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Job creation in March easily topped expectations in a sign of continued acceleration for what has been a bustling and resilient labor market. The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%, as expected, even though the labor force participation rate moved higher to 62.7%, a gain of 0.2 percentage point from February. "This report and the February report showed some broadening in terms of job creation, which is a very good sign." Stocks have tumbled this week amid concerns that a strong labor market and resilient economy could keep the central bank on hold for longer than expected. Correction: The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Lauren Goodwin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wall, Retail, New York Life Investments, Federal Reserve, Stock
The 2-year Treasury yield was also marginally higher at 4.648%. The 10-year Treasury yield was trading up less than one basis point at 4.318% at 4:02 a.m. The jobs figures will play into market expectations of when the Federal Reserve could start to cut interest rates. At its last meeting, the central bank indicated that it still expects three rate cuts by the end of this year. However, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Thursday became the latest high-profile figure to question whether there will be any rate cuts if inflation remains high.
Persons: Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, Investments, Traders
Job growth is expected to come in at 200,000 for the period, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. That will be just one of several key areas in focus when the report is released at 8:30 a.m. The job market's resilience has confounded many economists who spent the past two years searching for a jobs-led recession that never happened. Household employment, which counts individual workers rather than total jobs and is used to calculate the unemployment rate, has fallen by nearly 1 million since November. The survey is more volatile and uses a much smaller sample than the establishment count that yields the headline payrolls growth total.
Persons: Timothy Aeppel, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Dan North, Goldman Sachs, Luke Tilley, Stocks Organizations: Labor Department, Allianz Trade, Wilmington Trust Locations: Oxnard , California, Wilmington
Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange on April 5, 2024. Stocks rebounded Friday following the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's worst session in more than a year as traders cheered a stronger-than-expected jobs report and looked past a jump in rates. The 30-stock Dow climbed 307.06 points, or 0.8%, to settle at 38,904.04. The Dow slid 2.27%, posting its worst weekly performance in 2024. The Dow tumbled about 530 points, or 1.35%, on Thursday, marking its biggest daily drop since March 2023 and its fourth consecutive losing session.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jamie Cox, Neel Kashkari Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Labor, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Minneapolis Federal Locations: Minneapolis
President Joe Biden is fighting to convince inflation-weary voters that the U.S. economy is healthy. "America has the best economy in the world," he told NBC's Today Show on Monday, laying out an argument that is central to his reelection campaign. "The U.S. economy is leading the way for the global economy. It's driving the global economic train," Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi told CNBC. Besides sticky high prices that are projected to cool in the coming year, Zandi said that the fundamentals of the current U.S. economy are nearly ideal: "The economy is picture perfect.
Persons: Joe Biden, NBC's, Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Zandi, Dow Jones, Zandi Organizations: Flex, International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC Locations: U.S, West Columbia, South Carolina, America, United States, Georgia
Gold continues record rally after Fed comments; U.S. data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices rallied to a record high on Thursday as Federal Reserve officials reiterated expectations of interest rate cuts in 2024, even if their timing was unclear, while traders await key U.S. jobs data. Spot gold was steady at $2,299.28 per ounce, as of 0343 GMT, and hit a record high of $2,304.09 earlier in the session. Bullion has hit record highs in each session since last week's Thursday. The U.S. jobs report for March is due to be released on Friday, with new inflation data coming next week. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Bullion, Michael Langford, Jerome Powell, Langford Organizations: Federal, U.S, Scorpion Minerals Locations: U.S
Private sector job growth expanded in March at its fastest pace since July 2023, indicating continuing buoyance in the U.S. labor market, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Those switching jobs saw gains of 10%, also higher than in previous months. ADP, whose survey is based on payroll data analysis of more than 25 million workers, does not track government jobs. The ADP estimate serves as a precursor to the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls survey, set to be released Friday, though the numbers often diverge sharply. The department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported job growth of 275,000 in February, or 120,000 more than even ADP's revised figure.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: Companies, Labor, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Read previewFast-food franchisees in California are desperately looking for ways to cut costs as the state's $20 minimum wage for workers at limited-service restaurants kicks in. Mendelsohn, the El Pollo Loco franchisee, told NPR that her preemptive price increases had already deterred some customers. William Blair analyst Sharon Zackfia expects some restaurants in California to turn to digital kiosks as labor costs rise. Spending less on operationsBeyond labor, restaurants are looking for other ways to save on their operating costs. Alex Johnson, the Auntie Anne's Pretzels and Cinnabon franchisee, told the AP that he wasn't looking at opening any more locations in California.
