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Analysis: The 2023 stock rally is back on track
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —The US stock market has rebounded from its months-long rut. Stocks finished out their best month of the year on Thursday, breaking a three-month streak of declines for all the major indexes. “The only way I see a rally continuing is if the bond market behaves itself,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group. While those stocks have remained at the top of Wall Street’s scoreboard, the recent rally has encompassed a wider range of stocks. Long-neglected pockets of the stock market, from beaten-down financials to small-caps to cyclical stocks, have climbed higher in recent weeks.
Persons: Stocks, , Richard Steinberg, , Santa Claus, Ned Davis, Anna Cooban, Elisabeth Buchwald, Nelson Peltz, Nelson Peltz’s, Bob Iger, ” Trian, Trian, Trian’s, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Sky Jeremy Darroch, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, The Colony, Wall Street, Ned Davis Research, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Press Agency, Ministry of Energy, Saudi, United Emirates, Reuters, Disney, Management, Peltz, Sky Locations: New York, Santa, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Vienna, Russia, Iraq, United, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, Brazil, Brazil’s
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
FL YTD mountain Foot Locker (FL) performance year-to-date Foot Locker (FL) climbed 28.3% during November, making it the Club's No. Foot Locker stock, down more than 26% year-to-date, closed 1.4% lower Thursday, at just under $27.28 apiece. CRM YTD mountain Salesforce (CRM) performance year-to-date Salesforce (CRM) shares jumped 25.4% in November, coming in second place for monthly gains. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia (NVDA) performance year-to-date Nvidia (NVDA) — an "own it, don't trade it" name — was the portfolio's fifth-best performer in November. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) performance year-to-date Shares of Wells Fargo (WFC) jumped 12.07% in November, as the broader market rally lifted financials.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Mary Dillon's, Locker, Palo, CrowdStrike, We're bullish, , Wall, Walt Disney, Nelson Peltz's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Sam Altman, OpenAI, Altman, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: , Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, Management, Nvidia, DIS, Walt Disney, Disney, Oracle, Microsoft, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: FL, Palo, Palo Alto, Wells, Wells Fargo, OpenAI, DHR
Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Citi raises Club holding Costco (COST) price target to $585 per share from $530, citing an acceleration of November sales. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion.
Persons: Marc Benioff, Einstein, Jeff Marks, Charles Munger, Warren Buffett's, Charlie, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, UAW, General Motors, Citi, Club, Costco, Barclays, Company, NBA, GE Healthcare, Nvidia, Brands, Barrick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Economic Cooperation, APEC, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Asia, San Francisco , California
Tesla is set to kick off deliveries of its long-awaited Cybertruck Thursday, but not everyone on Wall Street is convinced the debut will move the needle in terms of stimulating growth for the Elon Musk-run company. TSLA 1M mountain Tesla shares over the last month To be sure, despite some cautionary commentary from major Wall Street firms, Tesla shares have almost doubled in 2023 as investors veered back into growth stocks. "However unlikely just a few days before first deliveries, canceling Cybertruck would probably be positive for shares," he wrote in a report to clients while reducing his Tesla price target to $210 from $250 a share. By itself, however, the new truck won't help Tesla's shares, Guggenheim believes. Jewsikow most recently retained a $125 price target on the stock, implying 49% downside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Tesla, Ronald Jewsikow, Philippe Houchois, Tom Narayan, Narayan, Guggenheim's, Tesla's, Guggenheim, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Elon, Guggenheim Securities, Tesla, Treasury, Jefferies, RBC Capital, RBC
AdvertisementIn today's big story, we're looking at the growing tension at AWS with rising employee burnout. Just like OpenAI's ChatGPT or Google's Bard, Amazon Q is a generative AI chatbot users can talk to like a human. Amazon Web Services, which developed Amazon Q, announced the new product under the fanfare of its annual event in Las Vegas, AWS re:Invent. Business Insider's Eugene Kim, our resident Amazon expert, has a report on the growing tension and burnout among AWS employees. Jon Krause for InsiderThe burnout at AWS reminds me of another company at the top of its field facing turmoil: Goldman Sachs.
