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Former President Donald Trump’s promises that he’ll win New York are more empty bluster than evidence-based prediction. Two statewide Siena polls have also shown Trump performing better than his 2020 vote share in New York State as a whole. But overall, these races include the most competitive around New York State, and all but the 18th are currently represented in Congress by a Republican. Democrats are not concerned about the top of the ticket, but for those down ballot — where Democrats lost five competitive House races here in 2022 — this election is a chance to earn back what was once theirs. “Progressive state issues like bail reform and congestion pricing remain challenging for Democrats in the New York suburbs,” longtime New York Republican operative Matt Coleman said.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Siena, Elise Stefanik, “ Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, ” Stefanik, He’s, Eric Adams ’, Kathy Hochul’s, Hakeem Jeffries, ” Jeffries, Matt Coleman, Hochul ‘, “ Hochul, “, that’s, Mike Lawler, Anthony D’Esposito, ” Coleman, ” Organizations: Empire, New York Times, Siena College, Trump, New York State, New, NBC News, National Republican, Committee, District, Republican, New York, Democrat, ”, Democratic, Garden, Democrats, NBC, Republicans, New York Republican, Madison, Puerto Ricans, GOP Locations: New York, New York City, Siena, Long, Hudson, Syracuse, New, ” New York, Madison, Brooklyn, Manhattan

Legal experts say an attempt to overturn the 2024 election results would be more difficult than in 2020. And a lost Chopin waltz is discovered after 200 years. Legal experts say those changes would make another attempt to overturn the result of the election much more difficult and unlikely. If Trump attempted to overturn the election result in Congress, he’d be up against the bipartisan Electoral Count Reform Act. This election season, voters said they are disillusioned by both major parties, especially over the handling of the war in Gaza.

Persons: Andrea Mitchell, Antony Blinken’s, Chopin, Donald Trump, Trump, he’d, Matthew Sanderson, Kamala Harris, JD Vance, hadn’t, Tony Hinchcliffe, ”, Hinchcliffe —, ➡️ Elon Musk, Harris, ➡️ Jeff Bezos, “, WaPo, ➡️, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Isaac Herzog, Antony Blinken, Nathan Howard, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yahya Sinwar’s, Blinken, Brittany Randall, Kamberlyn Bowler, ” Randall, Freddie Freeman, Jay Johnston, Bob’s, Helene, Milton, Matthew Perry’s, Suzaenne Perry, Mustafa Hussain, Vanessa Leroy, — Zara Katz, Brooks, Jolie, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: NBC, Trump, Count, Washington , D.C, Trump’s New, PAC, The Washington Post, Democratic, ➡️ Authorities, Getty, U.S, United Nations, West Bank ., CDC, Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, JPMorgan, Cuban, NBC News, American, RNC, Ninja Locations: Washington ,, Georgia, Trump’s New York City, Puerto Rico, Michigan, Portland , Oregon, Vancouver , Washington, Iran, Tel Aviv, AFP, Israel, Washington, Gaza, Lebanon, Beirut, U.S, Junction , Colorado, “, Dearborn , Michigan, Dearborn, Detroit

In each case, the state has a ballot question about abortion rights. The group previously donated seven figures separately in Arizona, Florida and Nevada, which all are attempting to codify abortion rights in their states. Think Big would not provide more specifics about donation amounts; a recent filing in South Dakota revealed last week it gave $500,000. Pritzker is on the road in battleground states campaigning for Vice President Kamala Harris, as well as advocating to codify abortion rights in Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin and other states. Think Big has provided financial investment to the abortion-rights referendum efforts, as well as communications, political and research support.

