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Bitcoin made a stunning jump in the first half of 2023, hitting $30,000 again for the first time in months. Five market experts responded to CNBC questions via email, and three said they expect bitcoin to reach the $50,000 level by the end of 2023. That is a net annual reduction in selling of BTC 250,000 — a large number relative to bitcoin market turnover." "We previously predicted that this driver would add USD 10,000 to the bitcoin price," he added. Mobius said he expects bitcoin to climb to $40,000 by the end of 2023, citing investor "belief" in the digital coin.
Persons: Bitcoin, Carol Alexander, Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, Antoni Trenchev, wouldn't, Mark Mobius, Tim Draper, Mobius, bitcoin, Draper didn't, , Kevin Schmidt Organizations: BlackRock, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Sussex University, SEC, British, Chartered, Standard Chartered, BTC, Federal Reserve, Mobius Capital Partners, Draper Associates, Trust, Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission Locations: Terra, Binance
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with SoFi's Liz Young, Crossmark’s Victoria Fernandez and Invesco Global's Brian LevittSoFi's Liz Young, Crossmark’s Victoria Fernandez and Invesco Global's Brian Levitt, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the economy, markets, and more.
Persons: SoFi's Liz Young, Crossmark’s Victoria Fernandez, Invesco, Brian Levitt, Liz Young
The biggest stocks in the market will soon get taken down a peg or two, at least on paper. The seven largest stocks in the Nasdaq-100 will be diluted down to 44% of the index from the current 56%. The changes mean the Invesco QQQ Trust and other funds that closely follow the index will need to sell some of the biggest stocks in the market this week. "Nasdaq slashed the NDX weight of AAPL from 20% to 12%, but this change had no clear negative effect on the stock's performance. The rebalance comes as the increased concentration of large-cap tech stocks has raised concerns the current market rally is unsustainable.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Lori Calvasina, Bram Kaplan, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, RBC Capital Markets, JPMorgan
The Nasdaq-100 index is getting a makeover. Here's how
  + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
CNN —The Nasdaq-100 index is getting a fresh look. What happened: The index comprises 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq. Seven companies listed in the Nasdaq-100 accounted for roughly 51% of the index as of June 3, according to a note by Louis Navellier, chairman of Navellier & Associates. The Nasdaq is looking to fix that problem – without changing any of the stocks in the index. Nasdaq won’t remove or add any stocks to the index during this rebalance, according to the release.
Persons: Louis Navellier, Apple, Donald Calcagni, , What’s, Cameron Lilja, Bob Iger, Ron DeSantis, Tucker Carlson, ” Iger, Read, Hanna Ziady Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Mercer Advisors, Stocks, Florida Gov, Disney, Fox News, CNBC, McKinsey Global Institute Locations: Europe, Florida
WASHINGTON, July 13 (Reuters) - Partnering with Coinbase Global (COIN.O) may hinder rather than help Nasdaq's (NDAQ.O) bid to win regulatory approval for a bitcoin exchange-traded-fund it wants to launch with BlackRock (BLK.N). The SEC has denied previous spot bitcoin ETF proposals on the basis that they would be vulnerable to manipulation. The SEC last month sued Coinbase, escalating SEC chair Gary Gensler's crackdown on the crypto industry. And with roughly 56% of U.S. dollar bitcoin trading, according to Nasdaq's filing, Coinbase is integral to the U.S. bitcoin market. All told, the SEC has 240 days after it accepts the bitcoin ETF filing applications to make a decision.
Persons: Larry Fink, Bitcoin, Coinbase, Gary Gensler's, John Reed Stark, Sui Chung, Gensler, Joseph Silvia, Dickinson Wright, Silvia, Chung, Richard Marshall, Katten, Marshall, Michelle Price, John McCrank, Hannah Lang, Will Dunham Organizations: Coinbase, BlackRock, Nasdaq, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Cboe Global, Fidelity, FOX Business, Internet Enforcement, BlackRock's, Reuters, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, U.S
The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) , which has even heavier exposure to Big Tech names, has brought in $5.8 billion of its own. "It's not really the overconcentration in the big names that worries me. It's actually the concentration in the big names compared to their earnings contribution," said Oktay Kavrak, director of communications and strategy at Leverage Shares. Whether you're passive or active, you probably have enough exposure to Nvidia and Apple and Microsoft," said Todd Sohn, ETF strategist at Strategas. There's a whiff of it, a scent of it," Sohn said, pointing out that money market funds attracted more cash than equity funds last week.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, It's, Oktay Kavrak, Todd Sohn, . Sohn, Kavrak, Sohn, Cathie Wood's Organizations: Vanguard, Big Tech, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nasdaq, RSP, Apple, Trust, Technology, Index, Fund, The Vanguard FTSE Locations: SPDR Americas, Europe
That compares with a 14.8% gain for the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX). Microsoft (MSFT.O), Apple (AAPL.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) combined account for 43.8% weight in the index, according to Refinitiv data as of Monday's close. The special rebalancing may be conducted at any time if the aggregate weight of companies, each having more than 4.5% weight in the index, tops 48%, according to Nasdaq. COULD THE S&P 500 FOLLOW SUIT? Apple and Microsoft are the only two firms with weight over 4.5% in the S&P 500.
