.4% to $955.77.
Persons: Ryan McIntyre, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, CME's Organizations: Sprott Asset Management, Holdings, New York Fed, Richmond Fed, Federal, Citi Research, Investors, U.S Locations: U.S, ., China
Read previewBarely a week after the failed assassination of former US President Donald Trump, investors are already moving on from the "Trump trade." The "Trump trade" refers to investor strategies that reflect the market consequences of a second Trump presidency. Schumacher said the "Trump trade" has run its course and is "about done for now." Focus on Fed interest rate decisionTo be sure, a second Trump presidency — including his administration's trade and tariff policies — would have important implications for the macroeconomy and markets, say most analysts. On Wednesday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicated that the central bank would cut "in the not-too-distant future."
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Michael Schumacher, Schumacher, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Federal Reserve, US Treasury, Bloomberg, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Fed, Swiss, UBS Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia, Japan
Mortgage rates are down this week, with 30-year mortgage rates averaging around 6.30%, according to Zillow data. This should remove some of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which may happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Fed, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was trading around 4.1672% at 2:20 a.m. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also 2 basis points higher at 4.4524%. U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Thursday as investors digested a range of comments by Federal Reserve officials and what they could mean for interest rates. It comes as traders increasingly bet on a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with a reduction in July now seen as highly unlikely. Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates would likely be cut before inflation reaches 2%.
Persons: Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell, you've, Powell, Dow Jones, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, York Fed, Wall Street Journal, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Economic, of Washington D.C
Gold eases after hitting fresh record
  + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices extended their rise to a fresh all-time high on Wednesday, as growing optimism for an interest-rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September and a weaker dollar boosted demand. Spot gold eased about 0.2% to $2,462.85 per ounce, driven by profit-taking, after the bullion hit a high of $2,482.29 earlier in the session. Markets now see a 98% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
Persons: David Meger, Christopher Waller Organizations: Co, U.S . Federal Reserve, High, Fed Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
The Fed will cut rates in the "not-too-distant future" if inflation and the labor market remain favorable. That's according to Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who delivered remarks on Wednesday. Other Fed officials still say they still need to see more data inflation is cooling. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is getting ready to cut interest rates.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Organizations: Service, Reserve, Kansas City Fed, Business
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders
Gold drifts higher as U.S. rate cut optimism boosts appeal
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A five hundred gram gold bar, left, and a a one kilogram gold bar, produced by Swiss manufacturer Argor Hebaeus SA, in Budapest, Hungary. Gold prices nudged higher on Tuesday as comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell bolstered the case for a September rate cut, while investors awaited more U.S. economic data for further monetary policy cues. Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,423.89 per ounce by 0140 GMT. A rate cut in September is now fully priced in by markets, which may keep sentiments in gold prices well-supported in the lead-up," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Investors were awaiting U.S. retail sales data due at 1230 GMT on Tuesday and comments from Fed governors Christopher Waller and Adriana Kugler later this week for further direction.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Yeap Jun Rong, Christopher Waller, Adriana Kugler, Yeap Organizations: Argor Hebaeus SA, Federal, Investors, Reuters Locations: Swiss, Budapest, Hungary
Gold prices muted with U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices steadied on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on interest rate cuts and looked forward to more U.S. economic data for policy clues. Gold prices were subdued on Wednesday ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data due this week, which could offer more clarity on the timing of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut this year. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Lisa Cook said "at some point" it will be time to cut interest rates. "Dips in the gold price remain relatively shallow courtesy of buyers stepping in from the sidelines on price retreats," Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, said in a note. Waterer added that the $2,368 level would need to be breached for gold to surpass the highs from last week.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Yeap Jun Rong, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, IG's, Rong, Tim Waterer, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, U.S, KCM Locations: U.S
America’s housing crisis continues to worsen
  + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Washington CNN —Homeowners in America aren’t the only ones struggling with an unaffordable housing market. A report from Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies released last week showed that both homeowners and renters in recent years have become increasingly burdened by climbing housing costs. That’s all part of a broader struggle in the US housing market, and recent data shows that it hasn’t gotten any better. But there’s a problem: ChatGPT — soon to be integrated into Siri — is banned in China, reports my colleague Samantha Murphy Kelly. The Chicago Fed releases its National Activity Index for May.
