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☆ UBS says 'going into Japan now is like catching a falling knife,' warns stock sell-off will continue
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

watch nowGoing into the Japanese market at this moment is akin to catching "a falling knife," Kelvin Tay, regional chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon"The only reason why the Japanese market is up so strongly in the last two years is because the Japanese yen has been very, very weak. It strengthened sharply after the BOJ raised its benchmark interest rate last week to around 0.25% and decided to trim its purchases of Japanese government bonds. A stronger yen pressurizes Japanese stock markets, which are heavily dominated by trading houses and export-oriented firms by eroding their competitiveness. Ueda also said the 0.5% interest rate level — Japan has not seen that since 2008 — was not a barrier, and rates could go even higher.

Persons: Kelvin Tay, CNBC's, Tay, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, — Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Nikkei, U.S, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan

☆ The market sell-off could be a 'growth scare,' Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The global sell-off in equities could end up being a mere "growth scare," according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. The index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," has more than doubled to above 50 since Friday, when it stood at roughly 23. For his part, Lee has been one of Wall Street's more bullish market commentators . But Lee opined that the sharp spike in Wall Street's fear gauge may suggest that a return to investor confidence could be over the horizon. "We have over three days where suddenly markets reversed, [and] declines like that are generally symmetric but you have to watch the VIX," Lee said.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of, greenback Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan

☆ The global 'carry trade' is unwinding. Here's why it's a brutal force crushing stocks worldwide.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The unwind of the global yen "carry trade" is a force battering stocks. AdvertisementStocks plunged on Monday, and market pros say a lot of it has to do with the global unwind of the yen "carry trade." The carry trade refers to investors borrowing money at near-zero interest rates in Japan, and then redeploying that cash into higher-yielding assets around the world, such as stocks and bonds. "The selloff here is to a large extent attributable to the unwind of the so-called carry trade," Ed Yardeni told Yahoo Finance on Monday. AdvertisementThe unwind in the yen carry trade will go down as the biggest ever, according to a Monday note from Societe Generale.

Persons: —, Stocks, Ed Yardeni, that's, Yardeni, That's, Kit Juckes, Warren Buffett's, Juckes, It's Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Bank of Japan, Federal, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan

☆ Dow crashes 1,000 points and the Nasdaq loses 3% as recession fears fuel market panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks plunged Monday amid recession fears and the yen carry trade unwind. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Monday as investors worried about a potential recession and the knock-on effects from the unwind of the yen carry trade. All of those factors have drummed up fears that a recession could be imminent, especially given that the Federal Reserve could be "behind the curve" in its failure to cut interest rates last month. AdvertisementHere's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Some believe the Fed should implement an emergency interest rate cut, including Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. AdvertisementBut perhaps the biggest driver of Monday's stock market decline was the unwind of the yen carry trade.

Persons: Dow Jones, —, payrolls, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, LPL, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank of, Service, Dow Jones, Apple, Amazon, Intel, Federal, Here's, Bank of Japan, Yahoo Finance Locations: Japan

☆ Japan's market rally is going through a 'transitional phase': Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's market rally is going through a 'transitional phase': Goldman SachsBruce Kirk, chief Japan equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, discusses the Bank of Japan's hawkish pivot and the outlook for the country's market.

Persons: Goldman Sachs Bruce Kirk, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of Japan's Locations: Japan

☆ Why Japanese stocks just had their worst day in 4 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Japanese government raised rates on Wednesday, breaking from its historically dovish stance. The drop comes just two days after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates in an effort to boost the yen's value amidst higher inflation. The BoJ raised rates from a range of 0% to 0.1% to a benchmark 0.25%. The bank raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years back in March, ending its negative interest-rate policy. Others add that, as the market prices in the rate hikes, it will adjust accordingly.

Persons: —, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Nikkei, Service, Bank of, Bank of Japan, Intel, Bank of America, JPMorgan Locations: Tokyo

☆ It 'became a must' for the BOJ to tighten policy, Shuaa Capital says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt 'became a must' for the BOJ to tighten policy, Shuaa Capital saysAarthi Chandrasekaran, director of investments at Shuaa Capital, discusses Bank of Japan's monetary policy.

Persons: Aarthi Chandrasekaran Organizations: Shuaa

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Fed signals rate cut; U.S. stocks soar; oil gains as Middle East tensions rise
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rate cut on horizonThe Federal Reserve expectedly kept its benchmark rate steady at 5.25% to 5.50% on Wednesday, but Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the U.S. central bank could cut the rate in its September meeting. U.S. stocks rallyU.S. stocks jumped after Powell said a rate cut in September was "on the table." Oil gainsU.S. crude oil futures rose 4% on Wednesday after Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran. Asian stocks mixedAsian markets were mixed on Thursday with Japan stocks tumbling while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 touched a new all-time high. [PRO] Rate cut beneficiariesCNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S&P 500 that tend to rise the most when short-term rates start to decline.

