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Top Morningstar strategist David Sekera says there's one sector that "deserves a place in everybody's portfolio" right now — the energy sector. Stocks Sekara is betting on within the energy theme include Exxon Mobil and Devon Energy . Morningstar has a four-star rating on Devon Energy and says it is trading at a 22% discount to fair value. The investment research company gives stocks a rating of between one and five stars, with a top rating indicating that the shares are undervalued. Sekera says that U.S. stocks are now trading around 6% higher than their fair value.
Persons: David Sekera, George Bull, Sander Morris, Aaron Dunn, Donald Trump's, Morningstar, Trump, Sekera, Sekara Organizations: Morgan, Value, Exxon Mobil, Devon Energy, Exxon Mobile, U.S, Trump, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Morgan Stanley's
Aaron Dunn, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley's U.S. Value Fund , noted the "great deal of volatility" in markets following the election result, as markets reprice "what had been a 50/50 election." Speaking to CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Tuesday, Dunn, who's also co-head of value equity at Morgan Stanley, identified three stocks he is betting on following the election result. It's a diversified play in this, [that] you're getting it for just above the market multiple, with a solid runway of growth," Dunn added. According to FactSet data, of 30 analysts covering the stock, 26 give it a buy or overweight rating. He added that the company should increase its long-term growth rate guidance, given the growth in AI data centers.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Aaron Dunn, Dunn, who's, Morgan Stanley, you've, , Trump, They're Organizations: Morgan, Value, Biden Administration, Trump, U.S ., MAA, NextEra Energy Locations: Morgan Stanley's, U.S
Yet, Wall Street's reaction to the election outcome does not reflect how many Americans feel about the state of their personal finances, some financial experts say. Feelings, however, should not overshadow anyone's focus when assessing the potential impact of a second Trump presidency when it comes to finances, advisors say. "Stick to your long-term financial plan, adjusting only when your personal circumstances or goals change." However, improving your personal economy is possible by taking better control of your money, experts say. Increase savings goals Boost savings goals in accounts that also offer tax breaks.
Persons: Sharon Epperson, Stocks, Donald Trump, Rianka Dorsainvil, Dorsainvil, Roth, Roth IRAs, you've, Lee Baker, Joe Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, YGC, CNBC, Financial, U.S, Reuters Locations: Atlanta
"That's what gets them to a market cap big enough to be of interest. The resulting portfolio is effectively a small cap value fund with upside. Illiquid deletions "Deletions tend to be thinly traded, small cap, illiquid. To be sure, the strategy doesn't work for every stock that falls out of a large cap index. That's roughly the picture we have for deletions," Arnott said.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Stocks, they've, Arnott, Russell, NIXT Organizations: Airlines, Rad Laboratories, Research, American Airlines, Architects
He's also outperformed the S&P 500 over that time by returning 14% per year on average versus the index's 13.8% annualized gains. Between July and September 1999, Buffett shared his outlook for the market in a series of talks that were summarized by Fortune's Carol Loomis in November of that year. AdvertisementSince then, however, investors have enjoyed 15 years of ultra-low interest rates and growing corporate profits — a fact that has Smead worried. "The only problem is it's a curse on long-term S&P 500 performance," Smead said of the 15-year run. Related storiesBaked into Smead's outlook is an against-consensus view that inflation is set to surge again as the Fed cuts interest rates.
Persons: , Bill Smead, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Smead, Munger, He's, Buffett, Fortune's Carol Loomis Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Apple, Bank of America
Market disconnectsSpeaking of mistakes in the market, Rosenthal thinks the current composition of the market is untenable and due for a correction. "We don't think the equal-weighted S&P or any kind of index ex the Mag Seven is at an extremely low valuation," Rosenthal said. Rosenthal holds CVS (CVS) in his portfolio. Nippon Sanso (NPXYY) is a Japanese oil and gas company that Rosenthal believes is undervalued. Combined with the structural tailwind of corporate reforms within Japan, Rosenthal believes this Japanese company's stock is well-positioned to appreciate in the coming years.
