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Yet Jerome Powell and his central bank colleagues have rebuffed those forecasts, and markets have pushed their rate cut predictions further into 2024. And the producer price index for January came in at 0.3% on Friday, higher than the expected 0.1% increase. Jimmy Chang, the chief investment officer for Rockefeller Global Family Office, told Business Insider that it would be difficult for the Fed to cut rates in the current landscape. AdvertisementThe Fed's next moveThe case for keeping rates unchanged has gained momentum over recent weeks, but both markets and the Fed ultimately expect easing interest rates in 2024. Bank of America forecasts that the first cut likely won't happen until June, and policymakers could opt to cut rates "later and faster."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Nonfarm payrolls, Mary Daly, agilely, Joe Seydl, Seydl, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jay Woods, We're, Woods, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan Private Bank, Rockefeller Global Family Office, Fed, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Freedom Capital Markets, Bank of America
Courtesy Eden GreenOne of Eden Green's aims is to remove some of the unpredictability of farming by doing it indoors in soaring greenhouses stacked with rows of greens. At its facility of nearly 83,000 square feet, Eden Green does its growing without soil, a process called hydroponics . Eden Green said it uses 98% less water and 99% less land than traditional farming. Advertisement"You can still have that agriculture job and have a full-time, steady position," they said. Eden Green's retention rate has been above 80% for the past nine months, the company said.
Persons: Stacia Lewis, Willy Wonka's, Lewis, They'd, Eden Green, Eden, Eden Green's, Eden Green's playbook, Eddy Badrina, who's, Badrina, Organizations: Service, Business, Eden Green Technology, Eden Locations: romaine, Eden, chard, Cleburne , Texas, Cleburne, Dallas, Fort Worth
The chipmaker was initiated with an outperform rating by Loop Capital, which set a Wall Street-high price target that calls for 65% upside. He also raised his price target on U.S.-traded shares to $22.22 from $19.16, implying shares could rise 27% from Thursday's close. It also cut its price target by $1.50 to $8.50, suggesting just 6.2% upside potential from Thursday's closing price. — Hakyung Kim 5:41 a.m.: Oppenheimer downgrades Nike Don't expect much out of Nike shares in the near future, according to Oppenheimer. The firm downgraded the apparel giant to perform from outperform and slashed its price target to $110 per share from $150.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Carvana, Raymond James Carvana's, Raymond James, Mitch Ingles, Ingles, — Hakyung Kim, Jefferies, Alex Wright, Wright, Peter Grom, Chris Peterson's, Grom, Newell, Brian Nagel, Fred Imbert, Ananda Baruah, Hakyung Kim Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Nike, Loop, Jefferies, UBS, Newell Brands Consumer, Newell Brands, Nvidia Nvidia, CY2025 Locations: Thursday's, America, CY2024
The so-called Magnificent Seven stocks are showing behavior consistent with major asset bubbles through history, according to Bank of America. Looking at variables including catalysts for the surge, the price of money (i.e., interest rates), share prices and valuation, Hartnett sees similarities between the Magnificent Seven and some of the other big bubbles going back centuries. As far as what could pop the bubble, he cited tightening financial conditions and rising real interest rates. From a valuation standpoint, the Magnificent Seven is currently 20% above its 200-day moving average. "It ain't cheap but true that bubble highs have seen dafter valuations," Hartnett wrote.
Persons: , Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Valley Bank Locations: Mississippi
Nvidia 's powerhouse run is far from over, according to Loop Capital. Analyst Ananda Baruah initiated coverage of the chipmaker with a buy rating and Wall Street price target high of $1,200, representing 65% upside from Thursday close. NVDA 1Y mountain Nvidia shares over the last year "We're gonna party like it's 1995!" Underpinning Baruah's price target is the belief that Nvidia is at the "front end" of a multiyear cycle as hyperscalers transition to greater graphics processing unit compute. Heightened IT spending and budgets as companies hunt for ways to harness AI as they convert more data to the cloud should also bode well for Nvidia, Baruah said, noting that budgets are expected to increase to 45% from 30% in 2023.