Persons: ” Lael Brainard, , , Brainard, Biden, ” Brainard, ChatGPT —, Siri —, Samantha Murphy Kelly, OpenAI, Siri, ChatGPT, Read, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, General Mills, Levi Strauss, Tom Barkin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN — Homeowners, America aren’t, Harvard University’s, for Housing Studies, Harvard, , White, Economic Council, Urban Institute, Administration, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Samsung, Cyberspace Administration, FedEx, Chicago Fed, Global, Index, Board, Micron, General, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Nike, McCormick, Walgreens, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Richmond Fed, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, America, Congress, China
By no means am I interested in tackling any impact policy differences may have upon non-market related subjects. Monetary policy So let's begin with monetary policy. Fiscal policy Now let's turn to fiscal policy. Trade policy Trade policy is easy. Regulatory policy Finally, the big kahuna, regulatory policy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Clinton, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman —, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Powell, Biden, Lisa Cook, Philip Jefferson, Bill Dudley's, Covid, Trump, Cato, Stocks Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trump Fed, Bloomberg, Democratic, Heritage, AEI, Biden Locations: China
That’s why it is crucial for central bankers to insist on 2%. “By communicating an explicit inflation target — and then delivering inflation consistent with that target — central banks earn credibility with the public,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a recent speech. Stripping away highly volatile categories such as food and energy — a measure referred to as “core” inflation — won’t quell central bankers’ concerns. The Fed can’t ignore CPIAlthough CPI isn’t the inflation gauge the Fed targets, central bankers don’t write it off. It was, however, welcome news to Fed officials that Consumer Price Index-measured inflation fell to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in March.
Persons: Frank Robinson, , they’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Ben Bernanke, they’ll, John Williams, hasn’t, , Tom Barkin, don’t, Christopher Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal, Fed, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, ” Richmond Fed, CPI Locations: New York
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesInvestors likely will have to sweat out a summer during which it looks increasingly improbable that the Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates. A batch of stronger-than-expected economic data coupled with fresh commentary from policymakers is pointing away from any near-term policy easing. "The market takes every bit of data and translates it to how the Fed sees it. So if the Fed is data dependent, the market is probably more data dependent." Put it together, and there's not much reason for the Fed to be easing policy here.
Persons: Michael M, Quincy Krosby, Christopher Waller, there's, Michael Gapen, BofA, Gapen Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, LPL, Fed, Bank of America Locations: New York City
Dollar holds firm as traders trim U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The carry of holding dollars is far juicier," he said, while policymakers' rhetoric has also made traders nervous about inflation and the risk rate cuts would be distant or small. Traders have pushed out the timing of the first Fed rate cut to December. Thursday's business surveys from S&P Global supported the conviction among many traders that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. But not for traders who are positioned for Fed cuts. Rates markets still price a near 90% chance the ECB cuts rates next month.
Persons: Martin Whetton, Matt Simpson, Sterling, Christopher Waller Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Federal, Traders, P Global, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Locations: Sydney
You’d think that would mean the economy is coasting, since periods of low unemployment are generally associated with higher rates of economic prosperity. That seems to be the case with a lot of recent economic data: No piece of good news comes without other evidence that give economists pause. “I wouldn’t give the economy a clean bill of health,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY. But given consumer spending is one of the biggest drivers of the economy, a pullback can have adverse effects, too. The uglyThe biggest flashing red light in the economy right now is the level of debt people are racking up.
Persons: Zers, , Gregory Daco, Joe Biden, there’s, Donald Trump’s, Here’s what’s, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, ” David Alcaly, Daco, ” Sung Won Sohn Organizations: New, New York CNN, EY, of Labor Statistics, Federal, Gov, Lazard, CNN, New York Fed, Loyola Marymount University, SS Locations: New York, Wisconsin
"I think the message that's coming through is that they have no idea what's going on," Howard said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Wednesday. Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday said that he needed to see further data evidence that inflation was softening before supporting rate cuts. Waller's comments were echoed by other Fed officials on Tuesday, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins. 'A credibility problem'But Fed officials have not come out with a clear message about their expectations or to address why inflation remains elevated, GAM's Howard said. "And now [policymakers] think inflation is coming down but its not coming down fast enough," he said.