Persons: JB Pritzker, —, Pritzker, Kamala Harris, JB, Tom Williams, “ We’ve, ”, Mike Ollen, We’re, ” Pritzker, Harris, Tim Walz, “, he’s, ” Ollen, we’re Organizations: CHICAGO, Illinois Gov, NBC News, Inc, Getty, Minnesota Gov, Democratic, Chicago, Democratic National Locations: Maryland, South Dakota , Nebraska, Missouri, Arizona , Florida, Nevada, Montana, South Dakota, Arizona , Nevada , Wisconsin, Nebraska, Illinois

☆ Why it would be difficult for Trump to reverse the 2024 election results
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Dan De Luce | Dan De Luce Is A Reporter For The Nbc News Investigative Unit. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

But state officials resisted his pressure, judges tossed out his team’s lawsuits, and Pence defied Trump and carried out his constitutional duty to affirm the result of the vote. If Trump sought to challenge the election results, he would have two potential paths to try to overturn the results, and both routes are “long shots,” said Hasen, director of the Safeguarding Democracy Project at UCLA Law School. Given the heightened security risk, some state officials have made plans to scrap public, high-profile ceremonies to certify election results in state capitols. Election officials across the country also have bolstered security at polling places, including expanding police presence and issuing bulletproof vests to election workers. State officials resisted.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ”, Richard Hasen, Trump, Joe Biden, Mike Pence, Pence, Hasen, Gowri Ramachandran, Wisconsin —, Al Schmidt, Matthew Sanderson, “, Sanderson, Frank Figliuzzi, ” Figliuzzi, —, didn’t, that’s Organizations: U.S . Capitol, UCLA, Count, Trump, Georgia’s, Trump Republicans, UCLA Law School, Elections, Brennan Center for Justice, New York University School of Law, Senate, Electoral, Republican, Electoral College, Washington , D.C, GOP Senators, Capitol, FBI, NBC News, The Department of Homeland Security, United Nations, Assembly Locations: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan’s Legislature, Washington ,, capitols, Maricopa County , Arizona, Washington

Here’s how exit polling works, where they are conducted and how NBC News will be using the exit poll results on election night and the days after. Since 2003, Edison Research, a firm that specializes in collecting election data, has conducted exit polls on behalf of the National Election Pool. NBC News independently analyzes and reports on the exit poll results. This year, NBC News will have coverage of state exit polls in Arizona, Georgia, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin. The NBC News Decision Desk uses some exit poll data to help project election results.

Organizations: NBC, Edison Research, ABC, CBS, CNN Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Florida , Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Wisconsin, Georgia , North Carolina , Nevada, Ohio

Voters across the country are set to decide on nearly 150 ballot measures next week that will shape the future of a wide variety of policy issues in their states. (In addition, Louisiana will let voters decide on four constitutional amendments on its Dec. 7 ballot.) “Everyone knows this is a big issue this year — it’s the most we’ve ever seen for reproductive freedom ballot measures in history,” Fields Figueredo said. Voting and electionsThere are 39 ballot measures on the November ballot related to democracy, elections and voting procedures, according to the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center. And voting rights groups have argued it is designed to galvanize conservative turnout and counter enthusiasm for the state’s abortion rights proposal.

Persons: ”, Chris Melody Fields Figueredo, Figueredo Organizations: Strategy Center, Republican, noncitizens, Republicans Locations: Louisiana, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, Florida, In Arizona , Florida , Missouri, South Dakota, Maryland , Montana , Nevada, New York, Colorado, Nebraska, — Idaho , Iowa , Kentucky , Missouri, North Carolina , Oklahoma, South Carolina, Wisconsin, North Dakota, Florida , Nebraska, In Nebraska, Immigration Arizona, California, Alaska, Missouri, Washington

☆ Willie Nelson talks about grief, legalizing marijuana and that Beyoncé collaboration
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Andrew Kirell | Andrew Kirell Is A News Editor With Nbc News Digital. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Willie Nelson is no stranger to confronting his mortality. (“When I listened back to my dad’s vocal on it, I just started bawling,” Micah Nelson said in the album’s accompanying essay.) He expressed joy about working with Micah Nelson, 34, who played a key role in making the album. He then launched into rollicking versions of the classics “Mammas Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up to Be Cowboys” and “On the Road Again.”“We’re feeling hopeful,” Annie Nelson said on the call. “He doesn’t want to make Bob Dylan sad,” Annie Nelson chimed in.

