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China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday. The lack of consumer support in China's last stimulus package disappointed investors. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Chinese authorities followed up by announcing Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence.
Persons: , Lan Fo'an, China's, Mark Williams, Stephen Roach, Arthur Kroeber, Gavekal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Finance, Analysts, CSI, Reform Commission, Capital Economics, Asia, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Yale
With all eyes on China right now, one fund manager is bullish on the country regardless of any "bazooka" stimulus measures, saying investors should be getting involved. Starting on Sept. 24, China announced a string of stimulus measures aimed at boosting China's economy . Stephen Roach, for example, former chief economist at Morgan Stanley, warned investors against being too swept up in the China market rally . 'Starting point' For those looking to invest in China, Glass said a good "starting point" was Midea Group , which makes appliances and industrial robots. Analysts' average price target is 4.49 Hong Kong dollars, which gives the stock almost 30% potential downside from its current price around 6.40 Hong Kong dollars.
Persons: Steven Glass, Glass, hasn't, CNBC's, Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley, Midea Organizations: Sydney, Pella Funds, Investors, National Development, CSI, HSBC, Generations Fund, Midea Group, China Equity, Hong, Garden Services Holdings Locations: China, Pella, Hong Kong, Shenzhen, U.S, Hong
Hedge funds that recently flocked into Chinese stocks on stimulus hopes just did a 180. The net selling was 1.4 times larger than the previous record, Goldman said. "As NDRC underwhelmed, hedge funds rapidly sold off Chinese equities," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients on Wednesday. "Hedge funds not only unwound their long positions but added shorts to their books as well, with long sells being double the amount of short sells." Hedge funds had only just piled into the developing market at a record pace one week before , as Beijing's rare stimulus blitz unleashed newfound optimism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Tepper, Mehran Nakhjavani Organizations: National Development, Appaloosa Management, CNBC, China's CSI, MRB Partners Locations: China
A general view of the Shanghai Securities Exchange building is being shown in Shanghai, China, on July 16, 2024. Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.26% to end at 39,380.89, while the broad-based Topix rose 0.2% to close at 2,71267. Traders in Asia were assessing September data on producer prices in Japan which rose 2.8% from a year ago. Economists polled by Reuters had predicted the inflation rate would come in at 2.3%, down from 2.5% in August. The rally had been triggered by a blitz of government stimulus measures at the end of September.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Hong, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Ahya Organizations: Shanghai Securities Exchange, Dow Jones, Nikkei, Traders, Reuters, Investors, Holdings, Alimentation, CSI, China's Finance, Asia Locations: Shanghai, China, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific, 2,71267, Asia, Japan, Beijing
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
European stocks are heading for a flat to mixed open Wednesday as positive sentiment wavers in the region, spurred by market volatility in China. Regional markets traded and closed lower Tuesday, with all major bourses and the majority of sectors trading in the red during the day. On Tuesday, the HSI recorded its worst day in 16 years, closing 9.41% lower. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday night after a winning session for the major averages. Wall Street is coming off a strong session for the major averages Tuesday as tech stocks outperformed, and oil prices eased off their highs.
Persons: HSI Organizations: Regional, CSI, NATO Locations: China, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Belgium
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.
Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China
As investors consider whether — and how — to invest in China, two experts share their views on the market right now. "We believe the scale and focus of these measures, particularly the targeted liquidity injection, address the critical issue of insufficient domestic capital flows into China's stock market. 'China is no longer cheap' Lorraine Tan, director of Asia's equity research at Morningstar, is more cautious looking ahead. "At this point in time, China markets are no longer cheap. Stocks on her radar include "higher quality, moaty names," such as fast-food restaurant chain Yum China Holdings and property developer China Resources Land .
Persons: Jingwei Chen, , Europe —, Chen, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI, Wall, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, Companies, BYD, Tencent Holdings, Morningstar, China Holdings, China Resources Locations: China, Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong
China's stock markets slumped after a 10-day rally that was driven by Beijing's stimulus announcement in September. Retail investors dominate China's markets, influencing sentiment and market movements. AdvertisementChina's top leadership has a problem with its economic stimulus: its own investors at home saw right through the hype this week. China's domestic stock markets slumped on Wednesday after a 10-day blitz culminated in a two-year high. China's domestic stock markets are dominated by over 200 million mom-and-pop retail investors, who account for about 70% of the trading volume.