Persons: Ananda Baruah, We're, bode, Baruah, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Capital, AMD
“Honestly, sometimes lately, I’ve thought my entire career is a ZIRP,” a tech worker recently reflected. More tech workers get laid offOver the last 18 months, tech workers say it's felt difficult to stay employed as round after round of layoffs have swept Big Tech and the broader industry. The tech job market got tougherTo add insult to injury, keeping a job in tech isn’t the only thing that’s more difficult. Aline Lerner, a former tech engineer and founder of interviewing.io, a site for tech recruiting and mock interviewing for tech job seekers, said it's now much more difficult to land a tech job, particularly at a high-profile or Big Tech company. “Anecdotally, I’d say it’s the hardest it’s been to get a tech job since probably the dot-com bust," Lerner said.
Persons: I’ve, gainfully, Hacker, it's, Layoffs.fyi, Elon Musk, nix, Meta, Elon Musk's, Winni, you’re, they're, Aline Lerner, ” Lerner, , Lerner, it’s, Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Big Tech, Tech, Google, Microsoft, ” Tech, Twitter, Menlo, Elon, The Washington Post, Getty Images Tech, , Department of Education Locations: Big, LeetCode
The cushy Big Tech job is dead
  + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Kali Hays | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +10 min
Hopping from one mid-six-figure salary job in Big Tech to the next? More tech workers get laid offOver the last 18 months, tech workers say it's felt difficult to stay employed as round after round of layoffs have swept Big Tech and the broader industry. The tech job market got tougherTo add insult to injury, keeping a job in tech isn’t the only thing that’s more difficult. Aline Lerner, a former tech engineer and founder of interviewing.io, a site for tech recruiting and mock interviewing for tech job seekers, said it's now much more difficult to land a tech job, particularly at a high-profile or Big Tech company. “Anecdotally, I’d say it’s the hardest it’s been to get a tech job since probably the dot-com bust," Lerner said.
Persons: I’ve, gainfully, Hacker, it's, Layoffs.fyi, Elon Musk, nix, Meta, Elon Musk's, Winni, you’re, they're, Aline Lerner, ” Lerner, , Lerner, it’s, Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Big Tech, Tech, Google, Microsoft, ” Tech, Twitter, Menlo, Elon, The Washington Post, Getty Images Tech, , Department of Education Locations: Big, LeetCode
The S & P 500 closed above 5,000 for the first time last week. However, investors need not fear as the rally could still have plenty of room to run, according to Capital Economics. However, Higgins continued: "valuation remains far short of what it reached then, suggesting that it has plenty more room to inflate." Capital Economics also noted the index's current rally is highly concentrated in mega-cap tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft . While acknowledging that it's impossible to predict bubbles, Capital Economics suggested that sustained modest earnings growth could see the rally continue through 2025.
Persons: John Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Capital Economics, Economics, Apple, Microsoft Locations: London
Jeremy Grantham warned US stocks and the economy are headed for trouble. The elite investor and market historian said the AI frenzy is a bubble that's bound to burst. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "Please be advised, the rest of the world is looking with amazement at the US, the US economy, the US stock market," he said. It's worth emphasizing that the US stock market and economy have defied Grantham's warnings of crashes and recession for several years now, and might well continue to do so.
Persons: Jeremy Grantham, Grantham, , you've, it's Organizations: Service, Exchange, Nvidia, Microsoft Locations: Miami, Ukraine, Gaza
Two passengers on a Southwest got into a fistfight, a video shows. 42 days into the year, there have already been 206 reports of unruly passengers. AdvertisementThe Department of Transportation issued a reminder to fliers to behave on flights after two passengers had a fistfight in midair. A video obtained by the outlet shows concerned passengers and crew getting between them and trying to calm them down. Advertisement42 days into the year, the Federal Aviation Administration has already received 206 reports of unruly passengers.