Persons: , Scott Rosenthal, Rosenthal, Rosenthal's, it's Organizations: Service, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, Wiley Global Value Fund, Business, Econ, CVS, Nippon Locations: Japan
Yes, the S&P 500 is just off of all-time highs following a 36% percent rally from October to July. Major stock prices begin to perform poorly, which drags down the S&P 500 Index, which in turn causes the selling of the index. The index selling puts a drag on the largest-cap stocks, which adds more legs to the index selling." The S&P 500 is up 49% since late 2022 as bears have continued to warn of downside. AdvertisementSecond, lower interest rates would spark demand and could cause inflation to resurface, which would be good for oil stocks, Smead said.
Persons: , Smead doesn't, Smead, Warren, We're, Dow, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, Stocks, LEN Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Smead, Bank of America, Technology, Fund, Federal, Fed, DR, Occidental Petroleum, Apache
This month's market rotation into small caps is being led by a rebound in cheap stocks. According to FactSet, three of the top five small-cap exchange-traded funds in July are explicitly focused on value, including the iShares US Small Cap Value Factor ETF (SVAL) . That fund was up 11.4% for the month through Wednesday, compared to 7.4% for the broader iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) . Investors can account for profitability by looking for stocks with lower price-to-earnings ratios, one of the metrics captured by many value funds. Screening for value stocks can sometimes miss areas of trouble in the market.
Persons: FactSet, ProShares Russell, Sean O'Hara, O'Hara, Todd Sohn, Sohn Organizations: Growers, Companies
A week ago, investors were scoffing at the idea that small caps and value stocks might have a genuine summer rally. The S & P 500 Value ETF (IVE) , which holds stocks like Berkshire Hathaway , JP Morgan , Exxon Mobil and Johnson & Johnson , finally hit a new high after lagging the tech-dominated S & P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) for more than a year. This fund holds the entire stock market, minus the S & P 500. VXF 1M mountain Vanguard Extended Market ETF over the past month. This trend of buying small caps and value is clearly more than a one-day wonder: It's now a one-week wonder.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, JP Morgan, Johnson, Dave Nadig, Russell Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Johnson, Value, Opportunity Locations: Berkshire, United States
Bill Smead warns of poor long-term performance for stock indexes like the S&P 500. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Smead doesn't like the long-term outlook for big stock-market indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Despite their recent resilience and rallies to new highs, he said he sees a few red flags that could lead to poor performance for the broader market ahead.
Persons: Bill Smead, , Morningstar Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
"There are better places to make money with a lot lower risk," he added, naming several stocks he likes right now. "Right now, technology stocks are selling at 30 and 40 times earnings. The markets are at 22 times earnings. Trading at 22 times forward earnings, he said the stock offers "a great business at a very good price." The market is 21 times earnings.
Persons: David Katz, CNBC's, Katz, We're, — CNBC's Amelia Lucas Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco Systems Technology, Cisco Systems, Cisco, Starbucks, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC Financial Services Locations: U.S, Israel
Investors worried about concentration risk in the market may want to consider value-oriented investments. Avantis' U.S. Large Cap Value ETF (AVLV) tracks the Russell 1000 Value index, but with a caveat — the fund managers screen stocks using a profitability overlay. After Apple and Meta , the Large Cap Value fund's next-largest holdings are JPMorgan , Costco and Exxon Mobil , according to FactSet. Avantis' Large Cap Value ETF is up 7.7% in 2024, as of Friday's market close. The Russell 1000 Value index gained 4.5% during the same period.
Persons: Phil McInnis, CNBC's, McInnis Organizations: Avantis Investors, Apple, Meta, JPMorgan, Costco, Exxon Mobil, Financial
But this heavy focus on just a few stocks has led one portfolio manager to urge investors to diversify, naming two stocks he thinks look particularly attractive. Dunn, who also holds the title of co-head of value equity at Morgan Stanley, said other stocks offered investors "a lot of opportunity," naming two he likes. Thermo Fisher Scientific Healthcare services and biotechnology company Thermo Fisher is another favorite for Dunn, who sees it as an industry leader and "supermarket of tools and analytics." "We think [Thermo Fisher is] really ready to sort of benefit from this as the year progresses." Shares in Thermo Fisher are up around 9.5% year-to-date and 12.8% in the last 12 months.
