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☆ Investor sentiment starting to enter into frothy territory with so much going well for stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Fully 90% expect a "soft landing," or "no landing" at all (i.e. That's not the case here: the Fed is cutting rates going into, at worst, a soft landing, which is very unusual. The S & P 500 was up 2.0% in September and is higher by 0.9% so far in October. Historically, the S & P tends to rise beginning in the last week of October and through November and December. Goldman Sachs noted that, since 1928, the median S & P 500 return from October 15 to December 31 has been 5.17%.

Persons: That's, Alicia Levine, BNY, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, buybacks, Stocks, there's, AAII, BofA Organizations: America, Trump, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, Fed, buybacks, American Association of Locations: U.S, frothy

☆ Stock market today: Dow jumps 337 points to fresh record as US stocks rise on solid earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks rose on Wednesday after traders took in a handful of strong corporate earnings reports. Chip stocks wavered after Tuesday's selloff, with eyes on TSMC ahead of earnings. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders took in strong earnings results to bounce back from a sell-off in the chip sector in the previous session. Stocks, though, are on par for another strong quarter of earnings results. The S&P 500 is on track to report 7% year-per-year earnings growth for the third quarter, according to estimates from FactSet.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Tuesday's selloff, —, ASML Organizations: United Airlines, Service, Dow Jones, Micro Devices, Investors, Nvidia Locations: FactSet, Here's

☆ Stifel’s Barry Bannister sticks to his bearish market stance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems

☆ Morgan Stanley is about to report earnings — here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In this articleTed Pick, CEO Morgan Stanley, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 18th, 2024. Morgan Stanley is set to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Wednesday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $1.58 a share, according to LSEGRevenue: $14.41 billion, according to LSEGWealth management: $6.88 billion, according to StreetAccountTrading: Equities of $2.77 billion, Fixed Income of $1.85 billion, according to StreetAccountInvestment Banking: $1.36 billion, according to StreetAccountMorgan Stanley has several tailwinds in its favor. Finally, its Wall Street rivals have posted better-than-expected trading results, making it unlikely that the firm missed out on elevated activity. JPMorgan Chase , Goldman Sachs and Citigroup topped expectations, helped by better-than-expected revenue from trading or investment banking.

Persons: Ted Pick, Morgan Stanley, StreetAccount Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs Organizations: LSEG Revenue, Wealth, Investment, JPMorgan, Citigroup Locations: Davos, Switzerland

☆ These 5 portfolio stocks outperformed the market's incredible run since our September Monthly Meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

We did hold onto our rate-sensitive names like Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley , which were among the best performers since the last Monthly Meeting. Morgan Stanley: 16.2% Following the Fed's decision, shares advanced as investors became more optimistic about a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Morgan Stanley benefits from lower rates — and, in turn, a better economy — because it can usher in more Wall Street dealmaking such as initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions. That's because the Club has been debating exiting Morgan Stanley altogether for a potentially better investment banking rebound play like Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley reiterated its buy-equivalent rating on Oct. 10, arguing that Eaton has a positive setup into earnings season.

Persons: It's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, Salesforce, Marc Benioff, Piper Sandler, Guggenheim, Meta, Eaton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Procter, Gamble, Meta, Fed, Northland Capital Markets, UBS, Citigroup, Analysts, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Salesforce, Eaton, Tuesday's, Northland

☆ The stock market is in a 'mania' that will push it higher before a potential 26% drop in 2025, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 could lose a quarter of its value next year, according to Stifel. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 looks like it's in the midst of another "mania," and investors could see a steep drop in the benchmark index sometime next year, according to Stifel. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 looks like the fifth stock mania, according to a Stifel analysis spanning the last 139 years. Stocks could be challenged next year due to the uncertain outlook for Fed rate cuts, the strategists suggested. Investors could be impacted for the long-term, they added, pointing to previous manias, which historically led to weak stock returns over the following decade.

Persons: it's, —, manias Organizations: Service, Bloomberg

☆ The Trump trade is back on as betting markets swing in favor of a win for the former president
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Betting odds favor Trump winning the November election, with Polymarket odds at 59.5%. The Trump trade is back on, with Trump Media stock, bitcoin, and bank stocks rising. AdvertisementThe Trump trade has been regaining momentum as betting odds rise in favor of the former President winning the election in November. The Trump trade in markets weakened after the mid-September debate between Kamala Harris and Trump, as Harris was largely viewed as the winner of their one-and-only meeting. Here's what's moving in markets that suggest the Trump trade is back on as investors bet on a victory for the former president.

