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Illustration of the China and U.S. flag on a central processing unit. President-elect Donald Trump is unlikely to roll back the Biden administration's CHIPS and Science Act, despite his campaign rhetoric on the bill, experts say. Trump criticized the bill and its price tag. House Speaker Mike Johnson, a Republican, then said that his party "probably will" try to repeal the law. Still, the key Biden policy, which has massive implications for Asian chips makers like TSMC and Samsung, is likely safe in the near term, according to chip experts.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Mike Johnson, Johnson, Biden, Paul Triolo, Albright Stonebridge, CNBC's Organizations: Biden, Republican, Samsung Locations: China, U.S
Trump unlikely to roll back CHIPS Act, says technology expert
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump unlikely to roll back CHIPS Act, says technology expertPaul Triolo, partner for China and technology policy lead at Albright Stonebridge Group, discusses what Trump 2.0 could mean for U.S. chip policy.
Persons: Paul Triolo Organizations: Trump, Albright, Group Locations: China
The U.S. government has restricted the export of Nvidia's most advanced chips to China since 2022, with restrictions tightening last year. "These companies have made notable progress in developing AI chips tailored to specific applications (ASICs)," Wei Sun, a senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, told CNBC. China's key challengesThe flags of China and the USA are being displayed on a smartphone, with an NVIDIA chip visible in the background. Huawei leading the packTriolo identified Huawei as one of the leaders in China with its Ascend series of data center processors. In its annual report earlier this year, Nvidia explicitly identified Huawei, among other companies, as a competitor in areas such as chips, software for AI and networking products.
Persons: Nvidia's, China's, Wei Sun, Paul Triolo, Albright Stonebridge, SMIC, TSMC, Triolo, Chip IPOs Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Huawei, Alibaba, Baidu, Technology, Counterpoint Research, NVIDIA, Nurphoto, Wall Locations: Beijing, wean, China, U.S, USA, SMIC
This has renewed focus on China's homegrown efforts to rival Nvidia and create semiconductors that can underpin the world's second-largest economy's own AI industry. Huawei then sells these chips as a part of servers that go into data centers to train AI models. Alibaba and BaiduAlibaba and Baidu both buy Nvidia chips but they are also designing their own semiconductors for AI processes. Inference is the process that follows the training of AI models, as it refers to the actual application of AI in the real world, such as a chatbot responding to user queries. Moore ThreadsMoore Threads, founded in 2020, is developing GPUs designed to train large AI models.
Persons: Paul Triolo, Albright Stonebridge, Baidu Alibaba, Wei Sun, Moore, KUAE, ByteDance Organizations: Istock, Getty, Nvidia, CNBC, Huawei Huawei, Huawei, Wall, Alibaba, Baidu, Counterpoint Research, Biren, Technologies, China Morning, Cambricon Technologies, U.S, Sequoia, GGV Locations: China, U.S, Beijing, Washington, Shenzhen, Biren's
Read previewSpeculation has been growing that North Korea could send troops to Ukraine. As of now, the prospect of North Korean soldiers being deployed to Ukraine is speculative and unlikely, experts told Business Insider. "Given what we know about nutrition in North Korea, even in the army, they might have issues," he told BI. But if it does, he added that North Korean soldiers may "simply" be helping rebuild a destroyed city like Mariupol. Bennett, from RAND, said he thinks it is "fairly likely" that North Korea will send troops to Ukraine, without elaborating further.