Persons: , you've Organizations: Service, of Transportation, Hawaii, NBC Bay Area, Federal Aviation Administration, Department of Transport Locations: Oakland , California, Hawaii
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices lingered near a two-month low on Wednesday, trading below the key $2,000-per-ounce level, as a stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation report prompted traders to trim bets for deeper rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Spot gold was flat at $1,992.21 per ounce (Oz), as of 0429 GMT, after hitting its lowest since Dec. 13 on Tuesday. The next key support level for spot gold is $1,975/Oz as it coincided with the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting where they announced three-quarter point rate cuts in 2024, fuelling a gold rally, said Wong. Traders have lowered their bets from four quarter-point rate cuts for 2024, in line with the Fed's "dot plot" released in December.
Persons: Bullion, Gold, Kelvin Wong, Wong Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, Traders, U.S, Investors Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, OANDA
Al-Shifa, Israeli officials have argued, is an example of Hamas’s willingness to use hospitals as cover and turn civilians into human shields. The portion of the tunnel visible in the Israeli military video is at least 350 feet long. But beyond accusing the Israeli military of planting evidence at hospitals, Hamas and Gazan officials have not directly refuted the evidence presented by Israel. The Israeli military declined to provide additional imagery to support its assertion that this was a tunnel entryway or part of a tunnel complex. Concrete sections of the Al-Shifa tunnel are visible in this still image from the video released by the Israeli military.
Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel thinks Nvidia's monster rally is fueling a fear of missing out in the market. "That's the first time that's happened since 2021 for us," the firm's senior managing director said on CNBC's "Fast Money" on Monday. In his Sunday note, Emanuel warned clients there are similarities to Y2K emerging, particularly when it comes to momentum. Meanwhile, Nvidia , the global leader in artificial intelligence chips, is up 46% so far this year and 240% over the past year. "If you can't see yourself being a buyer down there, you should probably lighten up a little bit," said Emanuel.
Persons: Evercore, Julian Emanuel, Nvidia's, Emanuel, CNBC's Melissa Lee, hasn't, It's Organizations: Dow, Nvidia Locations: U.S, Monday's
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewFrom Michael Burry's "Big Short" against the housing market to Warren Buffett's warnings during the dot-com bubble, some of the biggest names in finance have taken contrarian stances that paid off. Legendary forecaster Gary Shilling is also defying market consensus by warning the S&P 500 could crash 30%, and predicting a recession will strike this year. He told Business Insider in an interview he actively seeks to disagree with Wall Street for several reasons. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Michael Burry's, Warren Buffett's, Gary Shilling, Shilling, Merrill Lynch's, John Paulson, doesn't, Copernicus, David Rosenberg, it's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Newton
Read previewMasayoshi Son owes much of his success to an incredibly prescient dot-com era bet on Alibaba. The SoftBank chief first invested $20 million in Jack Ma's ecommerce upstart in 2000, when it was just a year old. That faith was handsomely rewarded, with SoftBank realizing an incredible $72 billion gain on its investments in Alibaba over the course of 23 years. Arm and the Vision Funds collectively represent 70% of SoftBank’s net asset value, a key performance indicator that reflects the total value of its holdings. Arm, SoftBank's latest golden child, is on course to deliver, but there is still much work to be done to get the Vision Funds back on track.
Persons: , Jack Ma's ecommerce, Ma, Son, Masayoshi Son's, Jack Ma, Alibaba, ChatGPT, Yoshimitsu Goto, SoftBank, Uber, Sam Altman, he'll Organizations: Service, Business, Future Publishing, Vision, Apple, Google, Nvidia, Samsung, Nasdaq, Funds Locations: Alibaba, China, British, London
Read previewThe S&P 500 surpassed 5,000 for the first time on Friday, riding a wave of investor optimism about the health of the US economy. It's represented by the red line in the chart below, while the S&P 500 is shown in blue. Here's a chart from a regression analysis by Bank of America showing the impact that valuations have on long-term stock market returns. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 23% over the past year.
