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Where does the economy go from here? Consumers are feeling better, expecting that the economy will do well and inflation will subside in the coming 12 months. While the economy ended last year on a strong note, the expectation was that it would cool down as the calendar turned to 2024. Last week, the International Monetary Fund boosted its projection for global growth to 3.1% from its October estimate of 2.9%, citing “greater-than-expected resilience” in the U.S. economy. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow forecast has the U.S economy growing at a 4.2% clip in the first quarter.

Persons: ”, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Lightcast, Rachel Sederberg, “, That’s Organizations: Federal, Labor Department, ” Comerica Bank, Fed, CBS, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Santander Bank, ” Locations: U.S, ” Santander

☆ Turkey central bank chief quits, citing need to protect her family
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Turkish Central Bank Governor Hafize Gaye Erkan answers questions during a news conference for the Inflation Report 2023-III in Ankara, Turkey on July 27, 2023. Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesTurkey's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan resigned on Friday, citing a need to protect her family amid a "reputation assassination", and she was swiftly replaced by a deputy who is expected to carry on her tight policy stance. The first woman to lead the central bank, Erkan was its fifth governor in as many years. Since then the central bank had hiked its key rate to 45% from 8.5%. Last month, opposition newspaper Sozcu published an article about a central bank employee who said she was wrongfully dismissed from the bank by Erkan's father.

Persons: Turkish Central Bank Governor Hafize Gaye Erkan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Tayyip Erdogan, Erkan, Fatih Karahan, Erdogan, Sozcu, Erkan's Organizations: Turkish Central Bank Governor, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Official Gazette, Turks, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Ankara, Turkey, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S

Consumers are happy, the stock market is near record highs, inflation is moderating and the labor market is defying all forecasts. Apparently, very little as the latest reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan confirmed on Friday. The final consumer sentiment survey for January posted a 13% increase to 79, almost a 10-point surge from December’s 69.7 reading, echoing earlier estimates. “This morning’s strong jobs report diminished the chances of the Fed cutting in March,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. This means businesses are in a good position despite the macro headwinds and uncertainty about growth expectations.”

Persons: “, ”, Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, –, David Royal, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, LPL

☆ Paytm was once India’s hottest startup. Its shares have crashed 36% in two days
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Shares of the hugely popular digital payments company have crashed by the daily maximum allowed in Mumbai for two days in a row, even though India’s stock markets have been touching new all-time highs. It also landed in hot water with regulators — two years ago, the central bank barred its banking arm from signing up new customers. Paytm stock is now trading at just 487 rupees (around $6) a share. The latest plunge came after India’s central bank cracked down further on its business. Paytm launched its payments bank in 2017 as a joint venture with founder Vijay Shekhar Sharma.

Persons: New Delhi CNN — Paytm, Paytm, ”, Manish Chowdhury, Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Sharma, Narendra Modi, ” Sharma Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Paytm Payments Bank, Indian, CNN Locations: New Delhi, Mumbai, India

☆ Death of Fringe Friendships: Making Gen Z Sad, Hurting Job Prospects
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

One of the biggest reasons for our shrinking social circles is the loss of fringe friends — casual friends that you enjoy seeing occasionally. These relationships might seem trivial or inconsequential, but experts and research indicate that fringe friends are vital. But now these fringe friend groups are disappearing, and we're all worse off for it. AdvertisementGlimmers of hope for Gen ZThe decline in fringe friends has also created a generational divide when it comes to who's doing well socially. There's no real solution to the loss of fringe friends.

Persons: Nikol Moses, Moses, Gen, would've, That's, —, Gen Zers, It's, Juliana Horowitz, Daniel Cox, Cox, what's, he'd, we've, Danielle Bayard Jackson, Long, Evan Paul Cudworth, Cudworth, Anna Goldfarb, I've, he's, Pew's Horowitz, Jackson, she'd, Goldfarb, it's, — Moses Organizations: Brisbane —, IRL, Pew Research Center, Gallup, Pew, American Survey, Survey, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, bodega, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Facebook, Social, DMs, Pew Research, American Locations: Melbourne, Brisbane, Brooklyn, New York