Persons: , Pat Ryder, Edward Howell, John Hardie, Evans Revere, Albright, Revere, George W, Bush, Bruce Bennett, Kim Jong Un, Bennett, Kim, Wallace Gregson, Benjamin Young, Young, Guns, Hardie, Howell Organizations: Service, South Korea's, Chosun, Korean, Business, Pentagon, Military Commission, Institute, North, Korea, Chatham, Programme, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Korean People's Army, Group, East, RAND, US Marine Corps, Pacific Security Affairs, Chatham House, Virginia Commonwealth University, Great Locations: Korea, Ukraine, Russia, North Korea, South, Chatham House's Asia, Korean, East Asia, Pacific, South Korea, Koreans, Howell, Chatham, Europe, Mariupol
Citi analysts said the EU's additional tariffs were "generally benign," while one analyst from Morningstar pointed out that the additional duties were "modest" in comparison to U.S. hikes on Chinese EVs last month. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon BYD vs GeelyOn Wednesday, the EU said it would impose extra tariffs on Chinese EV players with a large footprint in Europe. BYD will be subject to additional tariffs of 17.4%, Geely will get an extra 20% duty. Citi analystsThe EU said in a statement it has provisionally concluded that Chinese EV makers benefits from "unfair subsidization," which resulted in "threat of economic injury" to EU's EV industry. watch nowThe additional duties come after the EU launched a probe in October.
Persons: Geely, Li, Morningstar, Joe Biden, Vincent Sun, Europe Joseph Webster, Webster, BYD, Tesla, Paul Triolo Organizations: Automotive Exhibition, Getty, Nurphoto, European Union, Li Auto, SAIC, Citi, EU, EV, Morningstar, Wednesday, Ministry of Commerce, Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center, Volvo, Nomura, Albright, Group Locations: Beijing, China, Geely, EU, Europe, U.S, Hungary, Swedish, Belgium
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The growth is in part thanks to a shift in supply chains and investment flows as companies try to stop relying solely on China. India's stock markets tanked on the shock election results, with the benchmark Sensex index crashing over 5% in one day on Tuesday following the news. Despite the knee-jerk reaction, most analysts are optimistic about India's economic outlook given that Modi is still in charge. He said India will do better to capitalize on its services industry, especially since so many Indians are English speakers.
Persons: , Narendra Modi's, Modi, Atman Trivedi, China, Council's Trivedi, Vishnu Varathan, Raghuram Rajan, NPR's, It's, Rajan Organizations: Service, Indian, Business, Bharatiya Janata Party, , Atlantic, Asia Center, Centre, Monitoring, Coalition, Albright, Group, Mizuho Bank, United Nations Population Fund, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Central Bank of India, International Monetary Fund Locations: China, India, Communist China, Asia, Japan
According to the CCP's plan, by 2020, China was supposed to have "achieved iconic advances in AI models and methods, core devices, high-end equipment, and foundational software." Censorship requirements may slow China's AI development and limit the commercialization of domestic models, but they will not stop Beijing from benefiting from AI where it sees fit. We're not seeing a huge gap between the models Chinese companies have been able to roll out. The current price war is a race to the bottom, similar to what we've seen in the Chinese technology space before. A race to the bottom may simply beggar China's AI ecosystem.
Persons: Xi Jinping, China doesn't, there's, Beijing's, Reva Goujon, We're, It's, ChatGPT, Xie Huanchi, couldn't, you'll, , Kenneth DeWoskin, it's, Matt Sheehan, they're, chatbot, Sheehan, Ernie Bot, There's, Alibaba, ByteDance's, Paul Triolo, Albright, we've, haven't, DeWoskin, Sam Altman, Elon Musk Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Intelligence, Cyberspace Administration, Getty, Freedom, University of Michigan, Deloitte, CAC, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Baidu, Bloomberg, Companies, Brookings Institution, Beijing, The Commerce Department Locations: China, Beijing, China's, Hong Kong, Xinhua, , Washington, Brussels, Berlin, Taiwan, US, Xinjiang
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. export controls on Chinese firms could 'get even worse' if Trump is re-elected: AnalystPaul Triolo, senior vice president for China and technology policy lead at Albright Stonebridge Group, discusses the United States' decision to cancel some export licenses of suppliers to China's Huawei.
