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MSCI’s Adani cut signals fat tail risks for India
  + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Shritama Bose | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Hindenburg founder Nathan Anderson sees MSCI's move as a validation of his group’s findings of “stock parking” by Adani. The Securities and Exchange Board of India, headed by former banker Madhabi Puri Buch, acknowledged unusual price movements this month, but without naming the Adani group. But the longer the controversy drags on, there will be a fat tail risk for Adani and all his stakeholders. CONTEXT NEWSGlobal index provider MSCI on Feb. 9 cut its determined free floats for four Adani companies. It reduced those of Adani Enterprises, Adani Total Gas, Adani Transmission and ACC, and said any resulting changes will be implemented at the close of Feb. 28.
The sprawling Adani Group, which he founded over 30 years ago, has established interests in industries ranging from logistics to mining. “We view this as validation of our findings on offshore stock parking by Adani,” Hindenburg founder Nate Anderson said on Twitter. In its report, Hindenburg had alleged that “offshore shells and funds tied to the Adani Group comprise many of the largest ‘public’ holders of Adani stock.”An Adani Group spokesperson declined to comment. Meanwhile, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, said Thursday it has “for all practical purposes…fully divested,” from the Adani companies. The loans were backed by shares in Adani Ports, Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission.
Gautam Adani’s woes were in banks' plain sight
  + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Una Galani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
MUMBAI, Feb 8 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Gautam Adani’s recent woes have vindicated persistent doubts in India about the tycoon’s rise. The Indian group dismisses those claims as a “malicious combination of selective misinformation and stale, baseless and discredited allegations”. By contrast, other big Indian groups like Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries (DBKGn.DE) and those carrying the Tata name are more popular with institutional investors. Fee-hungry international banks were much less picky. Deutsche, Barclays and StanChart pocketed $57 million of the $260 million of investment banking revenue generated by the Adani group since Dealogic records began.
Adani Offshore Investor Has Links to Adani Family
  + stars: | 2023-02-04 | by ( Shan Li | Weilun Soon | Ben Foldy | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
One of the large shareholders of Adani Power, the energy firm at the core of Indian billionaire Gautam Adani’s business empire, is an offshore company called Opal Investment Pvt. Ltd.Adani Power described Opal in its latest quarterly report as an independent shareholder that has no ties to the ports-to-power conglomerate beyond its 4.69% stake in Adani Power.
While the Adani Group has condemned the report as “baseless” and “malicious,” investor questions about its claims linger, and the fallout is growing. Gautam Adani is a 60-year-old tycoon who founded the Adani Group more than 30 years ago. The firm said it had taken a short position in Adani Group companies, meaning it would benefit from a drop in their value. Stocks of most Adani Group companies slumped again on Friday. Indian banks that hold Adani Group assets could also be affected if the value of those holdings continues to drop.
Gautam Adani’s Wealth Almost Halved by Stock-Price Plunge
  + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Weilun Soon | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The net worth of Indian billionaire Gautam Adani has fallen by around $58 billion over the past week and a half, the result of a rout in stock prices linked to his namesake conglomerate following the publication of a report by a U.S. short seller. The combined market value of shares owned by India’s Adani Group has halved since New York-based Hindenburg Research published a report on Jan. 24 that alleged fraud and stock-market manipulation at the business, among other allegations. Adani has denied the claims.
Gautam Adani’s Net Worth Drops by $58 Billion in 10 Days
  + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Weilun Soon | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The net worth of Indian billionaire Gautam Adani has fallen by around $58 billion over the past week and a half, the result of a rout in stock prices linked to his namesake conglomerate following the publication of a report by a U.S. short seller. The combined market value of shares owned by India’s Adani Group has halved since New York-based Hindenburg Research published a report on Jan. 24 that alleged fraud and stock-market manipulation at the business, among other allegations. Adani has denied the claims.
In total, Adani Group companies have lost $110 billion in market value. Adani Group declined to comment on whether it was planning to appoint one of the Big 4 accounting firms as auditor. A document on Adani Enterprises’ website dated January 13, 2023, also names Shah Dhandharia as “statutory auditors” and provides the firm’s website address. In its report, Hindenburg Research said historical archives of the firm’s website showed that it had only four partners and 11 employees. Trading in five listed Adani firms was halted Friday after they fell to daily limits set by the Indian stock exchange.
New Delhi CNN —Shares in Adani Group companies continued to plunge on Friday, as the embattled conglomerate grapples with stock market mayhem unleashed after a US short seller accused it of fraud. But his address did little to halt the stock market meltdown that has wiped more than $100 billion off the combined market value of his companies. The unprecedented crash in value of Adani Group shares started when an American short seller, Hindenburg Research, accused the conglomerate of fraud and stock market manipulation. The Adani Group has denounced the report as “baseless” and “malicious,” but analysts say the group hasn’t convincingly answered the questions raised by Hindenburg’s report. Adani’s personal fortune has taken a massive hit because of the stock market turmoil.
