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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The ICE U.S. Dollar index is currently at a higher level than it was in June of 2022 when Microsoft warned of a stronger dollar impact to earnings. Other multi-national companies including Johnson and Johnson, Estee Lauder and Amazon also warned of the dollar impact that year. "I think the choices are already made to a certain extend," said Ross Mayfield Investment Strategist for Baird Private Wealth Management on Worldwide Exchange.
Persons: Kevin Mahn, Walsh, Steve Sosnick, Johnson, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden, XI Jinping, Xi, Trump, Ross, Mayfield, Mahn Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Interactive Brokers, ICE, Microsoft, Amazon, Evercore ISI, Economic Cooperation, Ross Mayfield Investment, Baird Private Wealth Management, Worldwide Exchange, Howmet Aerospace, Defense Locations: Hennion, United States, China, Asia, U.S
CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s social media stock is plunging just ahead of the election, cutting deeply into his net worth. Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group’s share price plunged another 9% on Friday after tumbling 12% Thursday and 22% Wednesday — Trump Media’s worst one-day loss since going public in March. Trump Media’s shares, which trade under the ticker “DJT,” have become a proxy for how traders think the presidential election will turn out. Trump Media did not release any major news that would explain the nosedive. The enormous gains boosted Trump Media’s value to $10.3 billion as of Tuesday’s close.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Trump, Kamala Harris, , Steve Sosnick, ” Sosnick, George Kailas, he’s, ” Kailas, Organizations: CNN, Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Trump Media’s, Interactive Brokers, Trump Media, ” Trump, Elon Musk, Similarweb, CBS, Paramount Global
“We have to reduce spending to live within our means,” Musk said. That gives Musk’s frankness about reductions — and his track record of making large, painful cuts at his own companies — added weight. The Trump campaign didn’t immediately comment but has previously said that the GOP agenda wouldn’t cause short-term economic hardship. There’s some skepticism on Wall Street that a new Trump administration could implement spending cuts on the scale Musk has proposed. “They’re both indicating they intend to maintain substantial deficits and elevated government spending, certainly compared with the strength of the economy,” Elliott said.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Elon Musk, ” Musk, Trump, Musk, , , didn’t, Kamala’s, Geoff Orazem, Bob Elliott, ” Elliott, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Republican, GOP, SpaceX, Trump, Social Security, Trump’s, CNBC, FedScout, Funds, Interactive Locations: U.S, Trump,
New York CNN —Trump Media & Technology Group is losing money, generating very little revenue and its main product Truth Social remains a relatively small player in social media. And yet Wall Street is valuing former President Donald Trump’s social media company at nearly $8 billion, a price tag that has tripled in the span of just five weeks. Since plunging to record lows on September 23, Trump Media’s share price has skyrocketed. Trump Media’s share price saw a sharp decline in July after President Joe Biden ended his reelection bid. “If this were called Joe’s Media Company, we wouldn’t even be talking about it and it wouldn’t have a value anywhere close to this.
Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump’s, “ I’ve, ” Gene Munster, Munster, Trump, ” Munster, , it’s, ” Trump, George Kailas, ” Kailas, Kailas, “ There’s, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, , Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, ” Sosnick, he’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York CNN — Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump, White, Trump Media, Republican, Asset Management, CNN, Democratic, Interactive Brokers, Munster, , Joe’s Media Company Locations: New York, Munster, Trump’s
In today's big story, the first of our five-part refresher series on the potential impact Donald Trump and Kamala Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. Business Insider's Matthew Fox detailed how Wall Street sees former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris affecting the investment landscape if they win the White House. One of the biggest areas where Harris and Trump differ is their proposed tax policies, which are believed to have big impacts on stocks. AdvertisementTrump's universal tariffs proposal is also viewed as having a big impact. It's a big week for Apple.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Harris, Trump, it's, Alyssa Powell, Joe Biden, Steve Sosnick, Neil Dutta, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk, James Yates, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Getty, BI, White, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, JPMorgan, Twitter, Elon, Apple, Apple Intelligence, iOS, Venture, Ford Motors, MLB, LA Dodgers, New York Yankees, Forbes Locations: It's, New York, London, Chicago
Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.
Persons: , Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEasing cycle should be more favorable for banks going forward, says BofA's Ohsung KwonSteve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, and Ohsung Kwon, BofA Securities, talks the day's market action and upcoming bank earnings.
Persons: BofA's Ohsung Kwon Steve Sosnick, Ohsung Kwon Organizations: Interactive Brokers, BofA Securities
Here's how Iran's missile strikes could impact markets
  + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's how Iran's missile strikes could impact marketsStephen Stanley, chief economist at Santander, and Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact of the Iranian missile strikes on the markets.
