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On the surface, it may seem simple — global stocks are rallying, so there must be one universal driver, right? When this happens, the yen should strengthen and improve shareholder value in Japanese stocks, Arone said. "All of that gives you the ingredients you need to push stocks higher — not only U.S. stocks, but global stocks — in the next 12 months or so," he said. "I think that international stocks — Japan, Europe — have more room to go. Similar to Kelly, Kleintop recommended a more broad-based approach to playing this global rally.
Persons: It's, Charles Schwab's, Jeffrey Kleintop, they've, David Kelly, Michael Arone, Kelly, Arone, , Kleintop, Fred Imbert Organizations: U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, CNBC, Nvidia, Asset Management, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Tokyo Stock Exchange, State, Locations: United States, U.S, Europe, Japan, Korea, China, Asia, America, Eastern Europe, — Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCan't connect productivity improvements to AI yet, says Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss AI's productivity prospects, what accounts for the recent record equity market closes, and much more.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Investor sentiment toward intermediate-term Treasury bonds may be changing. "So, they're looking to reposition the fixed-income portion of their portfolio to take advantage of where interest rates are likely to go next." It's a shift from last year when short-term bonds and money market funds saw large inflows. "Taking on some duration risk makes sense, but I wouldn't go too far out on the curve," he said. "The risk-return dynamics [of] getting too far out on the long end don't make a ton of sense to me."
Persons: David Botset, you'll, Nate Geraci Organizations: Federal
New York CNN —Retail investors are optimistic about the stock market again despite a backdrop of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. CNN’s Fear & Greed Index, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment, closed at an “extreme greed” reading on Thursday. Unsurprisingly, investors are largely bullish on artificial intelligence-related stocks over the next three months, according to the Schwab survey. The job market has also stayed remarkably strong even as interest rates hover around a 23-year high, helping keep recession worries at bay. About 48% of traders believe the US will likely avoid a recession this year, up from 23% last quarter, according to the Schwab survey.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Schwab, , James Kostulias, stoking, Anna Bahney, , Lawrence Yun, Read, Henri Nestlé, Wegovy, Hanna Ziady, Mark Schneider, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Retail, , Dow Jones, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, National Association of Realtors, NAR Locations: New York, United Kingdom, Japan, Washington, Swiss
ETF Edge, February 21, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge, February 21, 2024David Botset, Schwab Asset Management head of innovation and stewardship, and Nate Geraci, The ETF Store president, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the risk of high tech concentration, spot bitcoin trading, the growing investor appetite for intermediate-term Treasury bonds and more.
Persons: David Botset, Nate Geraci, Bob Pisani Organizations: Schwab Asset Management
Rock & hard place: What's a bond investor to do now?
  + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRock & hard place: What's a bond investor to do now? David Botset, Schwab Asset Management head of innovation and stewardship, and Nate Geraci, The ETF Store president, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the growing appetite for intermediate-term Treasury bonds and the bond conundrum facing investors.
Persons: David Botset, Nate Geraci, Bob Pisani Organizations: Schwab Asset Management
ETF Edge: The rise of intermediate term bonds
  + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge: The rise of intermediate term bondsDavid Botset, Schwab Asset Management Solutions senior vice president and head of strategy and product, joins CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'Halftime Report' to discuss the moving interest towards intermediate term bonds.
Persons: David Botset, Bob Pisani Organizations: Schwab Asset Management Solutions
Photos You Should See View All 33 ImagesSchools won't get the information they need to award financial aid until next month, forcing them to adapt. Just this past week, Virginia Tech, for example, said it had moved its admissions deposit deadline for first-year college students to May 15. More than 17 million students use the FAFSA every year to receive financial aid for their college education. Rachel Reniva of Dothan, Alabama, said the financial aid decision will affect not only her son’s future but also her entire family’s. Although Jaramillo lives in Toronto, he is a U.S. citizen and thus eligible for financial aid.
Persons: they’ll, , Jenny Nicholas of Keene, , ” Juan Espinoza, Agata James, ” James ’, James, Miguel Cardona, Rachel Reniva, Jesus Noyola, hasn’t, It’s, Noyola, Travis Hill, Lorenzo Jaramillo, Jaramillo, Helen Faith, , Charles Schwab Organizations: Federal Student Aid, The Education Department, Virginia Tech, New, Queens, Education Department, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Social Security, Dallas, Social, Financial, University of Wisconsin, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: Jenny Nicholas of Keene , New Hampshire, New York, Dothan , Alabama, Troy , New York, Texas, Toronto, U.S, Madison
Investors are pricing in a best-case outcome where earnings rise and inflation returns to normal in a continued economic expansion. “It’s a tough needle to thread,” said Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “And that pretty much pulls forward almost all the returns, in our minds, for 2024.”AdvertisementCrit Thomas, a global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, has the same concern. “And so at 21x earnings, there’s very little margin for error here.”AdvertisementFourth-quarter earnings mostly met measured expectations , as did forward guidance. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth, said he’s less worried about valuations broadly and is more interested in seeing which sectors look cheap.
