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☆ Investor focus shifts to rate cut outlook on Thanksgiving week, with Fed minutes and inflation data ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The interest rate outlook will come back into focus next week with key inflation data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes coming out ahead of Thanksgiving, as investors wrap up a major month for markets following President-elect Donald Trump's election victory. The October personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index set to release Wednesday could dent already-dimming hopes for a December rate cut if it comes in hotter than expected. The inflation rate is expected to have increased 0.2% month over month and 2.3% year on year. Rosy expectations Even with the interest rate cut expectations coming in, investors are optimistic on the direction for stocks to close out the year and into 2025. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 can end next year at 6,500.

Persons: Donald Trump's, —, Luke O'Neill, Stocks, O'Neill, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Tom Hainlin, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Alpha Fund, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BMO, UBS, Bank Asset Management, Dell Technologies, Chicago, New, Richmond Fed, Devices, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago

☆ How to buy a little insurance if the 2024 market boom loses some steam into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 has now seen seven consecutive weeks of inflows, keeping the post-election momentum intact. I want to use the S & P 500 SPDR Trust ETF (SPY) to hedge these gains and bet against the consensus of markets finishing the year on a high note. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust, YTD Investors have rejoiced with expectations for a more business-friendly economy ahead following President Elect Donald Trump's victory in early November. My short-term view of a shallow repricing in the S & P 500 might come to fruition now that we have Nvidia's earnings in the rearview mirror. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Long Organizations: Bank of America, SPDR, Trust, YTD Investors, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Postelection stock market thrust unable to be sustained as rate and valuation worries creep back in
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's

☆ Trump victory drives gold to near 2-month lows as investors pile into equities, cryptocurrencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gold prices extended their decline to a near two-month low Thursday amid risk-on sentiment and as the dollar continues to strengthen following Donald Trump's election victory last week. He elaborated that gold prices are likely to trade lower as U.S. equities rally on prospects of lower tax and regulations. In spite of the slide in gold prices, market watchers are still optimistic on the fundamentals of the bullion. The underlying drivers of the gold market are still in place, Layton said. A mix of rising debt, geopolitical tensions and central bank demand are expected to support higher gold prices, said Canaccord Genuity.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Maximilian Layton, bitcoin, Trump, Layton, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Vivek Dhar, Nicky Shiels, Canaccord, Trump's, Canaccord Genuity Organizations: Co, New York Mercantile, White, CNBC, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's, MKS Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S, bitcoin, Central

☆ Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls of the day: Nvidia, Tesla, Duolingo, Disney, Allstate, & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Bank of America downgrades Solaredge to underperform from neutral Bank of America says Solaredge is at risk of tariffs in a Trump administration. Barclays downgrades Coty to underweight from equal weight Barclays downgraded the beauty stock following earnings and says it sees "strategy creep." Baird upgrades McKesson to outperform from neutral Baird upgraded the healthcare and medical supply company following earnings. JPMorgan upgrades Clearwater to overweight from neutral JPMorgan upgraded the software company following earnings. " Seaport downgrades Duolingo to neutral from buy The firm downgraded the language App company mainly on valuation following earnings.

Persons: Solaredge, Jefferies downgrades Palantir, Jefferies, PLTR, Bernstein, Ford, Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, it's, Trump, Coty, Schneider, Schneider National's, Apple, it's bullish, Max, Baird, MCK, JPM, CWAN, Guggenheim, Sunrun, Raymond James, Tesla Organizations: Barclays, Qualcomm, Bank of America, of America, Intelligence, Allstate, Nvidia, AMD, Coty, underperform Bank of America, Citi, Apple, Deutsche Bank, Disney, HC, JPMorgan, UBS, Vulcan, Guggenheim, Technologies, USM Locations: Trump, 1Q23, China, F4Q

☆ Election next week holds big implications for stock market, especially the control of Congress
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan

☆ Why is the Japanese yen hovering near three-month lows against the dollar
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A queue of people forms outside a money changer (L) as people wait to buy and sell the Japanese yen against foreign currency, along a street in central Tokyo on April 29, 2024. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. The Japanese yen is hovering near three-month lows against the U.S. dollar, after hitting 153.18 late Wednesday. "The annualised 1-month deposit rate for yen is +0.03%, while it is 4.76% for the U.S. dollar.