Persons: Trump, Paul Triolo Organizations: Albright, Group, Huawei Locations: China, United States
Not only would that deal another huge blow to China’s tech ambitions, it would further deepen the divide between two digital worlds centered around the rival economic superpowers. Congress on Tuesday approved legislation that could compel ByteDance to sell TikTok or face a national ban. That leaves few options for ByteDance to secure the future of TikTok in the US, its biggest market with 170 million users. “This includes everything from who owns and operates data centers, to space-based internet satellites, to undersea cables and, of course semiconductors.”In that sense, the TikTok ban has its silver lining for Beijing. Growing challenges for Chinese appsThe TikTok legislation was included in a wide-ranging foreign aid package meant to support Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, ByteDance, Joe Biden, TikTok, , , Alex Capri, Richard Windsor, Capri, Biden, Paul Triolo, ” Triolo, Wang Wenbin, CNN’s Marc Stewart, Triolo doesn’t, — CNN’s Wayne Chang, Marc Stewart Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Foundation, National University of Singapore’s Business, YouTube, Google, Radio Free Mobile, TikTok, Technology, Albright, Commerce Department, Commerce, China’s, Foreign Ministry, Facebook, Apple Locations: China, Hong Kong, America, Beijing, Capri, , Asia, Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan, Silicon Valley, American, Bytedance, “ Beijing
U.S.-China ties: More tariffs are likely, analyst says
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S.-China ties: More tariffs are likely, analyst saysPaul Triolo, senior vice president for China and technology policy lead at Albright Stonebridge Group, discusses U.S.-China relations ahead of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's visit to China.
Persons: Paul Triolo, Janet Yellen's Organizations: U.S, Albright, Group, Treasury Locations: China, U.S
Turkey's President's AK Party lost major local elections in Istanbul and Ankara. AdvertisementThe Turkish party led by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan suffered big losses in local elections held on Sunday. But an opposition victory in the majority of the largest Turkish cities would have "a dampening effect on President Erdoğan's prestige at home," they wrote. Advertisement"The extent to which President Erdoğan can exercise his personal power at home will be a crucial factor that determines Turkey's international behavior," they added. To be sure, the elections on Sunday were local — Erdoğan already won the presidential election in May, securing another term for five years.
Persons: Turkey's, , Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Ekrem Imamoğlu, Erdoğan, Vladimir Putin —, Putin, Marc Pierieni, Francesco Siccardi, Erdoğan's, Russia —, Hakan Akbas, Albright, Erdogan Organizations: Turkey's President's AK Party, Service, CHP, Reuters, AK Party, AFP, NATO, Erdoğan's AK Party, Turkish, Carnegie, West, Sunday, AK, Group, AK Party's Locations: Istanbul, Ankara, Russia, Turkey, Carnegie Europe, Ukraine, Moscow, Europe,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina is unlikely to approve ByteDance's divestiture of TikTok, analyst saysThe Chinese government is likely to reject a "forced" divestiture of TikTok, said Paul Triolo, senior vice president for China and technology policy lead at Albright Stonebridge Group.
Persons: Paul Triolo Organizations: Albright, Group Locations: China
Visitors are visiting TikTok's stand at the Appliance & Electronics World Expo (AWE) in Shanghai, China, on April 27, 2023. CostFoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesThe U.S. could be about to force ByteDance, the Chinese tech giant that owns TikTok, to divest its U.S. business or effectively ban the app. But a sale looks unlikely — not least because China is expected to block it. Last year, the U.S. Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) told ByteDance to divest TikTok or face a ban. TikTok algorithm at the centerWhat complicates a sale further is TikTok's algorithm.
Persons: ByteDance, Paul Triolo, Albright Stonebridge, CNBC's, Wang Wenbin, Shu Jueting, CFIUS, China's Shu, Triolo, Richard Windsor Organizations: Appliance, Electronics, Nurphoto, Senate, Washington, Lawmakers, Chinese Communist Party, TikTok's, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, NBC, U.S ., Foreign Investment, China's Ministry of Commerce, Radio Free Mobile, TikTok Locations: Shanghai, China, United States, TikTok, U.S, ByteDance, TikTok USA, USA
In this article 981-HK Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTA Chinese flag next to a printed circuit board with semiconductor chips. Florence Lo | ReutersChina's biggest chipmaker SMIC seems to have been manufacturing advanced chips in the last few months — defying U.S. sanctions designed to slow down Beijing's progress. But last week, the Financial Times reported that SMIC is setting up new production lines to make 5 nanometer chips for Huawei. So when the Huawei Mate 60 came out last year with a 7 nanometer chip, that raised a lot of eyebrows. One expert told CNBC at the time that SMIC is likely using older chipmaking tools to make more advanced chips.
