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Until this week’s pullback, the market’s recent performance told a remarkable story. The S&P 500 rose for 37 of the last 51 weeks, matching a record reached in both 1989 and 2004. Political uncertaintyWith polls showing a tight race for the White House, investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election. While polls remain effectively dead even, political betting markets have swung in Trump’s favor since the start of this month. Deutsche Bank analysts warn that the recent rally may be difficult to sustain given these historically high valuations.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Henry Allen, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, White House, Mizuho Securities, , Deutsche Bank, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Federal Locations: New York, Israel
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
How to talk about politics when traveling abroad
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Kim Davis | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
So how can you talk politics when traveling abroad without offending others, looking stupid or starting a bar fight? Now, when I travel, I like to ask people about how American politics directly affect their lives. Let the other person talk firstPeople have different intentions of why they want to talk politics with you. But if you want to talk about politics abroad, you might want to consider how the locals communicate and adapt your style. She is American by birth, with European ancestry and British residence, giving her a global perspective on what it’s like to be an American abroad.
Persons: Giles, Guven, Queen Elizabeth II, Kenny Rogers, , “ They’re, Caffè Florian, Andrea Pattaro, I’ve, doesn’t, it’s, ” “, ” You’ll, Kim Davis Organizations: CNN, Cathedral Locations: Scotland, England, United Kingdom, St, Edinburgh's, New York, London, Asia, Europe, Venice, AFP, United States, Paris, American
Investors should beware of a contested US election, BlackRock's Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. AdvertisementInvestors are dismissing the risk of a disputed US election, BlackRock Investment Institute head Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. Recent battleground state polling shows a race too close to call with the election less than two weeks away. Other market strategists have echoed in recent weeks Boivin's concern over what an election dispute would mean for markets. Meanwhile, stocks rose during Trump's election dispute in 2020, likely due to signs that the COVID-19 pandemic was ending.
Persons: BlackRock's Jean Boivin, , Jean Boivin, Boivin, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Brian Gardner, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Gardner Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, BlackRock Investment Institute, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington
Walmart stock has soared 58% this year to record highs, making its founding family richer than ever. Retail legend Sam Walton's three surviving children are each worth more than $100 billion. Walmart and the Waltons have benefited from a signature strategy and cost pressures on consumers. The stock surge has added more than $32 billion to the fortunes of each of founder Sam Walton's three surviving children — Jim, Rob, and Alice. But it's true the vast majority of the family fortune remains in the hands of Sam Walton's children.
Persons: Sam Walton's, , they're, Jim, Rob, Alice, Elon Musk, David King, who've, King, Art Weinstein, Florida who's, Weinstein, Sam Walton shrewdly, . King, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Walton, John T, Lukas Walton, it's Organizations: Walmart, Waltons, Service, Bloomberg, Elon, Sam's, Management, Florida State University, Logistics, Procter, Nova Southeastern University, Tech, Tesla, SpaceX, Amazon Locations: Florida
The art market is in a correction as big spenders fade
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
The number of wealthy collectors surveyed who plan to purchase art in the next year fell to 43% from over half in 2023. The median spending on art by wealthy collectors remains stable at around $50,000 a year, according to the survey. Higher interest rates also raised the opportunity cost of buying art, since wealthy collectors could earn an easy 5% or more from cash and Treasuries. Just as in the classic-car market, the art market is going through a generational shift that's created a mismatch between supply and demand. According to the survey, the high end of the art market, or works priced at $10 million or more, was the strongest before 2022.
Persons: Andy Warhol, Jean, Michel Basquiat, Wiktor, Robert Frank, Phillips, Bonhams, Paul Donovan, Xers, they're, Donovan, Gen Xers, Gen Organizations: Art Basel, UBS Survey, UBS Global Wealth Management, Art Basel Miami Beach, Dealers, UBS Locations: London, United Kingdom, Christie's, Sotheby's, New York, East, Ukraine, Europe, China
A rise in tech stocks fueled the indexes higher after Tesla reported strong earnings. Jobless claims from last week fell unexpectedly to 227,000, a drop of 15,000 from the week before. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed Thursday morning, as the market tried to break out of a three-day slump following this week's bond sell-off. Investors' exposure to the S&P 500 is the highest since mid-2023 in a signal that's previously preceded a 10% slump, Citi says. Apple stock tumbles after analyst says iPhone 16 orders cut by 10 million units, sees "no evidence" of AI boosting demand.
