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The CBOE Volatility Index , known on Wall Street as the VIX, helps traders track when a market rally is actually unhealthy, said DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas. Monday's close for the VIX around 15 "is a healthy sign" for the temperature of the market as it advances, Colas wrote to clients. To put it succinctly: "Rallies built on an elevated VIX signal a bubble," he wrote. That's a lesson market participants learned, during the dot-com bubble of the mid- to late-1990s, he said. In the current bull market, dating back to the fourth quarter of 2022, however, the VIX has been largely "well behaved," Colas argued.
Persons: DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, Donald Trump, , Monday's, Colas, That's, Jessica Rabe, Trump Organizations: Research, U.S
Source: NYSEThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe stock market is riding high on Trump's election victory. The postelection stock rally, however, is likely to stay strong for now. It's hard to go wrong following the age-old rules for investing in the stock market: Be in it for the long term, diversify and look at fundamentals like earnings and valuation.
Persons: HSI, it's, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Shalett, John Stoltzfus, Shalett, CNBC's Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones, Apple, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Dow, Republicans, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's, Oppenheimer Asset Management
Crypto stocks — Crypto stocks extended last week's gains as investors basked in the honeymoon period between election day and inauguration day. Coinbase shares jumped 20% and were trading above $300 for the first time since 2021. Wells Fargo jumped 4%, while Bank of America and Morgan Stanley each rose more than 2%. Valley National Bank — Shares popped almost 5% after JPMorgan upgraded the New York-based regional bank to overweight from neutral. Cboe Global Markets — Shares advanced nearly 2% on the back of Deutsche Bank's upgrade to buy from hold .
Persons: Tesla, Trump, Elon Musk, Ernst & Young, MARA, Morgan Stanley —, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump, Tom Homan —, Trump's, Cigna, RadNet, Anthony Elian, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Bristol, Myers Squibb, Super, MARA Holdings, Bank of America, Geo, U.S, Immigration, Customs, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Humana, GE HealthCare, Bank, JPMorgan, Cboe, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank Locations: Wells Fargo, York
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures each also ticked down about 0.1% each. Monday's action comes amid a market upswing that began following last week's presidential election won by Donald Trump. The Dow gained more than 300 points to close higher than 44,000, while the S&P 500 finished the session just over 6,000. "It's a lot of what we saw back in 2016 when Trump won the election the first time." The release of data from these inflation gauges comes after the Fed last week announced another interest rate cut.
Persons: that's, Donald Trump, Russell, Larry Tentarelli, They'll, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Trump, Federal, Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Home
The S & P 500 is on pace to deliver a second straight year of gains above 20%. After last week's postelection rally, the S & P 500 is now up by about 26% on the year. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year to date Thatte called the market advance "exceptional," even before last week's surge to all-time highs. That means that, if history repeats itself, the S & P 500 should end 2024 above 6,000. What's more, Oppenheimer found that gain matching the median advance in those 11 years would push the S & P 500 to finish higher than 6,200.
Persons: week's, Parag, Donald Trump, Thatte, That's, Oppenheimer Organizations: Deutsche Bank
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during the morning trading on Nov. 7, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Sunday night as Wall Street looks to what's next after a post-election rally propelled the market to record highs. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 19 points, trading slightly above breakeven. S&P 500 futures were also little changed, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.2%. Last week's rally was considered broad, with both the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and small cap-focused Russell 2000 also advancing.
Persons: what's, Russell, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Katie Nixon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Trust, Ticketmaster
Tesla and a handful of other so-called Trump trades led the market rally this week as investors welcomed the Republican's victory in the presidential election. Excluding stocks that reported earnings this week, some of the best performers were those viewed as tied to Donald Trump 's win. Trump trades can earn that title by being part of sectors such as financials or energy viewed as beneficiaries of his expected shifts away from regulation, among other things. CNBC screened for the Trump trade names that led the index higher this week and did not report earnings. The electric vehicle maker is one of the best-known Trump trades given CEO Elon Musk 's advocacy for the president-elect on the campaign trail.
