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☆ Geopolitics are finally starting to play a role in stock market action
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran

In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock

☆ Trump’s plan to radically remake government with RFK Jr. and Elon Musk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

‘Go wild’ with RFK Jr.Trump has promised to give Kennedy leeway to remake the way the government health apparatus protects Americans. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and former President Donald Trump shake hands during a campaign rally at Desert Diamond Arena on August 23, 2024, in Glendale, Arizona. Both Trump and Kennedy have expressed vaccine skepticism, and Kennedy has been a longtime activist pushing debunked theories about vaccines. In a potential new Trump administration, Musk promises a reinvention of the federal bureaucracy. “Let’s start from scratch,” Musk said at an event in October in Pittsburgh, suggesting a drastic remaking of the federal bureacracy.

Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, “, Trump, Kennedy, “ I’m, ” Trump, Anne Frank, Rebecca Noble, we’ve, ” Kennedy, Aaron Pellish, Trump’s, “ Trump’s, CNN’s Meg Tirell, Musk, It’s, Musk’s, ” Musk, Elon Musk, Dave McCormick, Michael Swensen, CNN’s David Goldman, “ Musk, ” Goldman, Larry Summer, ” Summers, Summers, Mike Johnson, ”, ” Johnson, Kamala Harris, Johnson Organizations: CNN, Trump, Elon, RFK Jr, Madison, PAC, New York Times, Desert Diamond Arena, HHS, Department of Health, Human Services, CDC, Centers, Disease Control, FDA, Food, Drug Administration, National Institutes of Health, USDA, Department of Agriculture, SpaceX, Tesla, “ Department, Government, Fox News, Congressional, Social Security, Republicans, Health Locations: Nazi Germany, Glendale , Arizona, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, White

☆ Election Day stress is affecting some companies' sales
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( Alex Bitter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Companies from United to Nestlé have talked about a sales slowdown due to the presidential election. AdvertisementOther companies have invoked the election but not provided details about the dynamics leading consumers to pull back. AdvertisementPeople under 34 were also more likely than older consumers to put off a major financial commitment until after the election, 84.51 found. AdvertisementMany companies are also forecasting that demand will return after either Trump or Harris wins the election. Polls show that the race between Trump and Harris is close to a toss-up just over a week ahead of Election Day.

Persons: Nestlé, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Brian Olsavsky, Olsavsky, Anna Manz, Alex Trott, Trott, Gen, Ron Hill, Harris, George W, Bush, Hill Organizations: United, Service, Constellation Brands, Delta, Nestlé, Business, Research, Boomers, BI, Deutsche Bank, Harris, Modelo, Constellation, Kogod School of Business, Trump, White Locations: Modelo, Butler , Pennsylvania

☆ Fed Governor Waller says 'more caution' needed on rate cuts after data showing a hot economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fed Governor Christopher Waller says recent data shows the Fed should ease more cautiously. The Fed cut rates by a50-basis points last month and is expected to make a smaller cut next month. AdvertisementWaller said recent data, though, shows an economy that's still hot. He pointed to recent data on employment, inflation, income and gross domestic product. Waller said he will be watching closely for any further data that shows the Fed should ease less aggressively.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, —, Waller's Organizations: Service, Stanford University, Fed

☆ 5 reasons why inflation will be stickier than expected going forward, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.

Persons: —, Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Stock market today: Indexes close lower after CPI shows sticky inflation in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Indexes slipped Thursday as investors priced in a higher-than-expected inflation reading. The data raises the possibility of a "no landing" scenario for the US economy. AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday from records reached in the previous session, as traders took in a sticky inflation reading for September. September consumer price index data released on Thursday showed inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above consensus forecasts of a 2.3% rise. AdvertisementThe core CPI reading, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, was up 3.3% year-over-year and just above forecasts of 3.2%.