Persons: , Michaela Mendelsohn, Alexi Rosenfeld, Alex Johnson, Anne's Pretzels, he'd, Marcus Walberg, Mendelsohn, Brian Hom, Walberg, Sharon Zackfia, William Blair, Grace Dean, Kris Stuebner, Scott Rodrick Organizations: Service, Business, El, Loco, NBC Los Angeles, Associated Press, El Pollo Loco, NPR, Wall Street Journal, CNN, KFC, Management Corporation, ABC, Fox News, AP Locations: California, Los Angeles County, Los Angeles, San Jose
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. During the Club's Morning Meeting, Jim Cramer said he's monitoring the potential impact of the massive earthquake in Taiwan on semiconductor production there. Jim Cramer called Eaton the "most megatrend big cap story there is," citing positives for the company from industrialization and artificial intelligence. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eaton, Jim, Procter, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ADP, Treasury, Wall, Barclays, Procter, Gamble, JPMorgan Locations: Taiwan
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 02, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures rose Wednesday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average registered its third straight losing session. Investors' fears that the Federal Reserve may keep rates higher longer have weighed on stocks this week. The result trounced Dow Jones' estimate of 155,000 and spurred investors' fears that rates may indeed stay higher longer. "I don't think that the Fed really has any reason to cut rates.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Dow Jones, Larry Tentarelli Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, Federal, ADP, Treasury, Blue Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S
If the Federal Reserve follows through on plans to lower interest rates it could lead to a stock market bubble, in the view of Neuberger Berman portfolio manager Steve Eisman. The central bank last month penciled in three potential quarter percentage point rate cuts by the end of 2023, along with multiple other cuts coming in future years. I personally think there should be no Fed cuts this year," he said during an interview on CNBC's " Squawk Box ." My actual fear is that if the Fed were actually to cut rates, the market becomes bubblicious and then we have a real problem. Markets in fact have grown nervous this week as hopes have waned for rate cuts.
Persons: Neuberger Berman, Steve Eisman, Jerome Powell, Eisman, Powell Organizations: Federal, Institute for Supply Management, Stanford Business, Government, Society, Labor Department, Fed
Gold prices on Tuesday hovered below record highs hit in the previous session, as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields held firm after strong U.S. data flagged doubts on whether the Federal Reserve would deliver three interest rate cuts this year. Spot gold was unchanged at $2,250.79 per ounce, as of 0415 GMT, holding below an all-time high of $2,265.49 hit on Monday. "Gold notched up a new record price, though with that high watermark also came some overbought conditions, which has resulted in a mild pullback. Traders pared bets of a June interest rate cut to 63% after the data, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Gold tends to gain when interest rates are cut as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Jerome Powell, Waterer Organizations: U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, KCM Trade, U.S Locations: .
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell for a second day in a rough start to the quarter. S&P 500 futures were lower by 0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.02%. The S&P 500 lost 0.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite tumbled nearly 1%. The S&P 500 is coming off its best first quarter since 2019. "We've heard day after day that we're either touching all-time highs or within reach of all-time highs.
Persons: Dow, Kristen, We've, Jerome Powell, Michelle Bowman, Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Levi Strauss Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Citi, Federal, Fed, Chicago Fed
It’s jobs week. Here’s what to watch for
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Welcome to jobs week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week that a weakening labor market would be a reason to reduce interest rates. It’s hard to imagine that this jobs report will substantially move the needle on Fed policy, said Michael Brown, a senior research strategist at Pepperstone. The Conference Board’s February Consumer Confidence survey found that “Consumers’ appraisal of the labor market was more positive in March” than in previous months. The week ahead: While the main event this week is Friday’s jobs report, there’s plenty of other jobs data this week for traders to grab on to.
