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In the meantime, you can stay up to date on the latest business news with CNN’s Business Nightcap newsletter. Access to credit is especially crucial for small, private businesses that aren’t able raise money through financial markets. “There were a number of programs out there to support small businesses during the depths of the pandemic, and there were relatively fewer filings than usual in 2021 and 2022.”Rising corporate bankruptcies could just reflect a lot of churn occurring in Corporate America, Jamner said. Don’t panicMost banks offer free checking if, for instance, customers have their paycheck direct deposited or they maintain an average minimum balance, reports my colleague Jeanne Sahadi. Marianne Lake, the head of Chase Bank, told the Wall Street Journal last week that Chase might stop offering free checking and other free banking services.
Persons: It’s, ” “, Matt Rowe, Josh Jamner, Jamner, we’re, Reena Aggarwal, , , Banks, Jeanne Sahadi, Marianne Lake, Chase, Jaret, Read, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Mary Daly, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Adriana Kugler, Johnson, Kinder Morgan, Tom Barkin, Lorie Logan, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Raphael Bostic Organizations: CNN’s Business, Washington CNN —, P Global Market Intelligence, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Nomura Capital Management, Consumer, Institute for Supply, P, ClearBridge Investments, , Corporate America, Federal, Fed, Georgetown University Psaros Center, Financial Markets, Chase Bank, Wall, TD Securities, BlackRock, San Francisco Fed, Bank of America, PNC, State, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, National Association of Home Builders, Johnson, US Bancorp, Discover, Vegas Sands, Northern Trust, Citizens, United Airlines, National Statistics, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Netflix, Novartis, Abbott Laboratories, Marsh, Blackstone, Infosys, Cintas, T Bank, Nokia, American Airlines, European Central Bank, American Express, Fifth Third Bancorp, AutoNation Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Corporate, UnitedHealth, Wells Fargo, Vegas, Equifax, Northern, McLennan, Schlumberger, Haliburton
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Whether it's the markets or the Federal Open Market Committee, no one seems to be getting their forecasts right. But if you want the closest thing to accuracy, French economist Christophe Barraud may be your best bet. One caveat is that Trump would need 60 seats in the Senate to implement policy changes smoothly, Barraud noted. Where uncertainty in a Trump presidency remains is on the geopolitical front, Barraud noted.
Persons: , Christophe Barraud, haven't, Barraud, it's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, He's Organizations: Service, Federal, Market, Market Securities Monaco, Bloomberg, Business, Trump, Republican, Fed Locations: China, delinquencies, France, Italy, Ukraine, Russia
Experts hold drastically different views, creating a new hot-button topic that will continue to be debated up until the election in November. The camp staunchly opposed to Trump's policiesThe base argument against Trump's fiscal platform is that tariffs are, by nature, inflationary. AdvertisementIn a recent op-ed for the Financial Times, he cited the "benign" impact Trump's first-term tariffs had on the US economy. Looking ahead to a new term, Yardeni thinks Trump's most extreme pursuits will likely be watered down by Congress. AdvertisementRepublican donor Kyle Bass — who serves as the chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management — has taken a different tact in his support of Trump's fiscal agenda.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, he's, David Kelly, Larry Summers, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Steve Eisman, Kyle Bass —, Hayman Capital Management —, Joseph Stiglitz, Biden Organizations: Service, Donald Trump White House, Business, Trump, House Republicans, Foundation, New York Times, Peterson Institute, Yardeni Research, Financial Times, Congress, CNBC, Hayman Capital Management, Oxford Economics Locations: China, It's
The most bullish S&P 500 price target is 6,000 from Evercore ISI, which represents a gain of about 7%. While the average year-end S&P 500 price target is 5,429, according to data from Bloomberg, the median year-end price target is 5,600. Yardeni Research: S&P 500 price target of 5,800Yardeni Research raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,800 from 5,400 this week. Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 price target of 5,600Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin boosted his S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,200 last month. UBS: S&P 500 price target of 5,600UBS raised its S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,400 in May, and that's after the bank raised its price target in February.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, they're, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Wall, ISI, Service, Bloomberg, CNBC, Security, Yardeni, Research, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, UBS, Chicago, & $ Locations: bearish
Wall Street’s expectations for a September rate cut rose to roughly 93% on Thursday from 73% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “A September rate cut should be a done deal at this point,” wrote Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, in a Thursday note. Some economists worry that if the Fed doesn’t cut rates by then, cracks could begin to deepen in the labor market. A September rate cut “may not be the magic elixir some investors are seeking,” wrote Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, in a Monday note. On an annual basis, consumer prices are increasing at their slowest pace since June 2023, matching the lowest annual rate since early 2021.