Persons: —, Stocks, Hurricane Milton, Jamie Dimon, Buffett Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Investors, Labor Department, Here's, Insurance Locations: Hurricane

☆ The AI boom turned Nvidia into a trillion-dollar giant. Its next big bet is even more complex.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Emma Cosgrove | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

In addition to the Computex display, humanoid robots have come up on Nvidia's last two earnings calls. The first is self-driving cars and the second is likely to be humanoid robots. Project Groot, which the company refers to as a "moonshot" initiative, is a foundation model for humanoid robots. AdvertisementIt feels like every player aiming for humanoid robots is in it for themselves, Kapoor said. Simulators are an essential stop on the path to humanoid robots, but they don't necessarily lead to human-like perception.

Persons: Jensen, —, Jensen Huang, gesturing, Elon Musk, Huang, Raul Martynek, Databank, Isaac, Tesla, That's, Sophia Velastegui, who's, William, Omniverse, Ashish Kapoor, Kapoor, Jonathan Stephens, Martynek, Velastegui Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Apple, Google, Microsoft, BMW, Boston Dynamics, BYD Electronics, Siemens, sunsetted, Foundations, Grid, Scaled Foundations, Star Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Computex

☆ Salesforce may finally have found its AI footing. What it means beyond the initial hype
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Bowing to investor pressure, Salesforce has adopted a more disciplined approach to dealmaking, increasing the importance of internal product development. "Agentforce is the product announcement [Salesforce] investors have sought for years," Needham analysts wrote in a recent note to clients. Salesforce stock remains down about 13% from its 2024 peak close and record high of $316.88 a share on March 1. CRM 1Y mountain Salesforce's stock over the past 12 months. Analysts said Salesforce is cheap compared to peers on multiple valuation metrics with ample room to increase free cash flow ahead.

Persons: Salesforce, Jim Cramer, Agentforce, Mulesoft, Needham, Einstein, —, Jim, Bofa, Baird, Piper Sandler, Piper, Jim Cramer's, Marc Benioff, Salesforce's Dreamforce, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Wall Street, Nasdaq, Barclays, Saks, Investors, Bank of America, CNBC, Getty Locations: Dreamforce, San Francisco, San Francisco , California

☆ 6 Wall Street experts share why investors could be overestimating how much the Fed will cut rates after August's inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The print is causing concern that inflation may not be going away, which would mean higher interest rates than markets expect going forward. Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer, Regan CapitalWeinand says the market's current outlook on rate cuts will only take place if the economy deteriorates significantly. If inflation does slow that much, the Fed would likely cut rates faster than just a quarter percent per meeting over the next 3-6 months," Adams said in an email. "However, the stickiness of service price inflation and shelter inflation suggests the Fed will cut rates slower than financial markets currently price in." This would be a disappointment to short-term bond markets that have priced over 250 bps of rate cuts by the end of 2025."

Persons: Brian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management Rose, Rose, Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital Weinand, Bill Adams, Adams, Peter Perkins, MRB Partners Perkins, Josh Jamner, ClearBridge Investments Jamner, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, CPI, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth, Fed, Comerica Bank, MRB Partners, Investment, ClearBridge Investments, Independent, bps

☆ Katy Perry's triumphant VMAs performance isn't good news for her career
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Callie Ahlgrim | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Just over 15 years after she released her major label debut, "One of the Boys," Perry became the latest Video Vanguard recipient, the VMA version of a lifetime achievement award. Performing a career-spanning medley at the VMAs as a Vanguard winner should be a victory lap. AdvertisementAfter an early career peak — Perry has released nine chart-topping hits to date, all before 2015 — she's had none in the past decade. It was bad enough to put Perry's comeback in jeopardy, quickly devolving into a "career crisis." But Perry's new album "143" will be released next week, and she still needs to convince people it's worth a listen.

Persons: —, Katy Perry, Perry, Michael Jackson's, — Perry, — she's, Katy, Arturo Holmes, Perry wouldn't, Sabrina Carpenter, Chappell Roan, I've, Doechii, Megan Thee, would've Organizations: Service, MTV, Vanguard, Business Locations: California

☆ Stock market today: Stocks fall as annual inflation slows but monthly CPI notches surprise increase
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Core inflation rose 0.3% in August, slightly above economists' expectations. Meanwhile, investors dashed their hopes for a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as investors took in last month's inflation report, which showed an unexpected increase in the monthly core consumer price index. Bond yields rose as traders readjusted expectations for a jumbo rate hike of 50 basis points at next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. AdvertisementThe surprise increase led investors to almost completely discount the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting.

