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After hitting two-decade highs nearing 8% late last year, mortgage rates have fallen, dipping nearly as low as 6% in September. Mortgage rates are expected to stay stuck above 6% for at least the next two years, according to economists and recent forecasts. Home sales are on track for their worst year since 1995 due to home-price growth and elevated mortgage rates. Mortgage rates are closely tied to the 10-year US Treasury yield. Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones last month said a swelling national debt under Trump would be frowned upon by the bond market.
Persons: Freddie Mac, ” Lawrence Yun, , Wells, Fannie Mae, Donald Trump’s, Trump, ” Bernard Baumohl, Paul Tudor Jones, “ We’re, , Nick Dus, “ They’ve, Dus, NAR’s Yun, Yun, ” Yun, Samantha Delouya Organizations: Washington CNN, National Association of Realtors, Federal, Treasury, Economic Outlook, Billionaire, Trump, CNBC, CNN, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, Evansville , Indiana
Now, unmarried women are no longer part of an edgy cultural vanguard — they're the official status quo. As of 2021, a record 52% of American women were either unmarried or separated, according to a report by Wells Fargo Economics. Single women also have single men outnumbered: A Census Bureau analysis of 2019 data found that for every 90 unmarried men in the US, there were 100 unmarried women. In a 2019 survey from the Pew Research Center, only 38% of single women reported looking for dates or a relationship, compared with 61% of single men. Even before 1970, it was far from unusual to see American women working for a living.
Persons: Rebecca Traister, Samantha Nation, JD Vance, , Claudia Goldin, Jess Carbino, Tinder, Gary Becker, Elizabeth Crofoot, Carmindy Bowyer, Bowyer, didn't, truer, Stephanie Manes, Katie Roiphe, Singledom, Paul Dolan, Richard Reeves, Nicholas Eberstadt, Bella DePaulo, DePaulo Organizations: Los Angeles Times, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Pew Research Center, of Labor Statistics, Census, Pew, American Enterprise Institute's, Social Locations: Wells Fargo, New York City
Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway
  + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Powell said more rate cuts are likely underway because the economy’s current trends and dynamics are expected to remain in place, at least in the short run. “We are moving policy over time to a more neutral setting,” Powell said in prepared remarks for an event in Dallas. It’s also too soon for Fed officials to conclude that October data is indicative of any new trend. While additional hot inflation reports could be factored in to the Fed’s decisions, officials are also looking at the US labor market closely. There’s also been tension between Trump and Powell, whom the president-elect first nominated in 2017 to steer the central bank.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump, Trump’s, It’s, Price, , , There’s Organizations: Washington CNN — Federal, Republican, Fed Locations: Dallas, stoke, Trump
One US company, just two days after Trump’s reelection, says it isn’t wasting time getting out of China. Steve Madden, a $3 billion shoe company, announced Thursday that it would rapidly halve its Chinese production to avoid Trump’s tariffs. But here’s the catch: Steve Madden isn’t moving its production to the United States. ‘There for a reason’The retail industry has been crying foul over Trump’s tariffs for quite some time – apparel and shoe companies in particular. Trump’s tariffs could cost the typical middle-income US household more than $2,600 per year, according to research from Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Persons: Donald Trump, Steve Madden, Steve Madden’s, Edward Rosenfeld, , ” Rosenfeld, Rosenfeld, Trump, Joe Biden, Madden, Laura Champine, ” Champine, it’s, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Steven Mnuchin, Donald Trump’s, CNN’s Jake Tapper, ” Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, Wall Street, National Retail Federation, Companies, Wall, American, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: United States, China, USA, Cambodia, Vietnam, Mexico, Brazil, America
Striking Boeing workers voted in favor of a 38% pay rise. The latest big victory for US labor unions could inspire others despite the tense process. AdvertisementThe machinists' victory is the latest to highlight the power of labor unions in the US. It has been a tense road for the roughly 33,000 unionized Boeing workers who began their strike on September 13. That may only grow more common as workers find inspiration from others' victories, something noted by the president of the Boeing union.
Persons: we've, Joe Biden, , Gary R, Allen, Julie Su, Brian Bryant Organizations: Boeing, Service, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, IAM Union, IAM, Territory, machinists, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, National Labor Relations Board, US Locations: Seattle, United States
The Fed is going to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December, Citi economist Veronica Clark said. Labor market weakness is showing across a number of data points, she said. According to Veronica Clark, deteriorating labor dynamics will force the central bank to cut rates by 50 basis points in December. Her point has grown more evident after October's jobs report underwhelmed expectations with only 12,000 jobs added. AdvertisementThough October's unemployment rate stayed unchanged on a rounded basis, Clark noted that it was it nearly rounded to 4.2%.