Persons: Jerome Powell, I’ll, nonfarm, , Dave Sekera, , , we’re, Goldman Sachs, Michael Brown, Powell, Brown, It’s, Donald Trump, Matt Egan, Trump, That’s, Natasha Chen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Goldman, Labor, Stanford, Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media Locations: New York, , California
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 1, 2024. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were little changed Monday night after the broad market index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped to begin April. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each dipped lower by less than 0.1%. Futures tied to the 30-stock Dow slipped 118 points, or 0.3%, as shares of UnitedHealth fell. To conclude Monday's session, the Dow fell nearly 241 points, or 0.6%, while the S&P 500 slid 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, UnitedHealth, David Miller, Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Medicare, Services, Humana, CVS Health, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Capital Advisors, CNBC, Labor, Survey Locations: UnitedHealth
The annual reading is above the 2% target set by the central bank but is a slight deceleration from the 2.9% annual rate in December and January. Looking ahead to next week, it's all about the macroeconomic updates as the first quarter earnings season is mostly over. ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI After the bell: PVH Corp. (PVH), Canoo (GOEV) Tuesday, April 2 10:00 a.m. ET: ISM Services PMI Before the bell: Acuity Brands (AYI) After the bell: BlackBerry (BB), Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, April 4 8:30 a.m. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Dow, payrolls, Paychex, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Buster's, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Lamb Weston, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eric Thayer Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Cal, Maine Foods, Conagra, PVH Corp, PMI, Maine, Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Workers, Grand Central Market, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Cal, Los Angeles , California
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
Stubbornly high inflation and a wobbly jobs market are combining to pose an ominous threat to the U.S. economy, Bank of America chief market strategist Michael Hartnett warned. The result is a narrative of "macro shifting from Q4/Q1 'Goldilocks' to Q1/Q2 'Stagflation,'" Hartnett said in his weekly "Flow Show" note to clients dated Thursday. As Hartnett indicated, the U.S. closed 2023 with the labor market looking strong and GDP posting a solid 3.2% gain. On the jobs market, while nonfarm payrolls have risen strongly , household employment actually is down by about 900,000 since November and full-time jobs have declined by nearly 1.8 million. The Fed is "implicitly ... tolerating higher inflation" as way to inflate the debt away, a condition that means "weaker policy credibility = weaker currency … why crypto & gold [are] at all-time highs."
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Stagflation, nonfarm, specter, That's Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, New, Fed, U.S ., Atlanta Fed, Nasdaq Locations: U.S
Recession views are dangerously similar to those in 2007, SocGen's Albert Edwards said. Soft landing or no landing outlooks are growing on Wall Street as the US appears on solid economic footing. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Those signs appear lost on many other market commentators, who have dialed back their recession views in the last few months. "All this is (dangerously) reminiscent of 2007, when all around were telling me I was wrong and should give up calling that much-delayed recession," he later added.
Persons: SocGen's Albert Edwards, Edwards, , Société, Albert Edwards, That's, Doom, Nouriel Roubini Organizations: Service, Chicago, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, National Federation of Independent Business, National Association of Business, Fed, Investor Locations: York
Over the past month, a notable shift in performance has occurred among the 11 sectors of the S & P 500 . Understanding the S & P 500 sectors The 11 sectors of the S & P 500 represent the various industries powering the U.S. economy. For example, last year, the market-cap-weighted S & P 500 gained 24.2% while the equal-weighted index advanced only 11.6% in 2023. .SPXEW .SPX 1M mountain The equal-weighted S & P 500 over the past month compared with the S & P 500. Encouragingly, overall earnings estimates for the S & P 500 also have gone up recently.