Persons: Tesla, Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Nasdaq, Investors, Citi, Apple
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: A poorly timed IPO?
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
Shares of carmaker Hyundai 's Indian subsidiary started trading this week with much anticipation, only to drop by some 7% on its debut. Despite such success, it appears as if the stock market has given Hyundai the cold shoulder this week. First, the money raised by the stock market listing is being fed back to Hyundai's Korean parent. With the listing, the Indian subsidiary now commands nearly half the market capitalization of its Korean parent. However, the Indian subsidiary must now pay a flat 3.5% of total revenue going forward.
Persons: Ashish Vaishnav, Hyundai, it's, Gaurav Narain, Maruti Suzuki, China's, Narain, Kapil Singh, Singh, Ashish Jain, Pratik Organizations: Hyundai, Getty, Investors, Growth Fund, London Stock Exchange, ICG, Federated Hermes Global Emerging Markets Equity Fund, Maruti, Equity, Macquarie Locations: MUMBAI, MAHARASHTRA, INDIA, Mumbai, India, Korea, Hyundai India
Ingram Micro began trading Thursday at the NYSE under the symbol INGM, surging as much as 17% from its $22 initial public offering price . Still no signs of IPO life, despite record highs for stocks Unfortunately, Ingram is not going to change the IPO dynamic. Pre-covid, a normal year would see roughly $50 billion raised. Recent large IPOs (amount raised, and gain from IPO price) KinderCare $576 m. +20.7% StandardAero $1.4 b. In 2021, private capital was able to raise record funding for tech companies, which became benchmarks for private valuations.
Persons: Imgram, Ingram, Matt Kennedy, BlackRock, Kennedy Organizations: Ingram Micro, NYSE, Tianjin Tianhai Investment Company, HNA, Equity, KinderCare, Renaissance Capital, HPS Investment Partners Locations: Tianjin, IPOs, China
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLike an unwelcome ex-partner who shows up during the most inopportune times and refuses to leave, Treasury yields too have made a return and are hogging the market limelight. It's not inconceivable, then, that the strong economy might prompt the Fed to slow down, or even hold back, its rate cuts. The stock market slumped as yields rebounded.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent Schutte, Paul Hickey, Hickey, Wells, they'll, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: TY, New York City, U.S
Musk is now worth about $269 billion, according to Forbes, putting him more than $50 billion ahead of good friend and former Tesla board member Larry Ellison, who remains the largest shareholder in Oracle . Tesla shares soared 22% at the close, their second-biggest gain since the company's IPO in 2010. Prior to the earnings announcement, Tesla shares had been slumping and were headed for their worst month since January. But the stock erased its loss for the year and is now up 5% in 2024, compared to the Nasdaq's 23% gain. Tesla reported earnings per share of 72 cents, topping the average analyst estimate of 58 cents.
Persons: Elon Musk, Musk, Larry Ellison, Tesla's, Tesla Organizations: Forbes, Oracle, SpaceX, Twitter Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, FSD
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy is the driving force behind much more than you think in the stock market, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer reports from Chevrons newest offshore oil platform to get an idea what the company is working on.
Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: Email Energy
The S&P 500 closed higher on Thursday to end a three-day losing streak. The index was fueled by a surge in Tesla's stock, which closed 22% higher after a strong earnings beat. AdvertisementUS stocks closed mixed Thursday, though the S&P 500 was able to push higher after three days of losses. Its operating profit also exceeded expectations, up 54% from a year ago to $2.7 billion, while analysts expected $2.0 billion. Some analysts, though, remain cautious that the strong earnings will be sustainable in future quarters.