Persons: , you've, Taylor, Pena Popo, Noah Berger, Bard, Insider's Eugene Kim, ChatGPT, Jon Krause, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Solomon, haven't, BI's Dakin Campbell, Bethany McLean, Goldman aren't, Goldman's, Sylvain Gaboury, Patrick McMullan, Slaven, The New York Times Elon Musk, Tesla, They've, Joe Santagato, Elon Musk, Drazen, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Spotify, Getty, Web Services, Microsoft, Goldman, Slaven, The New York Times, Amazon, Business, American Express, Federal, Paris, Paralympic, Kroger, Dell Locations: Las Vegas, Austin , Texas, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
Charlie Munger, who passed away Tuesday at the age of 99, had a last big call on AI: it's overhyped. It was counterintuitive, but his last big call could be right: AI is overhyped. Google has now rolled the lab in with another AI division, Google Brain, and no longer explicitly breaks out financials. AI has still to prove out its caseFinally, there's the big question of whether the technology will deliver on its big promises. OpenAI's Altman and other AI CEOs talk very publicly about AI as smart as humans being on the horizon.
Persons: Charlie Munger, , Warren Buffett, Munger, ChatGPT, OpenAI's, Sam Altman, Altman, There's, OpenAI's Altman, Michael Chabon Organizations: Service, Apple, Costco, Oracle, Microsoft, Ferrari, British, Tobacco, Dell, Google, DeepMind Locations: Berkshire, Omaha, Silicon Valley
Foot Locker (FL) reported quarterly results that can only be described as better than feared: Nearly all of the important metrics came in weaker than a year ago, but they weren't as terrible as expectations on Wall Street. While Wednesday's surge put Foot Locker's quarter-to-date gains at nearly 60%, the stock was still down roughly 27% in 2023. Better sales guidance than previously forecast and only a slightly worse earnings outlook also helped juice shares of Foot Locker. In our view, this is appropriate because Foot Locker is a turnaround story. Shoppers leave the American multinational sportswear and footwear retailer, Foot Locker store in Spain.
Persons: Locker, We're, Mary Dillon, Dillon, we're, Michael Baughn, comps, Cash, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Xavi Lopez Organizations: Sports, Nike, Management, EMEA, CNBC, Shoppers, Lightrocket, Getty Locations: North America, Middle East, Africa, Asia, Spain
@brycebetts132 I've watched every video of the Sphere in Vegas and this new ad is by far my favorite. By comparison, running a billboard campaign in New York's Times Square for one to three days costs between $5,000 and $25,000, according to outdoor advertising company Inspiria Outdoor. A representative for the Sphere Entertainment Company said the company doesn't discuss financials. One TikTok video, which has notched up more than 14,000 likes, declared it " the best Sphere ad ." The Sphere debuted its first advertising campaign in September of this year and has featured brands including YouTube, the NBA, Heineken and Xbox.
Persons: @brycebetts132 I've, , Dara Treseder, Treseder, tentacled, Ryan Reynolds, Otto Desć, Carla Herrero, Herrero Organizations: Autodesk, Marvel, Business, ♬ Marvel Studios, Sphere Entertainment, Autodesk University, YouTube, NBA, Heineken, Xbox, University College London, Mercedes, AMG PETRONAS Formula One Locations: Las Vegas, Vegas, New
Bernstein named Taiwan Semiconductor a "best idea" for 2024, raising its price target on the stock. — Alex Harring 7:01 a.m. In addition to the best-pick honor, analyst Steve Scala has an outperform rating and $86 price target. Analyst Michael Lavery downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight and slashed his price target by $40 to $200. ET: Morgan Stanley hikes PDD price target, calls stock a top pick following earnings Morgan Stanley named Chinese e-commerce name PDD Holdings a top pick following its latest quarterly earnings report.
