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WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States and China are the two global economic heavyweights. The meeting will bring together 21 Pacific Rim countries, which collectively represent 40% of the world’s people and nearly half of global trade. Indeed, imports of Chinese goods to the United States were down 24% through September compared with the same period of 2022. Xi, too, has reason to try to restore economic cooperation with the United States. “This will not be an easy sell.’’Complicating matters is that the tensions between Washington and Beijing go well beyond economics.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi, Eswar Prasad, , Prasad, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Chad Bown, Janet Yellen, Lifeng, , ” Yellen, ’ ’, Wendy Cutler, Raja Krishnamoorthi, ’ ’ Krishnamoorthi, Organizations: WASHINGTON, International Monetary Fund, , Cornell University, Economic Cooperation, Biden, World Trade Organization, U.S, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Prosperity, Trump, Group, Bain & Co, Micron, IMF, United, Asia Society Institute, Chinese Communist Party, Republicans, Pew Research Center, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Rep, Illinois Democrat Locations: United States, China, Washington, Beijing, U.S, Ukraine, Gaza, Asia, San Francisco, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, India, Philippines, South China, Taiwan, Chinese, Kenya, Nigeria, Illinois
People visit the U.S. Supreme Court building in Washington, U.S., August 31, 2023. Biden's administration had urged the Supreme Court not to take up the appeal. PrimeSource appealed to the Supreme Court in July. The Supreme Court in March turned away a challenge to the 2018 tariffs by a group of U.S.-based steel importers. The justices in 2022 refused to hear a separate challenge by steel companies to Trump's 2018 decision to double tariffs on steel imports from Turkey, also on national security grounds.
Persons: Kevin Wurm, Donald Trump, Irving, Joe Biden's, Wilbur Ross, Trump, Judge Richard Taranto, PrimeSource, John Kruzel, Will Dunham Organizations: U.S, Supreme, REUTERS, Rights, Trump, Commerce, Congress, Court of International Trade, White, Appeals, Federal Circuit, Trade, European Union, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Irving , Texas, United States, St, Louis, Oman, Manhattan, Washington, China, Turkey
The prices in the candy aisle feel a lot more like a trick than a treat these days. This year Americans are expected to spend $3.6 billion on Halloween candy, up from $3.1 billion last year, according to the National Retail Federation. However, while candy prices are going up nationwide, some states are experiencing bigger price hikes than others. Scholarship database Scholaroo analyzed the increase in candy prices since 2020 using data from the candy and chewing gum price index. These are the states where Halloween candy prices have increased the most, and the least, since last year.
Organizations: Reese's, National Retail Federation Locations: Hawaii, Pennsylvania
At their pandemic-era peak, consumer prices were rising faster than at any point in 40 years. Inflation has been declining gradually, which means prices are still rising but at a slower pace, also known as disinflation. Some prices have actually deflated over the past year, according to the consumer price index. Deflation is the opposite of inflation: It means consumers are seeing prices decline in certain categories. Over the long term, consumers also generally see savings as manufacturers shift goods production to lower-cost areas, Zandi said.
Persons: , Mark Zandi, Zandi Organizations: Getty, Consumers, Goods, Moody's, Energy Locations: U.S, Russia, Ukraine
Despite inflation dropping from a June 2022 peak of 9.1%, the central bank doesn't expect inflation to reach its target until at least 2026. Core inflation — the measure of prices excluding volatile food and gas prices — is considered by the Fed to be the best measure of where inflation is headed. In September, core inflation posted a second consecutive monthly gain of 0.3%, which is roughly half the rate of inflation during summer 2022. "It's a temporary setback," says Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial Services, noting that core inflation has slowed "substantially" in the past few months. At the same time, "it is going to be more difficult for the Fed to wring extra inflation out of the economy," he says.