☆ Meet the JPMorgan executive emerging as a dark horse to succeed Jamie Dimon
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Rebecca Ungarino | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Read previewA longtime JPMorgan executive who has kept a low public profile while cultivating a reputation as a successful trader with a talent for managing risk is emerging as a contender to succeed Jamie Dimon as chief executive. His new position through the internal shuffle has vaulted him more publicly and prominently into the most closely watched succession race on Wall Street. JPMorgan executive David Hudson told the publication that he returned to JPMorgan after working at Nomura in 2010 "to work for Troy." Rohrbaugh's other stops at JPMorgan have been head of global markets and head of macro markets. A senior JPMorgan executive who works with Rohrbaugh recalled that time during the pandemic.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Troy Rohrbaugh, Jennifer Piepszak, Wall, Marianne Lake, Rohrbaugh, Goldman Sachs, Euromoney, Eddie Wen, David Hudson, He's, Gary Gensler's, Goldman, Cantor Fitzgerald, Tim Soulas, Cantor, Johns Hopkins, you've, he'll, Kaja Whitehouse, Alex Morrell Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Wall, Business, CIB, North America, Goldman, Nomura, Troy, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Global, Securities, Exchange, Banque Nationale, CooperNeff, Philadelphia Stock Exchange, World Trade Center, New York Daily News, Gilman School, Johns Hopkins University, Alpha Delta Phi, Baltimore Sun, Bloomberg Locations: Dimon, North, JPMorgan's, Canadian, Manhattan, Baltimore, Maryland, New York

☆ Return-to-office mandates aren't making companies more valuable and productive, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

That's according to a new paper that looks at how RTO mandates impact productivity and performance. If RTO mandates are hard to enforce, they probably don't make sense for that workplace. RTO mandates were more common for firms with "male and powerful CEOs." The authors found no significant impact of RTO mandates on stock returns or firm profitability. RTO mandates have divided many offices nationwide, including at leading tech and financial companies.

Persons: —, Nick Bloom, RTO, Bloom, Danielle Organizations: Service, Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Amazon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Stanford, The Conference Board Locations: Glassdoor

☆ Minneapolis is giving people $500 a month and recipients say the no-strings-attached cash is helping them fight soaring housing costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Eliza Relman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But significantly improving a recipient's housing situation might only be possible in a longer-term program or with larger payments, the researchers found. And the cash transfers did not cause recipients to work less , a common concern with basic income programs, the report found. A growing landscape of basic income experimentsLocal and state governments across the country are experimenting with guaranteed basic income programs, often targeting the region's most vulnerable residents, including new and expecting mothers and the lowest-income families. AdvertisementRecipients of a year-long basic income program in Austin, Texas, used most of the cash on housing costs and became "substantially more housing secure," according to surveys. "One of the undergirding premises of basic income programs, in general, is giving folks the decision-making latitude to choose for themselves where that money goes," Palmer said.

Persons: Vanessa Palmer, Andrew Goodman, Bacon, Palmer, — Organizations: Minneapolis who've, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve's Center, Indian Country Development, Federal, Opportunity, Growth Institute, Urban Institute, Harvard, The New York Times, Department of Housing, Urban Development Locations: Minneapolis, Twin Cities, Austin , Texas, Washington ,, San Francisco

☆ Former Richmond Fed President Lacker: Reasonable to expect 2-3 rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Richmond Fed President Lacker: Reasonable to expect 2-3 rate cuts this yearJeffrey Lacker, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his take on where market expectations are for the Fed, whether the six-month annualized inflation figure is reliable to monitor, and more.

Persons: Lacker, Jeffrey Lacker Organizations: Former Richmond Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

☆ Asia markets set to rise; GDP, inflation readings and Fed meeting in focus this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets are set to rise as investors await GDP and inflation data from around the region this week. Markets will also be watching the U.S. Federal Reserve's first rate decision of 2024, set to be released Wednesday stateside. This week's major events will be China's factory activity figures for January as well as Australia's fourth-quarter inflation figures on Wednesday. This will be last set of key data before the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting on Feb. 5. On Wednesday, Taiwan and Hong Kong will also release their fourth-quarter GDP numbers.

