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That's sure to result in increased volatility for the companies in our portfolio exposed to China, the world's second-largest economy. Consumer-dependent stocks Apple and Starbucks may be the most at risk given they are more discretionary versus the aforementioned names. At the Club, Jim has bestowed his "own it, don't trade it" designation on only those two stocks, Apple and Nvidia. AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD Furthermore, while China growth may be tempered, Apple is aggressively looking to grow its presence in India — both on the consumer side and product manufacturing side of its business. Bottom line The risks for companies that do business in China have certainly increased following Trump's presidential election win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jim Cramer, Joe Biden, Jensen Huang, Leonardo da Vinci, Lisa Su, Su, Tim Cook, Trump, Jim, China —, Brian Niccol, Niccol, we're, Jim Cramer's, Xi Jinping, Kevin Lemarque Organizations: Devices, Nvidia, GE Healthcare, Apple, AMD, Trump, Club, Bloomberg, U.S, Starbucks, Yum Brands, China, Taco Bell, Chipotle, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: we're, China, U.S, India, Vietnam, Osaka, Japan
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
The S&P 500 has an outstanding track record after major rallies in the first 10 months. Here's why history and other key catalysts are on the market's side, according to Truist. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than seven decades' worth of data suggest that US stocks will end 2024 on a high note. Drawdowns are inevitable, as Lerner noted that the S&P 500 typically pulls back by 5% or more three times per year.
Persons: Stocks, , that's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal, Fed
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol
Traders instantly react to the data (sometimes wildly so), especially when the actual numbers are distinctly different than estimates. Thus, historically, XLU has been correlated with the direction of treasury bonds (which move in the opposite direction of bond yields). Here's a chart with XLU and the TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, which we're using since it's the most widely traded treasury bond ETF. From 2022 through 2023, XLU and TLT moved in the same direction more often than not. Another reason is simply that investors are aggressively seeking yield producing instruments, with the understanding that bond yields were destined to fall.
Persons: XLU, That's, TLT, We're Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Utilities, Treasury Bond ETF, Bollinger, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: XLU
A wild week of trading on Wall Street ended with the S & P 500 back roughly where it started, but the lessons learned by whipsawed investors over those five days could determine what happens next. The S & P 500 had its worst day since 2022 on Monday, and then its best since 2022 on Thursday. But with the S & P 500 ending the week down less than 0.1% in a calm session on Friday, the market seems to have stabilized. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500 finished the week nearly flat. And I think that has to do with investors really being a little bit skeptical about some of this equity market volatility."
Persons: Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Gennadiy Goldberg, didn't, Jeremy Schwartz, Peter Berezin, aren't, Wellington, Frank Gretz, RJ O'Brien, Tom Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick Organizations: Wall, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, TD Securities, CNBC, Japan —, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, BCA Research, Wellington Shields, Associates Locations: Japan
Last Thursday, 87% of S & P 500 stocks outperformed the index itself, which Goldman Sachs called "the most in the history of our data set." Its total gain of 57%, measured by the S & P 500, is almost exactly half the post-1929 average too. For good measure, this year the S & P 500 has posted the best-ever start to a presidential election year. Arguably something close to it is already priced in to a considerable degree, with the S & P 500 pushing 22-times forward earnings again. The elevated sentiment backdrop is par for the course for a bull market, but sometimes associated with pauses or pullbacks.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, it's, It's Organizations: Strategas, New York Stock Exchange, CPI, Federal, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: superlatives, Bull
There have been 13 other market selloffs during the second year of a bull market since 1946, Belski noted. AdvertisementFollowing its 2021 pullback, the S&P 500 finished the second year of its bull market up 22.6% and 11.5% higher than its nadir. Valuations are still historically high, and mega-cap growth companies continue to make up a disproportionately large share of the S&P 500. Since Belski thinks this bull market has legs, he doesn't want to forgo future upside. These firms have higher earnings growth than the median S&P 500 name and also have lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and P/E-to-growth (PEG) ratios — a recipe for success.