Persons: Hogan, Cameron Lilja, Dow, Wells, Sam Stovall, Sruthi Shankar, Medha Singh, Bansari, David Randall, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Riley, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Dow Jones, Tesla, Booking Holdings, Gilead Sciences, Devices, CFRA, Thomson Locations: Wells, Gilead, Bengaluru, New York
The rapid rise of a few already massive tech stocks this year is causing Nasdaq to make unusual adjustments to its popular growth index. The company announced on July 7 that it will do a special rebalance of the Nasdaq 100 Index , which will take effect before the market opens on July 24. The company said a special rebalance can be used to "address overconcentration in the index by redistributing the weights." While the index is already rebalanced on quarterly basis, Nasdaq tries to keep the five biggest stocks below a 40% combined weighting in one rebalance per year designated as the annual adjustment, according to the firm's methodology. The five biggest stocks appear to be over that threshold currently, according to the holdings of the Invesco QQQ ETF , which tracks the index.
Organizations: Nasdaq
41% of surveyed central banks and sovereign funds expect to increase gold holdings in the next three years. 2 out of 5 cited concerns about their central bank assets being frozen — such as in the case of Russia. Central banks snapped up a record 1,136 metric tons of gold in 2022. But central banks appear to be less willing to keep their physical gold assets in storage overseas, with just under 70% of respondents now keeping the reserves at home. The US dollar has been the world's reserve currency since the Second World War, playing a crucial role in the world's trade and financial system.
Persons: Invesco, we've Organizations: Service, Russia, Gold, West Locations: Russia, Central, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, London
LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - An increasing number of countries are repatriating gold reserves as protection against the sort of sanctions imposed by the West on Russia, according to an Invesco survey of central bank and sovereign wealth funds published on Monday. The survey showed a "substantial share" of central banks were concerned by the precedent that had been set. DIVERSIFYGeopolitical concerns, combined with opportunities in emerging markets, are also encouraging some central banks to diversify away from the dollar. Infrastructure is now seen as the most attractive asset class, particularly those projects involving renewable energy generation. "The funds and the central banks are now trying to get to grips with higher inflation," he said.
Persons: Rod Ringrow, Ringrow, Marc Jones, Mike Harrison Organizations: West, Sovereign Asset Management, Infrastructure, Thomson Locations: Russia, Ukraine, London, China, India, Mexico, Indonesia, Brazil, Britain, Italy
FUNDAMENTALS* Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,925.49 per ounce by 0104 GMT. * An increasing number of countries are repatriating gold reserves as protection against the sort of sanctions imposed by the West on Russia, according to an Invesco survey of central bank and sovereign wealth funds published on Monday. * SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.3% on Friday. * Data on Friday showed COMEX gold speculators raised net long position by 12,733 contracts to 99,205 in week ended July 3. * In other precious metals, spot silver gained 0.1% to $23.09, platinum added 0.4% to $911.40, and palladium climbed 0.2% to $1,246.86.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Swati Verma, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: Labor, . Treasury, West, Trust, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, Russia
Gold flat on doubts over U.S. rate hike trajectory
  + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold and silver bars of various sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum in Munich. Gold prices were little changed on Monday after U.S. jobs data last week cast doubts over the labor market's strength, prompting investors to be more skeptical of the Federal Reserve's rate hike trajectory. Spot gold was steady at $1,923.62 per ounce by 0347 GMT. Data on Friday showed COMEX gold speculators raised their net long position by 12,733 contracts to 99,205 in the week ended July 3. In other precious metals, spot silver was steady at $23.05 per ounce, platinum fell 0.1% to $907.34 and palladium eased 0.4% to $1,238.86.
Persons: Nicholas Frappell Organizations: Aurum, Labor, ABC Refinery, U.S, West, Trust Locations: Munich, U.S, U.S . Federal, Russia
ETF experts Todd Sohn and VettaFi's Dave Nadig believe a second winning half is in store for technology and artificial intelligence plays. Sohn, Strategas' ETF and technical strategist, particularly likes Roundhill Generative AI and Technology ETF (CHAT). "What I like about [CHAT] is that it's actively managed," Sohn told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. Sohn also recommends Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ) for those interested in introducing more industrials into their portfolio. "I like [BOTZ] if you want to get away from tech because you already have tech exposure in your portfolio.
