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Rowan and Warsh shake up Treasury raceFew of the unfilled positions in Donald Trump’s cabinet are as important as Treasury secretary. Allies of two candidates, Howard Lutnick, the transition co-chair, and Scott Bessent, a top economic adviser, publicly stumped for them this weekend. Musk threw his support behind Lutnick over the weekend, calling Bessent “business as usual,” an especially cutting criticism in the Trump camp. Loeb backed Bessent, arguing that choosing Lutnick might rattle investors, including in the $28 trillion market for Treasury bonds and notes. That said, Bessent is also being floated for positions such as chair of the White House’s National Economic Council.
Persons: Rowan, Warsh, Donald Trump’s, cloudier, Howard Lutnick, Scott Bessent, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Elon Musk, Dan Loeb, Musk, Bessent, Trump, Loeb Organizations: Times, Apollo Global Management, Fed, Treasury, White, Economic Council
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Richard Tobin, Tobin, cryogenics, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Dover, Club, Marshall Excelsior Company, SPS Cryogenics, Nvidia, Walmart, Viking Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover
How to trade on Thanksgiving travel
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow to trade on Thanksgiving travelDan Close, head of municipals at Nuveen, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss trading on Thanksgiving travel, the case for municipal bonds, and more.
Persons: Dan Close Locations: Nuveen
BEIJING, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 04: Buildings and vehicles are seen in the central business district during the rush hour on September 4, 2020 in Beijing, China. China's finance ministry is planning to front-load part of the 2025 local government special bonds quota to meet funding needs for major infrastructure projects, state-backed The Securities Times reported on Monday. The State Council, China's cabinet, typically determines and issues an advance allocation of new local government debt quotas for the following year in the fourth quarter, depending on economic conditions, the report said. By the end of October, local governments had issued 3.9 trillion yuan ($539 billion) in new special bonds, almost completing debt issuance under the 2024 quota, the report added. Earlier this month, China unveiled a 10 trillion yuan debt package to ease local government financing strains and stabilise flagging economic growth, as it faces fresh pressure following the re-election of Donald Trump as U.S. president.
Persons: Donald Trump Organizations: Securities Times, State Council, Ministry of Finance, Beijing Locations: BEIJING, CHINA, Beijing, China
AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi
Money manager John Davi is positioning for challenges tied to President-elect Donald Trump's tariff agenda. Davi said he worries the new administration's policies could be "very inflationary," so he thinks it is important to choose investments carefully. "Small-cap industrials make more sense than large-cap industrials," the Astoria Portfolio Advisors CEO told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. Davi, whose firm has $1.9 billion in assets under management, also likes staying domestic despite the tariff risks. But Davi plans to stay away from fixed income due to challenges tied to the growing budget deficit.
Persons: John Davi, Donald Trump's, Davi, CNBC's, Russell, Trump Organizations: Astoria
AdvertisementAndre Nader found himself in a financial hole after losing money trading options. He shifted his investment strategy and started buying low-cost index funds. He owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds, including VTI and VXUS. Andre Nader lost a good chunk of money in the stock market in his early 20s. Nader, who considers himself "semi-FIRE'd" since his wife still works, owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds.
Persons: Andre Nader, VXUS, Nader, Nader —, , I've Organizations: Fidelity, Vanguard, Bogleheads, Meta, Market, Index Fund Locations: San Francisco
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's 6 trillion yuan aid to property market is helpful to 'a certain extent': EconomistHao Hong of GROW Investment Group says China's total local government debt is likely much higher than official figures. He says investors who are attracted to Chinese high-yield dollar bonds are betting on 'very substantial' policy measures by the government.