Persons: it's, that's, That's, Gus Faucher Organizations: Fed, PNC Financial Services
The so-called core PPI increased 2.8% on a year-on-year basis in September after climbing 2.9% in August. Wholesale goods prices increased 0.9%, with a 3.3% rise in the cost of energy products accounting for nearly three-quarters of the increase. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, core goods prices edged up 0.1% for the second straight month. This mostly reflected the normalization of supply chains, whose disruption fueled goods inflation in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Though core inflation is cooling, higher gasoline and food prices could hamper progress by raising the cost of other goods as well as causing consumers to expect inflation to rise.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Christopher Rupkey, Will Compernolle, Alex McGrath, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Reuters, PPI, Reuters Graphics, Trade, Fed, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, WASHINGTON, New York, East, Greenville , South Carolina
Trade balanceExports of goods and services increased 1.6% to $256.0 billion. Goods imports dropped 0.9% to $256.0 billion amid declines in imports of consumer and capital goods, potentially flagging softening domestic demand amid higher borrowing costs. Cell phones and other household goods accounted for the drop in consumer goods imports. The decrease in capital goods imports reflected declines in semiconductors and electric apparatus. Services imports increased $0.1 billion to $58.4 billion, supported by travel and other business services.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, nonfarm payrolls, Oscar Munoz, Goldman Sachs, Veronica Clark, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Reuters, Employers, Institute for Supply Management, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Treasury, Challenger, Labor, Securities, Commerce Department, Goods, Services, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Ohio, California
Consumer price inflation rose for the second straight month, to 3.7% in August versus 3.2% in July. While the overall picture is somewhat mixed, the inflation data in recent months likely doesn't change the policy outlook. Reuters GraphicsRETAIL SALES (Released Sept. 14, next release Oct. 17):Retail sales rose more than expected in August, increasing 0.6%. Investors viewed the overall data as leaning against any further Fed rate increases. Weekly data on bank lending shows bank credit has fallen on a year-over-year basis since the middle of July.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, University of Michigan, Reuters Graphics, Investors, Labor, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Silicon
Many Americans, even once-ardent proponents of globalization, have soured on trade with China. But there is a growing danger that as the United States tries to address its difficulties with China, it will pull back too far, severing economic ties that benefit American families and contribute to global peace and prosperity. Soybean farmers in the Upper Midwest sold a record $16.4 billion of their beans to China, mostly for pig feed. Hundreds of millions of Chinese have come out of poverty thanks to global trade, and have become consumers of U.S. goods and services. Amid the harsh talk, the dollar value of American trade with China — Americans buying Chinese products and the Chinese buying American products — rose to a record in 2022.
Persons: flagrantly, Ukraine —, Mike Gallagher, , Jon Mills, Alexandra Stevenson Organizations: United States, Wisconsin Republican, Strategic, Chinese Communist Party, The Washington Post, Intel, Cummins, China — Locations: China, United, United States, Ukraine, Washington, The, Upper Midwest, America, U.S, Indiana
HONG KONG (AP) — China's exports and imports both fell in August from a year earlier, reflecting tepid global demand that is adding to pressures on its slowing economy. Customs data released Thursday showed exports for August slumped 8.8% to $284.87 billion in the fourth straight month of decline. The total trade surplus fell to $68.36 billion from $80.6 billion in July. China’s imports from Russia, mostly oil and gas, increased 13.3% from a year earlier to $11.52 billion. Exports to the European Union tumbled 10.5% from the same time last year to $41.3 billion, while imports of European goods declined 2.5% to $24.56 billion.
Persons: ” Julian Evans, Pritchard, , August's Organizations: , Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Kremlin, European Union Locations: HONG KONG, Europe, Asia, U.S, Russia, Ukraine
Mexico President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's steps to roll back reforms aimed at opening Mexico's power and oil markets to foreign competitors ultimately sparked the trade dispute. The steps add to a significant worsening of trade relations between Washington and Mexico City, even as their economic integration grows. Like the energy policies, Washington argues that banning GMO corn for human and animal consumption violates Mexico's obligations under the trade pact. The White House has hoped to avoid escalating energy trade tensions with Mexico as it sought help on immigration and drug trafficking, but talks that began last year have made little progress. In 2022, Mexico had a $130.5 billion goods trade surplus with the United States.