Persons: expectedly, Jerome Powell, Powell, Ismail Haniyeh, Israel, Oil Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Wall, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Devices, Boeing, Treasury, Facebook, Google, Meta, Oil, West Texas Intermediate, Nikkei, Developers, Bank of, Singapore Airlines, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Tehran, Iran, Israel, Beirut, Japan, Shanghai

☆ Japan confirms $36.8 billion currency intervention as weak yen pushes BOJ to hike interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

New Japanese 1000 Yen banknote on display inside the Currency Museum of the Bank of Japan's Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies. Japanese authorities spent 5.53 trillion yen ($36.8 billion) to shore up the yen in July, official data published Wednesday showed. The move was expected to mark the Bank of Japan's highest interest rates since 2008. It marks a stark contrast from the start of the month, when the Japanese currency fell to 161.96 per dollar for the first time since December 1986. The yen has been combating sustained pressure since the BOJ ended its monetary policy of negative interest rates in March.

Organizations: Currency Museum, Bank of Japan's Institute for Monetary, Economic Studies, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S ., of Japan's

☆ Asia markets are mixed ahead of Bank of Japan rate decision, China business activity data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda delivers a speech at the start of issuance of new yen banknotes at the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo on July 3, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Wednesday as investors awaited the Bank of Japan's rate decision and China's business activity data. Economists polled by Reuters expecting the bank to raise rates to 0.1%, though other analysts are expecting a larger hike. The BOJ's benchmark interest rate currently is in a range of 0% to 0.1%. Should the bank raise rates, this will mark the first time since 2010 that its benchmark interest rate stands firmly at 0.1% or higher.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, Reserve Bank Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific

☆ Goldman: Expect the Bank of Japan to upgrade their inflation outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman: Expect the Bank of Japan to upgrade their inflation outlookTomohiro Ota, Senior Japan Economist at Goldman Sachs, discusses the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision this week.

Persons: Goldman, Tomohiro Ota, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of Japan, Senior Japan, Goldman, Bank

☆ Japan's Nikkei jumps 2% to lead gains in Asia as traders assess U.S. inflation data, await BOJ meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 leading gains in the region after a key U.S. inflation report late last Friday raised hopes for an interest rate cut. The Nikkei rose 2.02%, while the broad-based Topix was up 1.52%. In Asia, the highlight for this week will be the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting starting July 30. A Reuters poll of economists expects the central bank to raise rates by 10 basis points to 0.1%. Other key inflation data from the region include China's July PMI data, while Australia will release its latest set of inflation data before the central bank's Aug. 6 monetary policy meeting.

Persons: Topix, Dow Jones Organizations: Mount Fuji, Japan's Nikkei, Nikkei, Bank, ING Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Australia

☆ Japan stocks extend rally to hit fresh all-time highs amid mixed Asia-Pacific markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People commuting to work in the morning cross a pedestrian crossing in Tokyo on February 15, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly up, with Japan's key benchmark hitting new highs on Friday, after scaling record peaks in the previous session. The broad-based Topix also extended its gains and advanced 0.06% to a fresh record high. Japan's household spending for May unexpectedly dipped 1.8% in real terms compared to the same period last year. Household spending data is a key metric for the Bank of Japan's to assess its goal of realizing a "virtuous cycle" of rising wages and prices.

Persons: Topix Organizations: Nikkei, Reuters, Bank of Japan's Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific, Singapore

☆ Euro rises after France's first-round vote, yen struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro rose on Monday after the first round of France's snap election put the far-right in pole position, though by a smaller margin than projected, while a downgrade to Japan's first-quarter growth figures knocked the yen lower. "They (RN) have actually performed a little bit worse than what was expected," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The yen struggled to gain ground against a broadly weaker dollar, and was last 0.05% lower at 160.93 per dollar. That could lead to a cut to the Bank of Japan's growth forecasts in fresh quarterly projections due later this month and affect the timing of its next interest rate hike, analysts said. Elsewhere in Asia, the Chinese yuan - also a victim of stark interest rate differentials with the U.S. - was last 0.02% higher at 7.2981 per dollar in the offshore market.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Carol Kong, Michael Brown, CBA's Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reserve, New Zealand, Bank of, U.S Locations: Japan, Asia

☆ Japanese manufacturer sentiment stronger than we expected: BofA Securities
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese manufacturer sentiment stronger than we expected: BofA SecuritiesIzumi Devalier, head of Japan economics at BofA Securities, discusses the Bank of Japan's latest Tankan survey and the outlook for its monetary policy.

