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☆ Analysts react to Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Fed policymakers at the median still see the central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate peaking this year in the 5.50%-5.75% range, just a quarter of a percentage point above the current range. I do think that they'll remain data dependent and you'll probably hear that from Powell at the 2:30 press conference and going forward as well. So yes, they're talking about higher rates for longer, but it's really the economy that matters. This is because when the Fed announces an interest rate increase, credit card interest rates typically follow shortly thereafter, which may result in larger minimum monthly payments for credit card holders. While the decision not to raise interest rates this time round mitigates that for now, more interest rate increases may be on the horizon.

Persons: Jerome Powell, GARRETT MELSON, presser, GINA BOLVIN, Powell, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, KARL SCHAMOTTA, GENNADIY GOLDBERG, it's, TOM MARTIN, MICHELE RANERI Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, PPI, OF, TOM, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: BOSTON, Powell, WISCONSIN, TORONTO, U.S, ATLANTA, CHICAGO

☆ Instant View: US retail sales, produces prices rise; jobless claims lower than forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

U.S. retail sales also climbed 0.6% last month, against estimates of a 0.2% rise, while initial jobless claims for the latest week fell to 220.000. "We've been waiting to see exactly which of these inflation data trends would kind of knock the market off its axis. "It's likely that while the Federal Reserve won't love the August inflation data, it also is soft enough that they likely won't react to it either. ROBERT PAVLIK, SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER, DAKOTA WEALTH, CONNECTICUT"Most of the rise in prices is coming from energy. "I still believe we have seen the last of the rate hikes, but there is a possibility small that November still has the potential to bring another rate hike.

Persons: Robert Graham, King, King of Prussia, Mark Makela, SAMEER SAMANA, WELLS, We've, haven't, GREG BASSUK, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, ROBERT PAVLIK, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Reuters, CHARLOTTE, Federal, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: Prussia, United States, King, King of Prussia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WELLS FARGO, NORTH CAROLINA, BOSTON, DAKOTA, CONNECTICUT, WISCONSIN

☆ Market reactions to Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

"It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2% goal, and we will do so," Powell said. "August has been a difficult month for the market, so it is hungry for news that will help reverse the trend. Investors are hanging on to every word, but the main takeaway is that Powell signaled that the Fed would raise rates if needed. Rather than last year's short but brutal speech, Powell opted for a longer and calmer speech. KARL SCHAMOTTA, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, CORPAY, TORONTO"On balance, this is a modestly less hawkish speech than markets had feared.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, CHRISTOPHER HODGE, MICHAEL GREEN, ANDRE BAKHOS, CARSTEN BRZESKI, Ann Saphir, Christine, Lagarde, ” JOSEPH LAVORGNA, “, ” STUART COLE, ” QUINCY KROSBY, there's, DAVID WAGNER, Jackson, BRIAN JACOBSEN, patting, KARL SCHAMOTTA, Bernanke, Draghi Organizations: U.S . Federal, Federal, NFP, Fed, ING, Kansas City, REUTERS, CHIEF, CPI, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, JERSEY, FRANKFURT, Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, NIKKO, LONDON, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA, CINCINNATI , OHIO, WISCONSIN, TORONTO

☆ The Fed has 'no good reason' to hike rates, says Annex Wealth's Brian Jacobsen
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed has 'no good reason' to hike rates, says Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenJulie Biel, portfolio manager at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss how current Fed rates compare to historic highs, the case for the Fed to raise rates further, and tips for finding durable competitive equities.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen Julie Biel, Kayne Anderson, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management, Fed

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Kayne Anderson Rudnick's Julie Biel and Annex Wealth's Brian Jacobsen
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Kayne Anderson Rudnick's Julie Biel and Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenJulie Biel, portfolio manager at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss how current Fed rates compare to historic highs, the case for the Fed to raise rates further, and tips for finding durable competitive equities.

Persons: Kayne Anderson, Julie Biel, Brian Jacobsen Julie Biel, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management, Fed

☆ Fed raises interest rates, leaves door open to another increase - Reuters News
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +9 min

The rate hike, the Fed's 11th in its last 12 meetings, set the benchmark overnight interest rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range, and the accompanying policy statement left the door open to another increase. The Fed raised (the Fed funds target rate) by a quarter point and the vote was unanimous, and the move puts rates at a 22-year high." "We think recent data is consistent with the US policy rate peaking in July, as core CPI inflation slowed sharply in June. "Fed Chair Powell is going to suggest that for the time being that they need to assess more information for inflation. "Markets are for the most part becoming more confident the Fed won't have to raise rates in September.