Persons: , Ron Temple, Jerome Powell didn’t, Brent Schutte, Alicia Wallace, , Elisabeth Buchwald, McDonald’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Taco Bell Locations: New York, Burger
The majority of people with checking accounts (73%) take advantage of the option, according to a 2023 Bankrate.com survey. But if regulatory costs go up for banks, free services like checking may go away, at least if they follow Chase’s lead. Marianne Lake, the head of Chase Bank, told the Wall Street Journal last week that Chase might stop offering free checking and other free banking services. “Consumer banking is predicated on banks providing services for free to consumers such as checking accounts, debit cards and electronic bill paying. Or, if those costs do rise, maybe some banks might decide for various reasons not to eliminate free checking.
Persons: Marianne Lake, Chase, Jaret, , Adam Rust, Rust, Bankrate, , ” Rust Organizations: New, New York CNN, Chase Bank, Wall, Consumer, TD Securities, Consumer Financial Protection, Federal Reserve, Consumer Federation of America, Fed Locations: New York
CNN —Wholesale price inflation unexpectedly accelerated in June to its highest rate since March 2023. That’s an unwelcome development for the US economy one day after the government announced that consumer prices declined on a monthly basis for the first time in four years. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% after holding flat in May. Economists had expected that prices would increase 0.1% on a monthly basis and hold steady at 2.2% annually. Prices dropped on a monthly basis for the first time since May 2020, and annual inflation slowed to 3%, its slowest rate since June 2023.
Persons: That’s, Price, ” Clark Bellin, Bellin Organizations: CNN —, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve
CNN —US consumer prices did something in June that they haven’t done since the early part of the pandemic: They fell. Economists were expecting a 0.1% monthly increase and an annual gain of 3.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Excluding energy and food prices, a closely watched “core” index of underlying inflation also slowed more than expected. Dow futures rose 80 points. Nasdaq futures rose 0.3% as well.
Persons: Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury
Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, , Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, , Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewPoliticians who champion trade restrictions on China are in for a rude awakening, Kenneth Rogoff warns. According to the Harvard professor, barriers on free trade with the Asian powerhouse are a recipe for economic fallout. "Moreover, low-income US consumers have been among the biggest beneficiaries of low-cost Chinese imports." Just months ago, President Biden announced that tariffs would rise on $18 billion worth of Chinese advanced tech products, including solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicles.
Persons: , Kenneth Rogoff, Rogoff, Biden, Donald Trump, he's, Paul Krugman, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Service, Harvard, Project Syndicate, Business, Republican, Allies, China, Foundation Locations: China, Washington, Beijing
However, central bank officials still want to see more progress before cutting interest rates, he noted. “The most recent inflation readings, however, have shown some modest further progress, and more good data would strengthen our confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” he added. Fed officials expect to cut interest rates just once this year, according to their latest economic projections in June, compared to the three cuts they forecast in March. The annual PCE inflation rate registered at 2.6% in June, down slightly from 2.7% in May. Fed officials and most economists don’t see a recession this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, Inflation, John Williams, ” Seema Shah Organizations: Washington CNN, Inflation, Committee, Financial, ” New York Fed, Congress, Fed, Asset Management Locations: India, United States
Read previewThe US economy will keep growing and ultimately avoid a recession thanks to artificial intelligence, immigration, and rich people. "The risks are growing that the stubborn Fed gradually then suddenly puts the economy in recession," he said. "But the economy may narrowly escape the dreaded recession outcome for these three reasons." 'Immigration delivers surprising economic benefits'Americans can thank immigrants for the continued progress in battling inflation, according to Arone. Arone also notes that the increase in immigrants can have a compounding impact on the US economy overtime.
Persons: , Michael Arone, Arone Organizations: Service, State Street, Federal Reserve, Business, Fed, stoke, Research Partners
“If people really want salads from McDonald’s we will gladly relaunch salads,” said Joe Erlinger, the president of McDonald’s USA, in a June interview at the Wall Street Journal’s annual Global Food Forum. For McDonald’s, putting salads on the menu was likely a way to avoid the veto vote and stay atop recent healthy food trends. McDonald’s salads were “one likely source of these infections,” the CDC said at the time. McDonald’s removed salads from national menus in 2020 to help simplify restaurant operations, the company said. Another menu item that’s not coming to McDonald’s any time soon?