Persons: Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, LSEG, Bank of America's Tal Liani, Morgan Stanley's Hamza Fodderwala, Alex Harring, Craig Siegenthaler, Blackstone, That's, — Alex Harring, Ken Hoexter, Hoexter, TD Cowen, Steve Scala, Scala, Jefferies, John Colantuoni, bode, Colantuoni, Neil Beveridge, Josh Silverstein, Silverstein, JMP, Baldwin, Mitch Germain, Germain doesn't, Germain, Piper Sandler, Michael Lavery, Lavery, elasticities, HSY's, Hershey, Eddy Wang, Wang, Mark Li, Li, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Taiwan Semiconductor, Holdings, Wall, Bank of America, Bank of America's, KKR, Apollo Global Management, Pacific, Transport, AstraZeneca, pharma, Airbnb, Toyota, UBS, Exxon Mobil, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil's, Hershey, PDD, U.S, LSEG, Commerce, PDD's U.S, Apple, Huawei Locations: Tuesday's, Ivory Coast, Ghana, 4Q23, Taiwan, China
Plenty of people on the Forbes 30 Under 30 lists have turned out to be not quite so shiny. AdvertisementThe Forbes "30 Under 30" lists celebrate the achievements of young people making a mark in a range of sectors. Its "hall of shame" starts – appropriately enough – with Sam Bankman-Fried, the FTX cofounder who was on the 30 Under 30 finance list in 2021. Caroline Ellison was on the Forbes 30 under 30 list last year. Outside the 30 Under 30 finance class, the gun rights activist Cody Wilson also makes the hall of shame.
Persons: Forbes, Sam Bankman, Martin Shkreli, , Mark Zuckerberg, FTX, Fried, Caroline Ellison, Eduardo Munoz Alvarez Martin Shkreli, Craig Ruttle, Charlie Javice, Frank, JP Morgan Chase, Javice, Morgan, She's, Nate Paul, Lucas Duplan Clinkle, Lucas Duplan, Peter Thiel, Andreesen Horowitz, Cody Wilson, Kelly West, Steph Korey, James O'Keefe, Prendergrast, she's Organizations: Forbes, Service, Prosecutors, Justice, TechCrunch, Business, Reuters, Project Veritas, The City Magazine Locations: Alameda
Now, with the Club holding set to report earnings, Jim Cramer wants to hear whether its AI endeavors are really on track to boost its financials. "We want to hear that numbers must be raised next year because of the new business that [Salesforce is] getting now" as a result of AI, Jim said Tuesday. It's been a year since OpenAI's ChatGPT went viral and accelerated investment into generative AI applications, which can create human-like text sentences and images in response to user queries. Since then, Salesforce and other software companies have raced to incorporate generative AI capabilities into their existing products or launch new ones all together. Still, the analysts reiterated their buy-equivalent rating on Salesforce stock and a $250-per-share price target.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Marc Benioff, Jim, It's, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Salesforce, Piper Sandler, Jim Cramer's, Stefan Wermuth Organizations: Club, Adobe, Microsoft, LSEG, Oppenheimer, CNBC, Salesforce, Economic, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Davos, Switzerland
Shein has not determined the size of its offering or the valuation at IPO, the sources said. Shein, Goldman and JPMorgan declined to comment, while Morgan Stanley did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The most valuable China-founded enterprise to go public in the United States so far is ride-hailing giant Didi Global's (92Sy.MU) debut in 2021 at $68 billion valuation. In 2021, the comparable number was $300 billion when the IPO market was close to its peak. Fast fashion retailers have been gaining popularity in the United States, with Shein taking away market share from the likes of Gap (GPS.N) as shoppers look for fresher styles.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Shein, Goldman, Didi Global's, Jason Benowitz, David, Dee, Delgado, CSRC, Simon Property, Sumeet Singh, It's, Pritam Biswas, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Kane Wu, Anirban Sen, Rishabh, Scott Murdoch, Miyoung Kim, Stephen Coates Organizations: Amazon, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Arm Holdings, Roosevelt, REUTERS, China Securities Regulatory Commission, U.S, Reuters, Securities and Exchange Commission, SPARC Group, Forever, Brands, Simon, Aequitas Research, China's Shanghai Securities, Street, Thomson Locations: United States, China, U.S, Singapore, New York City, Shein, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, New York, Sydney
Next year could be the year for certain dividend stocks, according to Wolfe Research. The S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index is composed of companies that have increased dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. Here are some of the names in the S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. For investors who prefer funds, they can also get exposure through the ProShares S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats exchange-traded fund. NOBL YTD mountain ProShares S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed reporting.