Persons: Willie Nelson, ”, Micah Nelson, Tom Waits, “, Nelson, —, Kris Kristofferson, “ I’ve, ” Nelson, ” Warren, ” Micah Nelson, Kristofferson, Toby Keith, Loretta Lynn, Paul English, Bobbie Nelson, Johnny Cash, Merle Haggard, Waylon Jennings, Guy Clark, Nelson’s, Rene Butts, Billy, ” Willie, Neil Young, “ I’m, Annie D’Angelo Nelson, “ Micah, Waits, Young, Beck, Carter, ‘ Heck, ” Nelson's, Kamala Harris Nelson, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Joe Biden, Beto O’Rourke, Harris, Colin Allred, Kamala ”, Harris ’ Beyoncé, ’, ” Harris, Walz, ” Annie Nelson, Willie, Andrea Drummer, “ Willie, ” Annie, Bob Dylan, Annie Nelson chimed, “ Bob Dylan doesn’t Organizations: Rep, Harris and, Cowboys Locations: Harris and Texas, Florida, Dallas, Houston, West Hollywood , California, U.S

☆ Democrats launch ads in nail salons, malls in final swing-state sprint
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

One week before Election Day, Democrats are spending big to target swing-state voters in nail salons, lifestyle magazines and shopping malls — all places where they might normally seek to escape the news. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards A DNC advertisement. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards A DNC advertisement. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards A DNC advertisement. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards A DNC advertisement.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Kevin Lamarque, Winfrey's, Donald Trump, Trump, Monica Guardiola Organizations: Democratic, U.S, Democratic National Convention, United Center, Democratic National, Women's, Republican, DNC, Teen Vogue, Spotify, iHeart Media, Keystone State, Vogue Locations: Chicago , Illinois, U.S, Pennsylvania, Keystone

☆ Republicans are mobilizing expat votes for Trump in Israel, hoping to tip the scale in battleground states
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Joshua Nelken-Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

According to the FVAP, only about 5% of American voters in Israel cast their ballot in 2020. AdvertisementHe said American voters in Israel will be asking, '"Which presidency is the one that will save the lives of my children?" He said his in-laws plan to vote for Harris, while his wife may vote for Trump for the first time. In Trump-friendly Israel, American expats are dividedIn general, Israel is Trump-friendly territory. He said that among American voters in Israel, Orthodox Jews are more likely to support Trump, while secular Jews tend to favor Harris.

Persons: —, Judith Segaloff, Segaloff, Expats, Donald Trump, AHMAD GHARABLI, iVote, Heather Stone, they've, Kamala Harris, Stone, Sen, JD Vance, Trump's, Harris, Trump, Raphael Gantshar, Gantshar, Benjamin Netanyahu, Abraham, SAUL LOEB, Tzvi Silver, I'm, Silver, Langer, Uriel Abulof, Abulof, Bibi, Here's Organizations: Service, West Bank, International Court of Justice, Republican Overseas, Getty, Voting, Israel, CBS News, Democratic National Committee, Republican, New Yorker, Abraham Accords, Trump, Accords, Langer Research, Jewish, Tel Aviv University's School of Political Science, Israeli, Republicans Overseas Locations: Israel, AFP, iVote Israel, New York , New Jersey, California, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Gaza, Lebanon, New, New Jersey, PORI

☆ Supreme Court rules RFK Jr. will appear on Michigan and Wisconsin ballots despite suspending campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( John Fritze | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —The Supreme Court declined Tuesday to let Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdraw his name from ballots in Michigan and Wisconsin, battleground states where votes for his now suspended campaign could cut into support for former President Donald Trump. Kennedy, who left the presidential race in August and endorsed Trump, urged the Supreme Court in an emergency appeal to force the states to yank his name from the ballots. The Supreme Court handed down its decision without further explanation, which is common on its emergency docket. The Supreme Court also rejected that request. “This election is not merely ‘imminent,’ it is already underway, and voters are already voting,” Michigan officials had told the Supreme Court.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Donald Trump, Kennedy, Trump, yank, Neil Gorsuch Organizations: CNN, Supreme Court, Michigan, ”, Supreme Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, New York, “, ” Michigan

“Make no mistake, an attack on a ballot box is an attack on our democracy and completely unacceptable,” Oregon Secretary of State LaVonne Griffin-Valade said Monday. All ballot boxes in Multnomah County and Clark County have fire suppressant installed, election officials said during a news conference Monday. Voting in Oregon and Washington is done almost entirely by mail or ballot drop off. Enhanced ballot box securityA damaged ballot drop box is displayed during a news conference at the Multnomah County Elections Division office on Monday in Portland, Oregon. Following the ballot box fires, Gluesenkamp Perez requested overnight law enforcement patrols at drop boxes through Election Day.

