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US stocks surged as Fed chair Jerome Powell signaled imminent interest rate cuts. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data," Powell said. AdvertisementUS stocks rallied on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 450 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that interest rate cuts are near. That should pave the way for an interest rate cut at the Fed's FOMC meeting in September. AdvertisementWith interest rate cuts imminent, investors are now asking how big the Fed will cut rates by.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Ryan Detrick Organizations: Jackson, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Treasury, Fed Locations: Here's
With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska
He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed
Evans pointed to signs of the economy slowing down, including what he called the "deteriorating" U.S. labor market. The Fed funds futures market suggests that investors are expecting at least three rate cuts by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "A few rate cuts are not going to prevent a recession. Average recession is 10 months… It takes something like a year before fed cuts actually start to give a boost to the economy," he said. "The market believes that the fed fund rate at the end of next year will be 3%.
Persons: Garry Evans, Evans, It's, Jerome Powell, isn't Organizations: BCA Research, . Federal, BCA Research's, U.S . Labor Department, Traders Locations: U.S, Jackson
Read previewMarkets are confident that rate cuts will benefit stocks and the economy, but one strategist says lower borrowing costs won't stave off a recession. Yet, BCA Research chief asset allocation strategist Garry Evans said this week that lower rates can't avert a looming downturn. "There's things that are breaking down quite rapidly now," Evans said, including recent manufacturing data. Related storiesEvans said labor and manufacturing data, plus a range of global data like weak Japanese exports, are showing signs of a tough economic outlook worldwide. AdvertisementEvans said the Fed will likely cut rates in September, but that it won't prevent a pending recession.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Jackson, Stocks, Garry Evans, Evans Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Research, CNBC, Labor Department, Wednesday, Institute for Supply Management
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, , Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell laid the groundwork Friday for interest rate cuts ahead, though he declined to provide exact indications on timing or extent. "The time has come for policy to adjust," the central bank leader said in his much-awaited keynote address at the Fed's annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks." The labor market is no longer overheated, and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic," Powell said. He vowed that "we will do everything we can" to make sure the labor market says strong and progress on inflation continues.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, Stocks, Paul McCulley Organizations: Traders Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan
New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, , Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
We have to remember, the Fed made one mistake, the transitory" call on inflation, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial. Specifically, the Fed is faced with how quickly and aggressively it should respond now that the inflation rate is waning . "Jay Powell says they don't want to be data point dependent, and I think that makes sense. I don't think you have signs of weakness in the economy. You don't have signs of inflation being controlled, and you don't have any signal for the Fed to switch focus."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Richard Clarida, nonfarm payrolls, Powell, Jay Powell, Clarida, we'll, Komal, Kumar, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, LPL, CNBC, Sri, Kumar Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
This is the second day in a row that stocks have reacted with relief to an inflation report. The S & P 500 is now back to where it was just before the disappointing jobs report on Aug. 2. The S & P technology sector ETF (XLK) is also back to levels before the jobs report. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) has collapsed to 17 — also where it was just before the jobs report. Despite the growth scare that followed the jobs report, there are no signs of an imminent recession.
Persons: Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg News, Tech, Nvidia, Atlanta Fed Locations: Treasurys
The dollar remained on the back foot on Wednesday after tumbling versus major peers overnight as a benign reading for U.S. producer prices reinforced bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Risk-sensitive currencies stayed strong after the unexpected softening in inflation buoyed equities, even with crucial U.S. consumer price index figures still looming later on Wednesday. New Zealand's dollar hovered near a four-week high ahead of a Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision, with markets split over the potential for a rate cut. The dollar was stable at 147.06 yen as it continued to consolidate around the 147 level this week. The kiwi edged up 0.07% to $0.6081, close to Tuesday's high of $0.60815, a level last seen on July 18.
Persons: CME's, Carol Kong, Sterling, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Australian, New, Reserve Bank of New, Traders, Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, CPI, CBA, IG Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
It's the first time the inflation rate has been below 3% since March 2021, and it adds to the case that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at its next meeting. Over the month, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in July. The Fed is watching for inflation to cool before committing to rate cuts. Many economists think it's well past time for the Fed to cut interest rates and have expressed worries about the rapidly cooling labor market. AdvertisementThe labor market is cooling off, and it might be harder to get a job than a few years ago.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Core CPI, of Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve
Gold prices inch lower as U.S. inflation data looms
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices increased less than expected in July, reinforcing market view that cooling inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he wants to see "a little more data" before he's ready to support lowering interest rates. Gold, often used as a hedge against geopolitical risks, thrives when interest rates are low.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Raphael Bostic, Ismail Haniyeh Organizations: Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve, Traders, Atlanta Fed, Investors Locations: U.S, Iran, Gaza, Israel
Treasury yields slip ahead of consumer inflation figures
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.929% after rising by 1 basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly on Wednesday as investors considered the latest inflation data and what it could mean for the economy and monetary policy. Treasury yields had tumbled on Tuesday after the producer price index increased 0.1% on a monthly bass in July, less than the forecast 0.2% rise. The wholesale inflation figure was released ahead of Wednesday's consumer price index. Investors will also be scanning the inflation figures for hints the outlook for interest rates.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, CPI, Federal, Traders, Fed
Stocks were higher on Tuesday after PPI showed wholesale inflation was less than expected in July. Investors are now bracing for the consumer inflation reading due out on Wednesday. AdvertisementUS stocks were up on Tuesday after the producer price index for July showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that producer prices increased 0.1% last month compared to estimates of 0.2%. The cooler-than-expected reading should boost optimism for consumer prices to show a decline in inflation when the consumer price index is released on Wednesday.