Organizations: Opera, Vivid, U.S, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia's Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, U.S ., Taiwan, Hong Kong

☆ Consumers Feel Better About the Economy. Why? Gas Prices, Eggs, Stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Listen, I'm not saying that all the good vibes Americans are suddenly feeling about the economy boil down to stocks, gas prices, and eggs. What improved America's economic vibes was basically three things: the soaring stock market, falling gas prices, and eggs. Research shows that consumers feel more pessimistic when gas prices go up — James Surowiecki points out in The Atlantic that high gas prices also make people less happy and more likely to hate the president. If oil prices stay relatively low and, in turn, keep gas prices down, less exasperated drivers could help Joe Biden keep his job come November. There are all sorts of geopolitical threats and unknowns that could throw global trade and oil prices (and thus gas prices) into chaos.

Persons: I'm, there's, There's, Jordan Weissmann, —, It's, James Surowiecki, Joe Biden, they're, Emily Stewart Organizations: University of, Dow, Federal Reserve Bank of San, AAA, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Times, Business Locations: America, The

A survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that Americans' inflation expectations have reached their lowest point in nearly three years. Economists say consumers appear to be responding to steadily slower inflation, higher incomes, lower gas prices and a rising stock market. What's more, paychecks have outpaced inflation over the past year, thereby easing Americans' adjustment to a higher cost of living. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesEven with the steady slowdown in inflation, prices are still nearly 17% higher than they were three years ago, a source of discontent for many Americans. It would be too painful.”Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and also a former Fed economist, acknowledged that "people are angry” about higher prices.

Persons: Joe Biden's, What's, ”, Grace Zwemmer, Marshall, “, Dana Smith, Smith, Ryan Cummings, ” Cummings, Biden, Robert Shiller, David Andolfatto, “ Let’s, Claudia Sahm, Josh Boak Organizations: WASHINGTON, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal, Oxford Economics, Marshall, Trump, Democratic, Fed, University of Miami, Sahm Consulting Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Atlanta, Matthews , North Carolina, Charlotte, Washington

☆ A key indicator shows Americans' financial stress is mounting
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

LegalShield's Consumer Stress Legal Index showed consumer financial stress is continuing to rise. LegalShield on Tuesday said its Consumer Stress Legal Index rose to 66.7 in December, up by 0.4 points from the prior month, showing that US consumers' financial stress is at its highest level since November 2020. AdvertisementUS consumer financial stress has soared to its highest in three years. "The rise in consumer stress in contrast to increased spending may point to an even sharper rise in household debt in the coming months." The increase in consumers' financial stress comes even as GDP growth has stayed strong, the labor market remains robust, and holiday retail spending was high.

Persons: —, Matt Layton Organizations: Service, National Association of Business Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — Inflation in New Zealand has slowed to its lowest rate in two and a half years, the country's official statistics agency announced on Wednesday. The agency said falling food and transport prices were the main drivers of the slowdown in the inflation rate which had peaked at 7.3 per cent in 2022. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesNew Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis said a key goal of the government was to lower inflation. “Our immediate focus is getting inflation back into the target range under three per cent,” she said. The result means annual inflation rate is now at its lowest since June 2021, while quarterly inflation was tracked at 0.5 per cent, the smallest rise since December 2020.

Persons: Nicola Willis Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank, New Zealand Finance Locations: WELLINGTON, New Zealand

☆ Why China poses a growing threat to the U.S. auto industry
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, whose company operates a large plant in China, has said Chinese automakers are the greatest competitors for his Texas-based company. "They were 26% [market share] a few years ago, up to more than 50% in 2022 and headed towards two-thirds by the end of the decade." Chinese companies have begun expanding into Mexico, Europe and elsewhere, Wakefield said. The EU believes Chinese EVs are undercutting the prices of local models by about 20% in the European market. The influx of Chinese EVs has spurred the European Union to launch into government support for the industry.