Persons: GENNADIY GOLDBERG, J Powell, they've, They're, Powell, we've, ELLEN HAZEN, ” MICHAEL BROWN, JACK ABLIN, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” PETER CARDILLO, Jackson, GURPREET GILL, GOLDMAN, QUINCY KROSBY, ” EDWARD MOYA, We'll, we'll Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, Dow, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, PALM BEACH , FLORIDA, WISCONSIN, GOLDMAN SACHS, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA

☆ US dollar plunges to more than one-year low as inflation eases in June
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. The greenback also hit its lowest against the Swiss franc since early 2015 after the inflation report. "The Fed may have talked itself into a corner with a July 26th rate hike. Against the yen, the dollar dropped to a six-week low of 138.17 yen . The pound is being driven by expectations for the Bank of England to deliver more rate rises to tame UK inflation, which is the highest of any major economy.

Persons: Lee Jae, Simon Harvey, Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Chuck Mikolajczak, Ann Saphir, Chris Reese Organizations: REUTERS, Swiss, Swiss National Bank, Core, CPI, Annex Wealth Management, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Seoul, Swiss, Core U.S, U.S, London, Norwegian, Swedish, Menomonee Falls , Wisconsin, New York, San Francisco

U.S. consumer prices rose modestly in June and logged their smallest annual increase in more than two years as inflation continued to subside. The much awaited U.S. Labor Department report showed growth in core consumer prices, which excludes food and energy, eased to 4.8% from 5.3% in May on an annual basis. In the 12 months through June, the consumer prices (CPI) advanced 3.0%. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) rose 1.7% ahead of second-quarter earnings season, with Wall Street lenders expected to report higher profits. The S&P index recorded 62 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 110 new highs and 28 new lows.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Russell, Bilibili, Johann M Cherian, Shashwat Chauhan, Shinjini Organizations: Nvidia, VMware, Broadcom, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Federal Reserve, . Labor Department, Annex Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Financial Times, Alibaba Group, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, Bengaluru

☆ Reaction: June US jobs growth cools, but wages won't comfort Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 209,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. "Today's numbers confirm the job market is still strong... and this report gives the green light to the Fed to raise rates. "If anything, it probably confirms this idea that the Fed has had that they are making progress in the right direction." "It's not like this is a sudden vast improvement in the labor market." The hours worked numbers are rising slower than the payrolls numbers.

Persons: Nonfarm, payrolls, CANDICE, GOLDMAN, BEN JEFFERY, “, PETER CARDILLO, we're, STUART COLE, JASON PRIDE, MICHAEL BROWN, ”, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE Organizations: YORK, Labor Department, Reuters, Treasury, BMO, NFP, Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: GOLDMAN SACHS, PHILADELPHIA, WISCONSIN

☆ ADP numbers sent 'shock and awe' through stocks, says Annex Wealth's Brian Jacobsen
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailADP numbers sent 'shock and awe' through stocks, says Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the latest ADP jobs data, upcoming Fed hikes, and the current market downturn.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Annex Wealth Management

☆ US bank stocks rise as lenders sail through Fed's stress test
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Manya Saini | Thomson Reuters | Manya Saini Reports On Prominent Publicly Listed U.S. Financial Firms Including Wall Street S Biggest Banks | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

This year's test, which was devised before the latest banking crisis, checked if banks would stay above the minimum 4.5% capital ratio during economic stress and macroeconomic instability. Banks will disclose their new stress capital buffer in the coming days and Well Fargo expects a reduction in the capital requirements for JP Morgan, BofA and Goldman. Goldman Sachs analysts said market focus will likely return quickly to potential increases to stress capital buffer and tougher regulations against the backdrop of Basel III revision. Citigroup (C.N) rose 0.7%, but trailed its peers as analysts said higher stress capital buffer would hamper its efforts to boost profitability. "Citi will now have the highest CET1 requirement among our banks at 12.3%," J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a client note.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Banks, JP Morgan, BofA, Goldman, Wells, J.P, Morgan, It's, Brian Jacobsen, Manya Saini, Niket Nishant, Chuck Mikolajczak, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Big, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Fargo, JP, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Wall Street, Jefferies, Citizens, Citigroup, Citi, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, RBC Capital Markets, Wealth Management, Reuters, Banks, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo, Basel, U.S, Menomonee Falls , Wisconsin, Bengaluru

☆ Strength in the services sector is beginning to falter, says Annex Wealth's Brian Jacobsen
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrength in the services sector is beginning to falter, says Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and Bill Stone, chief investment officer at The Glenview Trust Company, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss qualities of a lazy bull market, recession worries, and waning resilience of the U.S. consumer.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen, Bill Stone Organizations: Wealth Management, Glenview Trust Company

☆ Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +13 min

While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.

Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, “, STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO

☆ Fed's Beige Book: The labor market remains strong, wages grow modestly
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Beige Book: The labor market remains strong, wages grow modestlyCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to report on the Fed's data from the Beige Book. Annex’s Brian Jacobsen and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge react to the findings.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Annex’s Brian Jacobsen, Malcolm Ethridge

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Annex’s Brian Jacobsen and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Annex’s Brian Jacobsen and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm EthridgeAnnex’s Brian Jacobsen and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the state of the market, economy and recession. They also react to data from the Beige Book.