Persons: Stephen Stanley, Steve Sosnick, CNBC's Organizations: Santander, Interactive Brokers
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher US PCE prices could weaken the case for further rate cuts: StrategistSteve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers, highlights some of the key economic risks to keep an eye out for, and says we should be 'rooting' for moderate rate cuts to help guide a soft landing.
Persons: Steve Sosnick Organizations: Interactive
JD Vance warned recently of a "death spiral" in the US bond market. "Do they try to take down the Trump presidency by spiking bond rates?" AdvertisementVice Presidential candidate JD Vance worries about soaring interest rates sparking a "death spiral" in the US bond market that could ultimately "take down the finances of this country." And the only thing that really makes that serviceable is the interest rates are still pretty low. As to where US interest rates seem to be going in the near future, the answer is lower.
Persons: Vance, Trump, JD Vance, , Tucker Carlson, Liz Truss, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Trump, Federal, Medicare, Social Security, Bank of England, Interactive Brokers, Business Locations: China, Japan
But in his own way (very demure, very mindful) that is what happened Wednesday when he announced the Fed’s first rate cut in four years, a giant half-point reduction that will lower the cost of borrowing and offer financial relief for consumers and businesses. Whenever a reporter asks him about politics, Powell refuses to bite. Like on Wednesday, when he was asked whether the half-point rate cut had political motivations, he responded with something approaching exasperation. It’s just maximum employment and price stability on behalf of all Americans.”Of course, that’s unlikely to stop either party from using the rate cut news to their advantage, given that the economy is the No. Trump can continue to claim that a rate cut is a sign the economy is weak.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Jerome Powell, That’s, ” Powell, “ We’re, Republican Sen, Tommy Tuberville, , Kamala Harris, , it’s, It’s, Jason Furman, Donald Trump, they’re, Pubkey, ” Trump, Powell, He’s, Joe Biden, Powell isn’t, Barack Obama, don’t, Harris, Biden, Steve Sosnick Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, CNN, Trump, Fed’s, Governors, Interactive Brokers, Fed Locations: New York, America, Alabama, New York City, Trump
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shed as much as 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted gains of 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively. The comeback came as Wall Street struggles to find its footing in September, with seasonal headwinds and worries over the economy putting pressure on stocks. The S & P 500 has already posted four 1% moves in September. Correction: The Dow on Wednesday closed 124.75 higher, while the S & P 500 and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively.
Persons: whiplash, Dow, Adam Crisafulli, Marco Iachini, Iachini, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Vital, Vanda Research, Interactive Brokers, Dow
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, , Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are not yet in a bear market: Interactive Brokers' Steve SosnickSteve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, joins The Exchange to discuss the performance of small-cap stocks in the market rotation and more.
Persons: Steve Sosnick Steve Sosnick Organizations: Interactive, Interactive Brokers
US stocks rose as investors anticipate key economic data and earnings results this week. Major companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will release second-quarter earnings results this week. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Monday as investors prepare for a big week ahead filled with important economic data and earnings results. Investors are instead expecting a 100% chance that the Fed cuts interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. Finally, it's a big week for earnings results, with about 34% of S&P 500 companies set to release their second-quarter results this week.
Persons: , Steve Sosnick Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Service, Interactive, Here's
The S&P 500 fell 1.39 percent, its biggest drop since late April, just one day after the index reached a record. The technology-heavy Nasdaq dropped 2.77 percent, its worst day since late 2022. The decline was led by global chip stocks, with shares of some of the biggest players in the chip industry — including ASML, Nvidia and TSMC — plunging in response to geopolitics and the former president’s remarks. Shares of these companies have surged this year amid a rise in demand for advanced artificial intelligence chips. “Excellent, sustained performance, such as we saw in the semiconductor sector, may have led the trade to become ‘crowded,’ and therefore more fragile.”
Persons: Donald J, , Steve Sosnick Organizations: Trump, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Interactive Locations: U.S, China, Taiwan
Tragedy strikes and traders (or trading algorithms) sniff out a way to make money off of it. Stocks also went on a tear as Covid-19 killed millions and gutted economies across the globe. “The market’s up today, but the market’s up every day,” Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, tells me. Whether or not the political bump lasts, some traders did seize on the moment to double down on so-called Trump trades. In short, when the yield curve gets steeper, that’s a sign bond traders are nervous.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, it’s, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, , , Trump, Reagan, Coinbase, Elon Musk, Sturm Ruger, he’s, Joe Biden —, ” Sosnick, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN — Financial, Dow, Interactive, Trump, White, Macquarie, Trump Media, Smith, Wesson, Democratic, Treasury Locations: New York
MicroStrategy is the latest company to announce a 10-for-1 stock split as its shares hit $1,340. AdvertisementIt's been a big year for stock splits. According to Bank of America, stock splits can be rocket fuel for prices. Shares of Chipotle have dropped 12% since its shares split 50-for-1 in late June. It represented one of the largest stock splits in the history of the New York Stock Exchange.