Persons: BofA Securities Izumi Devalier Organizations: BofA Securities, Bank of Japan's Locations: Japan

☆ Japanese yen weakens to fresh 38-year lows; top currency diplomat replaced
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesThe Japanese yen weakened to fresh 38-year lows on Friday, crossing the 161 mark against the dollar for the first time since 1986 and reaching a high of 161.27, according to LSEG data. The yen has been steadily deprecating since the Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate policy and scrapped its yield curve control policy in March. Following the move, the currency crossed the 150 mark against the dollar, reaching 160 in late April before the country's finance ministry intervened. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconJapan's finance ministry confirmed that it intervened between April 26 to May 29 to the tune of 9.7885 trillion yen ($62.25 billion). The benchmark U.S. federal funds rate stands at 5.25% to 5.5%, while the Bank of Japan's benchmark interest rate is at 0%-0.1%.

Persons: Dong Chen, Dong Organizations: Currency Museum, Bank of Japan's Institute for Monetary, Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, Japan Ministry of Finance, U.S, Bank Locations: Asia, Swiss, Japan

☆ Asian shares shaky as investors wary before US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.

Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ Dollar steady ahead of inflation reading; yen teeters toward 160
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The yen weakened to 159.94 per dollar in early trade on Monday, its lowest since April 29, when the yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 leading to Japanese authorities spending some 9.8 trillion yen to support the currency. "The combination of slowing activity, a loosening labor market and slower inflation readings make us increasingly confident that the Fed will begin reducing policy rates in September," Citi said. The Australian dollar was last at $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6113.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Carol Kong, Emmanuel Macron, Christopher Wong Organizations: Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reuters, Citi, Fed, National, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S

☆ Dollar scales multi-week highs as other cenbanks more dovish than Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Even so, Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda stressed on Friday that Tokyo stands ready to take further "resolute" action against "speculative, excessive volatility". The dollar index was little changed at 105.66, on course for a slight weekly gain that would extend its winning streak to three weeks. Sterling was flat at $1.2657, sticking close to the $1.2655 low from Thursday, a level last seen on May 17. The BoE kept rates on hold, but some policy makers said the decision not to cut was "finely balanced". The European Central Bank kicked off its rate cutting cycle earlier this month.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Masato Kanda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Federal, Swiss, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Bank of, IG, U.S . Treasury, European Central Bank, Fed Locations: Japan, China, Tokyo

☆ CNBC Daily Open: S&P 500 briefly crosses 5,500, closes lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. S&P 500 slips from record highThe S&P 500 briefly passed the 5,500 mark for the first time before ending the session lower. Open AI challengerAnthropic, a leading AI competitor to OpenAI, unveiled Claude 3.5 Sonnet, its most advanced AI model to date. [PRO] AI real estateCiti analysts pinpoint a "compelling emerging" real estate trend fueled by AI and nearshoring.

Persons: Gilead, Anthropic, Claude, Donald Trump's, Trump, Masato Kanda Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Gilead Sciences, Google, Trump Media, New, Nikkei, Bank of, Reuters, United, CSI, Citi Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Japan, United States, Asia, Pacific

☆ 'Very optimistic' on the outlook for Japan, Fiera Capital Asia says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Very optimistic' on the outlook for Japan, Fiera Capital Asia saysCJ Morrell, head of Japan at Fiera Capital Asia, expects a "small rate hike" and a "small reduction" in the Bank of Japan's bond purchase program during the institution's July meeting.

Persons: CJ Morrell Organizations: Fiera, Fiera Capital, Bank of Locations: Japan, Fiera Capital, Fiera Capital Asia

☆ Japan second-quarter GDP data will probably look better, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan second-quarter GDP data will probably look better, economist saysStefan Angrick, senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, says the Bank of Japan's rate decision today is a stopgap measure.

Persons: Stefan Angrick Organizations: Japan, Moody’s, Bank of

☆ Yen could be 'bullish' for the second half of the year, FAB says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYen could be 'bullish' for the second half of the year, FAB saysOliver Kettlewell, executive director of fixed income management at FAB discusses the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and U.S. PPI.

Persons: Oliver Kettlewell Organizations: FAB, Bank of, PPI

☆ Asia-Pacific markets range bound ahead of Bank of Japan rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) headquarters is seen beyond the cherry blossoms in Tokyo on March 20, 2023. Kazuhiro Nogi | Afp | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were largely range bound on Friday ahead of the Bank of Japan's rate decision. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will maintain its benchmark interest rate at 0%-0.1%, but Nikkei reported the central bank is considering reducing its holdings of Japanese government bonds. The BOJ currently aims to purchase about 6 trillion yen ($38.5 billion) in bonds per month, and has informed the market of plans to purchase between 4.8 trillion yen and 7 trillion yen of bonds per month. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 17,964, lower than the HSI's last close of 18,112.63.

Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Kospi Organizations: Bank of Japan, Afp, Getty, Bank of, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong

☆ BOJ likely to raise rates next month, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ likely to raise rates next month, strategist saysNicholas Smith of CLSA discusses the likely outcome of the Bank of Japan's policy meeting.

Persons: Nicholas Smith, CLSA Organizations: Bank of

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