Persons: Lo, SMIC, Paul Triolo, Albright Stonebridge Organizations: HK, Reuters China's, Huawei, Semiconductor Manufacturing, Co, Financial Times, China's, CNBC Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBeijing won't take potential use of military force off the table: Strategic advisory firmKenneth Jarrett, senior advisor at Albright Stonebridge Group, discusses the meeting of U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.
Persons: Kenneth Jarrett, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping Organizations: Beijing, Albright, Group, Economic Cooperation Locations: Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCompanies like Nvidia want clarity on U.S. chip export controls on China, advisory firm saysPaul Triolo, associate partner for China and technology policy lead at advisory firm Albright Stonebridge Group, says companies like Nvidia are "bearing the brunt" of the recent controls around graphics processing units.
Persons: Paul Triolo, Albright Organizations: Companies, Nvidia Locations: China
Jonathan Ernst | ReutersWith record-high home prices and soaring mortgage interest rates, homeownership has become increasingly unaffordable — and hidden costs can surprise first-time buyers, experts say. Here are three of the most common surprise homeownership expenses and how to prepare for each one, according to experts. Property taxesAs a first-time homebuyer, it's easy to overlook property taxes since you've never paid those levies directly. Home maintenanceThe cost of home repairs and maintenance can also be a hidden expense for first-time homebuyers. As a first-time homebuyer, you need to make sure you have a sufficient cushion for surprises — I'd argue 5% of the home's purchase price at least.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, homeownership, Vince Darling, you've, Richard Auxier, Kevin Brady, — I'd, Nicole Sullivan Organizations: Reuters, Stonebridge, Urban, Brookings Tax, Wealthspire Advisors, Prism Planning Locations: Alexandria , Virginia, Zillow, Forest Lake , Minnesota, New York
Samsung's 11-year-old investment in ASML has been hugely lucrative. Over the past decade, ASML shares have delivered a whopping 25% annualised return to its shareholders. It's part of Samsung's ambitious $230 billion commitment to bolster South Korea's semiconductor and high-tech sectors over the next 20 years. Moreover, Samsung's cash is probably held in overseas affiliates and subsidiaries across different jurisdictions; its annual report lists hundreds of entities abroad. That should help ease Samsung’s vexing cash bind, but the company may still need to come up with some creative funding choices.
Persons: Taiwan's TSMC, ASML, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Samsung Electronics, Korean Economic, Intel, Samsung, HK, SFA Engineering, Apple, Korea Economic, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, KS, ASML, United States, Korea
A child plays the game "Honour of Kings" by Tencent at home in Dezhou, Shandong province, China July 2, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Aug 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - China's economic woes have gifted Tencent (0700.HK) an unexpected silver lining. Revenue rose a decent 11% to 149 billion yuan ($20.4 billion), but fell slightly short of the average analyst forecast compiled by Refinitiv. That compares to the 151.7 billion yuan average analyst forecast of 21 analysts compiled by Refinitiv. Adjusted net profit, after excluding certain one-time and non-cash items, rose 33% to 37.5 billion yuan.
Persons: Tencent, Stringer, HONG KONG, Refinitiv, James Mitchell, pare, Alibaba, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, HK, Revenue, Tencent, Citi, Refinitiv, Thomson Locations: Dezhou, Shandong province, China, HONG, Tencent, Hong Kong
A child plays the game "Honour of Kings" by Tencent at home in Dezhou, Shandong province, China July 2, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Aug 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - China's economic woes have gifted Tencent (0700.HK) an unexpected silver lining. Revenue rose a decent 11% to 149 billion yuan ($20.4 billion), but fell slightly short of the average analyst forecast compiled by Refinitiv. That compares to the 151.7 billion yuan average analyst forecast of 21 analysts compiled by Refinitiv. Adjusted net profit, after excluding certain one-time and non-cash items, rose 33% to 37.5 billion yuan.