Persons: —, Josh Jamner, Jack McIntyre Organizations: Fed, Service, Dow Jones, ClearBridge Investments, Brandywine Global Locations: Here's

☆ What to watch during the Trump, Harris debate on ABC
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Gregory Krieg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +13 min

Here are six things to watch for on Tuesday night:Will Harris deliver the policy message voters say they want to hear? More than her convention speech, the debate will provide a platform for Harris to answer some of those questions. This image shared by ABC News shows the stage in Philadelphia ahead of the debate between Harris and Trump. Rebecca Wright/CNNWhen Harris sticks by Biden’s policies, Trump attacks them and her as a failure. What’s not up for debate is that Biden, though absent in person, figures to be a prominent figure on the debate stage.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s –, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, –, Will Harris, Al Drago, ”, Zach Wolf, MAGA, CNN’s Dana Bash, ” Harris, Biden’s, Rebecca Wright, parry, What’s, Wade, “, Vladimir Putin –, unreservedly Organizations: CNN, Democratic, New York Times, Siena College, Trump, ABC News, ABC, Howard University, Democratic National Convention, Republican, White Locations: Philadelphia, Atlanta, Georgia, Chicago, Mexico, Florida, Gaza, Ukraine, Israel, Trump , Russian, Palestinian

☆ Salesforce gets back on track — here's what the software giant needs to deliver next
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-28 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Salesforce shares jumped more than 4% in extended trading Wednesday after the enterprise software giant beat sales and earnings expectations in the second quarter. Salesforce Why we own it : Salesforce is a leading enterprise software tool for companies across all industries, helping employees to better communicate with colleagues internally and with their customers. Salesforce's new AI tools — which it is calling autonomous AI sales agents — may be the company's answer to this negative thesis. The next task for Salesforce is proving these new AI products will become a material driver of revenue growth. For the third quarter, Salesforce forecasts revenues of $9.31 billion to $9.36 billion, which is below the $9.4 billion estimate.

Persons: cRPO, —, Marc Benioff, It's, they're, Benioff, Salesforce, Brian Millham, Amy Weaver, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, SAP, Microsoft, Salesforce, Club, Nvidia, Federal, Management, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Americas, San Francisco , California

☆ Don't rush back into the stock market as more pain is coming if the economy keeps slowing, Stifel chief strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are up since last week's sell-off but there's still reason to be cautious, Stifel's Barry Bannister said. He reiterated his expectation for a 10% market correction to push the S&P 500 to 5,000 by October. If the economy keeps slowing and eventually enters a recession, a bear market is imminent as inflation remains sticky, Stifel's chief strategist Barry Bannister said in a Tuesday interview on CNBC. While the Federal Reserve targets a PCE of 2.8%, Bannister expects the central bank to target closer to 3% by the fourth quarter due to persistent housing inflation. Weak GDP, consumption, fixed asset investment and net export data expected in the second half of the year also don't bode well for the economy, Bannister added.

Persons: Stocks, Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, —, Barry Bannister, " Bannister, bode Organizations: Service, CNBC, Federal Reserve

☆ Solar stock Nextracker's strong quarter is eclipsed by backlog concerns — here's where we stand
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Shares of Nextracker dropped in extended trading Thursday as questions about the solar technology firm's backlog of projects overshadowed its better-than-expected quarterly results. Scrutiny of Nextracker's revenue backlog came more into focus during Nextracker's conference call with analysts. That, in turn, impacts the pace at which Nextracker's backlog becomes reported revenue. With interest rate cuts on the horizon, the economics of solar projects should get a whole lot better. " Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Nextracker, Dan Shugar, Jim Cramer, Praneeth Satish, Howard Wenger, Wenger, Shugar, Jim, Jim Cramer's, Brandon Bell Organizations: Revenue, Club, Truist Securities, Microsoft, Fed, CNBC, Getty Locations: Fargo, Kayenta , Arizona

☆ Time to dump CDs? 6 experts share 6 investing moves to make as the Fed prepares to cut rates in September.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.