Losses From Adani Stock Rout Top $100 Billion
  + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Dave Sebastian | Weilun Soon | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Gautam Adani said Thursday that the assets of his namesake conglomerate were robust. Shares of companies linked to Indian billionaire Gautam Adani continued to slide on Thursday, after his namesake conglomerate canceled a planned share sale that was meant to raise more than $2 billion. Adani Enterprises Ltd., the group’s flagship business that scrapped its follow-on public offering after a plunge in its shares the previous day, fell another 26% on Thursday. The shares have lost more than half their value since Hindenburg Research, a U.S. short seller, released a scathing report last week alleging fraud and stock-price manipulation at Mr. Adani’s conglomerate.
New Delhi CNN —Indian billionaire Gautam Adani tried to reassure investors on Thursday after he abruptly abandoned his flagship firm’s $2.5 billion share sale. “Once the market stabilizes, we will review our capital market strategy.”This was the first time the tycoon has spoken about the stock market mayhem that has wiped billions off his logistics and energy business empire. A week-long meltdown in the value of Adani Group shares started when an American short seller accused the conglomerate of fraud. Despite the turmoil, the group’s flagship company, Adani Enterprises, managed to issue new shares worth $2.5 billion on Tuesday. Shares in Adani Enterprises were down almost 9% in Mumbai, while shares in his other companies plunged 5% to 10%.
HONG KONG, Feb 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Markets have given Gautam Adani a big bloody nose, and his backers a partial reprieve. The tycoon’s decision on Wednesday to pull the $2.4 billion share sale at his flagship Adani Enterprises (ADEL.NS) was all but forced after a 28% plunge in the company’s share price the day after it closed the books. That danger was magnified on Wednesday with India’s regulator looking into possible irregularities around the share sale, Reuters reported exclusively citing a source with direct knowledge of the matter. Less than one quarter was due to pay down borrowings at the issuer and its unlisted subsidiaries, including Adani Airport and Adani Road. loadingCONTEXT NEWSAdani Enterprises on Feb. 1 said it is withdrawing its $2.4 billion share sale due to the “unprecedented situation and the current market volatility”.
Breakingviews: Adani’s share sale U-turn spares only some blushes, article with imageBreakingviews category · February 2, 2023 · 1:44 AM UTCMarkets have given Gautam Adani a big bloody nose, and his backers a partial reprieve. The tycoon’s decision on Wednesday to pull the $2.4 billion share sale at his flagship Adani Enterprises was all but forced after a 28% plunge in the company’s share price the day after it closed the books. Cancelling the deal is marginally better than stuffing above-market-price stock down investors’ throats. The U-turn is nonetheless a key sign the support for the Indian industrialist has a limit.
[1/2] Indian billionaire Gautam Adani speaks during an inauguration ceremony after the Adani Group completed the purchase of Haifa Port earlier in January 2023, in Haifa port, Israel January 31, 2023. On Wednesday, a $2.5 billion sale of shares by one of its companies Adani Enterprises ADEL.NS was called off. Adani Group and the stock market regulator the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) did not respond to a request for comment. Cracking the code of how Hindenburg did the trade could lead to more short sellers taking positions against Indian companies, which have been rare, analysts said. But several bankers familiar with trading in Indian securities said the more profitable piece of the short seller’s bet would likely lie in the derivative trades it had placed.
Adani Stock Slump Deepens After Blockbuster Share Offering
  + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( Weilun Soon | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
A blockbuster share sale by the flagship business of Indian billionaire Gautam Adani did little to stem a market rout in his companies, which plummeted again on Wednesday. Adani Enterprises Ltd. , the crown jewel in Adani Group’s energy and infrastructure empire, lost more than a quarter of its value, saddling the investors that took part in its $2.5 billion follow-on public offering with large paper losses. The six other companies bearing Adani’s name fell between 2% and 20%, in some cases by the maximum amount allowed by India’s stock exchanges.
SYDNEY, Feb 1 (Reuters) - Australia's corporate regulator is reviewing a short-seller report that accused India's Adani Group of improper use of offshore tax havens to determine whether regulatory action is required, according to a spokesperson. "ASIC will review the allegations against Adani and determine whether further inquiries are warranted," a spokesperson for the regulator told Reuters on Wednesday. The Adani Group said in a statement that the Hindenburg report "presents transactions related to Adani’s Australian businesses in a misleading way to purposefully undermine the reputation of the Adani Group, in order to pursue their own profit by short-selling shares in Adani Group companies." "All our businesses are Australian companies that comply with Australian corporations and securities legislation," the statement said. On Tuesday, a crucial $2.5 billion share sale for the Adani Group was fully subscribed with foreign institutional investors and corporate funds taking part, although participation by retail investors was low.