Persons: , Tesla Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, IBM, UBS, JPMorgan
This, despite the fact that younger investors were more optimistic about the economy, their incomes, their living situations, and their investments. Millennial investors have been deeply scarred by two life-changing crises in their young lives. But if you look at hard numbers from the Federal Reserve about what millennial investors actually own, you can see that this stereotype is misguided. When you compare millennials' cash levels with Gen X's cash levels at the same age, though, the risk aversion becomes clear. But when it comes to younger investors, I think the scars run deeper than worries about a coming downturn.
Persons: Cash, it's, millennials, Gen Xers, boomers, There's, would've, you'd Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Occupy, Dow, Netflix Locations: eToro, United States, YOLO
Pairs trading is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves simultaneously buying one asset, such as a stock, and selling another related asset. We will review a pairs trade candidate and how to execute it with options. The idea with pairs trading is that, from time to time or over time, there may be a divergence or spread in their prices. Alternatively, another form of pairs trading takes a longer-term and more fundamental perspective. Nike vs. Lululemon Well-known athletic apparel companies Nike (NKE) and Lululemon Athletica (LULU) aren't direct competitors.
Persons: Jim Simons, shorting, Lululemon Athletica, LULU, aren't, Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods, Serena Williams, Lulu, DK Metcalf, Jordan Clarkson, Leylah Fernandez, Lululemon, Lulu hedged Organizations: Ford, General Motors, Technologies, Nike, Seattle Seahawks, NBA, LULU, Lululemon, mojo, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Lulu
The S & P 500 suffered its first three-day decline since early September. Chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky noted a "decent probability" the broad market index could fall as much as 5% to roughly 5,500 in coming weeks. The S & P 500 has pulled back this week from record highs reached just Oct. 17. Krinsky pointed to the recent move higher in Treasury yields as the key catalyst. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, JPMorgan reiterated Live Nation with an overweight rating and raised a $137 price target, implying upside of more than 19%.
Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Tesla Organizations: UPS, JPMorgan
But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo
Top 10 things to watch Thursday, Oct. 24 CNBC's Matthew J. Belvedere with the help of Jeff Marks wrote this dispatch. Tesla shares were jumping 14.5% and leading the Nasdaq toward a higher open after the EV maker beat on quarterly earnings per share (EPS). Club industrial stocks Honeywell and Dover were dropping after issuing quarterly results. Semiconductor equipment maker Lam Research beat on quarterly earnings and revenue and its stock jumped 5%. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Matthew J, Jeff Marks, Stocks, Jensen Huang, TSMC, Oppenheimer, Boeing machinists, Gary Kelly, Bob Jordan, EBITDA, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ritzau Scanpix, Mads Claus Rasmussen Organizations: Nasdaq, Elon, Honeywell, Dover, Nvidia, Blackwell, Semiconductor, Lam Research, Boeing, Southwest Airlines, Elliott Investment Management, United Parcel Service, International, Mobile, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, EIFO, NVIDIA, Vilhelm, Via Reuters Locations: India, Southwest, Kastrup, Denmark
The central bank has been aiming to keep the long-run inflation rate at this level to maintain stable prices and a healthy economy. "There is now a higher base inflation rate than there was before COVID for a number of reasons." Related storiesBut there are other factors contributing to an increased long-term inflation rate, many of which Blitz tracked even before the pandemic. AdvertisementChanging demographics in the workplace are also driving increasing debt and higher long-term inflation, according to Blitz. In Blitz's perspective, all of these factors add up to an inflation rate exceeding 2% going forward.
Persons: isn't, Steven Blitz, , Mark Higgins, Blitz, Bonds Organizations: Service, Fed, stoke, Blitz, Technology, iShares Semiconductor, Index
2024 Tamara de Lempicka Estate, LLC/ADAGP, Paris/ARS, NY/1969 Christie’s Images LimitedThe artist painted her first husband, the lawyer Tadeusz de Lempicki, in 1928. Georges Meguerditchian/Centre Pompidou/Orange Logic/RMP/2024 Tamara de Lempicka Estate, LLC/ADAGP, Paris/ARS, NY Digital Image/CNAC/MNAM, Dist. Courtesy of Artis—Naples, The Baker Museum/2024 Tamara de Lempicka Estate, LLC/ADAGP, Paris/ARS, NY/RoseBudz Productions. 2024 Tamara de Lempicka Estate, LLC/ADAGP, Paris/ARS, NY/Courtesy of the Peterson Family CollectionLempicka exhibited around Paris regularly in the 1920s, but she struggled to sustain her artistic career. In the 1940s, Lempicka’s work was the subject of a book for the first time, coinciding with an exhibition in Rome.