Persons: —, Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit

Analyst Didier Scemama reiterated his buy rating and kept his $1,406 12-month price target on the stock, which implies shares can jump 50.8%. She noted that Palo Alto, which is up 12.5% year to date, continued to soar even as growth in cybersecurity-tied AI winners slowed. "However, consensus expects a sharp reacceleration in dollar growth from FY26 onwards, which we view as unlikely," the analyst added. "We view Palo Alto more defensive as it is skewed to a stickier customer base and a wider moat." — Pia Singh 5:45 a.m.: Baird upgrades elf Beauty There's a big buying opportunity in elf shares, according to Baird.

Persons: Baird, Morgan Stanley, Didier Scemama, Scemama, — Pia Singh, Dan Dolev, Dolev, Nina Marques, Marques, Palo, Morgan, Alex Straton, Straton, Mark Altschwager, Altschwager, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, of America, CMD, Mizuho, Mizuho Securities, Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Palo Alto, Trump Locations: U.S, Palo Alto, Wednesday's, cybersecurity, China

☆ What’s at stake for the climate if Trump wins? ‘A catastrophic outcome’
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Ella Nilsen | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

CNN —In the first week of a new Trump administration, President Joe Biden’s climate wins would get put through the shredder. “He has said he’s going to come back with a vengeance,” former US special climate envoy John Kerry told CNN. He has railed against Biden’s climate policies at rallies and derided clean energy, vowing to push America back to fossil fuels. He has openly courted the oil industry at fundraising events, the Washington Post reported, promising regulation rollbacks in exchange for campaign cash. It could happen “very fast,” said David Bernhardt, who served as Interior Secretary in the Trump administration.

Persons: Trump, Joe Biden’s, nix, ”, John Kerry, it’s, “, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Leavitt, Anna Moneymaker, ” Mandy Gunasekara, David Bernhardt, Bernhardt, Biden, Trump’s, Sarah Palin, ’ pocketbooks, Diana Furchtgott, Roth, Gavin Newsom, ” Newsom, “ We’re, Newsome, David Paul Morris, John Bozzella, Bozzella, ” Bozzella, he’s, ” Bob McNally, George W, Bush, Scott Olson, –, ” Bernhardt, McNally, ” McNally, ’ Trump, Nate Hultman, Frederic J . Brown, haven’t, Kerry, ” Kerry, CNN’s Alayna Treene, Bill Weir, Julian Quinones Organizations: CNN, Trump, Washington Post, White, Environmental, Agency, EVs, Environmental Protection Agency, Republicans, Treasury Department, Former Trump Department of Transportation, Heritage Foundation, California Gov, Bloomberg, Alliance, Automotive Innovation, Biden, Fox News, Energy, Rapidan Energy Group, Bush White House, US Energy Information Administration, Trump Interior, Trump’s, Center for Global Sustainability, University of Maryland, State Department, Getty, United Nations Locations: Alaska, Paris, United States, Philadelphia, California, Washington ,, San Francisco, CNN California, Montebello , California, AFP

☆ Taiwan tops Asia's best-performing stock markets so far in 2024 — Japan is No. 2
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A screen displays stock figures at the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp. headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Monday, Jan. 15, 2024. The Taiwan Weighted Index has surged 28% so far this year, powered by stocks along the AI value chain. While Taiwan may lead Asian markets, Japan seems to be the favored market going forward, among analysts who spoke to CNBC. While most Asian markets are in positive territory year-to-date, three stock markets — Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines — fell into negative territory. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that 61% of traders expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in the September meeting.