Persons: Trump, —, Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, Chhugani Organizations: Trump, Trump Media, Service, House, Bank, Washington DC, Biden White, P Bank ETF, Regional Banking Locations: Polymarket, Trump, United States

☆ China could raise nearly $1 trillion of fresh debt in the next 3 years to revive its economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Chinese media reported that China could rack up $850 billion in debt to help revive its economy. China has vowed to roll out more fiscal stimulus, but key details were missing in a recent update. AdvertisementChina's fiscal stimulus efforts could include racking up almost $1 trillion in fresh debt over the next several years, according to local media. The money could be used as fiscal stimulus and to help "off-the-books debt" in local governments, the people added. One researcher recently estimated that the direct effects of China's latest stimulus package may not be felt until 2025, mainly because more fiscal stimulus needs to be unlocked before the policies can bolster the nation's economy.

Persons: —, Lan Fo'an Organizations: Service, China's, Finance, CNBC, Bloomberg, CSI Locations: China, Beijing, Hong Kong

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 slips from record highs: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were calm on Tuesday evening as Wall Street looks to see whether equities can be rebound to record highs this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were flat. Nasdaq 100 futures ticked up by less than 0.1%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added just 2 points. The Dow and S&P 500 both slipped from their recent records during Tuesday's regular trading session, falling 0.75% and 0.76%, respectively. Tech stocks – semiconductors, in particular – weighed on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.

Persons: Bryn Talkington, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Management, UnitedHealth, Abbott Laboratories

☆ Trump Media stock mysteriously plunges
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Nasdaq paused trading for Trump Media at 2:42 p.m. The owner of social media platform Truth Social ended the day down 10%, and 20% below its high of the day. But Trump Media is a notoriously volatile stock. University of Florida professor Jay Ritter noted that trading volume in shares of Trump Media was “enormous” on Tuesday. Trump Media shares climbed 2% higher in after-hours trading.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Matthew Tuttle, Trump, “, ” Tuttle, Jay Ritter, ” Ritter, Ritter Organizations: New, New York CNN, Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Nasdaq, Trump Media, Tuttle Capital Management, CNN, University of Florida, GameStop, AMC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York

☆ UBS sees S&P 500 soaring to 6,400 by the end of 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Strategist Jonathan Golub raised his 2025 S & P 500 target to 6,400 from 6,000 in a note to clients released Tuesday. "UBS economists forecast 3.7% nominal GDP in 2025 (1.6% real), roughly in line with long-term averages," he said. Golub also noted that a "sharp decline in Fed Funds will likely increase profit margins by 20 [basis points] via lower interest expense." The Fed lowered its benchmark fed funds rates a half a point, to a range of 4.75% to 5.0%, in September. Bottom line: Stocks could consolidate to end 2024 before scaling new heights in the new year, based on UBS' outlook.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, Stocks, Golub doesn't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Monday's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes fall from records as chip rout drags tech shares lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A sell-off in semiconductors pulled stock indexes away from record highs. The decline overshadowed better-than-expected bank earnings results. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Meanwhile, a report that the US is considering export caps on specific chip sales only added to investor concern, pulling the broader chip sector lower. AdvertisementThe rout took attention from Tuesday's bank sector performance, as Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup beat earnings estimates.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Israel, Brent Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Dutch, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors sift through big bank earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks were mixed Tuesday morning as traders assessed the latest earnings, though several results before the bell helped strike a positive tone in early trading. While earnings will be this week's focal point, investors will also watch for September's retail sales and initial jobless claims to release on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Brent, Adriana Kugler, Mary Daly Organizations: Service, Citigroup, Bank of America, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Here's

☆ Stocks beat bonds as risk-on returns amid Fed easing and strong economic data, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors should favor stocks over bonds as the economy supports risk-on sentiment, Goldman analysts say. The US economy is in a pro-risk, late-cycle environment due to Fed easing and a strong economy. AdvertisementRisk-on sentiment is back after a brief flight to safety over the summer, and that should support stocks over bonds in the coming months, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note Tuesday. AdvertisementFed cutting cycles in general tend to support risky assets as long as the economy avoids a recession, the analysts say. This risk-on, late-cycle backdrop means stocks will benefit from higher earnings growth and valuations as bonds face downside risks, the analysts say.

