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In today's big story, billionaire Ken Griffin has some advice for President-elect Donald Trump, including a suggestion for his Treasury pick . While speaking Thursday at the Economic Club of New York, Griffin said he appreciates the importance of those issues to Americans but said aggressive tactics to address them could make things work. Griffin is one of the biggest donors to the Republican Party, but declined to publicly endorse either presidential candidate this year. AdvertisementModeration hasn't been the name of the game for Trump with some of his proposed policies. AdvertisementHe said he'd be open to selling a minority stake in his hedge fund to the right partner.
Persons: it's, Ken Griffin, Donald Trump, Trump Ken Griffin, Mike Blake, Insider's Bradley Saacks, Michelle Abrego, Griffin, Manny Roman, Trump, Marc Rowan, Rowan, Alexander Tamargo, Thoma Bravo Griffin, he'd, Zalubowski, Chelsea Jia Feng, Elon, Paul, Tyson, Megyn Kelly, Tucker Carlson Ron Antonelli, Chip Somodevilla, Rebecca Zisser, Tucker Carlson, Bari Weiss, BI's Peter Kafka, Chris Balfe, Ridley Scott's, You've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jack Sommers, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Treasury, Trump, Citadel, Milken, Global Conference, Reuters, Economic, of New, Republican Party, Citadel Securities, Sequoia, Millennium Management, BlackRock, Chelsea, Getty, Netflix, Bank of America, NY Daily, Fox News, Auto, Ford, GM, Volkswagen Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, of New York, Montreal, New York, London, Chicago
Yet there is another force that could deter Trump from some of his most extreme instincts: the $50 trillion US stock market. A view of the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street on November 13 in New York City. A view of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall Street November 13, 2024, in New York City. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images“There is zero chance that he will take personally any negative feedback from the stock market,” said Sonnenfeld. While the stock market initially celebrated the election results, the bond market did not.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Cohn, Trump, Jack Smith, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, , Isaac Boltansky, Angela Weiss, Jerome Powell, Trump’s, Xi Jinping, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Alexander Hamilton, Chip Somodevilla, ” Lori Calvasina, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Republicans, Dow Jones, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, CNN, Yale, Leadership, Treasury, Fed, U.S . Department of Treasury, RBC Capital Markets Locations: New York, China, New York City, Argentina, Washington, , Washington ,, recalibrate
AdvertisementWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway bought Domino's Pizza and Pool Corp. stock last quarter. Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway added Domino's Pizza and Pool Corp. to its stock portfolio last quarter, a regulatory filing revealed on Thursday. The famed investor's conglomerate bought nearly 1.3 million shares of Domino's, a 3.7% stake worth $549 million at the end of September. The result is that Pool Corp. sits firmly within Buffett's "circle of competence," which he keeps in mind to ensure that he only invests in things he understands. Neither Domino's nor Pool Corp. classify as cheap on a price-to-earnings basis.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Ted Weschler, Todd Combs, , Kraft Heinz, McLane Organizations: Corp, Domino's, Pool Corp, Kraft, Company, Berkshire, Clayton Homes, Acme Locations: Berkshire
He said comparisons to the dot-com peak in 2000 are fair. Advertisement"This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott told Business Insider on November 11. But Arnott believes AI optimism, which has driven the lion's share of the rally, is already fully priced in. At 37 times earnings, just below the late-2021 peak of 38, before the market fell by 25%, and the 2000 peak of 43, right in front of a 50% loss. "This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish.
