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☆ Top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday: Market slide, optimism on Club stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Deere (DE) posts a big earnings beat: $6.55 per share for fiscal 2023 first quarter, beating estimates of $5.53. Roku (ROKU) double upgraded at Bank of America to buy, price target to $85 per share. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

☆ Fed still has work to do on inflation but it doesn't derail our view we're in a bull market
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

We think the market is looking past these readings to what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently highlighted as the central bank's main focus, core services excluding housing or so-called super core. Super core inflation Keying in on this sub-index is going to be crucial if we are going to try and think about additional rate hikes from here from the perspective of a Fed official. Here are the top services components in the CPI data outside of food, energy, and housing and how they're trending. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on February 14, 2023 in New York City.

☆ Asia markets to rise while U.S. jobs report hints at room for more hikes, Adani saga continues
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

For now, it's a quarter point [hike]. In the futures market, traders were betting on an end rate, or terminal rate near 5%. The market is pricing in a 25 basis point hike for March. A basis point equals 0.01 of a percentage point. But Jeffery said the futures market is now pricing in more of a chance for a quarter point hike in May as well.

☆ Markets may be taking the wrong read from January's shocking jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"The resounding strength of January employment report does not change our view of the labor market. Significant imbalances remain in the labor market due to too much excess demand and limited labor market slack," added Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Bank of America. That's because they see the jobs report gain of 517,000 as a potential impetus to push the Fed into more aggressive interest rate hikes. He thinks future months will show a slowing labor market that will force the Fed into halting its hikes. "From a data-dependency perspective, the strength of the labor market suggests there might be need to continue to raise interest rates."

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Netflix, Spotify, Disney, Uber & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Wells Fargo upgrades Spotify to overweight from equal weight Wells said the stock is coming off of "margin probation." Bernstein upgrades Diageo to outperform from market perform Bernstein said shares of the spirits company are compelling at current levels. " Wells Fargo reiterates Tesla as equal weight Wells said the industry dynamic surrounding EV pricing remains "challenged." Raymond James downgrades PayPal to market perform from outperform Raymond James said in its downgrade of PayPal that market share losses are growing. Cowen initiates Dick's as outperform Cowen said its survey checks show that Dick's continues to gain market share.

☆ Ron Insana says even with the big jobs report, there are signs of disinflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the announcement that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a percentage point, at the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, U.S., December 14, 2022. Wage inflation, of course. Economists can complain about wage inflation all they want, but a 4.4% annual gain, now decelerating, is not the bogeyman they claim it to be. The Fed's reliance on the so-called "Phillips curve," which links low unemployment to rising inflation, is an archaic construct. Lower unemployment today is hardly leading to runaway wage inflation.

☆ Amazon's AWS just notched its slowest growth in years. It expects customers to tighten their belts even more.
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Paayal Zaveri | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Amazon's cloud business is seeing a slowdown in growth as customers reduce spending. Amazon's execs say AWS growth will decline even further this quarter. All of that translates into less spend at Amazon Web Services, or AWS — Amazon's cash cow that brought in revenues of $21.4 billion last quarter. Analysts were expecting a slowdown in growth after Microsoft also reported slowing cloud growth last week. As corporate customers look to save money in an economic downturn, they want to cut their cloud costs, CEO Andy Jassy said.

☆ The current job market is a ‘juggernaut,’ economist says. Here are 6 things to know as a jobseeker
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Unemployment is at historic lowsThe unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in January — the lowest since May 1969. In fact, you'd have to go back to October 1953 to find a lower unemployment rate (3.1%). "The job market is still strong, and workers have opportunities to go out and find a job that's a better fit for them," Zhao said. "The thing that strikes me the most about the labor market is there aren't layoffs," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. That's not necessarily a bad sign — the job market was also strong in the run-up to the pandemic.

☆ Analysts say buy Amazon for the long term, despite recession concerns and slowing AWS growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But even with these near-term headwinds, analysts remain confident in the long-term thesis for the e-commerce giant and its growth trajectory. The results from Amazon come on the heels of a difficult 2022 that saw the e-commerce bellwether shed roughly half its value and post its slowest year of growth . At the same time, revenue for its Amazon Web Services division fell short of Wall Street's estimates and showed slowing sales growth as business spending dwindles. Moderating growth within the company's cloud unit marked one of the biggest concerns for analysts, but nowhere near a shock. Revenue growth came in at 20% for the quarter, and below the already slow 27.5% growth rate the company experienced in third quarter.

☆ Strong U.S. job growth expected in January; wages seen cooling
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Wage growth is decelerating less than inflation," said Kate Bahn, chief economist at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth in Washington. It will also incorporate new population estimates in the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived. As such January's unemployment rate will not be directly comparable to December. REVISIONS IN FOCUSThe revisions will attract attention after researchers at the Philadelphia Fed published a paper in December that suggested employment growth in the second quarter was overstated by a million jobs. Economists will be closely watching the labor force for signs whether the current pace of job growth will persist.