Persons: Katherine Tai, Tatiana Clouthier, Trade Mary Ng, Joe Biden's, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's, USTR, Obrador, Biden, Donald Trump, Jarrett Renshaw, David Lawder, Stephen Eisenhammer, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Trade, Small Business, Export, Washington, United States Trade Representative, United, Chevron, Marathon Petroleum, Comision Federal, Mexico, Ministry, U.S, North American Free Trade, Thomson Locations: Mexican, United States, Mexico, Canada, Mexico City, U.S, United States Mexico Canada, USMCA, Washington, China, Washington's
It requires cutting out the far western region from apparel supply chains. Ten of the 37 garments collected by Customs and Border Protection in May returned as “consistent” with Xinjiang, the documents show. "The amount of Xinjiang cotton entering the U.S. should be zero," she said. Many retailers have also turned to isotopic testing in a bid to keep their supply chain free of cotton with links to forced labor. Officials said isotopic testing alone is not enough to clear shipments detained at U.S. ports for suspected links to Xinjiang.
Persons: Mickey, Laura Murphy, Eric Choy, Ralph Lauren, Oritain, Choy, “ It’s, , Katherine Masters, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S . Customs, Protection, Reuters, Customs, Sheffield Hallam University, . Customs, Goods, Retail, Oritain, Thomson Locations: Xinjiang, China, England, U.S, Vietnam, Cambodia, Bangladesh, India, New Zealand
Jason Lee | ReutersBEIJING — China's ambassador to the U.S., Xie Feng, has blamed U.S. tariffs and export controls for a drop in trade between the two countries. "This is a direct consequence of U.S. moves to levy Section 301 tariffs on Chinese imports, abuse unilateral sanctions and further tighten up export controls," he said. China's trade partnersThe U.S. is China's largest trading partner on a single country basis. Following her meetings with Chinese government officials, the U.S. and China agreed to establish regular communication channels on commerce, export controls and protecting trade secrets. Xie claimed that average U.S. tariffs on Chinese products were 19%, while the Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods averaged 7.3%.
Persons: Jason Lee, Xie Feng, Xie, Gina Raimondo's, Raimondo, Trump, Joe Biden, Janet Yellen Organizations: Reuters, Reuters BEIJING —, Forbes, U.S, China Business Forum, European Union and Association of Southeast, . Commerce Secretary, . Commerce, The Locations: Washington, Beijing, Taiwan, South China, Reuters BEIJING, U.S, China, New York, U.S . China, United States, Nations, France, Japan, The U.S
watch nowChina's dominance in rare earths makes U.S. supply chains vulnerable, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said in an exclusive interview Saturday with CNBC's Martin Soong. "And until we are able to access and create additional supply chains we remain entirely vulnerable to that leverage," the U.S. trade representative said. But lower labor costs overseas, as well as less pressure on environmental standards, helped send the rare earths industry out of the U.S. watch nowIn the case of rare earths, Tai pointed out that China has a monopoly in the global market. While lithium is a key component of electric car batteries, it isn't one of the 17 metals scientifically categorized as rare earths.
Persons: Katherine Tai, CNBC's Martin Soong, Tai, Trump, Biden, Li Qiang, Gina Raimondo Organizations: U.S . Trade, B20, CNBC Locations: U.S, China, New Delhi, India, Beijing
The catastrophic wildfires in Maui, Hawaii, have caused between $4 billion and $6 billion in economic losses, according to an estimate by Moody's RMS on Tuesday. The true cost of the deadliest wildfire in the U.S. in more than a century is almost certainly higher than the estimated property damage. The billions of dollars in estimated losses do not take into account the blaze's effect on Hawaii's gross domestic product, government spending on the response to the catastrophe or the social cost of the fires, according to Moody's. Rebuilding will be costly as inflation drives up prices during the long recovery process, according to Moody's. Goods are already more expensive on Maui due to the island's remote location and labor costs in the construction industry are high.
