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☆ Oil could plunge to $40 in 2025 if OPEC unwinds voluntary production cuts, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A decline to $40 a barrel would mean around a 40% erasure of current crude prices. Martoccia Francesco Energy strategist at CitiThe oil cartel has been exercising discipline in maintaining its voluntary output cuts, to the point of extending them. In September, OPEC+ postponed plans to begin gradually rolling back on the 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts by two months in an effort to stem the slide of oil prices. Oil prices have been weighed by a sluggish post-Covid recovery in demand from China, the world's second-largest economy and leading crude oil importer. In its monthly report released Tuesday, OPEC lowered its 2025 global oil demand growth forecast from 1.6 million barrels per day to 1.5 million barrels per day.

Persons: Anthony Prieto, Tom Kloza, They've, Kloza, Henning Gloystein, Saul Kavonic, Francesco Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Eurasia Group, CNBC, Francesco Energy, Citi Locations: Midland , Texas, OPEC, China, U.S, Canada, Guyana, Brazil

☆ CIBC's Rebecca Babin on oil outlook for a second Trump presidency
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIBC's Rebecca Babin on oil outlook for a second Trump presidencyRebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss oil outlook ahead of the opening bell on Thursday.

Persons: Rebecca Babin, Trump Organizations: CIBC Private Wealth

☆ Goldman Sachs says crude could spike by $20 on Iran oil shock
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The oil tanker 'Devon' prepares to transfer crude oil from Kharg Island oil terminal to India in the Persian Gulf, Iran, on March 23, 2018. Oil prices could shoot up $20 per barrel if Iranian production sees a hit resulting from Israeli retaliation, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. crude oil prices just saw a third consecutive session of gains after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, heightening tensions in the region. If Israel hits Iran's oil industry, supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could become of concern, other analysts echoed. This strategically significant waterway connects crude oil producers in the Middle East with major global markets.

Persons: Struyven, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, Saul Kavonic, Joe Biden, Brent Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, Oil, CNBC, White, bbl, USD150, Fitch Solutions, BMI Locations: Devon, India, Persian Gulf, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, U.S, China, Hormuz, Strait, Oman, OPEC

☆ Oil watchers now see a real threat of supply disruptions after latest Iran-Israel escalation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil watchers are now seeing a genuine threat to crude supplies after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, escalating conflict in the Middle East. Iranian oil infrastructure may soon become a target for Israel as it considers a countermove, analysts told CNBC. "The Middle East conflict may finally impact oil supply," said Saul Kavonic, senior energy analyst at MST Marquee. "The scope for a material disruption to oil supply is now imminent." Up to 4% of global oil supply is at risk as the conflict now directly envelopes Iran, and an attack or tighter sanctions could send prices to $100 per barrel again, Kavonic added.

Persons: Hassan Nasrallah, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic Organizations: Tuesday, CNBC Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, East, Iranian, Lebanon, Ukraine

☆ Excess OPEC capacity keeping oil prices from spiking after Iran attack, says CIBC's Rebecca Babin
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExcess OPEC capacity keeping oil prices from spiking after Iran attack, says CIBC's Rebecca BabinRebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss oil price trends, impact of Iran's ballistic missile attack on Israel, Saudi oil minister's warning to fellow OPEC members, and more.

Persons: CIBC's Rebecca Babin Rebecca Babin Organizations: CIBC Private Wealth Locations: Iran, Israel, Saudi

☆ Oil prices lower due to high U.S. production and weak Chinese demand: Biden's senior energy advisor
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices lower due to high U.S. production and weak Chinese demand: Biden's senior energy advisorAmos Hochstein, senior advisor to President Biden for energy and investment, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss why energy prices are down as much as they are, struggling energy markets around the world, and more.

Persons: Amos Hochstein, Biden

☆ Babin: 2025 will be ugly for the oil markets as demand dynamics shift
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBabin: 2025 will be ugly for the oil markets as demand dynamics shiftRebecca Babin, Senior Energy Trader at CIBC Private Wealth, discusses oil prices in response to the summer driving season and Hurricane Beryl.