Persons: LaVonne Griffin, Valade, ”, Steve Hobbs, “, Jenny Kane, Tim Scott, Greg Kimsey, Kimsey, Scott, ” Jay Riestenberg, John Burnside, ” Burnside, They’ve, Burnside, “ It’s, ” “, Mike Benner, Amanda McMillan, Jay Inslee, Jessica Vega Pederson, Tina Kotek, Inslee, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, Gluesenkamp Perez, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, I’m, ” Larry Olson, suppressants, ” Olson, CNN’s Nicole Chavez, Taylor Romine, David Williams, Natasha Chen Organizations: CNN, US Department of Homeland Security, Division, Portland Police, Portland Police Bureau, Vancouver Police Department, US Postal Service, . Portland Police, ” Police, Volvo, Oregon Department, Driver, Vehicle Services, Washington Gov, Congressional, Rep Locations: Pacific Northwest, Portland, Vancouver , Washington, Vancouver, Oregon, Washington, Multnomah, Portland , Oregon, Multnomah County, Clark, Clark County, In Oregon, Southeast Portland, Seattle, Washington’s, American, Oregon’s Multnomah County

☆ The 2024 presidential election, explained
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

For Democrats, President Joe Biden dominated the primaries and faced only token opposition. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks as former President Donald Trump listens during a presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia on September 10, 2024. Trump was accused by the Justice Department of election interference after he tried to overturn the 2020 election results. The most populous states are California (54 electoral votes), Texas (40 electoral votes) and Florida (30 electoral votes). The total number of electoral votes, 538, is an even number, which means a tie is conceivable.

Persons: CNN —, Hurricane Helene, Jonathan Drake, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Party’s Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump, Harris, Read, Joe Biden, Biden, Saul Loeb, Hillary Clinton, Roe, Wade, Harris ’, Hannah Beier, White, –, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Nathan L, Gonzales, Kent Nishimura Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Minnesota Gov, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Democrats, Capitol, GOP, National Constitution Center, Getty, US, Justice, White, Electoral College, Voters, Washington, White House, Black, North Carolina, Georgia, Electoral, Senate, Bloomberg, Democratic Locations: Indiana, Kentucky, Alaska, Washington state, Oregon, Utah, Hurricane, Marion , North Carolina, Philadelphia, Florida, New York, Alaska , Delaware, , Vermont, Wyoming, California, Texas, Washington ,, Puerto Ricans, Doylestown , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Arizona, Nevada, West, North Carolina, Georgia, East . Arizona , Georgia, Nebraska, Maine, Trump, Omaha, Washington, Montana, Ohio

CNN —Former President Donald Trump on Tuesday claimed two Pennsylvania counties are experiencing voter fraud despite both officials there maintaining they’re still investigating potential issues related to voter registration applications. “This on top of Lancaster County being caught with 2600 Fake Ballots and Forms, all written by the same person. While announcing the suspected fraud, Lancaster officials said at least two other counties may have also received fraudulent voter registration applications. On Tuesday, York County spokesperson Greg Monskie would not confirm to CNN whether it had received fraudulent voter registration applications and couldn’t speak to any connection with the issues alleged in Lancaster County. The interaction took place at the Voter Service Center in Media, Pennsylvania, the seat of the suburban Philadelphia county.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ”, ” Trump, Josh Shapiro, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, “, ” Shapiro, Greg Monskie, Julie Wheeler, ” Wheeler, Al Schmidt, Michael Whatley, Trump’s, Don’t, Val Biancaniello, Biancaniello, Monica Taylor, ” Linda Kerns, CNN’s Jack Forrest Organizations: CNN, Republican National Committee, York, RNC, Trump, Lancaster, State, Pennsylvania Democratic Gov, stoke, Lancaster County, Office, Republican, Voter Service Center, . Delaware County Park Police, Government, GOP, Pennsylvania Department of State, “, Police, Media, Supreme Locations: Pennsylvania, Lancaster, York County , Pennsylvania, Lancaster County, PENNSYLVANIA, Trump, county’s, York, York County, Delaware County, Media , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia county, . Delaware County, ”