Persons: , It's, Wells, Linde, Russell, Labor Department —, Genuity, Canaccord, Encouragingly, Eaton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Big Tech, Financial, Coterra Energy, DuPont, Tech, Communication Services, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, Tesla, Linde, Wolfe Research, Labor Department, Fed, RBC Capital Markets, RBC, Bank of America, Eaton, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Tuesday's, U.S
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis points to 4.0711%. The 2-year Treasury yield was little changed and was last up by less than one basis point to 4.4879%. U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Monday as investors weighed the state of the economy and looked ahead to key data slated for the week. Investors considered the state of the economy following Friday's release of jobs data for February. Investors widely took the data as a sign that interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are on the table for this year.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S
Yen gains as bets firm for imminent rate hike; sterling slides
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, the man is holding several U.S. dollar bills with some Chinese yuan in the background. Sterling pulled back sharply from a multi-month high, following its best week since November of 2022, amid bets the Bank of England will be slower to cut rates than the Fed or European Central Bank. The greenback eased 0.17% to 146.82 yen , heading back toward the five-week low of 146.48 reached on Friday. The next Fed meeting runs March 19-20. The ECB left rates at record highs last Thursday while cautiously laying the ground to lower them later this year.
Persons: Sterling, Jerome Powell's, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Westpac, Fed, ECB
By a vote of 13 to 2, the team voted to join the service employees union SEIU Local 560 — making them the first college athletes in US history to vote to join a labor union. Then, last month, the NLRB ruled that the Dartmouth players were employees of the school, clearing the way for the unionization vote. The Dartmouth vote also comes as the share of union members in the US reached a record low of just 10% in 2023. AdvertisementIn the short term, however, the impact of the Dartmouth vote could be limited. AdvertisementIf the NLRB's decision to recognize the Dartmouth players stands, it could establish a precedent that enables other teams to follow suit.
Persons: , Dartmouth, Kaiser, There's, Victor Chen, Chen, Jake Rosenfeld, Louis, Trump, Rosenfeld, VCU's Chen, Matthew Johnson, Johnson, Barry Eidlin Organizations: Service, Dartmouth men's, Harvard, SEIU Local, National Labor Relations Board, Dartmouth, NLRB, Business, US, UAW, Hollywood, Kaiser Permanente, Virginia Commonwealth University, Washington University, NCAA, Northwestern football, Northwestern, Big, Associated Press, University of Southern, , USA, Duke University, McGill University Locations: Dartmouth, St, University of Southern California, Angeles, Montreal
Read previewCalifornia is raising the minimum wage for fast-food workers to $20 an hour – and a much wider group of employees could see bigger paychecks. If limited-service restaurants raise their wages, "everybody is going to have to adopt because it's a free market," Danilo Gargiulo, a Bernstein analyst, said. Fast-food and fast-casual chains have already said they plan to raise their menu prices in California to offset the higher wages. The Cheesecake Factory's CFO Matt Clark told investors in November that the minimum wage could have a "ripple effect" beyond just limited-service restaurants. He added that the legislation would cause the price gap between limited- and full-service restaurants to narrow.
Persons: , Brian Vaccaro, Raymond James, It'll, Andy Barish, Danilo Gargiulo, Bernstein, Matt Clark, Clark, Vaccaro, Sharon Zackfia, William Blair, Greg Levin, we've, Levin, they're, Zackfia Organizations: Service, Business, Jefferies, US Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: California, pretzels . California
Within the Club, we heard this week from Foot Locker on Wednesday, then from Costco and Broadcom on Thursday. The big economic data drop of the week arrived Friday with February's nonfarm payrolls report . The center of attention is Tuesday's February consumer price index report . On Thursday, the February produce price index is due out. ET: Producer Price Index 8:30 a.m.
Persons: FactSet, Locker, Foot Locker, February's nonfarm, Jerome Powell, he's, we'll, MANU, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mostafa Bassim Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Costco, Broadcom, Commerce, Federal, PPI, Ballard Power Systems, Fortrea Holdings, Casey's, Vail Resorts, MTN, Daniels, Midland, Kohl's Corporation, Kanzhun, Game Technology, Manchester United, Blade Air Mobility, Clover Health, Beauty Health, Energy Vault Holdings, PHX Minerals, Guild Holdings, Finance, Heron Therapeutics, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Arcos Dorados Holdings, ARCO, Petco, Wellness Company, Farms, Sonoma, WSM, ESS Tech, DICK'S Sporting, Inc, Futu Holdings, Bear, Autolus Therapeutics, III Apparel, Solo Brands, Weibo Corporation, Embraer, CNBC, Washington DC, Anadolu, Getty Locations: U.S, Asana, ASAN, Williams, Washington, United States
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