Persons: Rebecca Babin Organizations: Senior Energy, CIBC Private Wealth

☆ Meet nuclear power's newest fans: data centers
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Daniel Geiger | Ellen Thomas | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The deal illustrates data centers' new-found interest in nuclear power. Joe Dominguez, the CEO of Constellation, the nation's largest operator of nuclear plants, said in a March earnings call that powering data centers with nuclear energy was "kind of a perfect marriage." AdvertisementVistra, another nuclear owner, also indicated it was arranging data center deals for a nuclear plant it owns in Ohio and one in Texas. Greg Poulos, the executive director of a PJM watchdog group, said that "one of my highest priority, highest radar items" is how data centers could push costs onto consumers and also whether nuclear data centers deals could reduce grid reliability. Beyond the nuclear optionNot all data centers, of course, are seeking out nuclear power to seize their energy independence.

Persons: —, Wes Swenson, Swenson, Joe Dominguez, Jim Burke, Ralph La Rossa, La Rossa, Steve Helber, Burke, Dominguez, PJM, Michael Jacobs, Brian Janous, Greg Poulos, Poulos, Biden Organizations: Service, Susquehanna, Amazon, Business, US Energy Information Administration, Nuclear, Constellation, Public Service Enterprise Group, Microsoft, International Energy Agency, Dominion Energy, Talen Energy, Energy, Union of Concerned Locations: Pennsylvania, Salt Lake City, Ohio, Texas, New Jersey, Our, Jersey, Virginia, Chester , Va, Susquehanna, Chicago, New York City

☆ May see some unwinding of tail hedges on oil prices, says Rebecca Babin
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMay see some unwinding of tail hedges on oil prices, says Rebecca BabinRebecca Babin, Senior Energy Trader at CIBC Private Wealth, discusses Iran's strike on Israel and the impact on oil prices.

Persons: Rebecca Babin Rebecca Babin Organizations: Senior Energy, CIBC Private Wealth Locations: Israel

☆ Concern rising among Biden officials that Israel is planning incursion into Lebanon
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Alex Marquardt | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

“We are operating in the assumption that an Israeli military operation is in the coming months,” one senior Biden administration official said. That deal would likely postpone an Israeli incursion, US officials believe. “Some Israeli officials suggest that it is more of an effort at creating a threat that they can utilize. A second senior Biden administration official said there are elements inside the Israeli government and military in favor of an incursion. Benjamin Netanyahu Ariel Tagar/USA Today“Once the war is over, his expiration date arrives,” the first senior administration official said.

Persons: Biden, ”, “, let’s, Let’s, ’, Israel, Herzi, Amos Hochstein, Amos Hochstein Michael Brochstein, Amos, Hochstein, Yoav Gallant, It’s, ” Gallant, Ziv, Jalaa Marey, Benjamin Netanyahu, Benjamin Netanyahu Ariel Tagar Organizations: CNN, Biden, “, Israel, US, Getty, Lebanese Armed Forces, United Nations, UNIFIL, Bibi Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Israeli, Gaza, “, Washington, The State, Beirut, Baalbek, Israel's, Safed, AFP, ” Israel, Golan

A picture taken during an organised tour by Yemen's Houthi rebels on November 22, 2023 showing the Galaxy Leader cargo ship approaching the port in the Red Sea off Yemen's province of Hodeida. Oil prices fell Tuesday as traders monitored rising tensions in the Red Sea amid a backdrop of record U.S. crude production and worries about demand in China. Crude prices had jumped more than 2% earlier in the trading session on escalating tensions in the Red Sea, a crucial global trade chokepoint. And Iran on Monday deployed a destroyer to the Red Sea, according to the country's Tansim news agency. The move by Tehran comes after U.S. Navy helicopters destroyed three boats of Iran-backed Houthi rebels.