Locations: Maui, Hawaii, U.S
A US recession is still on the table despite moderating inflation and a steady jobless rate, according to Raymond James. The firm said consumer strength and employment trends are set to weaken after a few strong years. Consumer strength is likely to weaken. "And the short-term economic boost from Taylor Swift's 'Eras Tour' is ending as it moves overseas. And this has already started to translate into weaker demand for loans, as the net percentage of banks reporting stronger demand for loans has fallen to its lowest level since 2009."
Persons: Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam, we're, Taylor Swift's, capex Organizations: Service, Consumers, Goods Locations: Wall, Silicon
A truck carrying iron ore moves along a road at the Fortescue Metals Christmas Creek iron ore mine located south of Port Hedland in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, November 17, 2015. But it's worth noting that China's two main imports from Australia, iron ore and liquefied natural gas (LNG), were left untouched throughout the dispute. China gets about 70% of its iron ore from Australia and about one-third of its LNG, some of it under a low, fixed-price contract signed two decades ago. But overall it would seem that the ending of Beijing's trade actions against Australia will be net positive for both countries. This suggests Beijing didn't learn the lessons from the trade tariffs imposed on it by the U.S. administration of former president Donald Trump.
Persons: Jim Regan, hadn't, Beijing didn't, Donald Trump, Trump, Sonali Paul Organizations: Fortescue, REUTERS, China's Ministry of Commerce, Australia, Labor Party, Liberal, National, Labor, Canberra, Beijing, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Port Hedland, Pilbara, Western Australia, LAUNCESTON, Australia, China, China's, Beijing, Canberra, Indonesia, Russia, United States, India, Vietnam, U.S, Ukraine
Barges of coal at the inland harbor in Duisburg, on the river Rhine in Germany, on Thursday, July 20 2023. The river Rhine, an important trade route that runs through Germany via European cities to the port of Rotterdam, has become shallower at critical points. As water levels go down, a vessel's capacity reduces and shipping costs rise, with prices increasing as rivers become shallower. Water levels at Kaub are closely followed, and if they fall too low, vessels have to sail with reduced loads. Ben Kilb | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFalling water levels can "significantly impair" manufacturing output, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IFW).
Persons: Ben Kilb, Lloyd, Tim Beckhoff, we've, Marc Schattenberg, Schattenberg, Beckhoff, Goarshausen Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Maersk, Hapag, McKinsey, CNBC, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche Bank, Kiel Institute Locations: Duisburg, Germany, Europe, Rotterdam, Kaub, Frankfurt, Karlsruhe, St
There were 1.6 job openings for every unemployed person in June, little changed from May. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.610 million job openings. Reuters GraphicsThere were an additional 136,000 job openings in healthcare and social assistance, while vacancies increased by 62,000 in state and local government, excluding education. The job openings rate was unchanged at 5.8% in June. ISM manufacturing PMIIt has, however, not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing employment in the government's nonfarm payrolls count.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Federal, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Employers, Treasury, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Economists, ISM, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, . U.S
It was the ninth straight month that the PMI stayed below the 50 threshold, which indicates contraction in manufacturing, the longest such stretch since the 2007-2009 Great Recession. The ISM survey's forward-looking new orders sub-index increased to 47.3 in July. According to the ISM, the delivery performance of suppliers to manufacturing firms has been faster for 10 straight months. It has, however, not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing employment in the government's nonfarm payrolls count. Manufacturing employment likely rose by 5,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists.
Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, Reuters Connect WASHINGTON, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Reuters, ISM, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, Fed, U.S . Labor Department, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S
Secretary of State for International Trade and President of the Board of Trade, Minister for Women and Equalities Kemi Badenoch leaves 10 Downing Street. LONDON — Britain's Kemi Badenoch, the business and trade secretary, formally signed a treaty confirming accession to the vast Indo-Pacific CPTPP bloc, the country's largest post-Brexit trade deal to date. The U.K. would be the first European nation to join the bloc, which the government says would unlock trade to a region with a total GDP of £12 trillion ($15.7 trillion). Badenoch said Sunday that Britain was using its status as an independent trading nation to join an "exciting, growing, forward-looking trade bloc." One in every 100 workers in Britain was employed by a business headquartered in a CPTPP nation, according to the government citing 2019 data.