Persons: Veronica Clark, It's, Clark, , Reserve isn't Organizations: Citi, Labor, Service, Reserve, Bloomberg
How much and how fast is hard to know, but you can bet your bottom dollar you’ll be needing more dollars to pay for everyday goods if Trump’s sweeping tariffs are put in place. “If we get tariffs, we will pass those tariff costs back to the consumer,” said Philip Daniele, CEO of AutoZone, on an earnings call in September. But several studies conclude that the cost of those tariffs were borne almost entirely by American consumers and businesses. The most generous interpretation of Trump’s tariff plan would be that he’s trying to force US businesses to move their overseas operations back on US soil, creating jobs. Even if tariffs could undo decades of globalization, it likely wouldn’t have the effect Trump is hoping for.
Persons: , Philip Daniele, AutoZone, Daniele, it’s, we’ve, he’s, Trump, Timothy Boyle, Boyle, we’re, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Treasury, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Columbia, Washington Post, Trump, Associated Press, AP, Trump -, Walmart, Target, aren’t Locations: New York, China, Beijing, United States
Boeing workers vote to accept deal, end strike
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Striking workers at embattled plane maker Boeing voted Monday to accept the company’s most recent offer, ending the costliest strike in the United States in more than 25 years. The International Association of Machinists (IAM) said rank-and-file members voted by 59% to approve the deal. But the deal did not restore the traditional pension plan they lost in 2014 from their previous labor deal. But despite the deep financial problems, Boeing had little choice but to settle the strike and get the workers back on the job. Boeing’s economic impactDespite its problems, Boeing is still a major contributor to the US economy, as it is the largest American exporter.
Persons: Boeing’s, “ I’m, , Jon Holden, , Holden, Kelly Ortberg, Workers ’, It’s, ” Holden, We’ll, they’ve, Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Boeing, International Association of Machinists, IAM, ” Boeing, Workers, ” Companies, Research, Anderson Economic Group, Labor, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, United States, Michigan
CNN —Private sector hiring blew past expectations in October, another sign that the US labor market remains on solid footing, payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday. Non-governmental employers added 233,000 jobs in October, a sharp acceleration from the 159,000 net increase reported for September, according to ADP’s latest National Employment Report. Wednesday’s gains throttled economists’ expectations for job growth to slow to a mere 108,000 jobs from the initial estimate of 143,000, FactSet estimates show. Pantheon Macroeconomics is sticking with its forecast of 100,000 payroll gains, according to an investors note sent Wednesday. And while a resurgence in the labor market could raise concerns about a reacceleration in inflation, October’s ADP data showed otherwise, Richardson said.
Persons: Nela Richardson, Hurricane Helene, ADP’s tabulations, ” Richardson, Richardson, , Irma, ” Samuel Tombs, Milton …, Wednesday’s, Organizations: CNN, ADP, Boeing, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, Pantheon, Companies, Federal Reserve Locations: Hurricane Milton, Carolina, Florida, Milton, South Atlantic
At Starbucks, Niccol inherits a company that under previous leadership consistently disappointed investors with weakening sales, including back-to-back periods of negative same-store sales growth this year. Operations Upon taking over Chipotle, Niccol's focus was on improving operations after the rise of digital orders complicated execution and increased wait times. The addition of shelves alone accelerated the use of Chipotle's second "make line," where digital orders are prepared in the back of the store. To rebuild consumer trust at Chipotle, Chipotle launched the "Behind the Foil" campaign to showcase transparency in food preparation. His marketing approach "brought new news in a positive way toward Chipotle," Silberman said.
Persons: Brian Niccol's, Brian Niccol, Jim Cramer, Laxman Narasimhan, Niccol, Chipotle, Howard Schultz, Narasimhan, Schultz, Jefferies, Andy Barish, Barish, Lauren Silberman, Silberman, Rachel Ruggeri, there's, It's, Carne Asada, Queso Blanco, Chipotle's, Deutsche Bank's Silberman, hasn't, Tressie Lieberman, Lieberman, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Adam Jeffery Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, Street, North America, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche, Taco, Yum Brands, Yahoo, LinkedIn, Starbucks Workers Locations: Chipotle, Niccol, China, U.S, Denver, Michigan, Maine
Julie Su is in Seattle to mediate Boeing worker strike to resume negotiations. Boeing's strike began after workers rejected a 25% pay raise, demanding 40% and other benefits instead. AdvertisementBoeing's worker strike appears to be in such a stalemate that the US's top labor official flew to Seattle to mediate. In separate Monday meetings, Acting Secretary of Labor Julie Su urged both parties to move forward, the labor union for aerospace workers said in a statement. Su mediated a 75,000-person healthcare worker strike against Kaiser Permanente in October 2023.