Persons: Yemen's Houthi, Brent, Helima Croft, Croft, Adi Imsirovic, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Neil Beveridge, Lloyd Organizations: Galaxy Leader, The West Texas Intermediate, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Monday, U.S . Navy, Navy, U.S . Central Command, Energy, Prosperity Locations: Red, Yemen's, Hodeida, China, The, Iran, Tehran, Singapore, Hangzhou, Brent, Israel, Gaza, Suez, Africa, The U.S

"Since then, the United States has turned ambition into action." On the sidelines of the conference, the United States also unveiled new measures to curb emissions of the powerful greenhouse gas methane from oil and gas operations. That awkward coincidence underscores one of COP28's most contentious questions: Can the world's response to climate change involve continuing use of fossil fuels? Harris told the conference that the United States supports phasing out of "unabated coal" use, but she did not mention other fossil fuels. "We're in a context in which we need to reduce production of fossil fuels and ... we need to be on a path of lower consumption.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, haven't, aren't, Catherine Abreu, John Podesta, Richard Valdmanis, Valerie Volcovici, Sarah McFarlane, Simon Jessop, Katy Daigle, Kevin Liffey, Diane Craft Organizations: Climate Fund, OPEC, United, UAE, Saturday, Exxon Mobil, Saudi Arabia's Aramco, Oil, Climate Initiative, Reuters, Thomson Locations: DUBAI, United States, Dubai, COP26, America, China, Texas, New Mexico, United Arab Emirates, U.S, Saudi, Ukraine

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. Brent crude futures were down 60 cents, or 0.7%, at $79.98 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures lost 68 cents, or 0.9%, to $74.86. OPEC+ is looking at deepening oil production cuts despite its policy meeting being postponed to this Thursday, an OPEC+ source said on Monday. The Middle East crisis had impacted oil prices as investors worried about impacts on supply.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Rebecca Babin, Goldman Sachs, Arathy Somasekhar, Paul Carsten, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Peter Graff, Mark Potter, Tomasz Janowski, Cynthia Osterman, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, HOUSTON, Brent, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, Saudi, CIBC Private Wealth, ING, OPEC, United, International Energy Agency, Qatar, Hamas, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Saudi, Russia, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Turkey, United States, Gaza, Houston, London

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. Brent crude futures were down 60 cents, or 0.7%, at $79.98 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures lost 68 cents, or 0.9%, to $74.86. "We still expect an extension of the unilateral Saudi and Russia cuts through at least the first quarter of 2024," the bank added. Higher crude stockpiles in the United States have also put downward pressure on prices, analysts said. The Middle East crisis had impacted oil prices as investors worried about impacts on supply.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Rebecca Babin, Goldman Sachs, Arathy Somasekhar, Paul Carsten, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Peter Graff, Mark Potter, Tomasz Janowski, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: REUTERS, HOUSTON, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, Saudi, CIBC Private Wealth, ING, OPEC, United, International Energy Agency, Qatar, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Saudi, Russia, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Turkey, United States, Gaza, Houston, London

☆ Here's why Goldman Sach's Samantha Dart is bearish on natural gas
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Goldman Sach's Samantha Dart is bearish on natural gasSamantha Dart, Goldman Sachs senior energy strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his outlook for natural gas, whether the United States is still a reliable exporter of natural gas, and more.