Persons: Goldman, —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service Locations: China

☆ Why a 'no landing' scenario may take place after all
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A soft landing occurs when economic growth slows just enough to bring down inflation below the Federal Reserve's 2% target without tipping the economy into a recession. She thinks the economy is experiencing a no-landing scenario as it continues to expand without slowing down. "So far, clearly bank earnings are coming in better than expected, both top line and bottom line. "The other thing that that's showing [is] that our call for the 'no landing' is actually playing out." It's not just bank earnings that point to solid economic growth.

Persons: BNY Wealth's Alicia Levine, Levine, It's, Peter Perkins Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, U.S, MRB Partners Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo

A group of protesters staged at a sit-in outside the New York Stock Exchange on Monday morning amid Israeli attacks in Gaza. A number of arrests were made, the spokesperson said, but an exact figure could not immediately be obtained. "As Gaza is bombed, Wall Street booms," Jewish Voices for Peace said in a post on X. The Israeli conflict last week passed the first anniversary of the deadly Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas militants. Early Monday, a fire broke out in an encampment housing displaced civilians following Israeli attacks in the courtyard of Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital in central Gaza.

Persons: Peace, Benjamin Netanyahu, mulling Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Jewish, for, New York Police, NYSE, NBC, ., FEMA, Aqsa Martyrs Hospital, Associated Press Locations: Gaza, Jewish, Broad, U.S, Al, Aqsa

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors await wave of earnings results
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await third-quarter earnings from major companies. Investors will monitor retail sales and jobless claims data this week. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await a wave of third-quarter earnings results this week. More than 40 S&P 500 companies are set to report results this week, including Netflix, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementBoth data points will give investors insights into the health of the consumer and job market, respectively.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Adriana Kugler, —, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, Netflix, Fed Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 hits another record close as rally presses on amid earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks hit record highs on Monday as investors get ready for a wave of earnings reports. Over 80 S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Goldman Sachs, report earnings this week. Monday's close marked the S&P 500's 46th record close of the year, as investors continue to power the two-year-old bull market higher. More than 80 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings results this week, with major names like Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley on deck. According to data from Fundstrat, 6% of S&P 500 companies have already reported their results.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Fed Governor Waller, —, Monday's, Morgan Stanley, Adriana Kugler, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Netflix, Fed, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal, Stanford University's Hoover Institution Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ I'm on track to retire at 45. I started my career earning only $26,000 and followed this 4-phase plan.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Perri Ormont Blumberg | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Cole transitioned from a $26,000 salary to planning to retire at 45 through four phases. In 2012, I got my first job out of college as a social worker, earning $26,000. I moved into a part-time consulting role for my old company and went all-in on building out my financial coaching business, Money Essentials for Women. I've set myself up to retire at age 45 in 10 years, but transitioning from a $26,000 salary to an early retirement plan came in phases. I'm setting up additional income sources to make money when I'm not actively working on them.

Persons: Annie Cole, Cole, —, I've, isn't, it's, I'm, doesn't, you'll, Lauryn Haas Organizations: Service, Women, IRA, FIRE, Independence, lhaas Locations: Vancouver , Washington, asynchronously

☆ The stock market is overvalued, but that's no reason to turn bearish, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The firm sees no immediate catalysts like surging interest rates or inflation to trigger a downturn. AdvertisementInvestors worried that the stock market is overvalued shouldn't sell stocks, according to a Monday note from Piper Sandler. AdvertisementWithout an imminent spike in interest rates, the unemployment rate, or inflation, the stock market should continue its upward trend even if it's overvalued, according to Kantrowitz. AdvertisementKantrowitz recommends investors monitor credit spreads to determine whether there is fear in the stock market that could signal a period of negative equity returns going forward. Tight credit spreads, a solid labor market, and continued GDP growth are all signals that investors should stay bullish, according to Kantrowitz, even if the stock market is slightly overvalued.

Persons: Piper Sandler, —, Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Stocks, it's Organizations: Service, Investors, CNBC

If you're part of an online bank, transactions aren't processed on holidays. We've included a list of holidays when most banks (including the best banks in the U.S) close, plus alternatives for accessing cash if you need money quickly. Others, like TD Bank and Regions Bank, have separate pages with bank holiday schedules. Most banking transactions don't process on bank holidays, regardless of whether you use an online or brick-and-mortar bank. Transactions at brick-and-mortar banks like Chase, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America won't be processed until the next business day.