Persons: Tencent, Stringer, HONG KONG, Refinitiv, James Mitchell, pare, Alibaba, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, HK, Revenue, Tencent, Citi, Refinitiv, Thomson Locations: Dezhou, Shandong province, China, HONG, Tencent, Hong Kong
HONG KONG, Aug 15 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Hong Kong has lost some permanent appeal. The introduction of two sets of approvals was mandated three decades ago when foreign investors wanted additional protections to invest in the first wave of Chinese firms listing in Hong Kong. China's domestic securities laws have since developed and global investors can now directly buy shares onshore through various channels. That could lead to more onshore shares being issued relative to offshore shares, further diluting minority owners in Hong Kong. In 2020, Hong Kong shareholders vetoed the Bank of Zhengzhou's proposal to avoid such an outcome.
Persons: Hong Kong, HKEX, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Hong Kong Exchanges, HK, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Asia Securities Industry, Financial Markets Association, Corporate Governance Association, China Life Insurance, Wall, Hong, Bank of, Companies, Global, Hang Seng China Enterprise Index, Graphics Global, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong
HONG KONG, Aug 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - South Korea’s dealmaking skeletons are back to haunt. Paul Singer's Elliott opposed a $9 billion union eight years ago of Samsung C&T (028260.KS) and Chiel Industries. South Korea’s successful prosecution of Lee, Park and a former minister that oversaw NPS, provided cause for Elliott to demand payback. Elliott sued in 2018 and the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague in June awarded the U.S. fund over $100 million. Far from being the end of it though, President Yoon Suk Yeol’s government is contesting that award in a British arbitration court.
Persons: Samsung's Lee, Paul Singer's Elliott, Elliott, Jay Y, Lee, Park Geun, Yoon Suk, Hague, Yoon, Taiwan's TSMC, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Korea Inc, Samsung, Chiel Industries, National Pension Service, NPS, U.S ., Korea, Trade, Global, Samsung Electronics, Apple, Tokyo, Korea's Ministry, Justice, Elliott Investment, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, U.S, Hague, Seoul, Korea, China, Beijing, Washington, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, United States
E-commerce app Temu is taking on the larger Shein by selling cheap Chinese-made goods to Western consumers. The company owned by $119 billion PDD (PDD.O) is more like an online dollar store. Moreover, Temu offers generous discounts and free or subsidised shipping to users. Parent company PDD, whose Pinduoduo e-commerce unit competes with Alibaba (9988.HK) and JD.com (9618.HK) in China, discloses little about its overseas business. Temu offers everything from home appliances to electronics to toys, making it more of a direct competitor to Amazon.
Persons: Shein, Breakingviews, Temu, PDD, Bernstein, Peter Thal Larsen, Aditya Munjuluru, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, United States, Wall Street, Temu, Bloomberg, HK, PDD, Thomson, & $ Locations: HONG KONG, Western, China, U.S, United States, Shein
“In the age of AI, where data is the new oil, China is the new Saudi Arabia”, venture capitalist Lee Kai-fu declared in 2018. Washington may soon tighten export restrictions to China by targeting AI semiconductors, according to the Wall Street Journal. A slowing economy and brutal price war in the fiercely competitive cloud market will only make monetising AI products harder. China’s AI moment has arrived, only with far less promise than initially hoped. China wants to become a world leader in AI by 2030, according to a 2017 roadmap released by the State Council.
Persons: Lee Kai, OpenAI's, Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Robin Li, Baidu’s, Bernstein, SenseTime, Xi, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Saudi Arabia ”, OpenAI's ChatGPT, European Union, Baidu, HK, Nasdaq, Washington, Wall Street, Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, CloudWalk Technology, Cyberspace Administration, China, State, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, Republic, Saudi Arabia, United States, Beijing, York, Shanghai
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