Persons: , pales, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner, who've, Brian Belski, he's, Belski, selloffs Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, selloffs
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
Hedge funds are dumping stocks at the fastest pace in three months as what's often called " the smart money " stepped up bearish wagers against equities amid the recent pullback. The professionals sold global stocks on a net basis for a second straight week last week, driven almost entirely by short sales, according to Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage data. It marked the biggest selling week for hedge funds since mid-January, the data showed. Its hedge fund clients sold stocks for a fifth consecutive week last week, exiting shares across small-, mid- and large-cap companies. The S & P 500 declined nearly 1%, its biggest weekly loss since early January, although the equity benchmark is still only 1.7% below its record high.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Bahnsen, Goldman, Jean Boivin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of, Dow, Bahnsen Group, P Retail, Traders, Fed, BlackRock Investment Institute Locations: U.S
Only 10% (or about 50) of the S & P 500's holdings advanced on Tuesday's market-wide sell-off, which is an extremely low amount. Being up on a very big down session isn't the only thing that the stocks have in common. In fact, they are two of just 10 S & P 500 holdings currently trading over the $1L mark. Primed to outperform the market again All that said, AZO and ORLY have not outperformed the S & P 500 over the last two years. But their recent relative lines vs. the SPX now resemble the patterns from 2019-21, right before strong relative moves commenced.
Persons: AZO, they've, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: O'Reilly Automotive, ORLY, & $ Locations: ORLY, AZO's, , AZO
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday suggested that sellers have been conspicuously absent on Wall Street, even as the market faces economic trends may have brought them out in years past. "Last year, we would've had sellers coming out of the woodwork," he said. "Now, though, I think the short-sellers have been obliterated, and almost everyone who wants to sell seems to have already gotten out. Cramer added that the artificial intelligence craze has not played out as many on Wall Street thought it would. "I know Big Tech was down today, but I think they're just taking a breather after an unsustainably parabolic move."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, would've, Cramer, he's Organizations: Computer, Nvidia, Enterprise, Big Tech
Stock Market Today: Futures Slip; Chinese Stocks Sink
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
That appears to be the verdict of stock investors, who sent the CSI 300 Index down 1.9% to its lowest level in almost five years. Adding to the gloom: after Chinese markets closed, Moody’s Investors Service cut its outlook on the country’s credit rating to negative . The ratings company said financial lifelines extended by the government to distressed regions and companies are harming the economy. China’s lackluster growth since the end of pandemic lockdowns has weighed on the stock market: The CSI 300 has fallen about 12% this year. Trading at about $79 a barrel, benchmark Brent crude was on track to snap a three-day losing streak.
Persons: Hong, Dow Organizations: CSI, Moody’s, Service, Dow industrials, Nasdaq, Brent Locations: China
A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. Some 100,000 January call options on the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX) changed hands on Friday, with a strike price of 27. Similarly large positions in January VIX options were opened on Wednesday and Thursday. The recent large trades, however, are more likely hedges on a portfolio of stocks, rather than wagers on a massive equity selloff, options strategists said. The trades are unusually large and make up about 5% of this month's overall trading volume in VIX options, according to Trade Alert data.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Chris Murphy, Murphy, Matthew Tym, Cantor Fitzgerald, Tym, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Susquehanna Financial Group, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S
Walmart Earnings, Low Fuel Prices Drag on Stocks
  + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Ryan Dezember | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Earnings selloffs in Cisco Systems and Walmart pulled down the Dow. But the broader market narrowly overcame those drags as well as tumbling energy shares to keep the November rally going. The S&P 500 added 0.1%. The tech-oriented Nasdaq Composite eked out a smaller gain than that and is now up 9.8% this month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed about 0.1%, or 46 points.
Organizations: Cisco Systems, Walmart, Dow Jones
Stock futures suggest so. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite managed small gains Thursday , despite selloffs in Walmart and Cisco, with both indexes up about 2% so far this week. The S&P 500 has risen for 12 of the past 14 sessions and looks set to rise for the third straight week. Gap stock jumped premarket, after strong results, while disappointing earnings from Applied Materials pushed down the semiconductor-equipment company. Alibaba stock remained under pressure after the e-commerce giant canceled the spinoff of its cloud arm.
Persons: Bonds Organizations: Nasdaq, Walmart, Cisco, Materials Locations: U.S
Berlin — German car parts manufacturer Continental will cut thousands of jobs worldwide as part of a plan to save €400 million ($428 million) a year from 2025, it said Monday. The cuts, in the company’s Automotive division, which produces software, safety features and autonomous driving technology, will amount to the “mid-four-digit range,” Continental said. The group’s main businesses are making tires; the Automotive division; and a third division making digital technologies for autos and other sectors called ContiTech. The number of business areas within the Automotive division will be reduced from six to five. Last week the company reported that the Automotive business returned to profit in the third quarter and predicted a strong quarter ahead.