Persons: We've, Martin Luther King, Jr, doesn't, Sophia Acevedo, Sophia, Axel Springer, Education Sophia, Kit Pulliam, They’ve, Kit Organizations: Federal Reserve, Columbus, Indigenous Peoples, TD Bank, Regions Bank, Ally Bank, Bank of America, Business, Finance, Bank, Savings, Education, California State University Fullerton, National Association of Hispanic Journalists, Angeles, Pulliam, Tax, MSN, Vanderbilt University Locations: U.S, Chase, Wells Fargo, California

☆ Boeing factory strike crosses 1-month mark as pressure mounts on new CEO
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Leslie Josephs | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

There's no doubt about that," said Harry Katz, a professor who studies collective bargaining at Cornell University's School of Industrial and Labor Relations. Late Friday, Jon Holden, president of the striking workers' union, IAM District 751, pushed for a return to negotiations. However, unlike during the last Boeing factory strike in 2008, there is more contract work in the Seattle area to help workers fill the gaps. Slashing workforceA Boeing 737 MAX aircraft is assembled at the Boeing Renton Factory in Renton, Washington, on June 25, 2024. Boeing 737 fuselages on railcars at Spirit AeroSystems' factory in Wichita, Kansas, US, on Monday, July 1, 2024.

Persons: Stephen Brashear, It's, Boeing machinists, Kelly Ortberg, bookends, Max, wasn't, Harry Katz, Jon Holden, Ortberg, Jennifer Buchanan, hasn't, they're, Richard Aboulafia, Ron Epstein, Nick Oxford Organizations: Boeing, Getty, Cornell University's School of Industrial and Labor Relations, National Labor Relations Board, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, IAM, Boeing Renton Factory, AFP, of America, Bloomberg, & $ Locations: Renton , Washington, Seattle, Friday's, underperformance, Wichita , Kansas

☆ Prices in China are stagnating, putting more pressure on Beijing to jump-start the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fresh signs of deflation in China are stoking demand for national stimulus to revive the economy. China's headwinds include a burst property bubble, high youth unemployment, and threats to exports. AdvertisementChinese officials are under mounting pressure to stimulate the economy after official price data released Sunday stoked fresh deflation fears. That was below the consensus estimate of 0.6%, which would have matched the rate of price growth in August. But both agree that China needs stimulus to overcome the deepening property crisis and fight deflation."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Ipek Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Bloomberg, Swissquote Bank Locations: China

☆ 4 stocks set to benefit from China's stimulus measures while also hedging geopolitical risk: $21 billion firm's portfolio manager
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Chinese stock market soared after news of a stimulus package but plunged again on Wednesday. Risk remains high in Chinese stocks, which is why investors should exercise caution. The recent volatility in the Chinese market doesn't come as a surprise to Zehrid Osmani, portfolio manager at $21 billion Martin Currie. Valuations are low coming out of the pandemic, creating an attractive entry point into the market, Osmani said. He points to some structural challenges the Chinese economy faces, such as an aging population and a slump in the property sector.

Persons: —, Zehrid, Martin Currie, Osmani Organizations: Service, Investor, Bank of America, Companies, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: China, Shanghai, Beijing, Taiwan, Omani

☆ The stock market has officially enjoyed a bull rally for over two years. So now what?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, the stock market has officially enjoyed a bull rally for over two years. The big storyBullish on the bull marketNoam Galai/Getty ImagesHappy belated birthday to the stock market's bull rally! Stock market experts who spoke with Business Insider's Matthew Fox don't see things slowing down anytime soon . In fact, the average bull market lasts longer than five years, so we might not even be halfway to the finish line. The actual stock market is healthier, too, as it's no longer reliant on the Magnificent Seven's performance.

Persons: —, Noam Galai, Insider's Matthew Fox, Chelsea Jia Feng, we've, Alex Brandon, Jamie Dimon, Ken Griffin, he's, Republican megadonor hasn't, BlackRock, Jett Lara, Augustus Doricko, Doricko, Roblox, Natalie Ammari, Inflation's, Z's, It's Elliott Hill's, Hill, It's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Stock, Insider's, JPMorgan, Republican, Citadel, Wall, Menlo Ventures, Nike, Columbus, District of Columbia Locations: Chelsea, Ukraine, El Segundo , California, a16z, New York, it's, Italian American, London

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