Persons: Todd Sohn, Dave Nadig, Sohn, it's, CNBC's, Nadig, you've Organizations: Technology, Robotics, Intelligence, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, RSP, JPMorgan
But the regulator still found the filings to lack clarity and comprehension, prompting BlackRock to refile last week. BlackRock first filed its application to launch the iShares Bitcoin Trust last month, with Fidelity following suit two weeks later. "However, if [the SEC] is trying to manufacture a way to approve a bitcoin ETF, this would be the way to do it. The filings come amid an ongoing legal battle between Grayscale and the SEC about converting its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF. "But certainly, things look more positive than they did maybe three weeks ago, six weeks ago."
Persons: Dave Nadig, Bob Pisani, BlackRock, Nadig, Coinbase, they've Organizations: Fidelity, BlackRock, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Coinbase, SEC Locations: CNBC's, refile
Despite a strong first half performance for the broad equity markets, ETF equity flows have been subpar this year. The big money has gone into Treasury ETFs and money market funds. First half inflows were subpar The first half ended with a modest acceleration of inflows into equity ETFs. Regardless, first half equity inflows were still well short of the prior years' first half activity. Join us Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. on ETF Edge for our second half ETF playbook.
Persons: Todd Sohn, . Sohn, Sohn, " Sohn, Dave Nadig Organizations: Tech, Energy, P Tech, Nasdaq, Fidelity, Renaissance Capital, Technology, Nvidia, Microsoft, Edge, VettaFi
Tech stocks led the way higher for the market in the first half. Bank of America expects other names to join in on the rally during the second half. The first half of 2023 was the best for the S & P 500 since 2019, surging 15.9%. Only 25% of stocks outperformed the broader market index, according to Savita Subramanian, the bank's head of U.S. and quantitative strategy. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) , which tracks a version of the S & P 500 in which stocks are weight equally rather than by market cap, is up just 5% year to date.
Persons: Dow Jones, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Dow, RSP Locations: St
Don't get too carried away though – crypto is still part of the broader market, which remains in a challenging macro environment. Before the recent rush of applications to launch U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs injected new optimism in the crypto market, it was a frustrating second quarter for traders. Between the end of the banking crisis in May and the BlackRock bitcoin ETF filing on June 15, regulatory pressure weighed heavily on sentiment and bitcoin traded sideways. Regulation and ETFs Beyond the macro backdrop, it's clear developments in U.S. regulation and ETF applications will continue to be the main themes in the third quarter. Don't get too carried away though – crypto is still part of the broader market, which remains in a challenging macro environment.
Persons: it's, Christopher Ferraro, Powell, hasn't, Ferraro, Cantor Fitzgerald's Elliot Han, bitcoin, Han, we're, " Ferraro, Dado Ruvic, Ruvic Organizations: BlackRock, Galaxy Digital, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Securities, Exchange, Fidelity, Galaxy, SEC, REUTERS, Reuters Locations: BlackRock, , U.S, Europe, Hong Kong, London
All 23 banks that the Federal Reserve subjects to its annual stress test passed the key evaluation after the market closed on Wednesday. Nonetheless, the stress test helped lift major banks stocks, including Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase , on Thursday. Phoenix-based Western Alliance , meanwhile, is 58% below its 52-week high. WAL YTD mountain Western Alliance stock has slipped more than 38% so far this year. Wells Fargo stock has gained almost 3.5% in 2023 after climbing 3.4% on Thursday following the Fed's stress test.
Persons: Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Solomon, FactSet Organizations: Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, KBW Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, KBW Bank ETF, Goldman, Western Alliance, Western, Wells, San Locations: U.S, Silicon, GreenSky, Phoenix, Wells Fargo, San Francisco
WisdomTree is attempting to launch a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund even though its peers have failed. The firm filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission last week, making it its second bitcoin ETF application after an initial rejection two years ago. "Some of the new filings have these data sharing agreements, surveillance sharing, new ways of doing it," he said. I think the data sharing agreements are the key element for that." According to an SEC filing this week, Fidelity Investments is also trying to launch a spot bitcoin ETF despite its prior failures.