Persons: , , Solita Marcelli, , Sameer Samana, Steve Sosnick, It’s, Steven Wieting, “ We’ve, Crit Thomas, “ I’m, ” Thomas, We’re, Chris Galipeau, ” Galipeau, ” Sosnick, we’ve, Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab, ” Sonders, there’s, Clark Bellin, he’s, ” Bellin, you’re, Stocks, Samana, won’t, Thomas, Wieting, Bellin, “ They’ve, they’re Organizations: Service, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Interactive, Citi Global Wealth’s, Touchstone Investments, Franklin Templeton Institute, Citi Global Wealth, Bellwether Wealth Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, ” Samana, Galipeau
Positive labor market data and GDP growth support this, but job opportunities in some sectors are down. Not all job data is positive, with job openings falling from their post-pandemic highs. Below are some of the signs the economy is thriving, as well as some warning signs. Labor market data is mostly positiveThe labor market is still stable despite gradually slowing, Kimbrough said during the forum. "I think the investment side of our economy is going to start to chip away a little bit at the discretionary consumption weight in our economy."
Persons: , Marc Giannoni, LinkedIn's Karin Kimbrough, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Giannoni, Kimbrough, Jerome Powell, Powell, NerdWallet's Elizabeth Renter, Sonders, They're, there’s, there's, — Kimbrough, it’s Organizations: Federal, Service, Barclays, NYU Stern Economic, Labor, Conference, University of Michigan's, Market Committee, Health, New, New York City Housing Locations: York, New York City
“Losing the love was worse than losing the money,” said Kleinart, 70, who lost tens of thousands to a romance scam over several months. Last year, the Federal Trade Commission received over 64,000 romance scams reports that translated into $1.14 billion in reported losses. Romance scams often target lonely and isolated individuals, according to Will Maxson, assistant director of the Division of Marketing Practices at the FTC. Specifically for older people, romance scams are among the most common scams, said Kathy Stokes, director of fraud prevention at AARP. However, she noted people from all ages can fall for a romance scam.
Persons: Kate Kleinart, , Kleinart, Will Maxson, , , Kathy Stokes, Genevieve Waterman, Waterman, ” Waterman, scammers, it’s, Stokes, Hey, ” Stokes, Charles Schwab Organizations: Federal Trade Commission, FTC, AARP, National Council, Aging, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: Spain
Closing the wealth gap is more difficult because a significantly larger number of white households traditionally have money in stocks and mutual funds. A separate Fed survey shows that as of 2022, about 65.6% of white households had investments in stocks, compared with 28.3% for Hispanic households and 39.2% for Black households. More than 50% of Black financial wealth is invested in pensions, the New York Fed found. In contrast, less than 30% of white financial wealth is invested in pensions, with about 50% invested in businesses, equities, and mutual funds. In April of 2020, more than 40% of Black business owners reported they were not working, compared with only 17% of white business owners.
Persons: , Janelle Jones, Jones, Walley Adeyemo, Adeyemo, ___, Charles Schwab Organizations: New York Federal Reserve Bank, Black, Washington Center for Equitable, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: U.S, America
That's according to a recent study by public health experts in Canada who found stark income inequality is causing a mental health crisis. AdvertisementIt assessed Census income data, community health survey data, and hospitalization and death rates since 2006. AdvertisementResearchers said these indicators of declining community health are directly tied to economic conditions. People with less money might have a more difficult time accessing medicine and mental health services compared to their wealthier neighbors. Improving public health outcomes and reducing social stigma around money needs to start on a broad scale by addressing economic disparities, she said.
Persons: , Claire Benny, Benny said, ” Benny, , Vivek Murthy, Schwab, Zers, Benny, Organizations: Service, Business, Census Bureau, Public Health Ontario Locations: Canada
Charles Schwab Learn More Minimum deposit and balance Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. How are required minimum distributions calculated? Everyone's financial circumstances are different, but there are some strategies that could reduce the tax implications of required minimum distributions. You can also calculate your required minimum distributions using the IRS' life expectancy chart. And if you've already been taking required minimum distributions, don't be surprised if they're larger this year.