Persons: Foxconn —, Hai Precision Industry —, Rahul Ghosh, Rowe Price, Ghosh, Ben Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari, Ken Orchard Organizations: Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp, Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Hai Precision Industry, Intelligence, Nikkei, CNBC, BlackRock Investment Institute, Bank of Japan, Federal, U.S, Fed, Minneapolis Federal Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Asia, Pacific, Japan, BlackRock, Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, Jakarta, Philippine, U.S

☆ Key Fed measure shows inflation rose 2.6% in May from a year ago, as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

May marked the lowest annual rate since March 2021, which was the first time in this economic cycle that inflation topped the Federal Reserve's 2% target. An important economic measure for the Federal Reserve showed Friday that inflation during May slowed to its lowest annual rate in more than three years. Including food and energy, headline inflation was flat on the month and also up 2.6% on an annual basis. Outside of the inflation numbers, the Bureau of Economic Analysis report showed that personal income rose 0.5% on the month, stronger than the 0.4% estimate. Shelter-related costs have proven stickier than Fed officials have anticipated and have helped keep the central bank from reducing interest rates as expected this year.

Persons: Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Dow, Commerce Department, Federal, Asset Management, Gross, Atlanta Fed Locations: PCE

REUTERS/Bobby Yip/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights New Tab , opens new tabJune 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. The first definition that appears in an online search for the meaning of "resilience" is "the capacity to withstand or to recover quickly from difficulties; toughness." In that light, the direction Asian markets are liable to take on Wednesday is hard to call. Broader concerns about the weakness of the yen and potential intervention from Japanese authorities, and the Chinese yuan's steady depreciation, still hang heavily over Asian markets. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:- Australia inflation (May)- RBA assistant governor Kent speaks- Singapore manufacturing production (May)Sign up here.

Persons: Bobby Yip, Tuesday's, Christopher Kent, Kent, Jamie McGeever Organizations: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Tuesday's U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, U.S, Tuesday's, Singapore, Australia

☆ Bank of England set to hold interest rates despite inflation hitting 2% target
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But the print only served to further convince traders that an interest rate cut is not imminent. Money market pricing by 11 a.m. in London implied just a 5% probability of a trim of the Bank Rate during Thursday's BOE meeting — after recording stronger odds of such a step earlier in the week. Policymakers are equally focused on services inflation, key to understanding domestic price pressures in the country's services-oriented economy, which came in at 5.7% — higher than the 5.5% forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. "I think the most disturbing thing lots of economists like myself are looking at right now is what's happening in services inflation. And those numbers have been proving a good deal stickier than we would like," Sproule said, with the BOE targeting services inflation of around 3%.

Persons: BOE, —, We've, James Sproule, CNBC's, Sproule Organizations: Bank of England's, Bank of Locations: London, Bank of England

☆ Fed meeting and inflation report both hit Wednesday, and the impact could be huge
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during the conference celebrating the Centennial of the Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington D.C., United States on November 08, 2023. None of those numbers are dramatically different from the April readings, and still show inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Central bankers prefer the Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices, a broader measure that also accounts for changes in consumer behavior. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release the CPI report at 8:30 a.m. The Fed meeting

Persons: Jerome Powell, Celal Gunes, Jonathan Pingle, Pingle, tinker, Jack Janasiewicz, —, Janasiewicz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, of Research, Statistics, Governors, Federal, System, Washington D.C, Getty, Anadolu, Federal Reserve, UBS, CPI, Investment, Labor Statistics Locations: Washington, United States, Anadolu

☆ Trading CPI: How stocks may react to latest inflation report, according to JPMorgan traders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

.SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date Here's what they expect, based on six scenarios: 40% chance: CPI rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, according to JPMorgan. Under this scenario, the S & P 500 could fall as much as 0.75% and gain as much as 0.75%. The S & P 500 would pull back between 1% and 1.25% under this scenario. 12.5% chance: CPI rises between 0.2% and 0.25%: The S & P 500 would jump 1.25% to 1.75% as September rate cut expectations surge, JPMorgan traders said. "Given the acceleration higher in inflation, rate cut bets for 2024 would evaporate and we will see the return of views of a rate hike."

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan Locations: U.S

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