☆ Your earnings investing playbook for the big Apple, Amazon and Alphabet results after the bell
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Thursday is a massive day for tech investors, as Amazon , Apple and Google-parent Alphabet are all set to report fourth-quarter earnings after the market close. Here are some key stats about Amazon's earnings report: Over the past three months, earnings estimates have fallen from nearly 22 cents per share to about 17, according to FactSet. Here are some key stats about Apple's earnings report: Over the past three months, earnings estimates have dropped from about $2 per share to roughly $1.94, according to FactSet. Alphabet Alphabet's earnings report could provide investors a clear window into the tech industry more broadly, given the company's reliance on search advertising and cloud computing. Here are some key stats about Alphabet's earnings report: Over the past three months, earnings estimates have declined by about 2 cents per share to roughly $1.18, according to FactSet.

☆ Analysts laud Meta Platforms' focus on efficiency, say the stock is transitioning from 'doghouse to pedestal'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Meta Platforms is turning its focus toward efficiency, and analysts seem to like the narrative shift from the battered technology giant. "Our management theme for 2023 is the 'Year of Efficiency' and we're focused on becoming a stronger and more nimble organization." META YTD mountain Meta Platforms shares have already surged 27% this year Analysts also seemed to praise the company's move to lower its outlook for capital expenditures and operating expenses. The word "efficiency" came up over 25 times on the company's earnings call, according to Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak. The analyst has an outperform rating on Meta and hiked his price target to $275, which implies upside of nearly 80%.

☆ Stock futures tick lower as traders await the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders on the floor of the NYSEStock futures slipped Tuesday evening as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's Wednesday meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq Composite futures were down 0.20% and 0.37%, respectively. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce how much it is increasing interest rates in its latest effort to tame high inflation. "With a 25bps hike already discounted by markets, Powell's task is to unambiguously signal the Fed's commitment to tame inflation." The Federal Reserve will announce its decision Wednesday afternoon, followed by Chairman Jerome Powell's comments.

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Alphabet, Ford, Lucid, AMD, Uber & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Barclays reiterates Apple as equal weight Barclays said it sees a miss when the Apple reports earnings Thursday. Deutsche Bank reiterates Disney as buy Deutsche Bank said it's standing by shares of Disney heading into earnings on Feb. 8. Bank of America reiterates Alphabet as buy Bank of America said Alphabet continues to pull the right "cost levers in a tough environment." Mizuho reiterates Uber as buy Mizuho said it's "constructive" on Uber shares heading into earnings on Feb. 8. Deutsche Bank reiterates PayPal as buy Deutsche said it's staying bullish heading into PayPal earnings in early February.

☆ What to watch for when 9 Club holdings report earnings on Thursday
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

So far, earnings season has been mixed — we've seen some strong results from Club holdings Morgan Stanley (MS) and Halliburton (HAL). Projected revenue: $4.58 billion Projected EPS: $1.30 Conference call at 9:30 a.m. Projected revenue: $7.33 billion Projected EPS: $1.81 Conference call at 10 a.m. Projected revenue: $9.26 billion Projected EPS: $2.51 Conference call at 8:30 a.m. Projected revenue: $121.19 billion Projected EPS: $1.94 Conference call at 5 p.m.

☆ How analysts are playing gig economy stocks ahead of earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The 2022 selloffs underscored the challenges gig economy stocks have faced in recent years as novelty and venture capital funding chilled, analysts have said to clients. Analysts are now contemplating how to position ahead of the major gig companies' earnings reports, which kick off with Uber on Feb. 8. A look at where each company stands: Uber UBER LYFT,DASH 5Y mountain Gig economy stocks One area where analysts at SVB MoffettNathanson, Jefferies and Bernstein all agree: be bullish on Uber. Lyft Analysts at the three firms, however, are leery when it comes to competitor Lyft. DoorDash Analysts were split on DoorDash.

☆ Earnings playbook: Apple and Google-parent Alphabet lead the busiest week of reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Tuesday General Motors is set to report earnings before the bell, followed by a conference call at 8:30 a.m. What history shows: Data from Bespoke Investment Group shows GM beats earnings expectations 85% of the time. McDonald's is set to report earnings before the bell, with company leadership set to hold a call 8:30 a.m. What history shows: Qualcomm has either beaten or matched analysts' earnings expectations in the last 32 quarters, according to FactSet. Alphabet is set to report earnings after the close, followed by a conference call at 4:30 p.m.