Persons: New York CNN —, , Joe Erlinger, McDonald’s, Covid, ” Erlinger Organizations: New, New York CNN, McDonald’s, Food, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, McDonald’s
He needs to execute better," Jim Cramer stressed, referring to Starbucks CEO Laxman Narasimhan, during the Investing Club's June Monthly Meeting . Then in mid-June, Starbucks launched its limited-time "Pairings Menu," which includes a $5 coffee-and-croissant combo and a $6 coffee-and-breakfast-sandwich deal. Order up Jefferies' Barish also raised questions about Starbucks' menu innovations, arguing its updated drink options are not driving sales as much as hoped. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: it's, Jim Cramer, Laxman Narasimhan, Jim, Rachel Ruggeri, Burger King, Jefferies, Andy Barish, Barish, TD Cowen, Cowen, Edward Lewis, Lewis, they're, Narasimhan, Ruggeri, Berry, Long, We've, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Starbucks, Taco Bell, Street, CNBC, Getty Locations: North America, Israel, Gaza, China, Burger, Manhattan, New York City
Washington CNN —A vast swath of the US economy is showing signs of weakness as unemployment rises to its highest point in more than two years. “When you think of services, a lot of it is driven by the consumer, and consumers are key to where the US economy goes,” James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, told CNN. Consumer spending, which makes up about 70% of the US economy, has already moderated over the past few months, government statistics show, and retailers themselves have said they’ve noticed shoppers across the income spectrum change their purchasing behavior. The bottom 60% of households by income accounted for a larger proportion of spending on health care services. These firms have added 168,000 jobs a month, on average, from April through June, according to fresh Labor Department data released Friday.
Persons: , ” James Knightley, “ We’re, Knightley, Scott Hamilton, Gallagher, It’s, Tesla, China’s Geely, Laura He, Elon, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Institute, Supply, ING, CNN, Commerce, Service, Labor Department, EV, Volvo, SAIC, Elon Musk’s, Business, Committee, Fed, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Financial Services, Chicago Fed, Pepsico, Delta Air Lines, ConAgra Brands, US Labor Department, Atlanta Fed, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, The, New York Mellon, The University of Michigan Locations: Washington, United States, California, Jiangsu, China, Shanghai, Wells Fargo
But the meat-free burger is on menus elsewhere, including Germany, Portugal, and the UK. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementDon't expect to see the McPlant returning to McDonald's menus in the US anytime soon. "I don't think the US consumer is coming to McDonald's or looking for the McPlant or other plant-based proteins from McDonald's," he said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Joe Erlinger Organizations: Service, Food, Business Locations: Germany, Portugal
Trump's proposed tariffs would benefit only the wealthiest Americans, Paul Krugman wrote in a new op-ed. Goldman Sachs also sees higher tariffs triggering sizable Fed interest-rate hikes, Goldman Sachs says. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementDonald Trump has pitched sweeping tariffs as a win for the US consumer, but only the wealthiest Americans will benefit from rising trade barriers, Paul Krugman wrote in The New York Times. In Tuesday's opinion piece, the Nobel-winning economist took aim at Trump's recently floated idea to replace the US income tax with higher import duties.
Persons: Trump's, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, , Donald Trump, Krugman Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Business
Read previewAmazon Prime Day is approaching, and as usual, the online retailer is offering a slew of specials for customers during the two-day shopping extravaganza. It also wants you to sign up (and pay for) Amazon Prime at $14.99 a month — and possibly a whole host of other Amazon subscriptions. (The Amazon Fire HD 10 tablet is 46% off this Prime Day, down from $139.99 to $74.99.) "We sell a lot of devices during our Prime Day events," CFO Brian Olsavsky said on an earnings call after Prime Day 2022. AdvertisementFor those with a Prime subscription, Prime Day represents "the new Black Friday," Bartlow said.
Persons: , gunning, Jeremy Bartlow, haven't, Bartlow, that's, Amazon's, Brian Olsavsky Organizations: Service, Amazon, Business, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, PA Consulting, Whole Foods, Amazon Music, Kindle, Amazon's Alexa, Big Tech, Apple, US Department of Justice, Microsoft, Walmart, Target
Read previewYouTube, TikTok, Instagram, Snapchat, Threads. Kay, known online as honeybobabear, said YouTube shorts was instrumental in rapidly growing her audience. Others have been making money from ad-revenue sharing on shorts, starting from the program's first month. Related storiesBoth YouTube shorts and Instagram reels have taken a bite out of TikTok's engagement in recent months. "It's doing so well right now, but I think it also depends on the type of content you want to create," she said, adding that for lifestyle content, Instagram is "where it's at."
Persons: , Janette Ok, Kelly Kay, Arianna Hailey, Kay, Morgan Stanley, Instagram, Hailey, TikTok, she'd, Sofia Bella, couldn't Organizations: Service, Business, YouTube, Brands, Meta, Instagram's Locations: Brazil, Omdia, VidCon
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. People are still spending money, but there's an uncomfortable awareness that years of price hikes mean each dollar doesn't go as far as it used to. "This consumer remains very cautious, specifically when you think about larger ticket discretionary purchases," he told Oppenheimer analysts Wednesday. "Why have people who are having a hard time paying their rent have to pay more for our drink?"