☆ Over 46 million early voters already cast ballots as Harris, Trump enter final sprint
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

With one week until the Nov. 5 election, early voting is underway in all seven battleground states, along with dozens of others. While millions of Americans have stood in line to cast ballots in person, another 20 million have mailed in their ballots. The 46.5 million early votes are almost evenly split between ballots cast in person versus by mail, according to the University of Florida's Election Lab. Georgia also smashed its first-day early voting record with an estimated 310,000 ballots cast on Oct. 15. By Tuesday, just under 3 million ballots had been received.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: NBC News, University of Florida's Locations: Asheville , North Carolina, U.S, North Carolina, Georgia

☆ Parenthood — and the choice to be childfree — is at stake this election. 3 Americans explain how it's impacting their vote.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Allie Kelly | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Ahead of Election Day, Business Insider spoke with voters about how family and reproductive healthcare access will influence their decision. Along the spectrum of support for abortion access, one common thread stood out: The cost of raising a family. In terms of abortion access, Trump has bragged about his role in overturning Roe v. Wade — a decision that led to 41 states with bans. In her first time voting for president, Sark said she plans to vote third party, likely for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. "I don't think that there's really anything that we can do about abortion in this election," Sark said.

Persons: Roe, Wade, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kristan Hawkins, Harris, Trump Erica Choinka, Trump, Choinka, Trump's, Wade —, Harris Stephanie Gomez, Gomez, haven't, Avie Sark, Sark, Jill Stein Organizations: Business, Service, Trump, Republican, Life, Democratic, Green Party Locations: Missouri, Jefferson City , Missouri, Roe, Texas, Houston, Austin, Indiana, Sark

☆ Harris will offer an alternative to Trump-era politics in closing argument speech
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris walks to board Air Force Two to depart for Michigan, at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S. October 28, 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris will make her closing argument to voters Tuesday evening at a Washington rally that is expected to draw as many as 20,000 supporters to the National Mall. Harris will draw contrasts between herself and Trump, and encourage voters to turn the page on the era of American politics that Trump ushered in. In turn, Harris has worked to paint herself as the non-incumbent candidate who represents a new generation of American leadership — though that is a delicate balance given her current role in the Biden administration. Most visibly, former Vice President Dick Cheney and his daughter, former Rep. Liz Cheney.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Joe Biden, Taylor Swift, Dick Cheney, Liz Cheney Organizations: Democratic, U.S, Air Force, Joint Base Andrews, White, Republican, NBC News, National Park Service, Republicans Locations: Michigan, Joint Base Andrews , Maryland, U.S, Washington

☆ America’s largest newspaper chain, including USA Today, won’t endorse in 2024 presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Liam Reilly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Gannett, owner of the nation’s largest newspaper chain, announced that its more than 200 publications, including USA Today, will not publish presidential endorsements in the run-up to the November 5 election. The newspapers aren’t alone in declining to publish presidential endorsement in the 2024 race. “Until now.”In 2020, USA Today again broke with its own tradition, this time offering its first full-throated endorsement for Joe Biden’s candidacy. David Mastio, who was part of the USA Today opinion team that published the 2020 endorsement of Biden, called the decision deeply disappointing. “I am deeply disappointed that USA TODAY has lost its voice at this critical time for our country.”