Persons: Hao Hong
CNN —As US President-elect Donald Trump continues to make heads turn with nominations for key roles in his incoming administration, Russians are trying to understand the appointments and what impacts they might have for Moscow. Waltz also described Russia as “a gas station with nukes” in an interview with NPR on November 4. Asked about how they viewed the incoming administration and future relations between old adversaries, people were a little more divided. “Trump said that ‘I will do everything for America’, but he did not say a word about Russia,” Sergey told CNN. But I hope, that there will be a good agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Persons: Donald Trump, Evgeny Popov, Mike Waltz, Donald Trump’s, Waltz, Vladimir Putin, Popov, Trump, Olga Skabeeva, Tulsi Gabbard, Gabbard, ” Skabeeva, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Elon, ” Elena, “ Trump, , ” Sergey, Vladimir Kostyukevich, Joe Biden, Elena, , ” Tatiyana, , Kostyukevich Organizations: CNN, TV, Duma, Ukraine, NPR, Republican, Kyiv, of, Twitter, America Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Israel, Palestine
The global 60/40 strategy has seen a 27% cumulative return since 2022 through Oct. 31, according to Vanguard data. Traditionally, stocks and bonds move in opposite directions, which helps lower the volatility of this traditional portfolio. But that didn't work in 2022, when stocks and bonds both suffered and the 60/40 tanked, which had many declaring the strategy dead. The 60/40 portfolio tends to be shorthand for a balanced, diversified portfolio, with specific allocations based on investors' individual needs. For instance, Morningstar's index that reflects a 60/40 portfolio is up about 15% year to date.
Persons: Todd Schlanger, it's, Dan Lefkovitz, Morningstar, Lefkovitz, doesn't, Amy Arnott, Price, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Morningstar's, Vanguard's Schlanger, Schlanger, Organizations: Vanguard, Morningstar, Commodities, Bank of America, Fund, Bloomberg U.S, U.S .
One of the surest bets when the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates was for bond prices to rise while yields came under pressure, but that hasn't played out according to plan. This market, which has defied so many historical patterns, has kept the pressure on bond yields up due to a variety of factors, including more persistent concerns about the federal deficit. But her bigger concern remains on the bond side of the markets. She said investors will be "more wary" given the election rally and the pulling forward of expectations about tax cuts and regulation and expectations they will contribute to growth. But it is in the bond market where investors should expect even more volatility.
Persons: hasn't, Donald's Trump, Anne Walsh, Nelson Peltz Organizations: Federal Reserve, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, CNBC's, Alpha, DA Locations: New York City
Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
"Investors should take advantage as munis are poised to deliver good performance into year-end and 2025, in our view," he added. Interest income from municipal bonds is free of federal income taxes. Further, if the investor resides in the same state that issues the bond, the interest income can be exempt from state taxes. Both of those tax cuts could reduce muni bond demand, Li said. As for any potential changes in the individual tax rate, UBS' Mukherjee doesn't necessarily see a big impact on demand.
Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Yingchen Li, Trump, Li, Donald Trump, Bank of America's Li, downgrades Organizations: Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America, muni, Republicans, Senate, Democrats, GOP, UBS, Investment, Bank of America's
CNN —Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and the stock market is loving it. ‘The regime change’For now, stock market investors don’t seem bothered by the jump in bond yields or these inflationary or debt concerns. “The stock market jumped for joy that the election results were definitive, thus averting a contested election. Of course, market veterans say they wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock market eventually display concern about tariffs and inflation under Trump. That could pose a number of problems for the economy and the stock market.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, shockwaves, , David Kotok, Stephanie Roth, Roth, ” Roth, Sau Loeb, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Buchbinder, , Kotok, it’s, ” Kotok, They’re, Freddie Mac, , Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, It’s, , BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky Organizations: CNN, White, Dow Jones, stoke, Trump, Advisors, Wolfe Research, Treasury, US Treasury Department, Getty, Wall Street, LPL, Fed, Stock Locations: Big, Washington , DC, Washington