Persons: Rob Arnott, he's, Arnott, , Donald Trump, Trump, disruptors, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Chief US, Business, Goldman Sachs Bank of America's Global, Equity, Bank of America, CNBC's, Alpha Locations: irrelevance
Representatives for Trump’s transition team and the FTC didn’t respond to requests for comment. Wall Street, which has been on a tear since Trump’s decisive victory last week, appears to be ready to turn the page on the Khan era. Similarly, the FTC has gone after Big Tech, Big Pharma and even Big Mattress in the name of keeping competition robust. To them, Khan and her DOJ partner in trustbusting, Jonathan Kanter, represent a threat to the bottom line. Since last week’s election, both Kroger and Albertsons shares have risen sharply as investors anticipate the deal would face little resistance under Trump’s FTC.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — Lina Khan’s, Donald Trump, Khan, she’s, Lina Khan, Jennifer Rie, kowtow, Jonathan Kanter, Elon Musk, Trump, ” Barry Diller, , , Republican “ Khanservative, JD Vance, Gail Slater, Vance, , David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Donald Trump’s, Brian Gardner, ” Gardner, Susie Wiles Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, Republican, Bloomberg Intelligence, CNN, Justice, Albertsons, Big Tech, Big Pharma, IAC, Democratic, Bloomberg, Kroger, Trump’s FTC, Goldman Sachs ’, White, Trump, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, it’s, trustbusting, Washington
Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business
Kostin expects the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and mid-cap stocks to gain from a broadening market. Today, the 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 36% of the entire index by market capitalization. Related storiesThis gap between the top S&P 500 performers and the rest of the index hasn't occurred since the dot-com bubble. "The evidence is strongly in support of the fact that growth rates for high revenue growth companies tend to fade," he added. For that reason, Kostin is expecting the S&P 500 equal-weight SPW index to outperform the market-cap-weighted S&P 500.
Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, , Goldman Sachs, Kostin isn't, that's, he's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco
Here are 39 quality economically sensitive stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley. Economically sensitive stocks, including financials and industrials, took off in anticipation of that result and caught fire after it became official. Several parts of the stock market seem to be preparing for another Trump presidency, according to Morgan Stanley. "Markets generally welcomed a reflationary playbook in 2016," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementRegardless of who's in office, Morgan Stanley outlined a list of 39 economically sensitive stocks that should do well.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, , Trump, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Locations: Financials
AdvertisementWall Street bankers tasked with helping companies raise money through sales of stock just got an early Christmas present. The sale ended up raising nearly $21 billion, marking one of the largest deals for US equity-capital-markets bankers in history. Thanks to the Boeing capital raise, he now predicts ECM bonus increases of 30%, he said. 'A rising tide lifts all boats,' comp expert saysThe ultimate size of Boeing's capital raise puts it in league with some of the largest raises ever, according to global equity capital raise data provided by LSEG. But, based on Johnson's forecast, it seems those involved in the Boeing capital raise may find themselves flying highest on bonus day.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , bookrunners Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Alan Johnson, Johnson, Semafor, Thoma Bravo, It's, they've Organizations: Boeing, PJT Partners, RBC Capital Markets, Service, Monday, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wall, Johnson Associates, LSEG, Petrobras, Lloyds, Nasdaq Locations: Brazilian, British
Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson says the stock market's bull run could slow if the dollar strengthens again. AdvertisementMorgan Stanley's top stock strategist is eyeing one risk in particular that could threaten the stock market's big rally: a stronger US dollar. According to the firm's chief US equity strategist, Mike Wilson, a dollar re-strengthening could hinder stock gains. The greenback weakened as markets prepared for steep rate cuts, but that move has reversed in recent weeks as strong economic data makes more aggressive policy easing less likely. Wilson's call comes two years into the market's bull rally, with major indexes continuing to hit fresh all-time highs.
Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, , that's, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Radio, Federal Locations: China, Japan
Positioning in financial stocks is light relative to other sectors, Morgan Stanley says. AdvertisementInvestors are lingering in defensive trades that don't take advantage of the economy's strength, Morgan Stanley said, highlighting opportunities in underinvested sectors. The firm — which just last week upgraded cyclical stocks to "overweight" relative to defensives — described the financials group as particularly attractive. Morgan Stanley said net exposure to financials was in the bottom 15th percentile of a historical data series that goes back to 2010. Morgan Stanley noted that this weakness lowered earnings-season expectations for investors, making it easier for major lenders to outperform forecasts.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , financials, Mike Wilson, Wells Fargo, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bank, JPMorgan, Utilities, defensives, ISM Locations: Basel
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSoftware has the 'highest bar' within the Tech sector, says Citi's Drew PettittDrew Pettit, Citi Research Director of US Equity Strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the near and long-term market outlook.