Persons: Goldman, Samantha Dart, Goldman Sachs Locations: United States

☆ U.S. renewable, grid battery projects battle transformer shortage
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Nicole Jao | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONGER LEAD TIMESLarge-scale battery projects to store energy on grids and to smooth out the variance of wind and solar power are also seeing longer lead times. They are taking around 12 to 18 months to complete, around six months longer than they would take without the supply issues, said Andrew Waranch, chief executive of battery energy storage system developer Spearmint Energy. Utility AES Corp (AES.N) has stockpiled supplies of the equipment it needs to build battery storage projects through 2025, a company spokesperson said. A shortage of raw materials that has contributed to transformer supply delays is unlikely to ease soon, manufacturers said. The supply-demand dislocation has worsened with the rapid scale-up of wind, solar and storage projects.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Vanessa Witte, Wood Mackenzie, Ben Pratt, Pratt, we've, Reagan Farr, Farr, Andrew Waranch, Waranch, Marco Terruzzin, Doug Banty, Banty, John Darby, Nicole Jao, Simon Webb, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, AES, Nova Clean Energy, Silicon, Spearmint Energy, Developers, American Clean Power Association, U.S . Energy Information Administration, AES Corp, MGM, Niagara, Thomson Locations: Big Spring , Texas, U.S, Chicago, Swiss, China, California, Russia, Ukraine, New York

☆ We're not seeing the oil inventory draws that we've seen despite robust supply: CIBC's Rebecca Babin
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're not seeing the oil inventory draws that we've seen despite robust supply: CIBC's Rebecca BabinRebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the oil market after prices slid to their lowest levels in months, the impact of waning demand in the U.S. and China, and more.

Persons: we've, Rebecca Babin Rebecca Babin Organizations: CIBC Private Wealth Locations: U.S, China

Interest rates for long-term borrowing for capital improvements also would be less costly for Pine Tree Power. The anger and frustration from electric ratepayers in Maine is a far cry from the days when Iberdrola bought Central Maine Power, the state’s largest electric utility. The privately operated, nonprofit Pine Tree Power utility would contract with a private grid operator through a competitive bidding process. But Pine Tree Power would face some of the same constraints as CMP and Versant. And, like the existing utilities, Pine Tree Power would have no control over the actual cost of electricity, which comprises about half of consumers' monthly bills.

Persons: Mainers, ”, Timothy Cox, Janet Mills, William Harwood, Seth Berry, Harwood, Ann, Ursula Schryver, Schryver, Mike Jacobs, Jacobs, who's, Christie Decker, “, Decker, Freed, Willy Ritch, ” Al, David Sharp, @David_Sharp_AP Organizations: Central Maine Power, Energy Partners, Democratic Gov, Maine Public, CMP, Nationwide, American Public Power Association, Union of Concerned Scientists, Iberdrola, Maine, Tree, Maine Affordable Energy Coalition Locations: PORTLAND, Maine, U.S, Washington, Tree, Francisco, San Diego, Ann Arbor , Michigan, Rochester , New York, Nebraska, Boston, Wilton, Pine, ” Al Cleveland

"The most serious outcome for crude is that the conflict escalates into a more devastating proxy war which could affect crude supply," said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth US. Israel's port of Ashkelon and its oil terminal have been shut in the wake of the conflict, sources said. Goldman Sachs said the conflict reduced the likelihood of normalization of Israel's relations with Saudi Arabia, and the associated boost to Saudi production over time. The conflict is likely to lead to higher volatility and speculation in oil markets, the CEO of Brazil's Petrobras (PETR4.SA) said. High oil price due to the conflict could bolster inflation, analysts said, forcing rate hikes that could dampen demand.

Persons: recouping, Brent, WTI, Israel, Rebecca Babin, Agustin Marcarian, Goldman Sachs, Caroline Bain, Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, Nicolas Maduro, Arathy Somasekhar, Natalie Grover, Andrew Hayley, Emily Chow, Kirsten Donovan, Lisa Shumaker, David Gregorio Our Organizations: HOUSTON, . West Texas, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Hamas, CIBC Private Wealth, Israel, REUTERS, Saudi, Analysts, Capital Economics, U.S, Petrobras, PETR4, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Israel, Ashkelon, Israel US, Venezuela, Palestinian, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Moscow, U.S, Iran, Russia, Caracas, Mexico, Tel Aviv, Houston, London, Beijing, Singapore