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Julian Howard, Howard, Christopher Waller, Waller's, Susan Collins, GAM's Howard, They've Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal, GAM, Fed, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Washington , DC, U.S, Washington
Fed officials aren’t easing Wall Street’s nerves
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Optimism spurred by the latest inflation data pushed all three major stock indexes to new record highs. But now Wall Street, eager for rate cuts, is on edge again. But some financial leaders remain doubtful that the Fed is feeling confident enough to cut rates soon. “I think we’re set up for stickier inflation.”Some Fed officials say another rate hike isn’t likelyFed officials have mostly sounded a little more optimistic about inflation recently, after the Consumer Price Index for April finally provided some welcome news. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Bloomberg on Monday that she also thinks interest rates are high enough to deal with inflation.
Persons: they’re, Dow, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ I’m, , , Philip Jefferson, Mary Daly, Axios, Jerome Powell, Klaas Knot, Loretta Mester, Chris Larkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, CNBC, , Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston College, Mortgage, Association, ” San Francisco Fed, European Central Bank Governing, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, Locations: ” San
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street reaches new highsThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh record highs as investors await earnings from AI chipmaker Nvidia after the close on Wednesday. Nvidia's shares rose 0.6% with option traders pricing in swings of as much as 9% up or down in reaction to its earnings. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. [PRO] When Nvidia risesCNBC's Ganesh Rao takes a look at six artificial intelligence-related stocks that have historically reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly earnings.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Ganesh Rao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, CSI, Nikkei, Reserve Bank of New Locations: New York City, Israel, Asia, Hong Kong, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, United States, Japan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. Singapore Airlines: one dead, 30 injuredOne person died and 30 people were injured aboard a Singapore Airlines flight that was hit by severe turbulence and forced to land in Thailand. Singapore Airlines Flight 321 encountered "sudden, severe turbulence" about 10 hours into a flight from London to Singapore, the airline said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Jesse Pound, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, Singapore Airlines, Singapore Airlines Flight, Boeing, Wall Street Locations: New York City, Israel, Thailand, London, Singapore
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up by over two basis points to 4.4374%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8626% after rising by nearly three basis points. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Wednesday as investors considered the latest comments from Federal Reserve speakers about the outlook for inflation and interest rates. A series of Fed officials on Tuesday urged patience when it comes to rate cuts as inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. On Wednesday, further Fed officials are set to give remarks and minutes from the central bank's latest meeting are due to be released.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Boston Fed, Atlanta Fed
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., May 1, 2024. Federal Reserve officials grew more concerned at their most recent meeting about inflation, with members indicating that they lacked the confidence to move forward on interest rate reductions. Minutes from the April 30-May 1 policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee released Wednesday indicated apprehension from policymakers about when it would be time to ease. The meeting followed a slew of readings that showed inflation was more stubborn than officials had expected to start 2024. The Fed targets a 2% inflation rate, and all of the indicators showed price increases running well ahead of that mark.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, FOMC, Stocks Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, University of Michigan, New York Fed Locations: Washington , U.S
The S&P 500 came close to breaching a new high, as investors gear up for Nvidia earnings on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday, as investors gear up for Nvidia's highly-anticipated earnings report. By now, the semiconductor manufacturer has a reputation for leading broader stock market upside and traders are eyeing the release as the next big catalyst as the market heads toward summer.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Crypto, , cryptocurrency Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, ethereum, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Governor Christopher Waller: Don't think we are going to need to raise ratesCNBC's Steve Liesman sits down with Fed Governor Christopher Waller to discuss inflation, rate policy, and more.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Steve Liesman Organizations: Fed
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary. Yet Waller said he's not ready to back interest rate cuts. Markets have had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy this year. In the early months, futures markets traders priced in at least six rate cuts this year starting in March.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, he's Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Market, Labor Department Locations: Washington ,, Washington
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