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When Is The Best Time to Buy a House?
  + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +8 min
By Michele LernerAs with much else in real estate, the best time of year to buy a house depends on location, market conditions—and you. “But the best time of year to buy a house depends a lot on the type of buyer.”The spring housing marketTraditionally the housing market’s most active season, spring can be the “best” time of year to buy or the “worst” time of year to buy, depending on your perspective. Best time to buy for: Buyers who hope to move before the holidays or at least before the end of the year. Best time to buy for: Buyers and investors looking for a better deal. “Sometimes it’s the right time to buy a house when you’ve found ‘the one’ that feels right for your family and your circumstances,” Bloch says.
Here are five stocks chosen by Wall Street's top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Rakesh holds the 94th position among more than 8,000 analysts followed on TipRanks. The analyst ranks 439th among more than 8,000 analysts followed on TipRanks. The analyst remains bullish on the stock and raised his price target to $134 from $128, as he continues to see a "meaningful upside." Santarelli holds the 27th position among more than 8,000 analysts on TipRanks.
Bahnsen's investment philosophy focuses specifically on high-quality stocks that have a high dividend yield, along with consistent increases. One of his favorite plays is Procter & Gamble , which currently has a dividend yield of 2.5%. EOG has a 2.9% dividend yield and also has been paying a special dividend. Health-care names Names in the health-care sector are generally considered defensive. Quanta Services has a dividend yield on the lower end, at 0.2%.
Toggle AI trains large language models like ChatGPT to enhance investing decisions. Now, investors have been drawn to the AI industry like moths to a flame, as they try to gauge which companies will win the battle for AI market dominance. But while ChatGPT may have an early lead in the AI race, Giuseppe Sette, co-founder and president of Toggle AI, isn't worried. An example of the Toggle AI capabilities Sette is currently working on. 5 Toggle-selected stocks to buyWith macroeconomic headwinds continuing to challenge markets in 2023, Sette believes that value stocks are set to outperform, at least for the near future.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC is more concerned about supply stability than seasonality of oil prices, consultancy saysSadad Al Husseini, founder of Husseini Energy, discusses the outlook for the oil market.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDelta CEO: The ten highest sales days in our history happened in the last 30 daysDelta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether there's any deterioration in travel demand, if there's a return to seasonality happening in the travel industry, and more.
What to expect from the February jobs report
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
Minneapolis CNN —January’s jobs report delivered a heck of a surprise when it showed the US economy had added more than half a million jobs and unemployment had dipped to a level not seen in more than five decades. But economists say they are not bracing for another blindside when the February jobs report comes out on Friday morning. “If we get a second strong jobs report [on Friday], it’s no longer an anomaly,” Terrazas added. Seasonality, benchmarking and the interplay of pandemic-era data don’t completely explain away January’s blockbuster jobs report, economists say, noting there are likely influences from the currently tight labor market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ February jobs report is set to be released at 8:30 a.m.
Minneapolis CNN —January’s jobs report delivered a heck of a surprise when it showed the US economy had added more than half a million jobs and unemployment had dipped to a level not seen in more than five decades. But economists say they are not bracing for another blindside when the February jobs report comes out on Friday. “I think most economists were comfortable dismissing the January jobs data as an anomaly,” Aaron Terrazas, Glassdoor’s chief economist, told CNN. “If we get a second strong jobs report [on Friday], it’s no longer an anomaly,” Terrazas added. Seasonality, benchmarking and the interplay of pandemic-era data don’t completely explain away January’s blockbuster jobs report, economists say, noting there are likely influences from the currently tight labor market.
Bearish bets intensified on nearly all Asian currencies, with short bets on the South Korean won and the Chinese yuan reaching their highest since November, according to a fortnightly poll of 12 analysts. Short bets on the won were the highest among Asian currencies for the second week in a row. However, the Indian rupee , already the best performing currency in Asia so far this year, bucked the bearish trend as investors dialled back their short bets. Short bets on the ringgit rose slightly. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3.
"Even after factoring in the latest increase, jobless claims are exceptionally low by historical standards, underscoring just how tight labor market conditions still are," said Michael Pearce, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics in New York. The four-week moving average for new claims, a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out weekly fluctuations, climbed 4,000 to 197,000 last week. Claims had stayed below 200,000 for seven straight weeks, indicating that high-profile job cuts in the technology sector had not had a material impact on the labor market. Goldman Sachs believed residual seasonality accounted for about half of last week's rise in claims. The labor market is, however, cooling on the margins.