Persons: Julie Su, Boeing's, , Labor Julie Su, Su, Biden, Boeing Machinists Organizations: Boeing, Service, Labor, Anderson Economic Group, Reuters, Labour Union, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, Kaiser Permanente, United, Alaska Air, Emirates, RyanAir Locations: Seattle, Union, Gulf Coast, United Airlines
Ye has been accused in a new lawsuit of threatening to kill a former employee. The plaintiff said he was asked to investigate the Kardashian family. AdvertisementYe, the embattled rapper formerly known as Kanye West, has been accused in a new lawsuit of threatening to kill an employee who says he was tasked with investigating bizarre conspiracy theories surrounding the Kardashian family. "John Doe was also tasked by Ye with investigating the Kardashian family and supposed various criminal links Ye believed they had with criminal enterprises, including alleged sex trafficking," the lawsuit says. Reps for Ye and the Kardashian family — which includes Ye's ex-wife, Kim Kardashian — did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Business Insider on Thursday.
Persons: Ye, Kardashian, , John Doe, Ye's, Bianca Censori, Kim Kardashian, Pete Davidson, Pete Davidson's, Censori, Doe, Ron Zambrano, Zambrano Organizations: Service, Business, TikTok, TMZ, Donda Academy, Plaintiff, West Coast Employment Lawyers Locations: California, Australia, North West
Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's
New York CNN —The deal reached Thursday evening that ended a strike by 50,000 portworkers has a lot of winners and few if any losers. But that wage deal stopped what could have become the most disruptive US strike in decades had it lasted weeks or months. The strike halted the flow of imports and exports across dozens of ports, what could have been a massive blow had the strike continued. Not that this was the deal that the the United States Maritime Alliance, the group that negotiates on behalf of ship lines, terminal operators and ports, wanted. But it was the one they could settle for after the Biden administration made clear it wasn’t going to intervene.
Persons: portworkers, Harold Daggett, Daggett, Sal Mercogliano, , ” Mercogliano, Mercogliano, Bryan R, Smith, Biden, Joe Biden, Taft, Hartley, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg —, Democrats ’, Julie Su, , Organizations: New, New York CNN, International Longshoremen’s Association, ILA, Campbell University, National Retail Federation, United States Maritime Alliance, Getty, Transportation, Democrats, Labor Locations: New York, West Coast, AFP, New Jersey
Research Affiliates CIO Chris Brightman believes immigration reform is needed to boost the economy. One proposed policy is projected to energize the labor market and liquidate $0.6 trillion in debt. But to one chief investment officer, immigration policy isn't a matter of political debate — it's an economic nonnegotiable. A declining population brings with it a declining labor force. Immigration policy solutionsBrightman sees the need for more friendly immigration policies such as providing permanent residency to immigrants who graduate from US universities.
Persons: Chris Brightman, , Brightman, they're Organizations: Research, Service, Social Security, Medicare, Immigrants, Penn Wharton Budget, Immigration Locations: Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Canada, New Zealand, Australia, outlays
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
CNN —The number of available jobs in the US grew in August, signaling an undercurrent of strength in the labor market at a time when its vitals are being carefully monitored by the Federal Reserve. There were an estimated 8.04 million job openings in August, up from an upwardly revised 7.71 million in July, according to new data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report kicks off a week chock-full of critical economic data for the US labor market, culminating with the Friday jobs report. The health of the job market has leap-frogged inflation to become the top concern for the Fed, which cut its benchmark interest rate last month for the first time in four years. Alternatively, available jobs shrank across many service sectors, including finance, and arts and entertainment.
Persons: what’s Organizations: CNN, Federal, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor
But the strike could pose several issues for Vice President Harris in her presidential campaign. AdvertisementThere's a labor storm a-brewing off the East Coast — but don't expect to see President Joe Biden stepping in anytime soon. MATTHEW HATCHER/AFP via Getty ImagesThe strike throws another wrench into the 2024 raceThe strike has the potential to further upend what has already been a dizzying presidential race. Vice President Kamala Harris is now carrying the banner of the Biden administration's pro-union policies as the Democratic presidential nominee. But Harris' union ties are not as deep as those enjoyed by Biden.
Persons: Joe Biden, Harris, , dockworkers, it's, Biden, Taft, George W, Bush, Hartley, Cathy Creighton, Creighton, Hamilton Nolan, Nolan, USMX, Hurricane Helene, Independent Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, MATTHEW HATCHER, Trump, they're Organizations: Service, Gulf Coasts, International Longshoremen's Association, US Maritime Alliance, Workers, Cornell University's Industrial, Labor Relations Buffalo Co, Labor, ILA, , Independent, Getty, Biden, Democratic, Teamsters, Trump, AFL, United Auto Workers, United Steelworkers, Republicans, Republican Party Locations: East Coast, Gulf of Mexico, East, West Coast, Taft, Hurricane, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Michigan , Nevada, Pennsylvania
It represents the major shipping lines, all of which are foreign-owned, as well as terminal operators and port authorities. Depending on duration, a strike could mean shortages of consumer and industrial goods, possibly driving up prices again. That labor peace has helped them capture market share from West Coast ports that have historically had more contentious labor relations. But he said the shipping lines appear unwilling to pay what it takes this time. The shipping lines realize the problem with having Biden order the union back to work, said Tirschwell.