Persons: Tesla, Donald Trump, Trump, Elon Musk, LSEG, John Murphy, Murphy, Elon Musk's, Baker Hughes Organizations: Trump, Monday, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Bank of America Locations: Texas
Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." According to the futures market, just 30.4% of traders think the Fed will cut rates again in January. "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: Federal Reserve, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: Washington , DC
Kent Nishimura | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said. — CNBC's Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound and Alex Harring contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: FTSE, Federal, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: GDAXI, Washington, Washington , DC
Pinterest — Shares of the image-sharing platform pulled back 16% after the company issued a lower-than-expected revenue outlook for the current quarter. Block — The Cash App parent company slumped more than 4.5% after its third-quarter revenue of $5.98 billion missed expectations. Toast — The restaurant management company climbed 13% after it forecast adjusted EBITDA of between $90 million and $100 million for the current quarter. Analysts expected a loss of 30 cents per share on $198 million in revenue, according to LSEG. That said, Lucid's net loss widened in the period, posting $992.5 million versus $630.9 million in the year-ago period.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon, Airbnb, DraftKings, LSEG, Monster, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Alex Harring, Sean Conlon Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Arista Networks, Arista, Capri Holdings, Beverage, Barclays
Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares of President-elect Donald Trump's media company fell another 4.6% in premarket trading following a 23% plunge in the previous session. The company saw $162 million in revenue, topping the consensus expectation for $150 million. Analysts polled by FactSet penciled in 43 cents in earnings per share and $1.91 billion in revenue. Affirm lost an adjusted 31 cents per share, narrower than the consensus forecast of 35 cents, according to LSEG. Bath & Body Works — The fragrance retailer slid 2.7% in the wake of a Barclays downgrade to underweight from equal weight.
Persons: Donald Trump's, platform's, DraftKings, Sweetgreen, LSEG, Toast, StreetAccount penciling, Versace, Michael Kors, FactSet, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, LSEG, Arista Networks, Arista, Capri Holdings, Capri, Beverage, Revenue, Barclays Locations: LSEG, BioNTech —
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose Thursday, extending Wall Street’s rally in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, as traders weighed the latest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 0.74% to close at a record high of 5,973.10. The S&P 500 jumped 2.53% for its best post-election day in history. Those big swings were the backdrop for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut Thursday afternoon. “The balance of risks gives the Fed ample room to lower the Fed Funds rate well into 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, , Jamie Cox, Trump, Tony Roth, we’ve, ” Roth, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Treasury, Harris Financial, Wilmington Trust, , Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, JPMorgan, American Express Locations: Wilmington
The stock had popped 5.9% on Wednesday after the Republican was elected the 47th president of the U.S. Warner Bros. Lyft expects current-quarter bookings to come in between $4.28 billion to $4.35 billion, topping a FactSet consensus of $4.23 billion. Wolfspeed posted revenue of $195 million for the first fiscal quarter, missing the LSEG consensus forecast by $5 million. Arm posted adjusted earnings per share of 30 cents on revenue of $844 million for the second quarter. AppLovin also guided its fourth-quarter EBITDA of $740 million to $760 million, higher than the $667 million StreetAccount forecast.
Persons: LSEG, Donald Trump's, Armour, , Lyft, Wolfspeed, AppLovin, Zillow, Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Bros, Dutch Bros, Trump Media & Technology, Republican, U.S, Warner Bros, , Discovery, FactSet . Arm Holdings, LSEG, Gilead Sciences Locations: Gilead
Rivian posted an adjusted loss of 99 cents per share on $874 million in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had forecast a loss of 92 cents per share on revenue of $990 million. On the other hand, Block's adjusted earnings of 88 cents per share beat analysts' estimates by one cent. DraftKings said its fourth-quarter adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization will range between $240 million and $280 million. Expedia's adjusted earnings for the third quarter came in at $6.13 per share, beating analysts' call for $6.04 a share, per LSEG.