Persons: Citi's Drew Pettitt Drew Pettit Organizations: Software, Tech, Citi Research, Equity
US stocks are clicking on all cylinders, which led Goldman Sachs to lift its S&P 500 target again. Here are 25 companies set for outstanding earnings growth in 2025. The financial titan originally set its 2024 S&P 500 target at 4,700, then lifted it a month later to 5,100. That would translate to $241 worth of S&P 500 earnings, before an 11% jump in 2025 to $268 and an additional 7% leap in 2026 to $288. This month, the firm shared a coveted list of companies with the strongest expected earnings growth in 2025.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: Service, Wall, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Communication
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. AdvertisementOne election result may cause 'seismic shocks'Partisans are convinced that this election is the most important ever, as they always are. The market isn't convinced, judging by where the VIX is trading just a month away from election day. "Let's think about a world where Trump gets into power and poses a 60% tariff on China," Orlik said.
Persons: there's, Tom Orlik, , Tim Walz, JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, shouldn't, who'd, Nancy Davis, Davis, Tanvir Sandhu, Sandhu, Chris Murphy, Murphy, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Orlik, Trump's, Murphy isn't, I'm Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, White, Trump, Bloomberg Economics, Bloomberg Intelligence, Traders, Biden, Nvidia, Qualcomm Locations: Susquehanna, China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailREITs & Utilities dominated Q3, markets don't know where to turn now, says RBC's Lori CalvasinaAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, and Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets head of US equity strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: RBC's Lori Calvasina Adam Crisafulli, Lori Calvasina Organizations: Utilities, Vital Knowledge, RBC Capital Markets
Iran is preparing to launch an imminent ballistic missile attack against Israel, a senior White House official said on Tuesday. Advertisement"The United States has indications that Iran is preparing to imminently launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel," the official said in a statement shared with Business Insider. "We are actively supporting defensive preparations to defend Israel against this attack," the official added. "A direct military attack from Iran against Israel will carry severe consequences for Iran." Safe haven assets like gold surged, as did oil prices, which rose on speculation the conflict could limit production.
Persons: Israel Organizations: White House, Business, Israel Locations: Iran, Israel, United States, Lebanon
There's an unusually wide gap between highly efficient companies and everyone else. Here are 25 standout stocks to consider ahead of the Q3 earnings season. AdvertisementThe market's most efficient companies are separating from the pack at a crucial time in the year. AdvertisementThe gap between highly efficient companies — as measured by returns on equity — and other stocks in the S&P 500 has widened, Goldman Sachs found. 25 increasingly efficient stocks to targetIn his weekly note, Kostin shared an updated list of 50 stocks set to enjoy the largest growth in returns on equity.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service
A strong jobs report would boost low-quality stocks, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley analysts say. AdvertisementInvestor eyes are locked on the upcoming jobs report, due Friday. If it comes in strong, that will be great news for less-loved, lower-quality stocks, analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley say. Morgan Stanley's equity-strategy team is also keyed in on the jobs report. Wilson also highlighted the jobs report as a possible catalyst for rotation towards low quality in the stock market.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, , David Kostin, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Service, firm's
The popular 60/40 portfolio of stocks and bonds has returned double digits annually since 1979. Inker shares the risks of the 60/40 strategy and where he's looking for opportunities. AdvertisementFor decades, the 60/40 strategy has been the gold standard of investing. As a result, the 60/40 portfolio right now is not set up to generate attractive returns. Related storiesInvesting against the grainInstead of the traditional 60/40 portfolio, Inker recommends taking a more flexible approach to different asset allocations.