Persons: , weren't, Jun Rong, that's, Vishnu, Li Qiang, Hele Qiao, Qiao Organizations: Investors, Service, People's Bank of China, Reform Commission, BofA Global Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Xinhua, Greater China, China's
But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S
China's stock markets surged post-National Day break, driven by pent-up investor demand. Investors are assessing further economic stimulus measures from Beijing. AdvertisementChina's stock markets surged on Tuesday on pent-up demand from a weeklong trading break. Even before Tuesday's opening, China's social media was abuzz with what the stock markets may hold following the weeklong public holiday break. On Tuesday, hashtags about mainland China's stock market rushed to the top of Weibo's trending list.
Persons: , Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Service, Beijing's, CSI, National Development, Reform Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, hashtags
Two women sit on the sidewalk of Qiansimen Jialing River Bridge, decorated with Chinese national flags, on October 3, 2024 in Chongqing, China. National Day Golden Week is a holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949. But he stopped short of announcing any new major stimulus plans, underwhelming investors and weakening the rally in the mainland Chinese markets. China will speed up special purpose bond issuance to local governments to support regional economic growth, the senior NDRC official said. Zheng said ultra-long special sovereign bonds, totaling 1 trillion yuan, have been fully deployed to fund local projects, and he vowed that China will continue to issue ultra-long special treasury bonds next year.
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Zheng Organizations: National, Reform, Golden, CSI Locations: Chongqing, China, People's Republic of China, Shanghai
Goldman Sachs is the latest in a flurry of calls to upgrade China stocks after the Asian giant's recent wave of stimulus measures. Goldman predicts that Chinese stocks could even jump a further 15% to 20%, given the powerful comeback rally that has already occurred. It says the MSCI China index could have another 15% upside, and the CSI 300 index could enjoy a further 18% upside. In a Monday note, Citi also increased its price target for Chinese stocks. Following that, Wall Street started getting bullish on those stocks again, with Morgan Stanley predicting Chinese stocks are set to rally 10% and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, , Vishnu Varathan Organizations: CSI, Citi, Wall, BlackRock Investment Institute, Mizuho Securities Locations: China, China's
European markets are heading for a mixed open Tuesday as regional sentiment sours further after a shaky start to the week, with investors watching the conflict in the Middle East closely and its potential impact on oil markets, supply chains and the global economy. Elsewhere overnight, U.S. stock futures were little changed following a losing day on Wall Street Monday as rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on markets. In the Asia-Pacific region, an initial rally for Chinese markets lost steam after a briefing from the country's National Development and Reform Commission provided few details on further stimulus. Earlier, mainland China's CSI 300 index had skyrocketed over 10% at the open at its return from the Golden Week holiday, but the index pared gains later in the session. Key releases for markets this week include U.S. Federal Reserve minutes and German trade on Wednesday, U.S. inflation on Thursday and U.K. economic growth on Friday.
Organizations: Reform, CSI, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio thinks it's still tricky to invest in China right now as Beijing may be seeking to structurally move the country away from capitalism. "There's something big going on that they had a debt crisis and they also had a capitalism crisis. The high-profile investor even said he is raising his usual allocation limit and is not hedging his big China bet. Dalio said he doesn't expected big rate cuts as the economy remains in solid shape. I think the economy by and large right now itself is in relatively good balance," he said.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, David Tepper Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, CSI, Appaloosa Management, CNBC Locations: China, Beijing, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut
Chinese chip stocks gained $13 billion on Monday, led by a 22% rise in shares of SMIC. The gains come as traders expect Beijing to extend stimulus support to the semiconductor industry. AdvertisementChinese chip stocks soared Monday, fueled by hopes that Beijing's next round of stimulus will boost the country's semiconductor industry. The new round of stimulus could include support for its chip companies. China first announced its stimulus measures last month, pledging to rescue the economy from a struggling property sector and weak domestic demand.
Persons: , Beijing's Organizations: Service, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp, CSI Locations: SMIC, Beijing, China, Hong Kong
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese investors are looking for more policy direction from China's top economic planning body on Tuesday, when mainland markets return from a week-long holiday. Before the week-long holiday, authorities unveiled a flurry of stimulus policies, including interest rate cuts, lower cash reserve requirements at banks, looser property purchase rules and liquidity support for stock markets. Chinese major indexes have surged over 25% as investors cheer on the barrage of stimulus measures. Last week, China's CSI 300 blue-chip index extended a nine-day winning streak, surging over 8% Monday, before the market closed for a week-long holiday. Now the government needs to add fiscal stimulus to maintain the rally's momentum, said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Zheng Shanjie, Erica Tay, Tuesday's presser, Shaun Rein, Rein, Adek Berry, Lynn Song, Song, Gary Ng Organizations: Shoppers, Bloomberg, Getty Images, National Development, Reform, State Council, CSI, SGX FTSE, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Ministry, Finance, China Market Research, AFP, Getty, ING Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, SGX FTSE China, Tuesday's, Xicheng, Greater China, Shenzhen
AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.