Persons: Annex’s Brian Jacobsen, Malcolm Ethridge Annex’s Brian Jacobsen, Malcolm Ethridge

☆ Recession calls are now in the rearview mirror, says Annex's Brian Jacobsen
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession calls are now in the rearview mirror, says Annex's Brian JacobsenAnnex’s Brian Jacobsen and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the state of the market, economy and recession.

Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobsen, Brian Jacobsen, Malcolm Ethridge

☆ A.I. tools will change the course of human history and 'profits will follow,' says Keith Fitz-Gerald
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA.I. tools will change the course of human history and 'profits will follow,' says Keith Fitz-GeraldBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and Keith Fitz-Gerald, principal at the Fitz-Gerald Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the speed, adoption and breath of A.I., opportunities for investors to buy A.I. stocks, and the timeline for A.I. transformation.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Annex's Brian Jacobsen and Fitz-Gerald Group's Keith Fitz-Gerald
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Annex's Brian Jacobsen and Fitz-Gerald Group's Keith Fitz-GeraldBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and Keith Fitz-Gerald, principal at the Fitz-Gerald Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the speed, adoption and breath of A.I., opportunities for investors to buy A.I. stocks, and the timeline for A.I. transformation.

☆ Instant View: US April CPI rise gives Fed little room for pivot soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% last month after gaining 0.1% in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through April, the CPI increased 4.9% after advancing 5.0% on a year-on-year basis in March. Ahead of this reading Fed President John Williams warned that they were not done raising rates. I think the Fed will raise rates again in June and then pause. "There will be another CPI report before the Fed meets, and expectations are you will start to see the effect of rents easing."

☆ US April CPI rise gives Fed little room for pivot soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% last month after gaining 0.1% in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through April, the CPI increased 4.9% after advancing 5.0% on a year-on-year basis in March. Ahead of this reading Fed President John Williams warned that they were not done raising rates. "There will be another CPI report before the Fed meets, and expectations are you will start to see the effect of rents easing." The other thing is shelter, a huge component of CPI and it came in a little bit weaker."

☆ The U.S. may be seeing a 'compression' in credit rather than a crunch, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. may be seeing a 'compression' in credit rather than a crunch, economist saysBrian Jacobsen of Annex Wealth Management discusses the U.S. Federal Reserve's quarterly Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices and what it tells us about tighter credit conditions.

☆ Instant View: Solid April US jobs report undermines case for Fed cut soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN“It's definitely telling you that the job market is still hot. PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK“It was a hotter than expected report, it certainly didn’t show any cooling in the labor market. Hourly earnings were a little higher than I was looking for.”“Bottom line, this is a strong report and shows that the labor market is resilient. So I think the real focus is on the inflation numbers, and what's happening with wage growth. We are hopeful the continued strength of the jobs market and signs of slowing inflation will ease market volatility in the coming months.

☆ Instant View: Fed hikes another 25 basis points, hints it may be the last increase
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

TOM GARRETSON, STRATEGIST, RBC PORTFOLIO ADVISORY GROUP, MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA"It was a pretty dovish rate hike today. The expectations were that it might be a bit more of a hawkish rate hike in terms of leaving the door open to further hikes if needed." "The updated language in the policy statement does suggest the bar is going to be quite high for further rate hikes. … The market is hoping or expecting the Fed to pause after this rate hike. From a consumer credit perspective, the impact of further rate hikes will likely continue to be felt by borrowers across a range of industries.

☆ US March CPI comes in on the cool side
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Year to date, the CPI increased 5.0%, the smallest 12-month gain since May 2021. "The data was a little bit better than what was expected, so that tells me that the bond market is saying that the probability of this next rate hike has decreased just a little bit." "The other number that's important is the PPI number that comes out this week. That will probably change a little bit today as people digest this data, maybe even within the next half an hour or so." It weakens the argument for a pause.”“Futures are going up based on the topline number, that’s what markets are focusing on.”“Inflation is cooling down.

☆ U.S. yields climb, S&P futures close higher after jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Issei KatoSummarySummary Companies March U.S. payrolls rise by 236,000 vs 239,000 estimateDollar strengthens, U.S. yields climbNikkei, S&P futures close higherNEW YORK, April 7 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields climbed and U.S. index futures closed modestly higher after employment data for March indicated the labor market remains tight, but was largely in line with market expectations. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 236,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said, compared with the 239,000 expectation of economists surveyed by Reuters. Data for February was revised higher to show 326,000 jobs were added instead of 311,000 as previously reported. U.S. stock index futures erased losses and turned higher after the report, while the dollar strengthened and U.S. Treasury yields rose as expectations the Federal Reserve will hike rates at its May meeting increased. The dollar index rose 0.167%, with the euro down 0.13% to $1.0906.

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