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Gold firms ahead of U.S. inflation data, but set for weekly loss
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold was on track for a weekly loss, even as prices firmed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation reading that could offer more cues on when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. "Last week, prices scaled record highs on bets of a September U.S. rate cut. The U.S. personal consumption expenditure data for June — the Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation — is due at 1230 GMT. Meanwhile, India's demand for gold is likely to rise while moving into the fourth quarter, which is traditionally a robust seasonal period for gold demand," ANZ's Kumari said.
Persons: Gold, Soni Kumari, Sugandha Sachdeva, ANZ's Kumari Organizations: Aurum, Federal Reserve, ANZ, SS, U.S ., Hong Kong Locations: U.S, New Delhi, China, Hong
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks rose Friday morning, regaining momentum after three days of losses. Instead, investors indicated 87.7% odds of a 25-basis point cut, and 11.9% odds of a 50-basis point cut. This week, creeping doubt in large-cap tech stocks rally spurred investors to rotate out of the sector, pulling both indexes down 3.67% and 2.6% through the past week, respectively.
Persons: , Fitch, Olu Sonola Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, PCE, Federal, Treasury Locations: Here's
Let the Pros Play With the ‘Trump (or Harris) Trade’
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
“Sell in May and go away,” is an old Wall Street adage. I first heard about it from my father, a New York businessman, on a hot afternoon back in the last century. “The Trump trade” is what financial strategies associated with the shifting fortunes of the former president are being called. Such market bets have been connected by Wall Street analysts to movements in the prices of gun, prison and fossil-fuel energy stocks. And the Trump trade has also been attributed to small moves in bond yields and in expectations of changes in transactions, from mergers and acquisitions to the exchange rate of the dollar.
Persons: , , Trump Organizations: Hamptons, Ford, Labor, Trump, Wall Street Locations: New York
Yen heads for strongest week in 3 months as carry trades unwind
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The euro was a tad stronger at $1.0853 but is down 0.35% for the week, its steepest weekly decline since early June. The souring risk sentiment this week has weighed heavily on the Aussie and the New Zealand dollar . The Aussie is down 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance since November 2023.
Persons: James Athey, Ben Bennett, they're Organizations: Marlborough Investment Management, Federal, Fed, Traders, Bank of Japan, Legal, General Investment Management, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific
Samsung unveiled a slew of new products including foldable smartphones, new smartwatches and the Galaxy Ring. "I believe strongly that these Galaxy AI, mobile AI are strong motivation and driver for purchase of new products," he added. Still, many analysts don't expect these early AI apps alone to drive new phones sales. So we're going to provide and enhance Samsung software and apps for consumers," Roh said. He said that the hardware components required for foldable smartphones are improving, as is the relevant software.
Persons: Roh, Arjun Kharpal, Bixby, we'll Organizations: Galaxy, Samsung, CNBC, Samsung Electronics, Galaxy AI, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Google, Korean Locations: Paris, France, U.S, China
Yen rises as carry trades unwind, risk sentiment takes a hit
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The yen drew support from unwinding carry trades on Thursday ahead of next week's Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy meeting and as a rotation out of megacap growth stocks dampened risk appetite broadly and provided some safe haven bids. "It's also the fact that risk sentiment is deteriorating, and that's helped (the yen) as well... You've got unwind in the tech trade, you've got unwind in the carry yen trade...you've got the Nikkei, as well, unwinding." Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and top currency diplomat Masato Kanda both refrained from commenting on the yen's recent sharp rise. The New Zealand dollar similarly fell 0.24% to $0.5915.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, It's, that's, You've, you've, Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Sterling Organizations: week's Bank of Japan, New, Reuters, IG, Nikkei, Japanese Finance, PMI, Traders, Federal, Australian, New Zealand Locations: New Zealand, U.S, Down
Second-quarter GDP data showed the economy grew at 2.8% in the second quarter, much more than expected. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders were assessing tech weakness and hotter-than-expected GDP data for the second quarter. Investors' top concern is slowing tech earnings growth after Tesla and Alphabet both reported disappointing results on Tuesday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the opening bell on Thursday:AdvertisementMeanwhile, investors are digesting second-quarter GDP data, which showed the US economy grew by 2.8%.