Persons: Badenoch, Kemi Organizations: State for International Trade, of Trade, Women, Equalities, CPTPP, Trans, Pacific Partnership Locations: Kemi Badenoch, New Zealand, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Australia, Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, Britain
LONDON, July 14 (Reuters) - An accelerating dollar slide could be a U.S. gift to its allies by helping them catch up with its impressive disinflation. A dollar slide of this size and speed has typically elicited yelps of pain from U.S. trading partners. Euro zone headline inflation - which peaked about one percentage point above and three months later than the U.S. equivalent last year - was still 2.5 points above it last month. The ECB will likely stay shy of peak Fed rates, but an expected move to 4.0% policy rates by year-end will involve two quarter point hikes after the Fed has stopped. A time-limited dollar drop now may be more benign than a simple reversion to a new 'currency war'.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: Reserve, Monetary, Sterling, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, Transatlantic, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, Britain, Swiss
US producer inflation muted; labor market still tight
  + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
That was the smallest year-on-year gain since August 2020 and followed a 0.9% increase in May. CORE INFLATION SLOWINGExcluding the volatile food and energy components, the so-called core goods prices fell 0.2% last month after climbing 0.1% in May. In the 12 months through June, the core PPI advanced 2.6%. That was the smallest year-on-year gain since February 2021 and followed a 2.8% increase in May. While inflation is slowing, the labor market remains tight.
Persons: Bill Adams, Jeffrey Roach, Christopher Rupkey, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: PPI, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Financial, Services, Wholesale, Fed, Energy, LPL Financial, Treasury, CPI, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Dallas, Charlotte , North Carolina, Stocks, New York
Darryl Dyck | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe strike at the Canada's West Coast ports is over, after both the labor union and port ownership accepted a deal presented by federal mediators. ILWU Canada union workers were expected to be back on the job for the 4:30 p.m. Pacific time shift on Thursday, but undoing the damage to the supply chain from close to two weeks of strike will take weeks. While the production ramp down at the ports was seen immediately, the congestion as a result of the 13-day strike will have a lasting effect on ports. The International Longshoremen and Warehouse Union of Canada begin its strike on July 1. The ports strike has already damaged the U.S. supply chain.
Persons: Darryl Dyck, Seamus O'Regan, Omar Alghabra, O'Regan, Prince Rupert, HLS, Eric Byer, Byer, Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Sara Elena, Willie Adams Organizations: Port Metro Vancouver, Bloomberg, Getty, Twitter, Canadian Labor, Warehouse Union of Canada, British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, Vancouver, US Inland Port, U.S ., Carriers, American Association of Railroads, National Association of Chemical Distributors, CNBC, Port, U.S, Products, Canada, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Railway Association of Canada, MSC Brunella, ILWU U.S, West Coast, Logistics, Customs Locations: Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Coast, U.S, British, Vancouver, U.S . West Coast, Asia, Port of Vancouver, West Coast, Africa, United States
Year-over-year intermodal Canadian rail was down 46.2% last week as a result of the strike. Weekly rail trade data from the Association of American Railroads shows the devastating impact that Canadian West Coast ports strike is having on freight rail cargo entering the U.S. The U.S. and Canada have a historically strong trade relationship: Each country is the other's top trading partner. The Canadian Chamber of Commerce estimates $605 million in trade moves through one of those two ports daily. The International Longshoremen and Warehouse Union of Canada begin its strike on July 1.
Persons: Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Paul Brashier, Prince Rupert, Brashier, Eric Byer, Byer, Willie Adams, Sara Elena, Medea, Rob Ashton, Steve Lamar Organizations: AAR, Association of American Railroads, Railway Association of Canada, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Warehouse Union of Canada, British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, ITS Logistics, ITS, U.S ., National Association of Chemical Distributors, Products, CNBC, Hyundai, CMA, Canadian Labor, Labor, Bank of Canada, American Apparel and Footwear Association Locations: West Coast, U.S, Canada, Vancouver, British, United States, U.S . West Coast, East Coast, Western Canada, Asia, Chicago, San Francisco
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