Inflation data improved too, as growth in personal consumption expenditures slowed to 2.1% year over year from 2.3% in the prior quarter while the GDP price index, another inflation measure, decelerated to 3.5%. MSCI's all-country world index, a gauge of stocks in 47 countries, (.MIWD00000PUS) rose 0.62% to hit a fresh five-month high, while the dollar index rose 0.325%. "What Powell has pushed back on a lot is to not really think about lowering rates at all," Ragan said. "But they are willing to pause and hold rates at a high level for a certain period of time." The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 0.31%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 0.70% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 1.24%.

MSCI's all-country world index, a gauge of stocks in 47 countries, (.MIWD00000PUS) was up 0.18% after paring gains after hitting a fresh five-month high. The dollar index rose 0.512%. The largely better-than-expected data can help the weakening dollar find a near-term floor, said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. "On balance, the data being better than expected suggests there's more resilience in the economy than many have given it credit," he said. Oil prices rose more than 1% on Thursday on expectations demand will strengthen as top oil importer China reopens its economy and on positive U.S. economic data.

The first scenario is consistent with a recession starting in early 2023, the second with a recession deferred until late 2023 or early 2024 when inflation and interest rate rises induce a slowdown. CYCLICAL EXTREMESDuring a typical economic cycle, output growth alternates between expansions well above the long-term trend rate and contractions well below trend; growth is close to trend only for relatively short periods. Distillate inventories are unlikely to be replenished without a recession or at least a significant mid-cycle slowdown to curb consumption. UNPALATABLE CHOICESIn the first scenario, the global economy tips into recession, cutting distillate consumption, boosting inventories and lowering prices. From this starting position, an early recession, or persistent inflation followed by a recession, are much more likely outcomes than a soft landing in 2023.

☆ Instant view: U.S. GDP grows in fourth quarter; weekly jobless claims fall
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Gross domestic product increased at a 2.9% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department said in its advance fourth-quarter GDP growth estimate on Thursday. The swing in inventories was the wildcard and that added 1.46 percentage points to GDP growth. "If you look at the GDP data it does seem like we left 2022 with a little bit more momentum than people had thought and with consumption we're also in a pretty good spot. “We have a GDP number that is well above trend, and the previous quarter’s number was well above trend. That suggests higher rates were starting to take a bigger toll, and sets the stage for weaker growth in the first quarter of this year."

☆ Latest Microsoft results show the tech giant is still a buy despite near-term pressures, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Microsoft may be facing some near-term pressures, but most analysts think the stock remains a buy at current levels. Radke has a buy rating on the stock, and raised his target price slightly to $282 from $280. His $300 price target represents more than 23% upside from Tuesday's closing price for the stock. Davidson's Gil Luria was especially bullish on Microsoft, saying that the tech giant "deserves a premium valuation relative to the market and its Pac4 comparables." He lowered his price target to $265 from $267.

WASHINGTON — Renters are on track to get some relief in 2023 as a growing number of indicators suggest the red-hot rental market has started to cool, a shift that could also help bring down decades-high inflation that has been pushing interest rates higher. That shift is good news not only for renters, but for the economy as a whole. “The balance of power in the rental market has really shifted very rapidly to renters,” said Jay Parsons, chief economist for real estate technology firm RealPage. The market has really changed materially.”In the last several months of 2022, online real estate firms Zillow, Redfin and Apartment List recorded significant drops in rental asking prices. “We saw the year-over-year growth in our rent index peak last February, and it’s been decelerating ever since then,” Tucker said.

☆ Netflix's subscriber growth signals better times ahead, but some analysts say it's still too early to buy
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Netflix 's strong fourth-quarter subscriber growth and solid content slate may signal the start of better times for the streaming stock, but it may be too early to buy up shares, according to some Wall Street analysts. Netflix reported 7.66 million adds, compared to 4.57 million subscribers expected by StreetAccount estimates. Analysts view the company's new advertising tier and its content slate as key to Netflix's financial performance in the months ahead. Since reporting second-quarter earnings results, Netflix shares have risen more than 46%. On the leadership front, Supino and analysts view the CEO transition as a positive for the company.

☆ Bank of America double downgrades Charles Schwab, says clients will continue to shift to money market funds
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

It's time to move away interest rate sensitive brokers such as Charles Schwab , according to Bank of America. Analyst Craig Siegenthaler double downgraded shares to underperform from buy, and lowered his price target, saying client cash sorting will continue to remain elevated in the first half of this year. Client cash sorting refers to clients moving cash out of lower-yielding bank deposits into higher-yielding alternatives such as money market funds. Charles Schwab outperformed last year, gaining 0.1%, and is "arguably the biggest beneficiary of higher interest rates across diversified financials," the analyst said. Regardless, the analyst expects Charles Schwab's revenue and profit growth will decelerate this year due to a constricting balance sheet.

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