Persons: Chris Senyek, Senyek, Wolfe, Roz Brewer, Tim Wentworth, Wentworth, Medtronic, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal, Materials, Walgreens, Shields Health,
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig banks should have been investing in fintech growth businesses, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks at financials and the sector's impact on the broader market.
Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: financials
COVID), and active funds are hugging their benchmarks," Subramanian wrote in a note about her 2024 outlook. "We're bullish not because we expect the Fed to cut, but because of what the Fed has accomplished," Subramanian wrote. BMO Capital MarketsBofA analysts are calling for slower inflation, better profit margins, and improved efficiency, Subramanian wrote. BMO is less optimistic about energy stocks since they've lagged behind oil prices in the last year. Consumer discretionary is a strong bet if interest rate hikes are over and consumers keep spending, Subramanian wrote.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Bank of America BMO's Belski, he's, boomers, BofA Organizations: Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO, Federal Reserve, " Bank of, Energy, BMO isn't Locations: Ukraine, Israel
The investment case for India is hard to argue with, according to analysts at Morgan Stanley — but they warn that upcoming elections with "potential binary outcomes sets the market up for volatility." "Government policy remains supportive, and the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) executes a calibrated exit from its current hold stance. For Morgan Stanley, the downside, or bear case, to its forecast would see India's elections result in a change in government. Focus list of overweight-rated stocks Looking ahead to India in 2024, Morgan Stanley is overweight on companies in the financials, consumer discretionary, industrials and technology sectors. From the financial services sector, Morgan Stanley is overweight on ICICI Bank and insurer SBI Life Insurance .
Persons: Morgan Stanley —, Ridham Desai, Narendra Modi, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Maruti Suzuki, Hindustan Aeronautics, Infosys, ICICI Bank, SBI Life Insurance Locations: India, U.S, Government, F2026E
Jim Cramer takes a closer look at the financials sector
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer takes a closer look at the financials sector'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks at financials and the sector's impact on the broader market.
Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: financials
In this article BRK.A Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTwatch nowBillionaire Charlie Munger, the investing sage who made a fortune even before he became Warren Buffett's right-hand man at Berkshire Hathaway, has died at age 99. In addition to being Berkshire vice chairman, Munger was a real estate attorney, chairman and publisher of the Daily Journal Corp., a member of the Costco board, a philanthropist and an architect. We've gotten good at fishing where the fish are," the then-93-year-old Munger told the thousands of people at Berkshire's 2017 meeting. Warren Buffett (L), CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and vice chairman Charlie Munger attend the 2019 annual shareholders meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, May 3, 2019. "Well, I would say basically we're like the captain of a ship when the worst typhoon that's ever happened comes," Munger told The Wall Street Journal in April 2020.
Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's, Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Greg Abel, Benjamin Franklin, We've, Charles Thomas Munger, Alfred, Florence, Toody, didn't, Janet Lowe's, Nancy Huggins, Olson, Wheeler, Dean Scott Derue, Franklin Otis Booth, Booth, Derue, CNBC's Becky Quick, Charlie, He's, I've, Warren Buffett, Johannes Eisele, Goldman Sachs, We're, Oh goody, goody, everything's Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, New, Daily Journal Corp, Costco, Buffett's Berkshire, CNBC, University of Michigan, Army Air Corps, California Institute of Technology, Scripps College, Harvard Law School, Tolles, Munger & Co, Michigan Ross Business School, Los Angeles Times, Buffett, Omaha, AFP, Getty, Bank of America, Wall Street Journal Locations: California, Munger, Pasadena , California, Berkshire, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, Warren, Pasadena
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
Sandy Hook families who won nearly $1.5 billion in legal judgments against conspiracy theorist Alex Jones for calling the 2012 Connecticut school shooting a hoax have offered to settle that debt for only pennies on the dollar — at least $85 million over 10 years. His time is up," lawyers for the Sandy Hook families wrote. But this month, a court-appointed restructuring officer upped Jones' pay to about $57,700 biweekly, or $1.5 million a year, saying he has been “grossly” underpaid for how vital he is to the media company. If Jones doesn't accept the families' offer, Lopez would determine how much he would pay the families and other creditors. Relatives, of many but not all, of the Sandy Hook victims sued Jones in Connecticut and Texas, winning nearly $1.5 billion in judgments against him.
Persons: Sandy Hook, Alex Jones, Jones, “ Jones, Vickie Driver, , Christopher Lopez, Lopez, Jones ’ Organizations: Free Speech Systems, Speech Systems, Monday, Sandy Hook Elementary Locations: Connecticut, Houston, Sandy, Newtown , Connecticut, Texas
The stock market rally will diversify next year amid a broader, "normal for longer" trend, according to BMO Capital Markets. Chief investment strategist Brian Belski set his 2024 base case target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, which implies an almost 12% rally from Friday's close. In other words, normal and typical," Belski wrote in a Monday note. But that does not make it normal or typical," Belski added. One market trend that will notably improve next year is the percentage of stocks outperforming the broader index, Belski added.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, , — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Bank of Montreal Locations: Friday's
Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could climb more than 11% to a record next year — and said its base case seems "conservative." The investment bank set its 2024 year-end S & P 500 target at 5,100, or more than 11% above where the broader index closed Friday at 4,559.34. In its bull case, Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could even climb to 5,500, or more than 20% above where the benchmark closed last. "We note that the S & P 500 has been in a clear trend up channel since the [Great Financial Crisis]. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin expects the S & P 500 will chop around and finally end next year at 4,700 .
Persons: , Jim Reid, Reid, America's Savita Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Bank, America's Locations: London, financials
Anyone can generally buy the stock of public companies on a stock exchange, or buy pools of stocks or bonds via publicly available mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. By comparison, private investments let people invest in companies that aren't listed on a public exchange. Julio Estela, 41, who lives in Wantagh, New York, made his largest private investment in 2021, in Green Coffee Company. Why private markets are 'two-tiered'Hxyume | E+ | Getty ImagesSome of the largest U.S. investors, such as pension funds, often have some exposure to private investments, proponents say. As with public stock, betting on one private investment instead of pooling risk in a fund of many private companies is an even riskier strategy, experts said.
Persons: Micah Hauptman, Charles Failla, Cassandra Borchers, Thompson Hine, Borchers, it's, Michael Cembalest, Mike Curtis, Shaka Tea, Julio Estela, he's, Curtis, Estela, Hauptman, Failla Organizations: SEC, Consumer Federation of America, Sovereign Financial Group, Sovereign Financial, Morgan, Wealth Management, Shaka, Green Coffee Company, rehabbing, American Investment Council, Pensions, Cambridge Associates Locations: Honolulu , Hawaii, Wantagh , New York, Hawaii
Right now, it shows the S&P 500 at levels higher than during the dot-com bubble. According to Hussman's model, the S&P 500 will underperform Treasurys by about 7.5% over the next 12 years, the lowest projection since the 2000 and 1929 bubbles. Actual S&P 500 performance tends to follow Hussman's projections closely. Here's the Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500, which averages valuations over the prior 10 years. Much of those gains are thanks to the so-called "Magnificent 7" stocks, the S&P 500's biggest seven stocks by market cap.
Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, Here's, Adam Turnquist Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial Locations: it's
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