Persons: Nvidia, Aaron Dunn, CNBC's, Dunn, Morgan Stanley, They've, BJ's Organizations: Big Tech, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Morgan, Value, Costco Wholesale, Walmart, Sam's, Fisher Scientific Healthcare, . Value Locations: Morgan Stanley's, U.S, Fisher
Caledonia Investments could see its stock price soar by more than 35% if restrictions on share buybacks are lifted, according to fund manager Brian McCormick. McCormick, who runs the Jupiter Global Value fund at Jupiter Asset Management, said Caledonia's share buybacks are limited due to restrictions in share ownership as set out in the U.K.'s Takeover Code. In addition, when the fund performs a share buyback while its stock trades below its NAV, it is buying its own assets at a 37% discount. Caledonia's buyback limits When a company buys back shares, those shares are canceled, which can increase the percentage ownership of remaining shareholders. Analysts also agree that Caledonia's limits on share buybacks right now are holding back the share price.
Persons: Brian McCormick, Philip Morris, McCormick, Robert Memmott, Iain Scouller Organizations: Microsoft, Oracle, British American Tobacco, London Stock Exchange, Jupiter Asset, CNBC Pro, London Value Investor Conference Locations: Caledonia, United States
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.
Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan
AI is very power-intensive — and its power needs are only set to rise in the coming years. Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Aaron Dunn says the "next big bottleneck" for the hyperscalers — which are doing a lot of the cloud computing for AI applications — is either power or fiber. And that's why Dunn is "pretty bullish" on utilities, naming one stock to play it: CMS Energy . "And so these utilities … have a very favorable opportunity to draw solid earnings growth and good returns for them," Dunn concluded. Their power consumption is set to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 11% through 2030, the bank said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Aaron Dunn, CNBC's, Dunn, Eaton Vance, BofA, — CNBC's Pia Singh Organizations: Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, Morgan Stanley U.S . Value, CMS Energy, CNBC, Emerson, Nvidia Locations: United States
In a market bedazzled by flashy growth stocks, Torray Investment Partners instead runs a fund that's trying to redefine what value is. The Torray Fund , founded by the late Robert Torray in 1990, is ahead 7.4% so far this year, outpacing the 6.5% gain in the S & P 500. Apart from the Torray Fund, the firm manages four other concentrated portfolios that also hold between 20 and 30 companies. These portfolios are separately managed accounts of either concentrated large growth companies, small- and mid-capitalization growth names, large value companies and equity income. Compared to other large value funds, Torray is overweight in all three.
Persons: iShares Russell, Jeffrey Lent, Robert Torray, Berkshire Hathaway, Morningstar, Lent, Shawn Hendon, Eaton, McLennan, Hendon, Torray, it's Organizations: Torray Investment Partners, Value, Torray, Russell, Berkshire, American Express, Marsh, Financial, Morningstar, Applied Materials, Qualcomm, Nvidia Locations: Eaton, Berkshire
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China
In a note on Tuesday, Smead shared the secrets to his success via four guiding principles for outperforming the market. What is worse, losing $30 per share or the sin of omission by missing the next $120 gain per share?" "Our optimism for companies goes up as the price goes down when it fits our eight criteria for stock selection," Smead said. 7 stocks Smead is betting on nowIn the note, Smead listed seven companies he owns that fit these criteria: oil firms Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and ConocoPhillips (COP); homebuilders D.R. We believe that 100% of the people who pick stocks for a living think they will be above average," Smead said.
Persons: Bill Smead, Cole, He's, Smead, D.R, Horton, LEN Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Morningstar, Bank of America, Occidental Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, Merck, US
There are opportunities in the banking sector despite a rise in volatility and concern over steep losses at some lenders, according to fund manager Cole Smead. The stock makes up 1.36% of the Smead Value Fund . He believes UniCredit's share buybacks while the shares trade below book value will drive book value growth higher than the current 8% return on equity. "When you buy back shares below book, there is a multiplier effect on book value growth," Smead explained. The fund manager expects UniCredit will trade above book value over the next 12-18 months and use its stock to pursue further acquisitions.