But it shows how the stock market begins to get a little skittish whenever bond yields surge like this. We've seen that dynamic rear its head from time to time during the rise in bond yields that began in September. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Elliott, ValueAct, Stanley Black, Decker, Trump, Donald Trump, CyberArk, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Morning, Elliott Management, Honeywell, Meta, Management, Mizuho Securities, Club, Spotify, Occidental Petroleum, Skyworks, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Meta, China
CNBC's Jim Cramer examined Tuesday's market action, saying the rally fueled by the victory of President-elect Donald Trump took a breather as Wall Street weighs what broad tax cuts could mean for the bond market. Cramer called the day's moves a "sobering reaction to the potential unfunded tax cuts from the bond market," as both the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields surged more than 4%. The bond market and the stock market usually have a negative correlation, with investors coming in and out of each depending on yields. Trump campaigned on the promise of tax cuts across a wide swath of sectors. Many on Wall Street expect these cuts will come in aggregate, but remain unsure of the specifics, Cramer noted.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Cramer, Trump, Elon Musk Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: U.S
Such a scenario would entail higher inflation, higher rates, and falling stock prices, Roubini predicted. "That's going to crowd economic growth, and bond yields above 5% would imply a correction of stock prices and negative impacts on the economy." AdvertisementOther experts have warned some of Trump's policies could lead to higher inflation and interest rates, with his tariff plan attracting significant criticism from economists. Some of Trump's policies — like his plans to loosen regulation — could prop up business activity and fuel growth, Roubini noted. "I think markets are still in a wait-and-see to figure out whether the policies are going to be hurting the economy," Roubini said.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Roubini, , Donald Trump's, Doom, prognostications, Trump, Trump's, Taylor Rogers, hin, Stocks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, stoke, Republican National Committee, Trump, Fed, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China
Jamie Grill | Tetra Images | Getty ImagesFor investors who want income, dividends may provide an answer. Dividend investment options may come in the form of single company stocks or dividend-paying funds, like exchange-traded funds or mutual funds. However, dividend-paying funds like ETFs or mutual funds may provide a broader exposure to dividend securities, often at lower costs, she said. For investors who are considering putting a portion of their portfolios in dividend-paying strategies to fulfill their income-seeking goals, there are some things to consider. What kind of dividend-paying fund fits my goals?
Persons: Jamie Grill, Leanna Devinney, Devinney, Daniel Sotiroff, Sotiroff, it's Organizations: Fidelity Investments, Morningstar, Apple, Microsoft, Vanguard Locations: Hingham , Massachusetts
She says everyone should invest in crypto, but not if you're investing money you can't afford to lose. Exchange-traded funds or mutual fundsExchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds are a great way to buy into the market without cherry-picking individual stocks, says Tu. Mutual funds, on the other hand, are a group of stocks and other assets typically handled by a fund manager to maximize profits. Real estate investment trustsA real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company that owns, operates, and invests in income-producing rental properties. With some of the best real estate investing apps, you can start investing with as little as $10.
Persons: Wall Streeter Vivian Tu, , Vivian Tu, doesn't, They're Organizations: Service, Exchange, Mutual, Apple, Disney Locations: YOLO, cryptocurrency
The coming reign of the only child
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Ann Friedman | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +16 min
American women are having kids later in life, leaving less time to bear multiple children. American women in general are having children later, but the delay is most pronounced among the most educated. Even religious conservatives, who are biblically motivated to be fruitful and multiply, are starting families later and more often having only one child. So what will the coming reign of the only child mean for America? Just as having children is no longer seen as a required stage of adulthood, having siblings will no longer be a de facto part of childhood.