Persons: Stocks, , Mike Owens, Dan Ives, Chris Zaccarelli, Brent Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Traders, Investors, Federal Reserve, Saxo, Microsoft, Google, Apple, Securities, West Texas Locations: China, Here's
However, one exchange-traded fund (ETF) has done just that, beating the S & P 500 index for five consecutive years. The JPMorgan US Research Enhanced Index Equity ETF has beaten the benchmark every year since 2019 and is also outperforming in 2024. However, it wasn't until 2018 that JPMorgan decided to marry this time-tested strategy with the increasingly popular ETF structure. For instance, JPMorgan's ETF is overweight Microsoft shares by 45 basis points compared to the weighting for the stock in the iShares Core S & P 500 ETF. This extensive coverage forms the backbone of the REI strategy, according to Grassi.
Persons: Piera Elisa Grassi, Raffaele Zingone, Grassi, REI, Berkshire, we've Organizations: JPMorgan US, Equity, London Stock Exchange, Borsa Italiana, Deutsche Borse, Six Swiss Exchange, JPMorgan Asset Management, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Global, Vanguard, Berkshire Hathaway, GE Aerospace, Asset Management, CNBC Locations: United States, U.S, Grassi, iShares
"We advise investors to seek out companies with above-market and secure (not stretched) dividend yields," Bank of America's team said. "It has guarded against owning distressed companies that migrate into Quintile 1 (the highest dividend yield group) if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts," the team wrote. The stock is only up nearly 2% in 2024, but it has a dividend yield of 3.1%. SO YTD mountain Southern Company in 2024 Specialty glass maker and artificial intelligence play Corning was also in Bank of America's screen. It has a dividend yield of 2.6%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Russell, Kalei Akamine, Coterra, Akamine, Shahriar Pourreza, Corning Organizations: Bank of America, Schwab U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Energy, Utilities, Southern Co, Bank of, Southern Company Locations: Wyndham Row, U.S, Southern, Bank
US stocks dropped Wednesday, with the Nasdaq seeing its steepest single-day loss since 2022. AdvertisementUS stocks dropped on Wednesday, led by a steep sell-off in the tech sector after the first batch of mega-cap earnings disappointed investors. Tesla shares dropped 12% after the carmaker missed earnings estimates and logged a big drop in auto revenue. AdvertisementOther mega-cap tech stocks also tumbled in Wednesday's session as investor sentiment soured. Investors are waiting on more mega-cap tech earnings, with Meta, Apple, and Amazon set to report their financials next week.
Persons: Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, YouTube, Nvidia, Meta, Tech, Apple, Here's Locations: Tech
Dollar firms as commodities slide and carry unwinds
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Purchasing managers' index figures will be particularly watched in Europe later in the session to see whether they support bets on two European rate cuts by the end of January. The euro held at $1.0848 in Asia trade and sterling , which could rally if PMIs in Britain surprise to the upside and reduce bets on rate cuts, bought $1.2901. Moves in other pairs were even larger, with the euro dropping 1.3% on the yen overnight and hitting a five-week low of 168.79 yen in Asia. Mexico's high-yielding peso dropped 2% on the yen overnight and the Australian dollar is down almost 6% on the yen in two weeks. The Canadian dollar made a six-week low of C$1.3787 per dollar ahead of a central bank meeting later on Wednesday where markets have priced an 84% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Persons: Jason Wong Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., New Zealand Locations: Europe, Asia, Britain, Japan, Wellington, New Zealand, Australia
Gold prices climb as investors focus on U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Bullion prices scaled an all-time high of $2,483.60 last week amid rising bets of rate cuts. Spot gold may break resistance at $2,417 and bounce further to $2,432, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. "Growth estimates in photovoltaic panel usage have been markedly revised higher, resulting in silver demand draws far exceeding supply.
Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Wang Tao Organizations: ANZ, Management Locations: India
Anu Duggal, a founding partner of Female Founders Fund, launched the event during the pandemic to assuage some of the loneliness founders felt. AdvertisementEmily Middleton and Anu Duggal of Female Founders Fund share a laugh onstage during their opening remarks. Yumi Matsuo StudioSince its pandemic beginnings, Camp FFF has evolved into a rare and necessary sanctuary where female founders can connect and sometimes commiserate. Yumi Matsuo StudioIn the tasting room, guests set down cups of cold brew and picked up notebooks before taking their seats. Anu Duggal of Female Founders Fund traded the venture capital uniform of a Patagonia fleece vest for a flamingo-pink pantsuit.