Persons: —, Carlos Tavares, Elon Musk, Tesla, Musk, BYD, Massimo Pinca, Reuters BYD, Kristin Dziczek, Mathew Vachaparampil, Bernstein, Eunice Lee, Mark Wakefield, Evelyn Cheng, hasn't, Wakefield, That's Organizations: GM, Shanghai International Automobile Industry, National Exhibition, Convention Center, Visual China, Getty, DETROIT, American, of, SAIC, Dongfeng, General Motors, U.S . Bureau, Analysis, America —, Chrysler, America's GM, Ford Motor, automakers, The New York Times, Economist, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's, Caresoft, Overseas, Chicago, CNBC, European Union, EU, Union, Volvo, Karma, Ford, U.S, Buick, Lincoln Nautilus Locations: Shanghai, U.S, of China, Asia, Europe, China, Japan, Nio, Mexico, Korea, Germany, Beijing, Texas, Turin, Italy, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Detroit, AlixPartners, Russia, America

☆ Mexico's one big advantage over the US right now could stall the 'Made in America' push
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-20 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewThe push by US businesses to make more stuff in America has an ongoing challenge: It's hard to find workers. Ulbrich says this stands in sharp contrast to Mexico, whose growing manufacturing base could entice companies to make supply chain investments there, rather than in the US. Even as the pandemic-era labor shortage has eased, the demand for construction and factory workers has continued to exceed supply. Mexico's median age is roughly 30, he added — compared to nearly 40 in China — which has contributed to a strong labor supply. Compared to Mexico, manufacturing in the US would likely offer businesses reduced supply chain disruptions and lower transportation costs.

Persons: —, Christian Ulbrich, Ulbrich, Matt Turner, Biden, Houthi, Tesla, Susan Golicic, Andres Abadia, Abadia, Luis Torres, Colorado State's Golicic, Golicic Organizations: Service, Business, Economic, General Motors, Intel, Companies, Ford, Reuters, Colorado State University, US, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Locations: America, Mexico, Ukraine, Taiwan, Canada, China, Asia, shoring, San Antonio, Tennessee, Alabama, Colorado

☆ What broke the American Dream for Millennials
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

For their nine-month-old son, Miles, Rachael and Garrett agree: They’re not going to push him to pursue the same path. “This is the American Dream,” Rachael says. The nest egg mythA common refrain Millennials heard from their Boomer parents is that buying is always better than renting. Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesCentral to the pitch of the American Dream is a house. “I don’t think anyone could have foreseen house prices going up 20% or 30% in a three-year period,” Garrett says.

Persons: Pennsylvania CNN — Rachael Gambino, Garrett Mazzeo, —, Miles, Rachael, Garrett, They’re, ’ ”, ” Rachael, Kristen Gambino, Rachael Gambino, Deborah Brunswick, John General, America it’s, Brendan Duke, Baby, Millennials, gumming, Obama, ”, Louis, Boomer, Luke Sharrett, they’d, ” Garrett, they’re, homeownership, We’re, “ we’re, That’s, Duke, ” Duke, “, Camerota, Matthew Friedman Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, “, CNN, Center for American Progress, of Education, America, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Workers, Center, American Progress ’ Locations: Lansdale, Pennsylvania, America, United States, Attom, financials

“Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations,” Hsu added. “Like December, there was a broad consensus of improved sentiment across age, income, education, and geography,” Hsu said. There may, however, be some relief in 2024 as mortgage rates fall in line with reduced interest rates from the Federal Reserve. “Mortgage rates will continue to remain a wild card for home shoppers,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. "Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months."

Persons: Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, ”, Danielle Hale, Lawrence Yun Organizations: University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, “, Realtor.com, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s Locations: “, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Asia markets mixed after falling on Wednesday; Australia unemployment data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Sydney Opera House Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Gallo Images | Brand X Pictures | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set for a mixed open Thursday after stocks fell in the previous session, with mainland Chinese shares touching a near-five-year low. Investors will be watching Australia's unemployment numbers on Thursday for clues on the Reserve Bank of Australia's moves in its February meeting. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index were flat, standing at 15,274 compared with the HSI's close of 15,276.9. Hong Kong stocks plunged almost 4% to hit their lowest level since November 2022 on Wednesday.