Persons: Tamara de Lempicka, Lempicka, she’s, Barbra Streisand, Madonna —, Marjorie Ferry, de Young, , , Furio Rinaldi —, Gioia Mori —, Ira Perrot, Tadeusz de Lempicki, Georges Meguerditchian, Rinaldi, She’s, , wasn’t, bitingly, Belle, Lempicka —, Streisand, ” Streisand, Kizette, Tamara Rosa Hurwitz, Peterson, Irena Hochman, NY Lempicka, Bernini’s, Saint Teresa, Museo Soumaya.Fundación Carlos Slim, Baron Kuffner, Julien Levy —, San, there’s Organizations: CNN, de, Fine Arts, Centre Pompidou, Palais, Art, NY Banque d'Images, San, Baker Museum, RoseBudz, ., NY, Old, Museo, The Society of Modern Women Artists, Pittsburgh’s Carnegie Institute Locations: Polish, San Francisco, Europe, Paris, NY, Centre, Orange, Dist, RMN, St . Petersburg, Russian, French, , Artis — Naples, New York, Moscow, Warsaw, Mexico City, Milwaukee, Young, Rome
"I think all roads lead to inflation," Jones told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Tuesday. "I'm long gold. I'm long bitcoin. I think commodities are so ridiculously underowned, so I'm long commodities. @GC.1 YTD mountain Gold, YTD The CBO expects deficits will hit $2.8 trillion by 2034, up from $1.8 trillion in fiscal 2024.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's, That's, Robin Hood, Donald Trump, Bitcoin Organizations: Trump, Nasdaq, Tudor Investment, Robin, Robin Hood Foundation, Congressional, Treasury, Federal, Metrics Locations: U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The team pointed to high valuations and concentration in today's stock market as reasons for their forecast. [PRO] Ranking the Magnificent SevenThe Magnificent Seven bag of stocks — Alphabet , Amazon , Apple , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — is responsible for most of the S&P 500's rally this year. Not so, according to a tech investor who owns all seven stocks.
Persons: Europe's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Bob Iger, Iger, Bob Chapek Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Autonomous, Microsoft, Disney, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla
"We aren't flashy with our wealth because money isn't our ultimate goal," one said. Gary said they had an "incredibly average" path to wealth, emphasizing prudent investments and modest living. Some stories of people striking it rich and retiring early include unrelatable circumstances, such as family wealth, entrepreneurship, or a superstar career at the top of the corporate ladder. Lawrence Delva-Gonzalez and his wife grew their net worth from $150,000 in debt in 2012 to $1.3 million in 2024. AdvertisementJustin Hall and his wife now live a nomadic lifestyle after retiring early.
Persons: , Anthony Drew Gary, Gary, could've, Xiao Yu, Xiao Yu Yu, It's, Yu, they're, it's, Lawrence Delva, Gonzalez, Delva, Justin Hall Organizations: Service, Indiana, Aldi, Federal, Federal Reserve, Marine Corps, Justin Hall Hall, Air Force Locations: Indianapolis, China, Washington, DC, Port, Prince, Haiti, Tallahassee, Virginia
Both have opined that the rally on Wall Street underscores a growing belief that former President Donald Trump will win on Nov. 5. However, I don't yet believe that Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue have intersected just yet. Indeed, if the stock market is anticipating a Trump victory, what might the bond market and gold market be telling us, assuming they expect the same outcome? Are those markets telling us a Trump victory would lead to higher inflation and bigger fiscal deficits? Those betting on a Trump win would be loath to say so if they follow the messages of multiple markets.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb, Donald Trump, Loeb, it's, Dow Jones, Kamala Harris, Trump, Ron Insana Organizations: Senate, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Trump, stoke, Democratic, Pennsylvania, CNBC Locations: U.S
Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.
Persons: , Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, , Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington
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