Persons: Cole Smead, Switzerland's, Julius Baer, Smead, CNBC's, RoE, UniCredit Organizations: Smead Capital, Western Alliance Bank, KBW, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, Western Alliance Bank's, CNBC Pro Locations: Europe, U.S
One investor, however, has set his sights on another company offering a "value angle" on both semiconductors and artificial intelligence. Micron makes dynamic random access memory chips and NAND flash memory chips. DRAM, or dynamic random access memory, is a type of semiconductor memory needed for data processing. Micron is the third-largest player in the memory sector, coming after just South Korea's SK Hynix and Samsung , he added. Wolfe Research said Micron will likely benefit from a strong recovery in 2025 in both the DRAM and NAND space.
Persons: Aaron Dunn, CNBC's, Dunn, Morgan Stanley, you've, Goldman Sachs, Wolfe Organizations: Nvidia, Google, Micron Technology, Micron, Morgan, Value, South Korea's SK Hynix, Samsung, MU, UBS, Bank of America, Wolfe Research Locations: Morgan Stanley's
Among the most broadly played investment "factors" — including value, momentum, low volatility, dividend yield — quality has dominated the market, the representative iShares MSCI USA Quality ETF (QUAL) up 25% in the past year, compared to 13% for S & P 500 value and less than 5% for the equal-weighted S & P 500. Even within industry sectors, the stocks with higher quality scores have sped ahead ( Costco in retail, WW Grainger in industrials, etc.). The quality label is based on strong balance sheets, high and steady profit margins, consistency of earnings growth and the like. Sure, there are multi-year secular growth stories animating the AI innovators and weight-loss-drug developers, but most quality stocks stand out for steadiness. Any give-back of the leading quality growth names wouldn't be easily absorbed by the broader market.
Persons: iShares, WW Grainger, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, FactSet, Michael Gates, Ed Yardeni, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Nike, Bank of America, Citi, Invest, BlackRock's, Yardeni Research Locations: industrials, Berkshire
GlobalStock | Getty ImagesReturn assumptions as a lesson on compoundingThe point of the example was not to expect a 12% average rate of return on your money, Orman tells CNBC.com. Why 12% is an optimistic benchmarkThere's a reason that 12% tends to be used as a benchmark, according to Blanchett. How much retirement savers can expect to earnSo how much can you realistically expect to earn on your retirement investments? The first example with a 12% average rate of return is to illustrate the power of compounding. How your personal rate of return may varyTo be sure, no rates of return are guaranteed.
Persons: Orman, CNBC.com, Young, Roth, Ramsey, Blanchett, It's, " Blanchett, Brian Spinelli, Spinelli Organizations: IRA, Fidelity, Global, CNBC's Locations: Long Beach, Calif
That's largely because IRA investors are "retail" investors while 401(k) savers often get access to more favorable "institutional" pricing. "Are you able to pay less by staying in your 401(k) plan?" The bottom line: Compare annual 401(k) fees — like investment "expense ratios" and administrative costs — to those of an IRA. And your current employer may not accept rollovers into your 401(k) from a previous employer's plan. Many 401(k) plans may not allow retirees as much flexibility.
Persons: Ellen Lander, Lander, Carolyn McClanahan, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, you'd Organizations: Investment, IRA, Renaissance, Planning Partners, CNBC's FA, of America, Company, Workers Locations: IRAs, Jacksonville , Florida, CNBC's, Atlanta
That was exacerbated as interest rates went up," Aaron Dunn, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley's U.S. Value Fund, told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Friday. When pressed on what stocks make good plays, Dunn responded with four names, adding: "There's a lot of opportunities out there to pick up really good companies on the cheap." It made up 2.4% of his U.S. Value Fund as of Oct. 31. Dollar Tree Elsewhere, the value investor is bullish on value store, Dollar Tree , which made up almost 3% of the U.S. Value Fund holdings, as of Oct. 31. Year-to-date shares are now up nearly 1% but this is " well under its intrinsic value," Dunn said.
Persons: , Aaron Dunn, CNBC's, Dunn, Morgan Stanley, – they've, Clorox Organizations: Morgan, Value, Agricultural, FMC Corporation, . Value, FMC, Alcoa Corp Aluminum, Alcoa, . Value Fund Locations: Morgan Stanley's, Alcoa, China
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