Persons: Rivian, LSEG, Airbnb, Akamai, FactSet, DraftKings, Sweetgreen, Toast, Julie Whalen, Jimmy Choo, Michael Kors, Versace, , Darla Mercado, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: StreetAccount, Revenue, Arista Networks, Capri Holdings, Capri Locations: LSEG
Wondering what stocks might do well the rest of this year as America awaits Donald Trump take office for a second time in January? Others were high-beta growth stocks that can ride a broad market rally and benefit from corporate tax rates. Most analysts surveyed by LSEG hold buy ratings, but they expect KeyCorp shares to slide by more than 5% after their rally this year. Between Nov. 7 and the end of that year, KeyCorp shares ran up more than 25%. CarMax is a cyclical stock that should benefit from both deregulation and the rising tide for high-beta stocks.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Ebrahim Poonawala, financials, Poonawala, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, there's, Citigroup's Andrew Kaplowitz, Kaplowitz, Wednesday's, LSEG, Keycorp, Keith Horowitz, KeyCorp, CarMax Organizations: CNBC, Trump, White, Bank of America, Energy, Dow, Targa Resources, Citigroup Locations: Cleveland
CNBC Daily Open: The Trump rally begins
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. However, solar stocks tanked on fears that Trump would slash tax credits for solar energy. The Trump rally, in short, has begun. To be sure, yesterday's frenzy could have been a relief rally as much as a Trump rally. For now, however, the Trump rally is lighting up the markets.
Persons: Donald Trum, Russell, Trump's, Trump, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Tesla, Edward Jones, Angelo Kourkafas, Yung, Yu Ma, Jesse Pound, Scott Schnipper, Alex Harring, Yun Li Organizations: Republican, Nevada GOP, CNBC, Democratic, NBC News, U.S, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Trump, Bank, General Motors, Ford, EV, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management Locations: Florida, Nevada, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S, United States
CNBC Daily Open: The Trump rally kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineDonald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential elections is providing a tailwind to risk assets. The Trump rally, in short, has begun. To be sure, yesterday's frenzy could have been a relief rally as much as a Trump rally. For now, however, the Trump rally is lighting up the markets.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump's, Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk, bitcoin, Trump, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Yung, Yu Ma, Jesse Pound, Scott Schnipper, Alex Harring, Yun Li Organizations: Santander Arena, Reuters, CNBC, U.S, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Trump, Bank, General Motors, Ford, EV, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management Locations: Reading , Pennsylvania, U.S
Shares of major banks climbed in overnight trading as investors expected Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election. Citigroup jumped about 5% in special late trading on the Robinhood brokerage for well-known stocks. Former President Donald Trump is currently leading by NBC News' count, though several key states have yet to be called. Bank stocks are expected to benefit under GOP control given the party's posture toward deregulation. "Donald Trump is the candidate where you ignore what he says and focus on what you expect him to do," Seiberg wrote in a note to clients recently.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Cowen, Jaret Seiberg, Seiberg Organizations: Citigroup, Bank of America, White House, NBC News, NBC, Trump, North Carolina . Bank, GOP, Consumer Financial, financials Locations: Wells, North Carolina
Qualcomm reported adjusted earnings of $2.69 per share on $10.24 billion in revenue. Wolfspeed — The semiconductor manufacturer tumbled 17% after missing revenue expectations and offering weak guidance for the current quarter. Wolfspeed generated revenue of $195 million in the first fiscal quarter, missing the consensus estimate of analysts polled by LSEG by $5 million. The company said to expect between $160 million and $200 million in revenue during the current quarter, under the $215 million figure expected. HubSpot saw $2.18 in adjusted earnings per share on $669.7 million in revenue, while analysts polled by FactSet forecast $1.91 in earnings per share and $647 million in revenue.