Persons: Alvin Tan, Homin Lee, Lombard Odier, Donald Trump, Lee, RBC's Tan, Hugh Chung Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Swiss, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Treasury yields are making a return, like an uninvited ex
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLike an unwelcome ex-partner who shows up during the most inopportune times and refuses to leave, Treasury yields too have made a return and are hogging the market limelight. It's not inconceivable, then, that the strong economy might prompt the Fed to slow down, or even hold back, its rate cuts. The stock market slumped as yields rebounded.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent Schutte, Paul Hickey, Hickey, Wells, they'll, —, Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: TY, New York City, U.S

☆ This regional bank beating the market proves 'boring works,' says Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A number of catalysts are set to drive shares of PNC Financial higher, according to Bank of America. The Pittsburgh-based regional bank was reiterated as a buy and its price target raised to $211 from $204, implying more than 9% upside from Tuesday's close, the Wall Street investment bank said. Stepped up "new loan commitments provide some optimism around the potential for a pickup in loan growth heading into 2025," the 11-page report said. Of 24 analysts covering the stock, 15 have a strong buy or buy rating, while seven are neutral. On Tuesday, PNC rose about 2% thanks to the regional bank's quarterly results topping Wall Street estimates .

Persons: That's, Ebrahim Poonawala, Mgmt, Poonawala Organizations: PNC Financial, Bank of America, Wall, PNC, Wall Street Locations: The Pittsburgh, SPX, Texas

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Stocks’ choppiness in October can be an opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Hasan Akbas | Anadolu | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. October, then, is truly living up to its reputation as the most volatile month for stocks. But investors should keep in mind the uncomfortable swings in markets aren't always a good signal for the underlying health of stocks. In fact, when stocks dip because of mild repricing or a correction, that's a good opportunity for investors to swoop in, according to Johnson.

Persons: SPX, Hasan Akbas, Robert Sluymer, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Johnson, – CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Meta, Dow Jones, RBC Wealth Management Locations: Alaska, United States, U.S, aren't

☆ Dollar steady ahead of Fed minutes, New Zealand dollar falls after rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The New Zealand dollar slumped to its lowest since Aug. 19 at $0.6096, after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates by 50 basis points. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week had predicted a big half a percentage point cut. The central bank kicked off an easing cycle in August seeking to trim rates from 15-year highs. The U.S. data calendar this week is relatively light, offering a breather after a strong jobs report on Friday sent the dollar jumping and markets repricing the expected scale of upcoming interest rate reductions. On Wednesday, investors will get minutes of the Fed's September meeting, which will show discussions about what at the time had appeared to be a deteriorating labor market that ended with all but one policymaker agreeing to a 50-basis point cut.

Organizations: New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: United States, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, U.S

☆ Dollar holds on to 7-week highs as traders consider U.S. rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.

Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Tuesday analysts calls: Microsoft cut on worries over Open AI; Wells Fargo, Humana upgraded
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

A Wolfe Research analyst raised his view on troubled bank stock Wells Fargo, reasoning that regulatory and interest rate risks both are priced into the stock. However, analysts at Oppenheimer lowered their views on high-flying tech stock Microsoft on fears that OpenAI losses could hamper performance. Delta's stock price has gained nearly 23% this year, but is in the red for the quarter. Chubak sees downside to consensus 2026 earnings across the board for the group — but that the risk is better captured in the current valuation of major banks including Wells Fargo. WFC YTD line Wells Fargo stock performance Chubak upgraded Wells Fargo to outperform from peer perform and kept his $65 price target on the stock, which implies 13.7% potential upside.

Persons: Wolfe, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Bernstein Bernstein, David Vernon, Vernon, — Pia Singh, Timothy Horan, Horan, Lance Wilkes, Wilkes, Steven Chubak, Wells Fargo, Chubak Organizations: CNBC, Humana, Microsoft, Southwest Airlines, STARS, Wolfe Research, WFC Locations: Wells, Delta, Vernon, Atlanta, Wells Fargo

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Wells Fargo, Disney, Apple, First Solar & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"We reiterate our Overweight rating on the name as NVDA remains our Top Pick." JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight JPMorgan raised its price target on the stock to $86 per share from $78. "We are initiating coverage of Morningstar (MORN) with a Buy rating and a $390 price target. Wells Fargo reiterates Tesla as underweight Wells says it remains "skeptical" heading into Tesla's robotaxi day later this week. "We are initiating coverage of MBX Biosciences with an Overweight rating and Dec 2025 price target of $30."

Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, TD Cowen, Cowen, Wolfe, Wells, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Milton, Irma, JPMorgan, Charles Schwab, Morningstar, Redburn, Goldman, Tesla, TSLA, Key, Affirm's, it's, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Abbott, Susquehanna, KeyBanc Organizations: Anheuser Busch InBev, InBev, Humana, STARS, Microsoft, Disney, JPMorgan, UBS, Biotech, Legend Biotech, Barclays, Optimus, Qualcomm, Express, American Express, Netflix, Bicara Therapeutics, Abbott Labs, Howmet Aerospace, Commercial Aerospace & Defense, Bank of America, Apple, MBX Biosciences, Delta, Argus, McDonald's Corp Locations: China, Wells Fargo, F4Q17, 1H26, Tesla's

☆ The September jobs report dashed hopes for another jumbo rate cut next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.

Persons: —, Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal

It also raised its price target to $210 from $187, suggesting shares could rise more than 17% from Tuesday's close. He maintained his $2,400 price target, which implies 16.2% upside potential from Tuesday's close. Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson reiterated her buy rating while trimming her price target to $100 from $104. Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai also maintained her buy rating and inched down her price target by $3 to $92. He also lowered his price target on shares to $40 from $42, implying upside of just 5.2% over the next 12 months.

Persons: Baird, Davidson, Raymond James, Pavel Molchanov, Molchanov, — Hakyung Kim, FANG, Betty Jiang, Jiang, Diamondback, John Pancari, Pancari, Marcelo Santos, Santos, LatAm, Santo, Elliott Hill, Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson, Hutchinson, Krisztina Katai, Katai, Matthew Boss, Boss, Baird downgrades Harley, Craig Kennison, Harley, Kennison, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, GE, General Electric, Barclays, Diamondback, Diamondback Energy, Endeavor, Endeavor Energy Resources, Management, T, T Bank, Federal Reserve, ISI, EA, JPMorgan downgrades, JPMorgan, MercadoLibre, Nike, Bank of, Deutsche Bank, Harley Locations: Tuesday's, Bank of America's, Hill

☆ Evercore ISI gives Harris/Walz and Trump/Vance stock picks to trade election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Though the S & P 500 is up more than 20% in 2024, Evercore ISI sees a patch of volatility ahead as the November presidential election approaches — and the firm has stocks to play either outcome. Evercore ISI thinks that automotive components manufacturer Aptiv could rise in the event of a Harris/Walz win. Evercore ISI called the bank "a flight to quality name," saying it was in a competitive position despite an uncertain backdrop. If Trump wins, Charter Communications is one stock that could benefit from a "potentially benign tax environment" and a pickup in M & A activity, Evercore ISI said. Supermarket operator Kroger could also outperform due to its ability to pass through higher prices to consumers, according to Evercore ISI.

Persons: —, Evercore, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Harris, Walz, APTV, Colin Langan, Brian Meredith, Michael Rollins, Arun Sundaram Organizations: ISI, Democratic, Government, United, Affordable, Medicare, Wells Fargo, Smart, PNC Financial Services, Evercore ISI, PNC, UBS, Trump, Charter Communications, Citi, Kroger Locations: Wells, Regional

☆ Why a repricing of oil is needed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy a repricing of oil is neededAmrita Sen, Energy Aspects director of research, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss oil pricing, energy market futures, and more.

Persons: Amrita Sen

☆ UK leads resurgence in European office investment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is leading a recovery in Europe's long subdued office real estate market, with overall investment in the sector expected to pick up further in the second half of the year. Overall, European office investment transactions in the first half of the year fell 21% year-on-year to 14.1 billion euros, Savills data showed — a 60% decrease on the five-year H1 average. Europe's divided recoveryThe U.K. real estate market was the first in Europe to undergo a significant contraction following its peak in 2022. "London is leading the way a bit, partly because it repriced earlier and quicker and more significantly," Kim Politzer, head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International, told CNBC over the phone. Kim Politzer head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International

Persons: Mike Barnes, Savills, Kim Politzer, Marcus Meijer, Mark, CNBC's, James Burke, Tom Leahy, Leahy, Europe's, JLL Organizations: Getty, Britain, CNBC, Bank of, Fidelity International, European Central Bank, Nurphoto, U.S Locations: London, Europe, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Hamburg, La Défense, France, Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Southern Europe, Germany

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Netflix, Tesla, Kroger, Arm, Oracle, Eli Lilly, PNC, GE Vernova & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Raymond James initiates Arm as outperform Raymond James said the semis company is well positioned for AI. Citi downgrades Capri Holdings to neutral from buy Citi said the risk/reward is more balanced for the owner of brands like Michael Kors. UBS reiterates Oracle as buy UBS raised its price target on the stock to $200 per share from $175. The feedback on Oracle's top-line growth was overall positive..." UBS reiterates PNC as buy UBS said the bank is a high conviction idea. " Citi resumes Eli Lilly as buy Citi resumed coverage of the stock and says it's well positioned.