Persons: RMDs, , Charles Schwab, Schwab, Roth, Roth IRAs, it's, John, you'll, You'd, Kevin Martin, David John, There's, they've, Rita Assaf Organizations: Schwab, Trading, Organization, IRS, Social, Tax, H, AARP, Institute, Bank, Western Alliance Bank, Alliance Bank, FDIC, CNBC, Brookings, Fidelity Investments, CNBC Select's, Facebook, Twitter Locations: LendingClub, N.A
If higher Treasury yields persist, Piper Sandler believes certain stocks could see their earnings at risk. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose as high as 4.16% on Monday after hitting a low around 3.8% last week. The 10-year Treasury was last hovering at the 4.09% level. The firm looked for stocks with a high correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield and downbeat earnings revisions, based on a proprietary EPS revisions ratio. Pharmaceutical stock Bristol-Myers Squibb has a comparatively lower correlation value of 0.188 to the 10-year yield.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jerome Powell, Russell, Charles Schwab, Myers Squibb Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Piper, Bank of America, Bank, LSEG, East West Bancorp, West Bancorp, Oil, Pharmaceutical, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Redburn Locations: Bristol
Before the Bell spoke to Joe Mazola, director of Schwab Trader Education, about the growing importance of retail investors in markets, where Main Street is investing and why people are still enamored with Elon Musk. Why is it so important to single out retail investors and track where they’re putting their money? Is there a big difference between what retail investors and institutional investors are doing right now? That means the Fed is due to cut rates in 2024, which officials themselves projected in December. We just want some more confidence before we take that very important step of beginning to cut interest rates,” he told “60 Minutes” correspondent Scott Pelley.
Persons: Elon Musk’s, Tesla, Charles Schwab, Schwab, Bell, Joe Mazola, Elon Musk, Joe Mazzola, it’s, they’re, there’s, They’ve, Powell, Jerome Powell, “ We’ve, ” Powell, , Price, , Scott Pelley, Read, 23andMe, Anne Wojcicki, ” Wojcicki, they’ve, Wojcicki Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Tesla, Big Tech, Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Devices, Schwab Trader Education, Elon, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, CBS, Fed, Nasdaq, CNN Locations: New York, Street, Silicon Valley
A combination of inflation, increased interest rates, and the end of pandemic-tied relief, such as the moratorium on student loan payments, has led to record credit card debt, experts say. A recent report from credit rating company Moody’s found credit card delinquencies are now well above 2019, or pre-pandemic levels. If you're facing increased credit card debt, while feeling the ongoing effects of inflation, here's what to consider:ASK FOR A RATE CUTPhotos You Should See View All 45 ImagesOne of the first things you should do is ask your credit card company to lower your rates. While the Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that its first interest rate cut is likely months away, the average credit card interest rate is already far and away higher than the rate set by the Fed. PAY OFF HIGHER-INTEREST DEBT FIRSTKnown as the “avalanche approach,” paying off debt that accumulates interest more quickly will always be more efficient than paying off lower-interest debt first.
Persons: Moody’s, Silvio Tavares, , Kia McCallister, Charles Schwab Organizations: , Federal Reserve, ASK, Fed, National Foundation, Credit, nfcc.org, Federal Trade, Public, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Federation of America, America, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: realtor.com
CNN —American golfer Wyndham Clark shot a course-record 60 as he moved into the lead at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am after three rounds. Clark’s historic round at the famous links course in California included two eagles and nine birdies, giving him a one-shot lead ahead of Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg. It would have been the 13th sub-60 round in the history of the PGA Tour. “Then obviously making all of those putts out of the ordinary was also pretty awesome.”Clark shot the lowest round of his career at Pebble Beach. Åberg dropped off the top of the leaderboard but is only one shot behind Clark going into the final day after a third-round 67.
Persons: Wyndham Clark, Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg, putts, ” Clark, Tracy Wilcox, Clark, Tom Kite, David Duval, Patrick Cantlay, Matthias Schwab, Hurly Long, , Åberg, France’s Matthieu Pavon, USA’s Mark Hubbard, Belgium’s Thomas Detry Organizations: CNN, PGA, PGA Tour, week’s Farmers Insurance Locations: California, Pebble Beach
After turbocharging late 2023's stock market rally, some of the " Magnificent 7 " technology darlings are looking less magnificent this year. Shares of Meta and Nvidia are leading the Magnificent 7 for the year, with both stocks jumping roughly 34% each. The rest of the Magnificent 7 stocks, however, have received anywhere from 70% to 85% buy rating consensus. While the other five are forecast to see at least double-digit earnings growth estimates, analysts predict Apple's earnings growth to stay relatively unchanged. On the other hand, consensus estimates call for Tesla earnings to fall by 20%.