Persons: , Candace Bushnell, Anu Duggal, Lydia Fenet, Emily Middleton, Yumi Matsuo, Middleton, ChatGPT, Poppy Harlow, Kyle Leahy, Glossier's, Emily Weiss, Leahy, Taylor Swift, Matsuo, Arey, Allison Conrad, Melanie Goldey, Amanda E, J Morrison, Julie Products, Hayley Barna, Barna, Birchbox, Christie Horvath, Horvath, Stephanie Horton, Marina Organizations: Service, Fund, FFF, Business, Tally Health, Google Locations: Southampton , New York, Patagonia
A Waymo rider-only robotaxi is seen during a test ride in San Francisco on Dec. 9, 2022. Alphabet is again investing in its self-driving car unit Waymo — this time with $5 billion. CEO Sundar Pichai said on the earnings call that Waymo provides 50,000 weekly paid trips, primarily in San Francisco and Phoenix. In June, Waymo removed the waitlist and opened Waymo rides to all San Francisco users. "Alphabet has committed up to $5B to Waymo," Waymo CEO Tekedra Mawakana said on X.
Persons: Waymo, Ruth Porat, Porat, Sundar Pichai, Andreessen Horowitz, Cruise, Tekedra Mawakana Organizations: Securities, Exchange Commission, Plan Investment Board, Fidelity Management & Research Company, General Motors Locations: San Francisco, Phoenix, Francisco, AutoNation, Canada, Waymo, Tesla
Tesla is set to report second-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday. Although Tesla reported vehicle deliveries of 443,956 in the second quarter, a 4.8% decline from the year-earlier period, those numbers were better than analysts had expected. But Musk and his stalwart Tesla bulls and broader fan base have ambitions for the EV maker beyond making and selling cars. In 2021, Musk also began to promise that Tesla would develop and produce humanoid robots capable of factory work, at least. Tesla "deliveries" are not an audited financial metric, but are the closest approximation to sales reported by the company.
Persons: Elon Musk, The Beverly Hilton, Tesla, Elon, Musk, Donald Trump, InsideEVs Organizations: SpaceX, Tesla, The Beverly, LSEG, PAC, Trump, Republican, Pew Research, Democratic, Cox Automotive, Boring Company, X Corp, CNBC Pro Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S
There's a renewed sense of excitement among European officials as U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris becomes the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination ahead of the all-important election this fall. They also dismissed 78-year-old former President Donald Trump, adding that "the U.S. needs younger leaders." As a result, EU institutions welcomed the arrival of Biden to the White House, describing it as a new chapter in the EU-U.S. relationship. However, for at least a year now, EU officials have been preparing for the possibility of a return of Trump to the White House. If he wins the election, they're expecting a deeper "America First" policy, which will likely mean less financial support to Ukraine and possibly tariffs on some European goods.
Persons: There's, Kamala Harris, Joe, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, they're Organizations: Democratic, CNBC, EU, White Locations: U.S, EU, United States, Brussels, Ukraine
And while he wants to tackle the world's biggest problems such as waste, impact isn't Deep Future's sole priority. Related storiesIn some ways, Deep Future's mission harkens back to Silicon Valley's roots, he said. As for Deep Future's investments, the challenge is whether the technology can be built and made cost-effective, ideally within its investment horizon of 10 years. One of Deep Future's portfolio companies, Descycle, is developing non-toxic chemicals to separate gold in electronics in landfills. Getting investors on board with mad scientistsWith Deep Future's niche, getting investors' attention has been easy, Holman said.
Persons: , Pablos Holman, Jeff Bezos's, Bill Gates, Michael Reid, Holman didn't, Holman, Matt Mullenweg, that's, Alfred Steiner, I'm Organizations: Service, Origin, Ventures Laboratory, Business, Investors, WordPress
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The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.
Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq
Bearish investor Mark Spitznagel predicts stocks could soon lose over half their value in a steep sell-off. His fund, Universa Investments, has made billions from past stock market crises. AdvertisementBlack Swan investor Mark Spitznagel says the stock market is heading for a historic sell-off, reiterating an uber-bearish warning for investors who are getting comfortable with steady stock gains amid the frenzy for AI. Spitznagel said the years-long rally in the stock market amounts to the "greatest bubble in human history" in a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal. He made billions during the 2008 stock market crash, the 2015 Flash Crash, and at the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020.