Persons: Nikolai Setzer Organizations: Continental, company’s Automotive, Automotive, Reuters Locations: Berlin, Germany
The relationship between stocks and bonds has been a tight one in recent months, with equities falling as Treasury yields climbed to 16-year highs. Higher yields offer investment competition to stocks while also raising the cost of capital for companies and households. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has surged nearly 6% from its October lows. Draho expects the S&P 500 to trade between 4,200 and 4,600 until investors determine whether the economy will be able to avoid a recession. The S&P 500 was recently up more than 1% on the day.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jason Draho, Draho, Ryan Detrick, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Louise Heavens Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, CFRA Research, Carson Investment Research, Fed, Apple Inc, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Treasuries
Chart analysts are optimistic on the price of gold as the metal tests a ceiling that has previously capped gains. Spot gold has traded around the closely-watched $2,000 level in recent days for the first time since May. And, if previous highs can be surpassed, "we do think it's got some room to run here." That's based on analysis of previous movement in the gold chart to estimate how high the metal could go in the near term. Cappelleri, meanwhile, is first watching $2,180 after previous highs, based on a technical analysis of measured moves.
Persons: Thomas DiFazio, it's, Katie Stockton, Frank Cappelleri, Cappelleri, DiFazio, Mark Newton, Newton, It's Organizations: Bank of Japan Locations: Israel
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Watch the Treasury bond auctions as Jim Cramer said in his Sunday column . Both are Club stocks. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Trian's Nelson Peltz, Ike Perlmutter, It's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple, Disney
The "Magnificent Seven" mega-cap tech names that grab all the headlines and rule Wall Street with their outsized influence have been masking a pretty rough year for everything else. However, under the hood, the S & P 500 index that gives all its stocks the same power may be more reflective of these risks than some strategists are giving them credit for. We do take cues from the overall market on whether the market is overbought or oversold. Coming into Monday, our closely watched S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator continued to flash oversold. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Jim Cramer, Jim, there's, Jim Cramer's, Michael Nagle Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, Apple, Broadcom, Honeywell, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Ukraine, AVGO
REUTERS/Issei Kato/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Asian markets on Thursday are set to open on the defensive, with sentiment battered by one of the biggest selloffs of the year in U.S. tech stocks and a renewed spike in longer-dated U.S. Treasury bond yields the day before. The fog of uncertainty descended further over China's embattled property sector after it was reported on Wednesday that China's largest private lender Country Garden has defaulted on a U.S. dollar bond for the first time. But the broader tone in Asia on Thursday will be set by another decline in U.S. stocks and bonds. The global market moves represented a familiar pattern since the flare-up in Middle East violence nearly three weeks ago - higher bond yields, a 'bear steepening' of the U.S. yield curve, a stronger dollar, and higher oil and gold prices.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Michele Bullock's, Bullock, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Treasury, Reserve Bank of Australia, Central Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Singapore, Asia, East, Korean, Korea
CNBC's Jim Cramer said investors should understand Wall Street jargon, including terms like correction, rotation and execution. Cramer said a correction can occur when the market, or just an individual stock, has been roaring, but then suddenly sees a steep decline. Lastly, Cramer explained the term execution, which refers to a company's ability to follow through with its plans. Cramer recommended paying up for what he calls "best of breed" stocks, or companies with leadership that have proven their abilities. "Don't be afraid of rotations and corrections; don't be intimidated by people who use the words," he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer
Semiconductors are looking undervalued, thanks to the selloff in some parts of the sector, according to Morningstar. That's even more undervalued than the wider tech sector, which it believes is 5% undervalued. Morningstar noted such stocks have sold off a little in September, especially in analog and mixed signal names — two types of chips in the semiconductor industry — and even in artificial intelligence chipmakers. Outside the AI sector, the firm also likes autos, expecting more chips to be used in cars, especially electric vehicles, in the years to come. That will enable the company to achieve high single-digit long term revenue growth, Morningstar said.
Persons: Morningstar, Brian Colello, Jack Keegan, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Infineon Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, Qualcomm, Morningstar, Skyworks Locations: Taiwan
That's the steepest one-day decline the 10-year Treasury yield has seen since the implosion of SVB in early March, when banking turmoil led investors to flock to US debt in search of safety. The 10-year Treasury yield continued to slide early Wednesday, trading around 4.577%. AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors were pushed to sell US Treasuries last week amid rising fears over the US debt balance and higher-for-longer interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched a 16-year-high, capping one of the worst selloffs in market history. Meanwhile, several Fed officials delivered dovish comments on the outlook for interest rates this week, which perked up market sentiment.
Persons: SVB, , Raphael Bostic Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Service, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Hamas, Atlanta Fed Locations: Silicon, Israel, Friday's
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