Persons: Raymond James, Jefferies, SLG, CFRA, it's, datopotamab, Michael Kors, haven't, Morgan Stanley, EQT, Citi, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Tesla, BEV, Wells Organizations: Arm Holdings, ARM, Citi, Green, Kroger, Macquarie, Rio Tinto, Deutsche Bank, AstraZeneca, Deutsche, Capri Holdings, Barclays, Garmin, GM, BMO, GE, UBS, Oracle, Oracle's, PNC, JPMorgan, Netflix, JPMorgan downgrades Moderna, Nvidia, NVIDIA Locations: GenAI, New York, Rio, RIO, Las Vegas

☆ JPMorgan Chase shares drop 7% after bank tempers guidance on interest income and expenses
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Daniel Pinto, president and chief operating officer of JPMorgan Chase, speaks during the Semafor 2024 World Economy Summit in Washington, DC, on April 18, 2024. JPMorgan Chase shares fell 7% Tuesday after the bank's president told analysts that expectations for net interest income and expenses in 2025 were too optimistic. "I think that that number will be lower," Pinto said. When interest rates decline, new loans made by the bank and new bonds it purchases will yield less. When it comes to trading, JPMorgan said it expects third-quarter revenue to be flat to up about 2% from a year ago, while investment banking fees are headed for a 15% jump.

Persons: Daniel Pinto, JPMorgan Chase, Pinto, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, Summit, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington ,, New York, NII

☆ Some non-technology stocks with momentum that investors are buying into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-27 | by ( Frank Holland | In Frank-Holland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Tempest Victoria Greene of G-Squared said investors are facing both literal and metaphorical storms that they need to consider. Best Q4 Ideas: LVMH and Estee Lauder Tiffany McGhee of Pivotal advisors said LVMH and Estee Lauder will be big beneficiaries of China stimulus. (This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. "Moisturizer is not a 'nice to have' it is a must have," said McGhee about Estee Lauder.

Persons: Tempest Victoria Greene, Squared, Said, Milton, Zscaler Malcolm Ethridge, Greene, Estee Lauder Tiffany McGhee, LVMH, Estee Lauder, McGhee, Estee, Ethridge Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Pepsi, Area, Global, Pepsico, Siete Locations: China, Estee Lauder

☆ Dollar tenses for data verdict on rate cut risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The greenback was idling at 147.17 yen , having briefly touched a one-week high of 148.23 overnight before profit-taking emerged. More important will be the consumer price report and retail sales for July which could have a material impact on whether the Fed eases by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in September. The former outcome would likely lift Treasury yields and support the dollar, while the latter would have the opposite effect. The futures market clearly still sees recession as a risk with 101 basis points of Fed easing priced in by Christmas, and more than 120 basis points for next year. "Although the trend is moderating, inflation is too high for the Fed to justify the market pricing 100bp of rate cuts between September and year-end."

Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Swiss, Atlanta Fed, ANZ

☆ JPMorgan's guide to trading two huge economic reports this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

On Thursday, traders get the latest reading on the state of the consumer with retail sales data for July. Hot CPI and inline retail sales (up 0.1% to 0.5%) — JPM believes that a hot CPI print and retail sales matching expectations could fuel "stagflation risks." Expect the S & P 500 to gain and Nasdaq and Russell to perform similarly. Inline CPI and cool retail sales — How much equities move in this outcome depends on the magnitude of the downside surprise in retail sales. In this scenario, traders expect a broadening in the market that includes the S & P 500 gaining.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Jackson, — JPM, Russell, JPM Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, CPI, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Russell

☆ Chief money managers are using the stock-market carnage to funnel into key sectors. Here's what they're buying.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Thursday brought more negative news from the jobs market: unemployment insurance claims for the week ending July 27 were up by 14,000 from the previous week to 249,000. Stepping back from last week's weak data, chief investment officers and top strategists say the market is overreacting, and they're using this as a buying opportunity. Related storiesSimilarly, the manufacturing data is not as foreshadowing as it seems on the surface. "But the ISM manufacturing data can be a leading indicator of S&P earnings, particularly the new order number." "If you look at non-US stocks and you look at their valuations, they're trading at about 13 times earnings," Calcagni said.

Persons: Dow, we've, Philip Straehl, Morningstar, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Alicia Levine, Levine, it's, what's, Morningstar's Straehl, Simeon Hyman, Hyman, Donald Calcagni's, Calcagni Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply, Business, BNY, Big Tech, Mercer Advisors Locations: Americas

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