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Financial stocks are the best-performing group in 2024 and, even though they're widely thought to have more room to run as a sector, a subset of them are even more favorably positioned. The S & P 500 financial sector has surged 36% so far this year, outpacing both the communication services and information technology sectors that contain all the high-flying megacap technology stocks. XLF YTD mountain Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) in 2024. "If this bull market persists, the upside in those fintech names could be 3-4x what we see in the overall XLF," Ginsberg said. Financial stocks may be punished first in the event of a correction in the broader market, Ginsberg said.
Persons: outpacing, Donald Trump's, They've, Trump, Sam Stovall, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Basel, CFRA Research, Wolfe Research, P Bank ETF, CNBC, PayPal
Brandon Bell | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineEven before Trump enters the White House, investors are already living in his world. Upon Trump's election win, the so-called "Trump trade" has flourished, with risk assets in general on an upward trajectory. Posturing or not, it's likely Trump's proposed policies will sway the markets in the foreseeable future.
Persons: STLA, Donald Trump, Sen, Ted Cruz, Brandon Bell, Trump, Scott Bessent, Goldman Sachs's, Jan Hatzius, Gregory Daco, Jamie Cox, , Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin Organizations: SpaceX, Getty, CNBC, House, Trump, Mexico —, UBS, GM, Ford, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Harris Financial Locations: Brownsville , Texas, Mexico, Canada, EY, U.S
Brandon Bell | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineEven before Trump enters the White House, investors are already living in his world. Upon Trump's election win, the so-called "Trump trade" has flourished, with risk assets in general on an upward trajectory. Posturing or not, it's likely Trump's proposed policies will sway the markets in the foreseeable future.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brandon Bell, Trump, Scott Bessent, Goldman Sachs's, Jan Hatzius, Gregory Daco, Jamie Cox, , Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin Organizations: GM STLA, SpaceX, Getty, CNBC, House, Trump, Mexico —, UBS, GM, Ford, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Harris Financial Locations: Brownsville , Texas, Mexico, Canada, EY, U.S
Dell Technologies — Shares fell more than 12% after the PC maker said it sees fourth-quarter revenue and earnings below Wall Street expectations . HP said it expects earnings, excluding items, to range between 70 cents per share and 76 cents per share. Autodesk expects earnings per share to be between $2.10 and $2.16, excluding items, and revenue of $1.623 billion to $1.638 billion. Urban Outfitters — Shares popped nearly 12% after the retailer reported an earnings and revenue beat postmarket Tuesday. Ambarella expects revenue of between $76 million and $80 million for the period, above the $69 million that analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected.
Persons: StreetAccount, FactSet, Janesh Moorjani, — Stocks, CrowdStrike, LSEG, George Kurtz, Ambarella, Nutanix, , Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Dell Technologies, HP, Autodesk, Urban, postmarket, LSEG . Revenue
Abercrombie & Fitch reported third-quarter earnings of $2.50 per share, topping the $2.39 per share LSEG consensus estimate. Revenue was $1.21 billion, versus the $1.19 billion expected. Best Buy — Shares slid 7.4% after Best Buy posted third-quarter results that missed analyst expectations and cut its full-year sales forecast. Adjusted earnings of $1.26 per share came in below the $1.29 per-share earnings expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Fluence reported $1.23 billion in revenue for the quarter, below the $1.28 billion expected by analysts, according to FactSet.
Persons: Fitch, Kohl's, LSEG, Donald Trump, Dick's, Rivian, Fluence, Eli Lilly —, Eli Lilly, Biden, Nordisk's Wegovy, Eli Lilly's Zepbound, , Sarah Min, Sean Conlon, Fred Imbert, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Abercrombie, Fitch, Revenue, LSEG, General Motors, Ford, Georgia EV, Energy, Novo Nordisk, drugmakers Novo Nordisk, Nordisk's Locations: LSEG ., China, Mexico, Canada, Georgia
A Santa Claus rally, and a strong seasonal month for stocks, can push stocks to new all-time highs by year-end, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. That helped the S & P 500 notch a more than 25% yearly advance, with the Nasdaq rising more than 27%. "We expect more new all-time highs before yearend," he wrote. .SPX 1D mountain S & P 500 Seasonally speaking, December is already the third-best month of any year for the major averages, according to the Almanac. Typically, the S & P 500 gains 1.3% on average during this period, in data going back to 1969.
Persons: Santa Claus, Stocks, Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Dow, Jeffrey A, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Key Square, Nasdaq, Stock, Dow Locations: Santa
The interest rate outlook will come back into focus next week with key inflation data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes coming out ahead of Thanksgiving, as investors wrap up a major month for markets following President-elect Donald Trump's election victory. The October personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index set to release Wednesday could dent already-dimming hopes for a December rate cut if it comes in hotter than expected. The inflation rate is expected to have increased 0.2% month over month and 2.3% year on year. Rosy expectations Even with the interest rate cut expectations coming in, investors are optimistic on the direction for stocks to close out the year and into 2025. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 can end next year at 6,500.