Persons: New York CNN —, Gannett, ”, Lark, Marie Antón, Kristin Roberts, Roberts, Gannett Media newsrooms, ” Antón, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump “, Hillary Clinton ”, “, ” “ We’ve, Joe Biden’s, Ronald Reagan, David Mastio, Biden, ” Mastio Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York CNN — Gannett, USA, USA Today Network, ” Gannett, CNN, Gannett Media, USA Today, Gannett, The Arizona Republic, Detroit Free Press, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Locations: New York, USA, “

In Nevada, 48% of likely voters support Trump and 47% back Harris. Hispanic likely voters in Nevada split about evenly between Harris and Trump (48% support Harris, 47% Trump). In Arizona, likely voters are split over which candidate cares more about people like them (45% say Harris does, 41% Trump). The gap is even wider in Nevada, where 71% of Democratic-leaning likely voters are very confident compared with 16% of Republican-aligned likely voters. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Harris, Harris ’, Trump, White, Ruben Gallego, Kari Lake, Sen, Kyrsten Sinema, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen, Sam Brown, who’ve, Ethan Miller, Republican leaners Organizations: CNN, White, Trump ., Trump, Trump . Independent, Democratic, US Senate, Democratic Rep, Republican, Democrats Locations: Arizona, Nevada, Trump . In Nevada, Las Vegas, In Arizona, In Nevada

☆ Steve Bannon is released from prison in time for the last-week push to Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Sara Murray | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Steve Bannon was released from federal prison Tuesday, according to a source with knowledge, emerging just a week before Election Day to retake the helm of his weakened right-wing media platform. “War Room,” which frequently appeared in Apple’s Top Podcasts before Bannon reported to prison, fell off the charts by early July, according to data from Podchaser. Peltz still predicted Bannon would be a prominent voice for election denialism if it appears Trump is coming up short after Election Day. On the “War Room” podcast, a cast of fill-in hosts cheered Bannon’s return. In May, Bannon claimed on his podcast that “they’re going to do everything to steal this election,” as he reiterated the baseless claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen.

Persons: Steve Bannon, Bannon, Donald Trump’s, Maureen, Bannon’s MAGA, we’ve, ”, Madeline Peltz, Trump, “, ” Peltz, Bannon’s, Mike Lindell, Stephen K, MAGA, ” Natalie Winters, Winters, “ It’s, “ Bannon, “ There’s, CNN’s Sabrina Shulman, Maria Aguilar Prieto, Maria Sole Campinoti Organizations: CNN, Trump, Capitol, Apple, Media, Edison, Media Matters Locations: Connecticut, Podchaser, New York

Early voting trends cannot predict the outcome of an election, but they can provide clues about who is voting – at least so far. Early voting in Georgia and North CarolinaWhile preelection turnout is generally down, Georgia is an outlier. Compared with the same point in 2020, early voting turnout is roughly the same – down just 1%, according to Catalist’s data. The state also now doesn’t accept mail ballots that arrive after Election Day, even if they are postmarked before the polls close. There’s also a clear partisan difference in how people are voting early in North Carolina.

Persons: Catalist, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, it’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, There’s, White, –, CNN’s Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, District of Columbia, Edison Research, Republican, Republican Party, Republicans, Michigan voters Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, Michigan, Wisconsin, Badger

☆ How Trump and Harris legal teams are wargaming for historic legal fights
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Paula Reid | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

And the legal challenges could continue for weeks or months to come. The legal team also relies on a team of advisers, including longtime Biden lawyer Bob Bauer, who advises on litigation strategy and voter protection, and former US Solicitors General Don Verrilli and Seth Waxman. In addition, the Harris legal team is supported by a “field counsel” program that coordinates with local firms in each state that can provide specialized knowledge about election law and procedures in each jurisdiction. Sources close to the Trump legal team say they have not only focused on recruiting legal firepower but on identifying viable legal challenges. “What we have to do is protect every voter and every vote, which is what we’re doing,” said Remus, of the Harris legal team.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Gineen Bresso, David Warrington, Trump, “, ”, Dana Remus, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, ” Remus, Remus, Barack Obama’s, Obama, Marc Elias, –, Bob Bauer, Don Verrilli, Seth Waxman, Harris, ” Bresso, ” Mike Davis, They’ve, ‘ We’ve, We’ve, we’ve, “ Trump, Davis, ” CNN’s Casey Gannon Organizations: CNN, Republican, Warrington, GOP, Republican National Committee, White, Democratic, Trump, Biden, US, Republicans, RNC, Commission, Capitol Locations: Washington, DC, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida

Donald Trump has more than just the presidency on the line Nov. 5 — the outcome of his various legal troubles hinges on the election, as well. The “witch hunts against President Trump have imploded” and “should all be dismissed in light of the Supreme Court’s historic decision on immunity and other vital jurisprudence,” Cheung said in a statement. Hush money caseWin or lose, Trump’s biggest immediate challenge after the election is his potential sentencing on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in New York. Federal election interference caseIf Trump loses, special counsel Jack Smith’s election interference case is also on the horizon. Similar to the criminal cases, Trump has argued that his actions were protected by presidential immunity.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, he’s, ”, Chuck Rosenberg, Trump, Steven Cheung, ” Cheung, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Rosenberg, Jack Smith’s, Smith, Hugh Hewitt, “, ” Trump, don’t, Fani Willis, Scott McAfee, Willis, McAfee, Steve Sadow, ” Sadow, Barbara McQuade, Aileen Cannon, Jean Carroll, general’s, Carroll, ” McQuade, ‘, they’d, Clinton, McQuade, Paula Jones, Bill Clinton Organizations: Trump, NBC, Republican, New, NBC News, Department, Justice Department, Fulton, Fulton County, White, Division, U.S . Capitol Locations: New York, United States, Georgia, Fulton County, Fulton, U.S, New

☆ How infrequent voters could decide the election: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

By Mark MurrayThe razor-close presidential election could very well come down to this question: Will the infrequent voters who back Donald Trump by double digits actually turn out? And she carries the tiny share of voters who participated in 2022 but not 2020 by 9 points (52% to 43%). And he’s carrying the voters who didn’t partake in either 2020 or 2022 by 10 points (50% to 40%). On the other hand, NBC News recently observed a pair of focus groups of voters who didn’t participate in the 2020 election but are planning to this time around. Read more → Follow live updates from the campaign trail →That’s all from the Politics Desk for now.

Persons: Mark Murray, Donald Trump's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris overperforms, Trump, Republicans —, Harris, “, ”, Will, —, ike D earborn, Tod, Phil, gero, ena Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, NBC News ’, Republicans, Trump, NBC News, ics Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Poli

“I was betrayed, and I was used.”Guy, 63, is the Antrim County Clerk in northwest Michigan. But in the first hours following the 2020 election, results posted unofficially had Joe Biden improbably winning the county. It simply read: “Things don’t look right.”In this tiny Michigan county, election integrity is now itself on the ballot. And after the 2020 election, I felt that that horrible error that I owned was my legacy.”Guy acknowledges she messed up “big time” in 2020. Facts don’t matter to these people.”And so, in this tiny Michigan county, election integrity is now itself on the ballot.

Persons: — Sheryl Guy, ”, “, ” Guy, Shery Guy, Donald Trump, Joe Biden improbably, Guy, we’ve, Trump, ” Trump, Biden, ” Guy —, Republican who’d, –, Sheryl Guy, Victoria Bishop, Guy couldn’t, Bishop, I’ve, Bishop’s, ” Tom Stillings, Bishop —, ” Stillings Organizations: NBC, States, Trump, Republican, Victoria, Republican Party Locations: BELLAIRE, Mich, Antrim, Michigan, Antrim County, Traverse City, U.S

There is still time for those patterns to shift — and we’ve already seen them shift in twists and turns through recent weeks of early voting. Consistent with that hypothesis, the below table of early voting through Oct. 26 shows substantial leveling in the usage of early voting over different areas. One of the broader challenges of interpreting early vote totals in most states is the lack of sufficient historical data to benchmark against the current returns. The below table shows the number of recent elections in which this year’s Virginia early voters participated. Just as previous research suggests, an overwhelming number of the absentee ballots cast so far have been cast by consistent voters.

Persons: we’ve, it’s Organizations: NBC, NBC News, Democratic Locations: Virginia, Democratic

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