Persons: , it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, , MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 7, 2023 - The Oriental Pearl Tower, Shanghai Tower, Jinmao Tower and World Financial Center are seen on Lujiazui Street, Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. China stocks will keep rising after markets in the mainland reopen following the Golden Week break, analysts predicted. Beijing's announcements of economic support last week have fueled China's CSI 300 blue-chip index to rally over 25% in a nine-day winning streak. Then, Hong Kong stocks dropped on Thursday, ending a 6-day winning streak and sparking fears that China's stimulus rally could have started to fizzle out. Beijing's recent stimulus blitz coupled with higher participation from retail investors will likely fuel a longer rally, he said.
Persons: Eugene Hsiao, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi, Shaun Rein, it's, Rein, Ting Lu Organizations: Financial, CSI, of China Equity, Macquarie Capital, China Market Research Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Hong Kong
China stocks have been on an upward tear since then, with the mainland's CSI 300 index rallying over 25% to rise nine days in a row. Shares of Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands have respectively gained nearly 8% and more than 2% this week. Stocks with a 14-day relative strength index reading, or RSI, above 70 are considered to be overbought. The stock has an RSI reading of 82. Fellow China play Wynn Resorts also has a high RSI reading of 86.
Persons: Robin Farley, Vistra, Angie Storozynski, Humana, Stephens, Paul Lejuez, WMT Organizations: People's Bank of China, CSI, Wynn Resorts, CNBC Pro, UBS, China, Seaport Research Partners, Humana, Dollar, Citi, Walmart, omni Locations: China, U.S, Macau
Beijing's rare stimulus blitz unleashed newfound optimism from hedge fund investors, who have been piling into beaten-down Chinese stocks like never before. Hedge funds started flocking to Chinese stocks after the government announced a flood of stimulus measures in a bid to revive growth and avoid a deep slump in the world's second largest economy. The high-profile investor even said he's raising his usual allocation limit and is not hedging his big China bet. He dove into Chinese internet stocks last quarter as Burry's hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, made Alibaba its top holding at the end of June. KWEB 5D mountain KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF Beijing's big stimulus also prompted BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, to upgrade Chinese stocks to overweight — with a caveat.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Tepper, Tepper, Burry It's, bullish, Nick Wilcox, Michael Burry, Stanley Druckenmiller, he's Organizations: Appaloosa Management, CNBC, China . Man, Man, Scion Asset Management, Baidu, CSI China, BlackRock, U.S Locations: China, Taiwan
Tesla — Shares declined about 4% after the electric vehicle company fell short of third-quarter delivery estimates . Chinese stocks — Chinese stocks continued to rally on the back of sweeping stimulus measures in the country. Lamb Weston Holdings — Shares of the french fry giant rose more than 2% after its fiscal first quarter topped estimates. Analysts surveyed by LSEG expected 72 cents per share in earnings and $1.56 billion in revenue. The company posted revenue of $2.79 billion, versus a FactSet estimate of $2.84 billion.
Persons: Humana, That's, JD.com, Davidson, Lamb, Lamb Weston, LSEG, CNBC's Lisa Han, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Sean Conlon Organizations: Nike, Exchange, KraneShares CSI China Internet, Baird, Lamb Weston Holdings —, Barclays, Endeavor Energy Resources, Conagra
US-listed gaming and copper stocks have outperformed since China's stimulus blitz, Trivariate Research says. "We have concluded the intervention is incrementally bullish for US equities," CEO Adam Parker wrote. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementGaming and copper stocks listed in the US have outperformed since China unleashed a blitz of stimulus, and one research firm is recommending investors consider buying. Parker says historically, not all China stimulus measures have impacted US equities, especially when they coincide with other market moving events in the US.
Persons: Adam Parker, , Trivariate Research's, Parker, Trivariate, that's Organizations: Trivariate, Sands, Service, CNBC, US, Wynn Resorts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, CSI Locations: Freeport, McMoran, Las, China, Monday's, McMoRan, Macau
CNBC Daily Open: Markets defied expectations last month
  + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 24, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning month and quarterU.S. markets rose on Monday to finish a winning month and quarter. While that may remind investors of the 2015 bubble, when the Chinese stock market doubled in value over six months, analysts think things are different this time.
Persons: Tesla, Jerome Powell, Powell, Cerebras, Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nikkei, . Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Nvidia, Systems, Nasdaq, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong, South
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