Persons: , John Hussman, Hussman, It's, Tom Lee, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Adam Turnquist Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Hussman, Bank of America
A lower-cost way to play the S&P 500's run to 5,000
  + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
The S & P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high, achingly close to 5,000 for those enamored of nice round numbers. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year Is there an option trade we can use if we're not sure? If S & P earnings grow closer to their historical average, then $240ish (let's stick to round numbers) might be a more accurate estimate. $240 a shares multiplied by 20 = $4,800 in the S & P. So in that context 5,000 is a little rich, but not much. The VIX Index , a measure of 30 day volatility in the S & P 500, is below 13, cheaper than usual.
Persons: we're, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Krugmans, aren't Organizations: Investors, Nvidia Locations: China, U.S
PayPal shares tumbled more than 10% Thursday after a disappointing forecast added to uncertainty around the payments giant. While the company posted beats on most metrics for its fourth quarter on Wednesday, PayPal guided for earnings that were well below expectations. He called 2024 a transition year and told CNBC in a phone interview that the company was staying "conservative" on guidance. 'Show me' stock PayPal's CEO faced criticism for over-promising before its Jan. 25 product event . Leading up to that, Chriss told CNBC PayPal planned to "shock the world."
Persons: Alex Chriss, FactSet, it's, Wells, Andrew Bauch, Chriss, Gordon Haskett, Don Bilson, Bilson, Bryan Keane, Michael Bloom Organizations: PayPal, Apple, CNBC, Intuit, CNBC PayPal, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank
Chelsea Davis for InsiderI started by making the marinade for my carne asada, which is typically made with grilled and sliced beef. Chelsea Davis for InsiderThis simmering process took about an hour and a half, which gave me time to do everything else. Chelsea Davis for InsiderOn the side, I had sliced avocado and radish slices for garnish and serving with the nachos. Chelsea Davis for InsiderI was worried the tower would just collapse, but it actually held together quite well. Chelsea Davis for InsiderIt didn't look like the prettiest dish in the world, but the toppings seemed evenly distributed throughout the chips.
Persons: , Guy Fieri, Read, Chelsea Davis, carne, queso blanco, pico de gallo, carne asada, oregano Organizations: Service, Business, SMC Locations: Mexican, oregano, Oaxaca, Asadero, Monterey Jack
CNN —Astronomers have uncovered additional evidence that one of Saturn’s smallest moons, Mimas, is hiding a global ocean beneath its icy surface. Discovered in 1789 by English astronomer William Herschel as a tiny dot near Saturn, Mimas was first imaged from space by the Voyager probes in 1980. Craters cover the surface of Mimas, but the largest one is 80 miles (about 130 kilometers) across and causes the moon to resemble the Death Star from the “Star Wars” films. But Saturn’s Enceladus appears younger because active geysers have contributed to resurfacing, or depositing of new, fresh material on that moon’s surface. “Mimas certainly demonstrates that moons with old surfaces can be hiding young oceans, which is pretty exciting,” Rhoden said.