Persons: WisdomTree, WisdomTree's Jeremy Schwartz, We've, they've, Schwartz, Bob Pisani Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Fidelity Investments Locations: Europe, WisdomTree, BlackRock, VanEck
The SEC raised the same concerns with Nasdaq (NDAQ.O) over a recent filing for a spot bitcoin ETF from BlackRock (BLK.N), the person said. According to Cboe's Fidelity bitcoin ETF filing, The company's platform represented roughly half of U.S. dollar-bitcoin trading in May. The recent filings for bitcoin ETFs by BlackRock and Fidelity have sent the price of bitcoin soaring more than 20% since June 15 to one-year highs. "It's not surprising to hear that the SEC is pushing back a little bit," he said of the bitcoin ETF applications. The SEC has rejected dozens of spot bitcoin ETF applications in recent years, including one from Fidelity in January 2022.
Persons: Cboe, Coinbase, Binance, it's, John Reed Stark, bitcoin, Ed Moya, It's, Carolina Mandl, John McCrank, Manya, Michelle Price, Shinjini Ganguli, Alexander Smith, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Nasdaq, WisdomTree, Coinbase, Cboe, BlackRock, ., Internet, Manya Saini, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Nasdaq, Manhattan, New York, Bengaluru
Stubbornly high inflation, a debt ceiling brawl, a brief banking crisis and the prospect of even higher interest rates: The past six months brought much to unsettle even the most optimistic investor. Investors have welcomed data showing that the economy remains on more solid footing than was expected at the start of the year. Inflation is easing, albeit more slowly than forecast, and policymakers have signaled that they expect interest rates will soon reach their peak. The more time that has passed without investors’ worst fears being realized, the more optimistic they have become. “We anticipated more damage,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at the fund manager Invesco.
Persons: , , Kristina Hooper, Invesco Organizations: Federal Reserve
Many investors appear comfortable betting on stocks to continue rising after a surprising strong first half, according to fund flow data. Investors even plowed $1.9 billion into the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) , which is up almost 40% so far this year. The flows are notable because investors have been somewhat reluctant to put more money in stocks this year despite the rally. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) also saw inflows this week, so some investors are still hedging their bets on stocks. With investors starting to chase the recent rally, all major regions except Europe saw inflows.
Persons: Magesh Kumar Chandrasekaran, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Trust, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Bond Market, Barclays Locations: Europe
Asset management giant Fidelity Investments is again trying to launch a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a Thursday filing. The move comes two weeks after BlackRock filed for a spot bitcoin ETF, which has long been opposed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Cathie Wood's Ark Invest filed for changes to its proposed bitcoin fund Wednesday that brought it closer in line with BlackRock's application. One of the SEC's key concerns about a spot bitcoin product is transparency in the market and the potential for manipulation. The digital currency was trading near $30,500 Thursday afternoon, up from below $26,000 prior to the BlackRock filing.
Persons: Fidelity's Organizations: Fidelity Investments, BlackRock, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Invest, Bitcoin, SEC Locations: BlackRock
Fidelity spot bitcoin ETF application refiled with U.S. SEC
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
June 29 (Reuters) - Asset manager Fidelity is once again seeking to list and trade shares of its Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a filing by listing exchange Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Fidelity is one of several big asset managers that have applied to list bitcoin ETFs recent weeks. The SEC has rejected dozens of spot bitcoin ETF applications in the past few years, including one from Fidelity in January 2022. The first bitcoin futures ETF was approved in October 2021, helping send the volatile bitcoin to an all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021, and raising hopes that a spot bitcoin ETF would soon be approved. Spot ETFs directly track the price of the cryptocurrency, while futures-based ETFs follow the price of bitcoin futures contracts.
Persons: VanEck, Bitcoin, Niket, John McCrank, Shinjini Ganguli, Shweta Agarwal, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, BlackRock, Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, Intercontinental Exchange Inc, Coinbase, SEC, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru, New York
Stock picker Cathy Wood's Ark Invest and Swiss-based exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer 21Shares on Wednesday amended their bitcoin ETF application, while asset manager Fidelity is also expected to file a spot bitcoin ETF application, trade publication The Block reported on Tuesday. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has rejected dozens of applications for spot bitcoin ETFs, saying the proposals have not met anti-fraud and investor protection standards. These are the major firms with live SEC applications:BLACKROCK(BLK.N) - The world's biggest asset manager filed for a bitcoin ETF on June 15. INVESCO(IVZ.N) AND GALAXY DIGITAL - Invesco reactivated its September 2021 application to launch the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF on Cboe's BZX exchange. VANECK - VanEck refiled on June 22 to for approval to launch the VanEck Bitcoin Trust on Cboe's BZX exchange.
Persons: Cathy, 21Shares, BlackRock's, BNY, Cboe BZX, WisdomTree, refiled, John McCrank, Michelle Price, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, Invest, Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, BLACKROCK, Nasdaq, BNY Mellon, Ark, 21Shares, Company, U.S . Bank, National Association, Invesco, Galaxy, NYSE Arca, Valkyrie, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Swiss
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