Persons: Donald Trump's, , Luke O'Neill, Stocks, O'Neill, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Tom Hainlin, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Alpha Fund, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BMO, UBS, Bank Asset Management, Dell Technologies, Chicago, New, Richmond Fed, Devices, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago
Big swaths of the market have pulled back since the Nov. 5 election. Vaccine makers and processed food companies suffered after Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent vaccine skeptic, was tapped to lead the Department of Health and Human Services. Just this week, HSBC upgraded Moderna to buy from hold, saying that its "pipeline deserves more than the market is giving it credit for." BioNTech, which pulled back more than 5% this month, was identified by Evercore ISI this week as a buying opportunity. AbbVie and First Solar are two other stocks with strong upside potential, based on analysts' consensus price targets compiled by FactSet.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, Luke O'Neill, FactSet Organizations: Department of Health, Human Services, Defense, Department of Government, Hartford Funds, Catalyst, Alpha Fund, White House, Moderna, HSBC, Evercore ISI, RFK Jr Locations: China
Snowflake posted adjusted earnings of 20 cents per share on revenue of $942 million. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were looking for 15 cents in earnings per share on revenue of $897 million. Nvidia – Shares of the chipmaker fell around 1% despite its third-quarter earnings results topping Wall Street's expectations . BJ's Wholesale Club – The stock popped nearly 8% after the warehouse club reported a third-quarter earnings beat and raised its full-year guidance. BJ's also announced a plan to repurchase $1 billion shares and said it will raise its membership fee.
Persons: Snowflake, LSEG, – Stocks, bitcoin, Coinbase, Mara Holdings, Baidu, BJ's, Goldman Sachs, , Sarah Min, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia –, , Baidu, BJ's Wholesale Locations: Palo
Target – Shares plunged more than 17% after the Minneapolis-based retailer missed third-quarter earnings and revenue estimates and slashed its full-year guidance, just three months after raising that forecast. Delta Air Lines – The Atanta-based carrier fell more than 1% after reiterating its outlook for the fourth quarter . Nio – U.S. shares fell more than 2% after the Chinese electric vehicle maker posted lower-than-expected revenue for the third quarter. Dolby earned 61 cents per share in its fiscal fourth quarter, above analysts' estimated 45 cents per share, according to FactSet. Powell Industries – Shares of the electrical equipment company fell 13% after new orders in the fiscal fourth quarter fell to $267 million from $356 million in the third quarter.
Persons: NBCUniversal, Brian Roberts, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Nio, Dolby, Robinhood, Needham, Keysight, Piper Sandler, Mike Tyson, Jake Paul, , Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: , Comcast, CNBC, MSNBC, Delta Air Lines, Delta, FactSet, Dolby, Technologies, Powell, BDO, Nasdaq, Netflix Locations: Minneapolis, Nio –
Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.
Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Walmart — The big-box retailer saw shares jump nearly 5% to hit a record after the retail giant topped fiscal third-quarter earnings and revenue expectations. The retailer also hiked its outlook again as it saw growth in e-commerce and improvements in sales outside of the grocery aisles. Lowe's — The home improvement retailer dropped more than 3% after saying it expects sales to decline in 2024 . Kraft Heinz — The packaged food company dipped about 1% after a Piper Sandler downgrade to neutral from overweight. Insmed — Shares rallied more than 8% after the drugmaker terminated a $500 million equity sales agreement with health-care investment bank Leerink Partners.
Persons: Young, Lowe's, Kraft Heinz —, Piper Sandler, Kraft Heinz, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump, , Wall, Symbotic, Donald Trump's, Jesse Pound, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Pia Singh Organizations: Walmart, BDO, Ernst, Nasdaq, Leerink Partners, Viking Holdings, Revenue, Intuit, Washington Post, Donald Trump's Department, Government
Walmart – The retail giant gained about 4% after posting fiscal third-quarter results that surpassed Wall Street's estimates. Although the company reported a top- and bottom-line beat in the fiscal third quarter, it estimates sales will fall year over year. Super Micro Computer — The server maker soared around 26% after announcing BDO as its new auditor. Super Micro also provided a plan to the Nasdaq on how it will stay in compliance with exchange's rules. Symbotic — The automation technology company surged 28.5% after beating expectations for revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter.
Persons: Young, Symbotic, AeroVironment, Donald Trump's, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Blackwell, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim, Sean Conlon, Brian Evans, Michelle Fox Organizations: Walmart, BDO, Ernst, Nasdaq, Revenue, Wall, BioNTech, ISI, Department of Health, Human Services, Nvidia —, Nvidia
Nvidia earnings results this week are more important to the stock market than the Federal Reserve or even jobs data, according to the options market. But Jensen Huang's company remains crucially important to the market, according to Wall Street firms tracking the options market. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia The options market shows an implied move of 8% for Nvidia, according to Barclays. For investors, how Nvidia moves could determine what is next for a market that has been flagging lately following the postelection rally, according to Bank of America Securities' Asis. Asis recommends hedging against the earnings results in case Nvidia disappoints.