Persons: Mark Spitznagel, , Spitznagel, it's, he's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Wall Street, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Universa
Read previewAs we near the November elections, investors are increasingly focused on what a Donald Trump win would mean for global markets and economies. The charts below show how stock sectors moved in the 24 hours after the debate and how a Trump administration might impact sectors with varying regulatory burdens. If Trump wins, investors will need to cut through the noise and at least understand how he might impact different parts of the economy. Where monetary policy is concerned, leading economist Christophe Barraud believes a Trump administration could pressure the Federal Reserve to be very accommodative on rates, in other words, steeper or sooner cuts. It expects a Trump Administration to allow LNG export permits after the Biden Administration attempted to halt them.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Trump, Solita, Samantha Lamas, Goldman, Goldman's Jan Hatzius, Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg Businessweek Trump, Morgan Stanely, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Trump Media, Technology, UBS, Americas Global Wealth Management, Morningstar, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Businessweek, Korea, Asia Pacific's, Republican, Trump Administration, Biden Locations: Predictit, Mexico, Canada, China, Japan, Germany, Asia, Goldman Sachs, Washington
Small-caps historically decline before and after the first interest rate cut, Barclays reported. This argues against the growing narrative that the easing cycle will boost small-caps, the bank said. AdvertisementBarclays ResearchTheir finding opposes many prevailing viewpoints on Wall Street, where rising bets of lower interest rates have sent investors piling into the small-cap trade. In part, falling interest rates might help ease debt burdens, but they can also signal a cooling economy — which favors large-cap exposure. Market veteran Ed Yardeni wrote this week that the small-caps trade has no legs, given the sector's lackluster forward earnings, revenue, and profit margins.
Persons: , Venu Krishna, Russell, June's, Tom Lee, Ed Yardeni, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Barclays, Service, NASDAQ, Federal
Jamie Dimon says the Federal Reserve shouldn't be in a rush to cut interest rates. He told Swiss newspaper NZZ that several factors could cause inflation to rebound. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe market is laying bets that the Federal Reserve is on the cusp on cutting interest rates, but Jamie Dimon thinks the central bank is at risk of moving too soon. The JPMorgan chief told Swiss newspaper NZZ that inflation might not settle down for good, even though it has been moving steadily lower since peaking in the summer of 2022.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, he's, , Dimon Organizations: Federal Reserve, Swiss, Service, Federal, JPMorgan, Fed, Business
Yen spikes as spectre of intervention spooks investors
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Japan's yen scaled a six-week high on Thursday, spurring speculation of an official push, while the dollar nursed broad losses as markets prepared for U.S. rate cuts in a few months. Japan's yen scaled a six-week high on Thursday, spurring speculation of an official push, while the dollar nursed broad losses as markets prepared for U.S. rate cuts in a few months. "Many traders and Japanese investors, after intervention, were looking to reload on their trades," said National Australia Bank strategist Rodrigo Catril in Sydney. Interest rate markets are pricing more than 60 basis points of U.S. interest rate cuts this year and some 20 basis points of hikes in Japan, narrowing the wide rates gap that had encouraged investors taking on large short positions in the yen. So far this year the yen is the worst-performing G10 currency on the dollar, losing more than 9%, while the yuan is down about 2.2%.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Donald Trump — Organizations: . Bank of, National Australia Bank, Bloomberg Businessweek Locations: Asia, . Bank of Japan, Sydney, Japan, Beijing
Read previewFormer President Donald Trump upended the election tradition of "balancing the ticket" when he picked Ohio Sen. JD Vance as his running mate. Vance, a former Trump critic turned MAGA stalwart, has voiced foreign policy views in lockstep with Trump. "I think Trump's tenure has shown that fears of abandonment or ignorance of politics in Asia are overblown," he said. US-China relations won't change much, whether it's Trump or Biden at the wheelEven though Trump started the US-China trade war, experts say that China won't be too bothered if he returns to the White House. AdvertisementFor one, the Biden administration has kept most of Trump's China tariffs in place.
Persons: , Donald Trump upended, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, MAGA, Asia that's, Vance, Trump, Dylan Loh, Loh, Chong Ja Ian, It's, it's Trump, Biden, NTU's Loh, Joe Biden hasn't, Kevin Chen, Mr Trump, Chen Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Pacific, Asia, Nanyang Technological University, NTU, National University of Singapore, NATO, Democrat, Republican, NTU's, Rajaratnam, of International Studies Locations: Asia, lockstep, China, Ukraine, Europe, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, South China, France, Beijing, Pacific
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