Persons: Hallie Parker, , Parker, Harry Potter, Harriet, Dennis, Menace, They're untethered, Drew Barrymore, Woods, Kanye, Zers, we've, it's, Granville Stanley Hall, Spock, Hall, Toni Falbo —, Thomas Edison, Jack Welch, Carl Icahn —, Rebecca Zisser, It's, Anastasia Berg, What's, isn't, Berg, Corinne Lyons, wasn't, fiancé, Lyons, China's, Onlies, they'll, iStock, they're, Paul Ehrlich, Anne, Bill McKibben, Elon Musk, JD Vance, Rainer Turim, Ann Friedman Organizations: National Council, Family Relations, Granville, Harvard, Hall, Detroit, Alpha Kappa Alpha Locations: America, Sweden, France, China, Stanford, Vietnam, India, Manhattan, Los Angeles
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
Landlords, realtors, and some pro-housing groups opposed the measure, but the California Democratic Party, tenant groups, and some unions supported it. California voters did, however, vote to enshrine a state constitutional right to marry regardless of sex or race and to issue bonds for natural resource conservation. Related storiesThough Lurie is a Democrat, he received the support of some Republican groups in San Francisco who have criticized Breed's handling of crime, drug use, and homelessness in the city. AdvertisementOther signs California was turning more redBefore Election Day, there were some signs the state's electorate had shifted to the right. California is still tallying its votes, so exactly how much the presidential vote changed from 2020 to 2024 is unclear.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom's, Voters, Allen J, Incumbent San Francisco Mayor London Breed, Daniel Lurie, Lurie, Levi Strauss, Mark Farrell, George Gascón, Gascón, Nathan Hochman, Harris, Joe Biden Organizations: Service, Democratic, SpaceX, Republican, Trump, State, Democratic Gov, realtors, California Democratic Party, Los Angeles Times, Getty, Incumbent San Francisco Mayor London, Democrat, The San Francisco Republican, Los, Public, Institute of California Locations: California, Texas, Coachella, San Francisco, The, Los Angeles County, Los Angeles, Illinois , New Jersey , New York , Connecticut, Maryland
Twelve students at Salisbury University in Maryland have been charged with hate crimes after they allegedly targeted a man over his sexual orientation by inviting him to an off-campus apartment where they beat him and used derogatory names, police said. Salisbury University in Salisbury, Md. Megan Raymond/Salisbury Daily Ti / USA Today NetworkPolice said they were contacted by the Salisbury University police department on Oct. 31 about an assault that allegedly occurred in an off-campus apartment complex for college-aged students. Salisbury University President Carolyn Ringer Lepre wrote on X that the students arrested have been placed on suspension, which includes being restricted from campus and barred from academic coursework. “It’s very unfortunate that Salisbury University has jumped to conclusions by suspending these young men before there has been any findings related to this incident,” he said.
Persons: Ryder Baker, Bennan Aird, Riley Brister, Cruz Cespedes, Dylan Earp, Elijah Johnson, Zachary Leinemann, Cameron Guy, Jacob Howard, Eric Sinclair, Patrick Gutierrez, Dylan Pietuszka, Aird, Megan Raymond, Salisbury, , Carolyn Ringer Lepre, Lepre, Steve Rakow, , Leinemann Organizations: Salisbury University, Salisbury Police, USA Today Network Police, Terrace, Police, Sigma Alpha Epsilon, NBC, NBC News, SU, ” Salisbury University Locations: Maryland, Salisbury, Delaware, Md
Twelve students at Salisbury University in Maryland have been charged with hate crimes after they allegedly targeted a man over his sexual preferences by inviting him to an off-campus apartment where they beat him and used derogatory names, police said. The students, aged 18 to 21, have been charged with first-degree assault, false imprisonment, reckless endangerment and associated hate crime charges, the Salisbury Police Department said in a news release Thursday. Police said they were contacted by the Salisbury University police department on Oct. 31 about an assault that allegedly occurred in an off-campus apartment complex for college-aged students. Salisbury University President Carolyn Ringer Lepre wrote on X that the students arrested have been placed on suspension, which includes being restricted from campus and barred from academic coursework. “It’s very unfortunate that Salisbury University has jumped to conclusions by suspending these young men before there has been any findings related to this incident,” he said.
Persons: Ryder Baker, Bennan Aird, Riley Brister, Cruz Cespedes, Dylan Earp, Elijah Johnson, Zachary Leinemann, Cameron Guy, Jacob Howard, Eric Sinclair, Patrick Gutierrez, Dylan Pietuszka, Aird, , Carolyn Ringer Lepre, Lepre, Steve Rakow, , Leinemann Organizations: Salisbury University, Salisbury Police, Delaware . Police, Terrace, Police, Sigma Alpha Epsilon, NBC, NBC News, SU, ” Salisbury University Locations: Maryland, Salisbury, Delaware
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