Did the U.S. add half a million jobs in January or did it lose 2.5 million? The government said both happened—but investors and policy makers cared about the seasonally adjusted increase of 517,000.
And by November and December, those predictions appeared to be materializing, when data showed consumers had pulled back during the holiday shopping season. During a month chock full of suprisingly strong economic data, the Commerce Department’s retail sales and consumer spending reports far surpassed expectations. “It’s not sustainable to keep spending above their means.”Eyes on the FedHearty consumer spending at a time like this is a double-edged sword, said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst for Bankrate and CreditCards.com. “The resilience of consumer spending is probably the biggest thing that’s pushed this recession timetable out,” Rossman said. The Home Depot (HD) warned of flat sales for 2023 as consumers continue shift spending from goods to services.
One way: buy a home, fix it up to rent out, then refinance to get cash and buy the next one. "We looked at long-term rent and we would have been in the hole a few hundred dollars per month based on interest rates and property taxes," Holland told Insider. But a perfect storm of softening home prices, increasing taxes, higher mortgage rates, and steep building-material costs has made the BRRRR model less attractive to investors. When the BRRRR numbers don't work, Holland said, there are a few strategies investors could consider instead. But even that strategy has its own competitive advantages and disadvantages, she said, such as seasonality and uncertain income.
Feb 28 (Reuters) - PC maker HP Inc (HPQ.N) on Tuesday forecast second-quarter adjusted profit above estimates and re-affirmed its full-year earnings target, expecting to benefit from cost cuts and higher shipments as supply chain pressures ease. HP forecast second-quarter adjusted per share earnings between 73 cents and 83 cents, above analysts' average estimate of 76 cents. It also maintained its full-year adjusted profit target of $3.20 to $3.60 per share. The strong profit forecast overshadowed a nearly 19% drop in first-quarter revenue to $13.8 billion that also missed analysts' average estimate of $14.12 billion, according to Refinitiv data. PC shipments are expected to be down 6.8% this year, compared with a 16% decline last year, according to projections by market research firm Gartner.
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Goldman Sachs upgrades Nomad Foods to buy from neutral Goldman said it sees an "attractive investment opportunity" to invest in the frozen food company. Goldman Sachs upgrades Willis Towers Watson to buy from neutral Goldman said it sees a robust turnaround for the insurance company. Barclays reiterates Tesla as overweight Barclays said it's standing by its buy rating heading into Tesla's investor event on March 1. Raymond James upgrades Frontier to strong buy from outperform Raymond James upgraded the cable company after its "impressive" earnings report. UBS reiterates Apple as buy UBS said its survey checks show Apple is the preferred brand in both the U.S. and China.
A worker picking up food for delivery from a restaurant in Holly Springs, N.C. The U.S. economy appears to be exhibiting strength early this year, after posting solid, but slightly weaker, growth at the end of 2022. Gross domestic product, a broad measure of the goods and services produced across the U.S., rose at a 2.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, the Commerce Department said Thursday. That was down from a previous estimate of 2.9% growth, and slower than the third quarter’s 3.2% growth.
How Deadly Was China’s Covid Wave?
  + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( James Glanz | Mara Hvistendahl | Agnes Chang | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +15 min
China’s official count 0 2.5 million 83,150 deaths Model based on Shanghai outbreak 1.6 million deaths LOW ESTIMATE HIGH ESTIMATE Estimate using travel patterns 970,000 deaths Estimate using recent testing data 1.5 million deaths Estimate based on U.S. death rates 1.1 million deaths China’s official count 0 2.5 million 83,150 deaths Model based on Shanghai outbreak 1.6 million deaths LOW EST. But China’s official Covid death toll for the entire pandemic remains strikingly low: 83,150 people as of Feb. 9. Four separate academic teams have converged on broadly similar estimates: China’s Covid wave may have killed between a million and 1.5 million people. Why official data underrepresents China’s outbreak83,150 deaths China’s official count on Feb. 9 0 2.5M 83,150 deaths China’s official count on Feb. 9 0 2.5 millionChina has a narrow definition of what counts as a Covid-19 death. But the work was unwavering in its ultimate conclusion: Ending the “zero Covid” policy was likely to overwhelm the health care system, producing an estimated 1.6 million deaths.