Persons: Luke Sharrett, Patrick Anderson, , USMX, Harold Daggett, John McCown, containerization, Brendan Smialowski, Peter Tirschwell, , Republican Donald Trump, ” Tirschwell, hasn’t, Jonathan Gold, ” Gold, Biden, Joe Biden, Taft, Hartley, George W, Bush, Bradley Saunders, Daggett, ’ ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Maritime Association, International Longshoremen’s Association, BMW, Port, Bloomberg, Getty, ILA, Anderson Economic Group, , P Global Market Intelligence, Federal Maritime Administration, Republican, National Retail Federation, North, Capital Economics, United Auto Workers Locations: New York, Maine, Texas, East Coast, Gulf, Gulf Coast, of New York, New Jersey, Port Wilmington, Delaware, Port, Baltimore, Port of Charleston, South Carolina, Charleston , South Carolina, West Coast, Michigan, Port of Baltimore, Baltimore , Maryland, AFP, East, North American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRosenberg: Falling demand for workers is leading to higher unemploymentDavid Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research talks about supply and demand dynamics in the US labor market, and says the higher unemployment rate comes down to weaker demand, not higher supply.
Persons: Rosenberg, David Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research
In a note to clients, Slok issued a more positive outlook on the US job market, even as hiring has slowed this year. "It is inconsistent to say that the incoming economic data is strong but the labor market is weakening," Slok wrote. AdvertisementHowever, consumption and business spending data have been strong in recent months. If the 30-year fixed rate slumps to around 5%, that could that could spark a rebound in home sales, providing a boost to the economy and job market, Slok said. AdvertisementThe outlook for the job market, though, remains mixed, with some commentators warning that hiring could continue to slow due to the lagged impact of the Fed's rate hikes.
Persons: , Torsten Slok, Slok, Freddie Mac, David Rosenberg, who's Organizations: Service, Apollo Global Management, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Challenger, IRA, Atlanta Fed Locations: Atlanta
New York CNN —Boeing said Monday it has raised its offer to the International Association of Machinists union to end the strike by 33,000 union members that has now entered its 11th day. “We heard your feedback,” said a statement from Boeing to union members on its website. But it did not restore the traditional pension plan that union members lost 10 years ago in a previous labor agreement. An IAM spokesperson said the union did not have an immediate comment on the new offer. In a decision that took place just before the strike began, 95% of union members voted against the previous tentative labor agreement.
Persons: , , “ We’ve Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, International Association of, IAM, Union Locations: New York, West Coast, South Carolina
New York CNN —Norfolk Southern CEO Alan Shaw was fired for cause by the railroad’s board for “engaging in a consensual relationship with the company’s chief legal officer,” who was also terminated, the railroad announced Wednesday evening. Shaw had been CEO of one of the nation’s four largest freight railroads for just over two years. And he received praise from some past critics of the railroads for steps he took after the February 2023 derailment in East Palestine to improve railroad safety. Still, Norfolk’s actions related to the derailment received harsh criticism from Jennifer Homendy, chair of the National Transportation Safety Board, which investigated the accident. She said Norfolk Southern’s actions following the derailment put first responders and neighbors of the derailment site at unnecessary risk.
Persons: Alan Shaw, , Shaw, , Nabanita Nag, Mark George, Claude Mongeau, Amit Bose, Ancora, Jennifer Homendy Organizations: New, New York CNN, Norfolk, CNN, of Locomotive Engineers, Norfolk Southern, Federal Railroad Administration, National Transportation Safety Board, NTSB Locations: New York, Norfolk Southern, East Palestine , Ohio, Ohio, Norfolk, East Palestine, Shaw
That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.
Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, , Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, , Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida
Economists were expecting a net gain of 160,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to fall to 4.2%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. With inflation pretty much tamed and moderating as expected, the Federal Reserve has turned its focus to the labor market (the other part of its dual mandate). Job growth has been slowing, but there were indications that the labor market was weakening under the weight of 23-year-high interest rates. A ‘place of stability’July’s shockingly weak jobs report stoked fears that the jobs market was collapsing, potentially taking the economy into a downturn. And while a rate cut is coming, the jury is still out on the exact size of that move.
Persons: ” Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, August’s, We’re, Rachel Sederberg, , Becky Frankiewicz, , , Kory Kantenga, , ” Kantenga, Michelle Holder, haven’t Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, ManpowerGroup, Retail, Americas, LinkedIn, John Jay College, City University of New Locations: ManpowerGroup North America, Michigan, City University of New York
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