Persons: LSEG, HubSpot, Lyft, Robin, SolarEdge, Donald Trump, Bumble —, Zillow, Darla Mercado, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin, Sean Conlon Organizations: Qualcomm, Arm Holdings, LSEG, FactSet, Technologies, Bros, Revenue Locations: FactSet, StreetAccount, LSEG
US election news on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night after a huge market rally following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded marginally above flat. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all notched new all-time highs in the session, while the small cap-focused Russell 2000 jumped more than 5%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Dow, Russell, Scott Helfstein, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Global, CME Group's, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: New York
Crypto stocks — Cryptocurrency-related names soared after investors bet that a Trump presidency would lead to a more supportive regulatory environment. Cannabis stocks — Shares of cannabis companies dropped after voters rejected a Florida ballot measure to legalize the sale and use of marijuana in the state. Dollar Tree and Dollar General also respectively lost more than 6% and 5%. Steel stocks — U.S.-based steel stocks rallied on the back of Trump's victory. Shares of Nucor and Cleveland-Cliffs respectively rallied 16% and 20%, while United States Steel climbed 8%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Tesla, bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Joe Biden's, Sunrun, Wegovy, CoreCivic, Trump's, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin Organizations: Republican, Trump Media & Technology, Bank, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, CVS Health, CVS, Trump, SolarEdge Technologies, Enphase Energy, Novo Nordisk —, Novo Nordisk, — Geo, White, Aurora Cannabis, , CNBC, Holdings, Steel, U.S, Cliffs, United States Steel Locations: Novo Nordisk — U.S, Danish, Florida, Tilray, U.S, Canada, China, Cleveland
Several U.S.-listed funds tracking global stocks pulled back in Wednesday's session as investors considered Donald Trump's victory harmful to international equities. "While the investing landscape remains favorable in the U.S., international markets are very exposed to tariff policy, " said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. These moves reflect the divergence between U.S. and international markets as investors around the globe take in America's election results. Still, the U.S.-listed iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) shed more than 2% on Wednesday. Indeed, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) slid more than 1% on Wednesday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, Yung, Yu Ma, Javier Milei, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, , Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: U.S, NBC, BMO Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Trump, Japan's Nikkei, American, ICE, greenback, LPL Financial Locations: Paris, France, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Chile, U.S, China, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Argentina
The closest presidential races have brought stronger relief rallies, according to data from past election cycles analyzed by CNBC. The S&P 500 has gone on to gain around 1.5% on average between Election Day and the end of that respective calendar year, data from every presidential matchup since 1980 shows. That average performance shoots up to 3.9% when looking at just the tightest races from that period. NBC News' latest polling shows the contest is neck-and-neck between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris as Americans head to the polls on Tuesday. "Very close elections, like the one we have currently, are usually greeted with a market bounce, irrespective of who wins or the policies they introduce," TS Lombard economist Dario Perkins said in a note to clients.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Dario Perkins Organizations: CNBC, NBC
Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump reacts at a rally in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. September 13, 2024. Shares of Trump Media & Technology rose on Election Day Tuesday, with traders betting a second Trump presidency would give the business prospects of the Truth Social operator a boost. Year to date, Trump Media, which is majority-owned by Trump, has nearly doubled. However, it has struggled recently, as Vice President Kamala Harris appeared to gain momentum heading into Election Day. Trump Media shares have seen huge retail trader inflows in the week's leading up to the election and has been the most-discussed stock on Reddit page WallStreetBets, which gained popularity during the GameStop fueled stock meme fad of 2021.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Kamala Harris, Jay Woods, Woods, Harris, Kevin Breuninger, Alex Harring Organizations: Republican, Wall, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Trump, Gamestop, Freedom Capital, CNBC, GameStop, NBC Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S
Palantir reported 10 cents earnings per share on $726 million in revenue. On the other hand, NXP's third-quarter earnings beat analysts' expectations by 2 cents per share, while its $3.25 billion revenue was in line with estimates. Hims & Hers Health — The telehealth stock popped 7.2% after third-quarter earnings exceeded expectations of analysts polled by FactSet on both lines. On the other hand, the company's $3.19 billion revenue missed estimates of $3.20 billion. Marqueta's $128 million revenue was just shy of the $128.1 million consensus from FactSet.
Persons: Donald Trump, Palantir, Rick Dreiling, Michael Creedon, FactSet, LSEG, Burger King, machinists, Astera, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, White, LSE, NXP, Wynn Resorts, Lattice Semiconductor, DuPont de Nemours, Restaurant, Burger, LSEG, Revenue, Diamondback Energy, Boeing —, Labs, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Deutsche Locations: Netherlands, Americas, Europe, San Francisco, Cleveland, Wells Fargo
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