Persons: Ben, , Jeremy Grantham, doesn't, they've Organizations: Service, Bloomberg
AdvertisementThe large-cap real estate sector benefits from Wall Street's massive investment in data centers, a necessary infrastructure component of the artificial intelligence buildout. AdvertisementIn Subramanian's view, part of the appeal of value sectors is the high dividends they offer. As the Fed's cutting cycle pulls down short-term yields, money market investors will search for new sources of income. She previously noted that dividend yields are especially alluring in real estate. Since 2008, real estate dividends has doubled the proportion of high-quality market cap.
Persons: they're, Subramanian, , Savita Subramanian, BofA's, BofA, Scott Chronert Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CNBC, Bloomberg Locations: China, Beijing
In today's big story, the economy is heading in the right direction, but consumers aren't buying it . Things seem to be going really well for the economy, right? Consumers aren't feeling bullish about the economy these days. Last time around, pesky inflation was keeping things like groceries and housing costs high, even as the rest of the economy showed improvement. China's stimulus plan to boost its ailing economy sent emerging markets indexes to their highest level since April 2022 .
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, We've, Insider's Juliana Kaplan, Spencer Platt, Getty, Tyler Le, We'll, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Steven Blitz, China's, aren't, Chelsea Jia Feng, weren't, Natalie Ammari, that's, Ron Sherman, Gen, Mark Zuckerberg, Dan DeFrancesco, Jack Sommers, Jordan Parker Erb, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Fed, Chelsea, Spotify, Visa, US Justice Department, Prosecutors, Meta Locations: Austin , Texas, New York, London
The stock market could jump as much as 10% by the year-end, Citi's stock-trading strategy head said. He said the economy only needs to avoid a recession, which will ultimately depend on the labor market. And that is now a plausible scenario," the firm's head of US equity-trading strategy told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. If this is achieved, stocks can surge another 5% to 10% by the end of this year, Kaiser said. But though the Fed emphasized that it was not forecasting a looming downturn during its latest policy meeting, it all hinges on incoming labor market data, he noted.
Persons: Stuart Kaiser, , Citi's Stuart Kaiser, Kaiser, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve
Goldman SachsWage growth is down from 6% in August 2022 to 3.9%, according to Goldman Sachs. Still, Goldman Sachs thinks the US unemployment rate will drift down to 4% in 2025, which would be a healthy figure. An influx of immigrants may have affected this trend, Goldman Sachs economists say. Goldman SachsLabor costs rose 7% in 2023 for S&P 500 companies and 5% for firms in the Russell 2000, Goldman found. Goldman Sachs shared a sector-neutral list of 50 stocks in the S&P 500 that have high labor costs, which should disproportionately benefit as wage inflation slows as raises become rarer.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Goldman, Chief US, Goldman Sachs Labor, Companies Locations: Goldman Sachs
Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, , didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board
3 trades for falling interest ratesFor investors concerned about the yield on their cash, one solution might be ultrashort bond funds. In the last 12 months, ultrashort bond funds have materially outperformed taxable money market funds, returning an average of 6.36% compared to 5.09% for money markets, according to Morningstar. McCarthy recommends investing in a mix of ultrashort securities such as investment-grade corporates, asset-backed securities, and government securities for diversification purposes. AdvertisementThe Nuveen Ultrashort Income ETF (NUSB) and the Goldman Sachs Access Ultrashort Bond ETF (GSST) are examples of ultrashort bond funds. Investors can gain exposure to premium income funds through the SPDR SSGA US Equity Premium Income ETF (SPIN) and JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI).
Persons: , Scott Diamond, Brendan McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Morningstar, McCarthy, Diamond Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Equity, Business, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bond, Bond ETF, JPMorgan Ultrashort, Investors, JPMorgan Equity Locations: Treasurys
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