Feb 15 (Reuters) - Finnair (FIA1S.HE) reported a second straight quarterly operating profit on Wednesday as the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns eases on its key Asian business, and said it looked forward to potentially "huge" demand from the Chinese market. In the fourth quarter, 31.2% of its passenger revenue came from Asian traffic, versus 41.1% in the same period in 2019. Finnair said it expects to significantly increase its 2023 revenue compared with the previous year, but not yet to reach pre-pandemic levels. Its comparable operating profit reached 17.9 million euros ($19.2 million) in the fourth quarter, against a loss of 65.2 million a year earlier. Finnair shares were up 1.1% at 0.5345 euros by 1506 GMT, after rising as high as 0.5520, their highest since February 2022.
The Newcastle Index only covers a relatively small portion of the seaborne thermal coal market, reflecting higher energy cargoes bought mainly by utilities in Japan and South Korea. A mild winter and strong domestic output have limited China's appetite for imported thermal coal, putting downward pressure on prices, especially for Indonesian grades. Europe's imports of seaborne thermal coal are also dropping, with Kpler estimating February arrivals of 6.61 million tonnes, down from 8.16 million in January and 8.75 million in December. Asia, Europe LNG imports vs spot priceLNG DIPSSimilar to thermal coal, a drop in demand from China and from Europe is freeing up spot LNG cargoes and contributing to lower prices. This may mean that spot LNG and thermal coal prices may remain at levels that appear elevated compared with the average of the last decade, especially as new supply will only arrive in significant volumes for LNG around 2025.
Lyft says lower prices to hit profit, shares drop 30%
  + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Nivedita Balu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
President John Zimmer said in an interview with Reuters that the company planned "lower prices" and fewer hours of peak pricing, which he called "less prime time." Lyft had room to lower prices because the market was strong, he added. Uber shares were down 2.5%, a day after Uber reported a surprise fourth-quarter profit and forecast a current-quarter profit well above the average analyst estimate. Lyft forecast first-quarter revenue of about $975 million, below analyst estimates of $1.09 billion, according to Refinitiv data. Chief Financial Officer Elaine Paul blamed the forecast on seasonality and lower prices, including fewer Prime Time hours.
The Lyft logo is shown on the screen at the Nasdaq offices in Times Square on March 29, 2019 in New York. Shares of Lyft are set to drop 30% Friday, a day after the company reported guidance for its first quarter of 2023 that fell short of analyst expectations. Lyft posted a revenue beat of $1.18 billion for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to the $1.16 billion analysts were expecting, according to Refinitiv. "Our positive thesis on Lyft had been based on post-pandemic recovery combined with an accelerated shift to profit through cost rationalization. However, rideshare is now approaching full recovery in the US, but Lyft is not," JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth said.
Feb 10 (Reuters) - Shares of Lyft (LYFT.O) fell more than 30% before the bell on Friday after forecasting first-quarter profit below estimates, amplifying worries that it was falling behind Uber (UBER.N) as the ride-hailing firms look to rebound from pandemic lows. Both the companies have been locked in a battle for market share coming off the pandemic, when they had to tackle challenges such as driver shortages and rising costs. Bigger rival Uber on Wednesday forecast first-quarter operating profit well above analysts' estimates. Analysts believe Uber, which has a market capitalization nearly 12 times that of Lyft, possesses a significant advantage given its scale. "These results reinforce our thesis that Lyft is at a structural competitive disadvantage versus Uber in terms of market share, driver supply and expenses," RBC Capital Markets analysts said on Friday.
Lyft plunged 36% on Friday after the company posted a disappointing Q1 revenue forecast. The ride-hailing brand expects $975 million in revenue during the period, missing estimates of $1.09 billion. Elsewhere, Uber reported its strongest quarter ever with revenue up 49% year-over-year. The company said it expects to generate around $975 million in revenue during the first quarter of 2023, missing analyst estimates of $1.09 billion. Lyft exceeded Wall Street's expectations for fourth-quarter revenue at $1.18 billion, compared to estimates at $1.16 billion, according to Refinitiv.
Lyft shares fell more than 30% during Friday premarket trading as traders weighed a weaker-than-expected forecast from the ridesharing company in its most recent earnings report. LYFT 1D mountain Lyft shares tumble For market observers on Wall Street, that was hardly a good enough explanation. As of Thursday's close, Lyft shares jumped more than 47%, following a 74% drop in 2022. While the analyst did not have a price target available, his previous target in January was $24 for the stock. Lastly, Loop Capital's Rob Sanderson downgraded Lyft to hold from buy, and dropped the price target to $10 from $17.
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