Organizations: Sydney Opera House, Getty, Reserve Bank, Nikkei Locations: Sydney Opera House Sydney , New South Wales, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong

The hefty Davos promotions come after India surpassed China last year as the world's biggest country by population. Now India is touting its growing strength as a nation of innovation and as a global business hub in front of some of the world's richest and most powerful people. "As China's economy slows down, India's relatively rapid growth stands out as a clear opportunity for investors in Davos looking for bright spots." "We had an all-time revenue record in India," Apple CEO Tim Cook said on the company's latest earnings call in November, in response to an analyst's question about the company's momentum there. Hidary said Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani's smartphone company Jio will serve about 600 million people in India through a $12 device.

Persons: There's, Ravi Agrawal, Agrawal, Narendra Modi, that's, Tim Cook, Apple Tim Cook, Punit Paranjpe, Jack Hidary, Hidary, Mukesh, Ambani Organizations: India Engagement, Wipro, Infosys, Tata, Foreign Policy, CNN, CNBC, World Bank, International Trade Administration, Visual, Bank of India, Dell, HP, Lenovo, Apple, AFP, Getty, India, AMD, Nvidia, Micron, WEF Locations: DAVOS, Switzerland, Davos, India, China, CNN India, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Karnataka, U.S, Mumbai, Bangalore, Gujarat

☆ Gen Z and millennials are feeling a little more confident that they can buy a house
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The latest household spending survey shows Americans are feeling the impact of cooling inflation. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . That also tracks with rising and falling mortgage rates; in early 2021, younger Americans were especially eager to snatch up mortgages as rates remained near historic lows. And as boomers downsize, and their massive housing stock becomes available, it looks like Gen Z might be the ones in line to buy them up — not millennials.

Persons: —, they're, it's, they'd, they'll, Gen Zers, Gen Xers, downsize Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ The Biden administration wants to save Americans $3.5 billion a year by making sure banks aren't profiting too much off of overdraft fees
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trying to buy something without enough money in your checking account can lead to a hefty surprise overdraft fee . If the Biden administration gets its way, those fees, which produce major profits for banks, could soon shrink substantially. Consumers are hit with overdraft fees when they withdraw more money from their accounts than what they have in it. Overdraft fees often come as a surprise for consumers, and many may have had credit available to cover a purchase without going into the red on their checking accounts. "These overdraft loans will simply have to play by the rules."

Persons: Biden, Rohit Chopra, Chopra, Louis Organizations: Service, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Federal Trade Commission

Wells Fargo now says it pegs the odds of a recession at 40% in 2024. The Blue Chip Economic survey released last week echoed the bonhomie. More than two-thirds, 69%, of small business and 67% of midsize business leaders expressed optimism about their company’s performance. This week, members of Congress will learn the details and begin signaling whether the plan has the support of both houses. Meanwhile, in Davos, Switzerland, where many of the world’s leaders, business executives and others have gathered for the World Economic Forum’s 54th meeting, Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivered a bullish speech on China’s economic prospects.

Persons: –, Wells, “, ”, Wells Fargo, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard, JPMorgan Chase, Li Qiang Organizations: Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, University of Michigan, Wells, Investment Banking, JPMorgan, Capitol Locations: U.S, Davos, Switzerland

☆ Americans are pulling back on their spending, but debt remains top of mind
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The latest Survey of Consumer Expectations Household Spending Survey, which is released every four months, also showed that households expect to spend less in the year ahead. The most recent reading is the lowest since December 2020 and is trending closer to the pre-pandemic reading of 2.4%. Survey respondents said they expected to spend less on everyday essential spending. The spending has kept the economy churning, but it’s also potentially coming at a cost: Americans have relied heavily on debt to make their purchases. As of December 2023, respondents said they’d allocate 38.4% of the unexpected income gain toward paying down debt.

Persons: it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

In December, the policymakers collectively forecast that they would cut their rate three times this year. The Fed prefers for inflation to be about 2%, which it sees as having little negative effect on the economy. Fed officials, he added, will want to see further evidence that inflation is still on track to 2% before embarking on rate cuts. Before Waller spoke, Wall Street investors had placed a 72% likelihood of a rate cut in March, based on futures prices. Waller's comments followed similarly optimistic remarks from John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, last week.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ”, ” Waller, Waller, Krishna Guha, Waller's, ” Guha, John Williams, Williams, Powell's, ” Williams Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Fed's, of Governors, Fed, Wall Street, Brookings Institution, “, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

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