Persons: Mimas, Cassini, William Herschel, Observatoire, Dr, Valéry Lainey, Lainey, , Nick Cooper, Saturn, ” Lainey, , Triton, Frédéric, ” Cooper, “ Lainey, Matija Ćuk, Alyssa Rose Rhoden, Rhoden Organizations: CNN —, Saturn, Voyager, , Physical, Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, NASA, Clipper, SETI Institute, Southwest Research Locations: Paris, California, Colorado
Given that most of the "Magnificent Seven" has surpassed consensus expectations, Goldman Sachs said the group of big technology companies could once again exceed the broader market's gains this year. So far, six of the Magnificent Seven — all but blockbuster chipmaker Nvidia — have reported fourth-quarter results. Each of the companies, with the exception of electric vehicle maker Tesla , exceeded consensus sales forecasts, and collectively posted 14% year-over-year quarterly sales growth, Kostin noted. Analysts also expect the Magnificent Seven to outperform in margin expansion over the next three years, compared with the rest of the market, he added. Shares of the Magnificent Seven raced ahead of the broader market last year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Nvidia —, Goldman, Nvidia's Organizations: Nvidia, DoJ, FTC, Analysts, Tech, Apple, Microsoft
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following the release of the Fed's interest rate policy decision at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., January 31, 2024. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed in an interview aired Sunday that the central bank will proceed carefully with interest rate cuts this year and likely will move at a considerably slower pace than the market expects. "We want to see more evidence that inflation is moving sustainably down to 2%," Powell added. We just want some more confidence before we take that very important step of beginning to cut interest rates." Powell was broadly optimistic about the economy, noting that inflation, while still above the Fed's target, has moderated while the jobs market is strong.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, wouldn't, Scott Pelley, payrolls, hasn't, haven't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, CBS, Labor Department Locations: Washington , U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
“I think it is a real strong deterrence,” said Sen. Tammy Duckworth, an Illinois Democrat and Iraq War veteran. It was only about an hour after Biden departed Dover Air Force Base in Delaware that the first US strikes began in Iraq and Syria. Inside the Situation Room, Biden and his team assessed a set of options that each came with a certain degree of risk. And there are clear indications that Iran isn’t looking for a war with the United States — just as Washington insists it isn’t seeking a broader conflict. “There’s been no communications with Iran since the attack that killed our three soldiers in Jordan,” National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said Friday night.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden, won’t, , , Sen, Tammy Duckworth, ” Biden, Mark Esper, Donald Trump’s, ” Esper, he’d, William Jerome Rivers, Kennedy Ladon Sanders, Breonna Alexsondria Moffett, United States —, , haven’t, Biden’s, “ There’s, John Kirby, Beth Sanner, Qasem, ” Sanner Organizations: CNN, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force, Illinois Democrat, Iraq, Biden, Dover Air Force Base, US Army Reserve Command, Spc, Breonna, United, White, ” National Security Locations: Iraq, Syria, Iran, Red, Illinois, Jordan, Delaware, United States, Gaza, South Carolina, Tehran, Yemen, Washington, Iranian
Vargas, a special education instructor, has been mired for months in various stages of interviews for three teaching jobs. Employers' hiring rate fell sharply in 2023, Zhao said. They'll often toss out some number around 40, he told BI. AdvertisementHitting the numbers on job applications is also a priority for Kevin Cash, who previously told BI he's applied to more than 1,200 jobs and has mostly been ghosted. She's accepted a part-time job and plans to teach private classes for students learning English as a second language.
Persons: , Lynne Vargas, Vargas, Daniel Zhao, Cory Stahle, Zhao, Josh Bersin, Debbie Lovich, Lovich, Royal Siu, They'll, Siu, it's, Kevin Cash, They're, Jeff Calnan, Indeed's Stahle, Stahle, She's Organizations: Service, Business, Employers, Federal, BI, Boston Consulting Group, Navy, US Air Force Locations: Middletown , New York, Seattle, Woburn , Massachusetts
Dollar poised for weekly decline; US jobs data up next
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index was last at 103.02 and on track for its first weekly decline for the year. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.07% to $0.6149 and was on track for a weekly rise of nearly 1%, its best performance in over a month. It was poised for a weekly gain of nearly 1.3%, its best week in over a month. That highlighted a growing view within the board that conditions were falling in place to soon pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory, which would be Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. Data on Thursday showed euro zone inflation eased as expected last month but underlying price pressures fell less than forecast, likely boosting the European Central Bank's argument that rate cuts should not be rushed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, Raf Choudhury, BoE, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Friday's, Analysts, Bank of Japan's, Bank of England, Monetary, European Locations: Abrdn, U.S
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