Persons: , they're, Joseph Lewis, Marvin Ellison, Oppenheimer, John David Rainey, Federal Reserve Banks, San Francisco Fed, Don Vultaggio Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg, Nike, Walgreens, Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco, Philadelphia Fed, Iced Tea Locations: San Francisco, Philadelphia
New York CNN —Walgreens is set to close a substantial number of its roughly 8,600 locations across the United States as the company looks to reset the struggling pharmaceutical chain’s business. The company didn’t announce a specific number of store closures, but it said Thursday that it is planning “significant” closures of underperforming stores across America as part of a multiyear optimization program. The closures would focus on locations that aren’t profitable, too close to each other or stores struggling with theft, Wentworth told the Journal. Major drugstore chains, including CVS (CVS) and Rite Aid, have struggled in recent years because of declining profits from filling prescriptions. Wentworth told the Journal it’s losing money on filling those prescriptions.
Persons: Tim Wentworth, Wentworth, , ” Wentworth, ” Neil Saunders, GlobalData, ” Saunders, drugstores, hasn’t, – CNN’s Nathaniel Meyersohn Organizations: New, New York CNN, Walgreens, Wall Street Journal, Journal, Walgreens ’, CVS, Rite, Amazon, Target, Rite Aid Locations: New York, United States, America, drugstores, VillageMD
Stocks edged higher on Thursday ahead of PCE inflation data set to be released on Friday. Jobless claims rose less that expected last week, with 233,000 people seeking unemployment benefits. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Thursday as traders assessed corporate earnings and waited on new inflation data to help inform rate-cut bets heading into the second half of 2024. AdvertisementOn the macro front, jobless claims were lower than expected, declining by 6,000 to 233,000 for the week ending June 22. Finally, traders are preparing to digest the latest personal consumption expenditures data, which is the Fed preferred inflation measure.
Persons: Walgreen, , they've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Micron, Service, Nvidia, Walgreens, Federal Reserve, Here's
Americans felt shakier about the economy in June
  + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
CNN —US consumer confidence teetered slightly in June as Americans grew a little more wary about the future, new data released Tuesday showed. The Conference Board’s latest consumer confidence index dipped to a reading of 100.4 in June from 101.3 in May. Readings of Americans’ confidence are typically closely watched, as consumer spending accounts for nearly 70% of US economic activity. Although the two indexes typically track similarly over time, the consumer confidence index is more influenced by employment and labor market conditions, while the Michigan sentiment index has a greater emphasis on household finances and the impact of inflation. The Michigan index’s preliminary reading for June, released earlier this month, showed sentiment levels were at a seven-month low.
Persons: Dana Peterson, Organizations: CNN, Conference Board, University of Michigan’s, Michigan Locations: Michigan
New CNN —Pop quiz: How much does a Big Mac, fries and a fountain beverage – also known as a Big Mac combo meal – cost? In a recent letter, Joe Erlinger, president of McDonald’s USA, said $18 for a Big Mac combo was the “exception” and not the norm across all 13,700 restaurants in the country. The thing is: It doesn’t really matter that virtually no one is paying anything close to $18 for a Big Mac combo. “The average price of a Big Mac in the US was $4.39 in 2019,” Erlinger said in his recent letter. Behold: Price cuts and value menusI’d be willing to bet Erlinger was made aware of the viral $18 Big Mac combo post not long after it took off.
Persons: It’s, Joe Erlinger, Erlinger, it’s, They’re, ” Erlinger, aren’t, haven’t, Price, Christopher Kempczinski, they’ve, Ian Borden, they’re Organizations: CNN, McDonald’s, Mac, Consumer, Walgreens, Walmart, Wendy’s Locations: Connecticut, McDonald’s USA, Amazon
The country is confronting a perilous moment, internally estranged over politics and culture and as multiple foreign policy crises deepen. Biden has dedicated his term to expanding NATO to counter the Kremlin’s onslaught on Ukraine and threat to wider Europe. This leaves Biden badly needing to use Thursday night’s debate to convince voters that he can make their lives better — and soon. Post-game coverage of Thursday’s debate is certain to zero in on the best verbal jabs, soundbites and the stamina and energy of the rival candidates. But the most meaningful impact of the clash between Trump and Biden will only begin to unfold after noon on Inauguration Day, January 20, 2025.
Persons: Al, George H.W, Richard Nixon’s, Donald Trump’s, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Trump, Robert Frost’s, Biden, he’s, , he’d, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, Nikoletta Stoyanova, didn’t, they’ve, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Lyndon Johnson, He’s Organizations: CNN, White, GOP, NATO, Trump, North, America, 57th Motorized Brigade, Republican Party, Federal, ABC Locations: America, Russia, China, Ukraine, Europe, Beijing, Gaza, United States, Vovchansk, Kharkiv Region, Nevada
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