☆ Ukraine 'ready for winter loads' after repairs to energy system
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Sergij Ovchynnikov, a worker of electricity company Khersonoblenergo, replaces the power cord of a pylon amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Pravdyne, Kherson region, Ukraine, February 23, 2023. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsKYIV, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Ukraine has nearly completed repairs of its power systems following Russian air strikes on energy infrastructure last winter, and is ready for the coming winter, a senior energy official said on Wednesday. "We have installed all the equipment we planned and we are ready for the winter loads," Volodymyr Kudrytskiy, head of state-owned Ukrenergo power grid operator, told national television. Kudrytskiy said there was a 'high risk' of new attacks on the county's energy system this winter, but that Ukrainian air defences were much stronger now. He said the pace of repairs this year was six to seven times quicker than the average time for repairs before Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022.

Persons: Sergij, Lisi Niesner, Volodymyr Kudrytskiy, Kudrytskiy, Ukrenergo, Pavel Polityuk, Timothy Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Timothy Heritage, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Pravdyne, Kherson region

However, as government policies started to line up in the industry's favor in recent years, offshore wind developers unveiled a host of new project proposals, mostly off the U.S. East Coast. Many contracts for offshore wind projects have no mechanism for adjustment in the case of higher interest rates or costs. In New York, offshore wind developers also sought to boost the price of power produced at their projects. Norway's Equinor EQNR.OL and its partner BP (BP.L) are seeking a 54% increase for the power produced at three planned offshore wind farms - Empire Wind 1 and 2 and Beacon Wind. But the offshore wind industry is not fully satisfied.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Eli Rubin, Rubin, Equinor, France's, Scott DiSavino, Nerijus, Nichola Groom, Simon Webb, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal, State, White, REUTERS, U.S ., Dominion, EBW Analytics, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commonwealth, BP, Nichola, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Europe, U.S . East Coast, Rhode, Virginia, Massachusetts, New York, Oslo, Culver City

☆ Short-sellers have been flushed out of the oil market, says CIBC's Rebecca Babin
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailShort-sellers have been flushed out of the oil market, says CIBC's Rebecca BabinRebecca Babin, Senior Energy Trader at CIBC Wealth, discusses Saudi Arabia and Russia's decision to extend oil production cuts to the end of the year.

Persons: CIBC's Rebecca Babin Rebecca Babin Organizations: Senior Energy, CIBC Wealth Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ Oil prices are up 20% and energy stocks are rebounding
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Energy stocks are making a comeback after being left for dead earlier this year. Energy stocks faltered in the beginning of the year, defying investors’ expectations for last year’s boom to accelerate on a lack of global supply. That drop in energy stocks came despite OPEC+ producers, the cartel of oil producing countries plus Russia, announcing several output cuts in a bid to bump up crude prices. US WTI crude oil prices have gained 22% since June 11, while global benchmark Brent is up by 19%. Jobs report will likely be strongMarkets and economists are expecting another solid jobs report on Friday, reports my colleague Alicia Wallace.

Persons: That’s, what’s, ”, Rebecca Babin, Chevron, Derek Amey, Jobs, Alicia Wallace, Daniel Zhao, Refinitiv, Read, Here’s what’s, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, We’ve, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Energy, Energy, OPEC, Brent, Federal Reserve, CIBC Private Wealth, titans, Shell, Reuters, Glassdoor, USA Rice Federation Locations: New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China

☆ Big Oil's capital discipline has led to solid returns and tremendous dividends: Wells Fargo's Read
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig Oil's capital discipline has led to solid returns and tremendous dividends: Wells Fargo's ReadRoger Read, Wells Fargo senior energy analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on Exxon and Chevron, if big oil will begin to buy more properties, and much more.

Persons: Wells Fargo's Read Roger Read, Wells Organizations: Exxon, Chevron Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Crude oil rally can continue if the supply side holds true, says CIBC's Rebecca Babin
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCrude oil rally can continue if the supply side holds true, says CIBC's Rebecca BabinRebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the crude oil market, what it'll take for the rally to continue, and more.

Persons: CIBC's Rebecca Babin Rebecca Babin Organizations: CIBC Private Wealth

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