Persons: MicroStrategy, , It's, managements, Steve Sosnick, Eli Lilly, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Walmart, Broadcom, Chipotle, Sony, Lam Research, Texas Pacific, Interactive Brokers, Business, KLA Corp, Netflix, Intuit, Adobe, Bank of America, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Williams, Sonoma, Cintas
Scott Wren, a senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, recently noted that market breadth is abnormally narrow. He found that the five best performers in the S&P 500 accounted for nearly three-fifths of its exceptional 10.6% year-to-date gain through May 31. That fate will soon apply to the S&P 500, Wren warned. Such a sell-off would take the S&P 500 below 5,000 for the first time since April. "And it's tough to be patient when the S&P 500 set a bunch of all-time high records."
Persons: , Scott Wren, Wren, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, who's, it's, we've, they've, they're, we're, Goldman Sachs, There's, He's Organizations: Service, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Business, Interactive Brokers, Wells Fargo Investment, Nvidia, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo
Once-obscure chipmaker Broadcom has enjoyed a record-setting rally that's pushed its market capitalization inches behind Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway conglomerate and its portfolio of household names and economic bellwethers. When Broadcom hit an all-time high earlier this week, its market capitalization briefly surpassed drug maker Eli Lilly's. As of Tuesday's close, Broadcom had a market cap of $839 billion, right behind Eli Lilly's $845 billion and Berkshire's $882 billion. Omaha-based Berkshire is currently No.7 in market value, after a cluster of megacap technology giants. Big AI beneficiary Broadcom, meanwhile, is seeing strong demand from customers in need of high-capacity chips that can power complex AI applications.
Persons: that's, Warren Buffett's, Eli Lilly's, Hock Tan, Steve Sosnick, Tesla, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Broadcom, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Berkshire, BNSF Railway, Geico Insurance, U.S ., PetroChina, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, VMware Locations: Palo Alto , California, Omaha, Berkshire, U.S, Saudi Aramco
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBroadcom capture the whole zeitgeist of the moment right now: Interactive Brokers' Steve SosnickSteve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the state of the tech sector, why he's in favor of swapping Tesla out of the 'Magnificent Seven' for Broadcom, and more.
Persons: Steve Sosnick Steve Sosnick Organizations: Broadcom, Interactive Brokers
Broadcom's rise in 2024 is cause for the chipmaker to replace Tesla in the "Magnificent Seven," according to Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick. "Broadcom captures the whole zeitgeist of the moment right now," Sosnick told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "It's an AI stock much more so. Even though Tesla might be one in the future, Broadcom is one now." AVGO TSLA YTD mountain Broadcom and Tesla stock year to date Sosnick's comments come as Tesla struggles in 2024.
Persons: Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, CNBC's, Tesla, FOMO, Hock Tan Organizations: Tesla, Interactive Brokers, Broadcom, Technology, Nasdaq
New York CNN —The Dow tumbled by more than 600 points Thursday afternoon as all three major indexes moved lower, even after AI-darling Nvidia delivered stellar quarterly earnings and announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Chipmaker Nvidia soared more than 9% as the wider market dropped lower, highlighting a lack of market breadth. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which began the day at new intraday highs, fell by 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively. “I think we’re set up for stickier inflation.”“The bond market set the dour mood that we see across much of the market,” wrote Interactive Brokers chief strategist Steve Sosnick on Thursday. “Coming on the back of yesterday’s ‘higher for longer’ Fed Minutes, bond traders were in no mood to hear about a strengthening economy,” wrote Sosnick.
Persons: Dow, , Louis Navellier, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ I’m, , Steve Sosnick Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nvidia, Nasdaq, “ Tech, Navellier, NVIDIA, Federal Reserve, resurging, Boston College, Interactive Brokers, Treasury, , ” Boeing Locations: New York
Those strike prices were substantially higher than the stock's price, which was trading between $10 to $16.50 that week. But what Sosnick found interesting was that the open interest went up faster for the $30 strike calls, signaling an expectation that the price would really rally this time. The table below shows the rise in open interest on strike calls of 20, 25, and 30 set to expire by May 17 and the price of the contracts. AdvertisementTom Sosnoff, the cofounder of Thinkorswim and Tastytrade, says there's probably a reasonable explanation behind the rise of open interest in GME. As for the rise of open interest on the 30-strike price, he attributes it to the cheapness of those contracts relative to the other strikes rather than a function of price prediction.
Persons: Keith Gill's, Roaring, Gill, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, GME, Tom Sosnoff, there's, you'd, Sosnoff Organizations: GameStop, Social, Interactive, Traders Locations: GME
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