Persons: turbocharging, Tesla, Art Hogan, Hogan, Baird, Elon Musk's, Ben Kallo, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Charles Schwab, Kevin Gordon, Gordon, Ed Yardeni, isn't, Yardeni, Russell, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Wall Street, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, BYD, Barclays, Blips, Yardeni Research, titans Locations: Delaware, China
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCharles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders: We can't look at the market in a 'monolithic way' anymoreLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what explains the bond market's reaction to Friday's jobs report, what's happening with regional bank stocks, and any spillover to the big banks.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
The inflows this year come at a time when, historically, money funds see seasonal outflows. Ho calculates about $5.5 trillion of the assets sitting in money market funds are core liquidity for companies and cash savings for retail investors. In fact, the most recent push into money market funds is coming from institutional investors, according to the ICI. Assets of institutional money market funds increased by $33.06 billion to $3.65 trillion, while retail money market funds rose by $8.62 billion to $2.35 trillion, the organization found. That's because yields on money market funds lag behind Fed moves.
Persons: Teresa Ho, Ho, Powell, Shelly Antoniewicz, Jerome Powell, AllianceBernstein, Monika Carlson, Carlson, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Rob Williams, Charles Schwab Organizations: JPMorgan, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, CNBC, ICI, Fed, Treasury, Morningstar, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: Treasurys
But with practically all of Wall Street in agreement that no changes will be made, investors are focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s afternoon press conference where he’ll answer questions about his outlook for monetary policy. Conflict in the Middle East and the Red Sea in particular “poses a risk to global trade,” said EY Senior Economist Lydia Boussour on Tuesday. That’s a huge blow to trade: As much as 15% of global trade and 25%-30% of global container shipments transit through the waterway. “For now, we don’t expect the situation in the Red Sea to substantially alter the outlook for global inflation and global monetary policy this year,” said Boussour. The company reported earnings per share of $2.93, beating Wall Street expectations of $2.79.
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, Powell isn’t, we’ve, ” Johns, Laurence Ball, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Gordon, , There’s, Jay Powell, CNN’s Arlette Saenz, Joe Biden, , Brent, EY, Lydia Boussour, “ We’ve, Satya Nadella Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ” Johns Hopkins, , Commerce Department, West Texas Intermediate, International Monetary, Microsoft, Revenue Locations: New York, East, Europe, China, Jordan, Gaza, Suez, Iran
High-yield online savings accountsThe average annual percentage yield on bank savings accounts was just 0.57% on January 30, according to a Bankrate survey. But many online FDIC-insured banks are still offering 5% or more on their high-yield savings accounts. As with any bank savings rate, high-yield savings account rates can change overnight, and the bank may not alert you when it lowers it. But don’t confuse money market accounts with money market mutual funds, which invest in short-term, low-risk debt instruments. Unlike money market deposit accounts, money market mutual funds are not insured by the FDIC.
Persons: Doug Ornstein, Schwab, , , Greg McBride, Ken Tumin, you’d, Tumin, Wells Fargo, Andy Smith, Ornstein, doesn’t, ” Smith Organizations: New York CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, TIAA Wealth Management, FDIC, Securities Investor Protection Corp, Fidelity, DepositAccounts.com, Treasury, Edelman, AAA Locations: New York, United States
—Tax credits, such as child tax credit, retirement savings contributions credit, etc. Earlier this month, Congress announced a bipartisan agreement to enhance the current child tax credit. The bill would incrementally increase the maximum refundable child tax credit to $1,800 for 2023 tax returns, $1,900 for the following year and $2,000 for 2025 tax returns. If you can’t see what your tax preparer is working on, get a copy of the tax return and ask questions about each of the entries. If you are due for a refund, you will not receive a penalty and you will receive your tax return payment.
Persons: Courtney Alev, ” Alev, Tom O’Saben, O'Saben, O’Saben, , ” O’Saben, , Alev, You’re, you’ve, It’s, ___, Charles Schwab, Organizations: , Credit Karma, Savings, IRS, National Association of Tax, Elderly, People, Social Security, Social, Center, Budget, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: United States
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