The conglomerate, which has seven listed companies, has lost more than $90 billion in market value in the week since Hindenburg published its report. That stock market rout has wiped nearly $40 billion off Adani’s personal fortune. Ambani’s net worth stands at $83 billion, making him the world’s ninth-richest person, while Adani’s wealth is estimated at about $75 billion, according to Forbes. The turmoil comes despite a brief respite Tuesday for Adani when his flagship firm, Adani Enterprises, managed to issue new shares worth $2.5 billion. At the peak of his wealth last year, Adani was the world’s second-richest person, ahead of Jeff Bezos.
The share sale — the largest offering by a company already listed on India’s stock market — had closed successfully just 24 hours earlier. But a brutal day of trading Wednesday wiped billions more off the value of his companies, including Adani Enterprises. The conglomerate has seen its value plunge by about $90 billion since the Hindenburg report was published. “Today the market has been unprecedented, and our stock price has fluctuated over the course of the day,” Adani said in a statement. Then the Hindenburg report landed.
Gautam Adani’s next hurdles may be harder to clear
  + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( Una Galani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
HONG KONG, Feb 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - It helps to have friendly investors and rich families on hand when finalising a tricky share sale. The feat will be hard to repeat though, while the Indian tycoon’s next hurdles might be harder to clear. Investor interest in Adani Enterprises (ADEL.NS) was underwhelming. Shares in $32 billion Adani Total Gas (ADAG.NS) have nearly halved since Hindenburg published its critical report. loadingCONTEXT NEWSThe $2.4 billion share sale by Adani Enterprises was fully subscribed on Jan. 31, data released by the Indian stock exchange showed.
So, how did a relatively young and small New York financial research firm manage to bring the Adani juggernaut to a juddering halt? Much of his fortune is tied up in the sprawling Adani Group, which he founded over 30 years ago. This is not the first time analysts have expressed fear that the rapid expansion of Adani businesses comes with huge risk. In its response, Adani Group said that the “leverage ratios” of its companies “continue to be healthy and are in line with the industry benchmarks in the respective sectors. Adani Group “is not going anywhere,” said Rajat Sharma, founder of financial advisory firm Sana Securities.
Indeed, Indian banks make up 0.6% of the group's sector loans, according to JPMorgan. This may seem low but the total exposure to the Adani Group is still around $9 billion, wrote Saurabh Kumar, an analyst at JPMorgan. Gautam Adani, chairman of Adani Group. Jefferies analyst Prakhar Sharma writes that, for now, the risk to Indian banks is low, saying, "we don't see material risk to the Indian banking sector." Of the seven companies operated by the Adani Group: Adani Green Energy, Adani Power and Adani Ports are sitting on the most net debt, according to analysts.
Morgan Stanley economists forecast its stock market will be the world’s third largest before the end of 2030. For those who passively track stock market indexes, the controversy engulfing Adani, briefly the world’s third richest man, may act as a deterrent from an already expensive market. The newish chair of India’s securities regulator, Madhabi Puri Buch, has already wielded a stick at credit rating agencies to instil better market discipline. In the meantime, the turmoil is a reminder to investors of the danger of investing blindly in emerging markets. Stocks look increasingly expensive compared to emerging marketsReuters GraphicsFollow @ugalani and @ShritamaBose on TwitterloadingloadingCONTEXT NEWSShares of the Adani group companies have lost $65 billion since Jan. 25 after U.S. short-seller Hindenburg Research published a research note on the group.
News about Adani appeared on a sign at the Bombay Stock Exchange, where shares of the group’s companies have plunged. The sprawling conglomerate built by Gautam Adani is under attack by short seller Hindenburg Research , which successfully deflated electric-vehicle maker Nikola Motors in 2020. Adani Group denies the allegations and says the short seller is trying to smear its reputation and derail a public stock offering. Shares of the group’s companies have plunged since Hindenburg’s report, wiping out nearly $64 billion in market value. Hindenburg’s report comes amid a $2.5 billion secondary share sale by Adani Enterprises that closes on Tuesday.
The namesake conglomerate of India’s richest man, Gautam Adani , fired back at an American short seller, but the group’s 413-page response didn’t stop a slide in the shares and bonds of its companies on Monday. On Sunday, the energy and infrastructure group released a strongly worded document addressing the allegations of fraud and misconduct put forth last week by Hindenburg Research. The New York-based firm, which was founded by Nathan Anderson, alleged that stock manipulation and questionable business and accounting practices had caused the market valuation of Adani’s key listed companies to appreciate sharply over the past few years.
On Monday, shares in some Adani companies recovered some lost ground. The flagship company, Adani Enterprises, gained 3.2% and Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd. added 3.3%. Adani’s 400-page rebuttal issued late Sunday accused Hindenburg of attacking India and its institutions and of breaking securities and foreign exchange laws. “We believe India is a vibrant democracy and emerging superpower with an exciting future. We also believe India’s future is being held back by the Adani Group,” Hindenburg said in a statement.
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