Persons: , Chris Zaccarelli, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Elon Musk Organizations: PPI, Investors, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Depot, Bank of America, Starbucks, Trump Media, Elon
US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.
Persons: Brian Niccol, , Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America
Last week, three online banks cut their 1-year CD rates, according to BTIG. Meanwhile, Synchrony slashed its online savings rate by 10 basis points to 4.65%. "We believe online banks are intentionally trying to shift customers toward savings rates, which are floating, over term rates," he said. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is 5.11%, as of Monday. With both high-yield savings and money market funds, the rates can fluctuate.
Persons: Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Sallie Mae, Synchrony, Jerome Powell, Vincent Caintic, Christine Benz, Benz, Winnie Sun, Cathy Curtis, Curtis Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Sun, Wealth Partners, CNBC, Money, Curtis Financial, Treasury Locations: Capital
Oil prices ease as markets refocus on demand worries
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, breaking a five-day streak of gains, as markets refocused on concerns about demand after OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for demand growth in 2024 due to softer expectations in China. Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, breaking a five-day streak of gains, as markets refocused on concerns about demand after OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for demand growth in 2024 due to softer expectations in China. Global benchmark Brent crude futures dipped 41 cents, or 0.5%, lower to $81.89 a barrel at 0005 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell to $79.63 a barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.5%. Brent had gained more than 3% on Monday, while U.S. crude futures had risen more than 4%.
Persons: Brent, John Kirby, CME's Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, White House, Wednesday's, U.S Locations: China, Iran, United States
Gold dips as investors book profits, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Prices rose more than 1% in the previous session. "Prices will benefit if the U.S. inflation data comes in on the softer side of the ledger, which would reignite hopes of an aggressive rate cut from the Fed in September." The CPI data is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. Markets see about 50% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If markets become more optimistic of a 50 bp cut coming to fruition, this could propel the gold price to make a run at the $2,500 level," Waterer said.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, Waterer, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM, Fed, Traders Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S, Gaza
We've explained how current high-yield savings accounts beat inflation rates, and what Fed rate cuts mean for your savings. How does inflation affect savingsIn order to understand how high-yield savings accounts beat inflation, you first have to understand what inflation is. Dixon says that, while high-yield savings accounts are good for shorter-term savings such as emergency funds, investing can be a good longer-term strategy — as long as you understand the risk. If your savings aren't kept in a high-yield savings account, the interest you earn on your savings could be outpaced by the current inflation rate. Using a high-yield savings account can help you save your savings from inflation because current high-yield savings account rates are higher than current inflation rates.
Persons: , We've, Patrina Dixon, there's, Dorsainvil, Dixon, it's, aren't Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Dorsainvil, YGC, CME, Am Locations: CFEI, U.S
Veteran investor David Roche expects a bear market in 2025 caused by smaller-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy and an artificial intelligence bubble. "I think [a bear market] is probably coming, but probably in 2025. Roche expects the Fed to resist reducing rates to the market's desired 3.50%. "The second thing is that profits [won't] fulfill expectations, because the economy is going to be slowing," Roche warned. The third factor Roche expects will lead to a bear market is the AI sector.
Persons: David Roche, CNBC's, Roche Organizations: Quantum Strategy, U.S, Presidential
Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.
Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Gold subdued as investors focus on U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices struggled for momentum on Monday as investors looked forward to a key inflation report that could shed more light on the U.S. central bank's next policy move. Spot gold eased 0.13% to $2,427.86 per ounce by 0352 GMT, trading in a narrow $10 price range. The U.S. consumer price index data, due on Wednesday, is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. "Further inflation progress reflected in the upcoming CPI data could see gold eye for a retest of its all-time high once more," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Among other metals, spot silver fell 0.3% to $27.36 per ounce, platinum shed 0.47% to $917.83 and palladium fell 0.2% to $903.48.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Yeap Jun Rong, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Metals, U.S, Federal, Hamas Locations: Krasnoyarsk, Russia, bank's, U.S, Gaza
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEmons: Fed should make its own independent decisions without political interferenceBen Emons, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of FedWatch Advisors, discusses the intersection between the White House and the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors, White, Federal Reserve
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