Persons: Jensen, Gonzalo Asis, Asis, Stefano Pascale Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Wall, Bank of America Securities, Sunday, Nvidia, CPI, Barclays, Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Asis
It's hard to imagine much more upside for the current stock market, according to Bank of America. "The S & P 500 is statistically expensive on almost every metric," Savita Subramanian, the firm's equity and quant strategist, wrote Friday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "Overall, we see limited near-term upside to the cap-weighted S & P 500 and prefer the equal-weighted index, but our bear market signposts — the triggers that typically precede an S & P 500 peak — are not signaling elevated risks of an imminent bear market," she wrote. The strategist updated her S & P 500 year-end target to 6,000. The S & P 500 was last trading around 5,880.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Donald Trump's, It's Organizations: Bank of America
Spirit Airlines — Shares of the struggling airline were halted on Monday after the company filed for bankruptcy protection . The stock rose 2.8% when trading resumed. Liberty Energy , Oklo — Shares of Liberty Energy rose 5% after Trump picked CEO Chris Wright as energy secretary . Robinhood — The electronic trading platform stock gained 1% after Needham upgraded shares to buy from hold. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore company rose 2% following a Wells Fargo upgrade to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Tesla, Donald Trump's, Chris Wright, Wright, Baird, Barron's, Needham, Robinhood, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, , Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Spencer Kimball, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Bloomberg News, U.S . Transportation Department . Spirit Airlines, Liberty Energy, Oklo, of Liberty Energy, Trump, Nvidia, Blackwell, Nasdaq, Trump's Securities, Exchange Commission, CVS, Aetna, Warner Bros, National Basketball Association, Wall Street Journal, U.S, NBA, HSBC, Moderna Locations: Wells
Shelby Tauber | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineAfter enjoying the postelection rally, investors are turning their attention to issues like inflation and interest rates again. Powell added that the Fed doesn't need to be "in a hurry to lower rates" because the of "the strength we are currently seeing in the economy." For investors who were riding high on the postelection rally and are now descending to earth, their landing sure feels like a bumpy one.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Shelby Tauber, Powell, Rick Rieder, Rieder, , Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Sarah Min Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Fair, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Consumer, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Dallas , Texas, U.S
What exactly President-elect Donald Trump's second term means for the stock market will be the question investors continue to grapple with in the week ahead. Nvidia earnings results will also be on deck as investors deal with stubbornly high interest rates as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged past 44,000 for the first time ever, and the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite similarly posted new records. Sales of Blackwell and Grace Blackwell are expected to start to show up in results next year. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has surged 11% this month.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jimmy Chang, Jensen Huang, CNBC's, Blackwell, Grace Blackwell, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Kumar, Jensen, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Novavax, Ken Mahoney, Trump, There's, Mahoney, Rockefeller's Chang, Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury, Nvidia, Blackwell, Health, Human Services Department, Moderna, Asset Management, Regional Banking ETF, Federal, White, FWDBONDS, Housing, Walmart, Lowe's, Palo Alto Networks, Philadelphia Fed, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Intuit, Deere, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services Locations: China, U.S, NAHB, . Kansas, Michigan
The 10-year Treasury yield sat near flat at 4.449%, near its highest point since July. The 10-year Treasury yield hovered near a 4-month high on Thursday after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is in no hurry to slash interest rates. The moves followed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech in Dallas Thursday, where he told business leaders the cenral bank doesn't need to quickly cut interest rates. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," Powell said in prepared remarks. The speeches come as investors and economists scrutinize what President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House could mean for U.S. interest rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Adriana Kugler, Donald Trump's, Dow Jones, , Sarah Min Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed Locations: Dallas
So far on Wednesday, the stock market was largely ignoring the morning's inflation report because the main CPI reading was as economists expected. But a look deeper into the report spells trouble for a stock market — and president-elect — that are going to want the Federal Reserve to keep cutting rates throughout next year to keep fueling the bull market. However, in recent months, policymakers have focused more on the headline number, saying shelter costs, which have an outsized influence on core CPI, will come down. But core inflation has remained unusually stubborn, suggesting the Fed may have to hold rates higher than investors were previously anticipating. Core CPI showed a third straight monthly increase of 0.3%, bringing the annual rate to 3.3%.
Persons: Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell, Rupkey, Donald Trump, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, White, Washington , D.C Locations: Washington ,
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), after Republican Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, in New York City, U.S., November 6, 2024. U.S. stocks slid on Thursday, as fresh comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that economic strength could warrant some patience with future rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 189 points, or 0.4%, after falling more than 250 points at the lows of the session. "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully," Powell said. Those moves come after the October producer price index released Thursday rose 0.2%, matching forecasts from economists polled by Dow Jones.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell, Tesla, Dow Jones, Donald Trump's, Jay Woods Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Republican, U.S, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, Russell, PPI, Dow, Freedom Capital Locations: New York City, U.S, Dallas
Wall Street has been pumping money into the Trump trade, but investors should be wary before committing capital based on campaign promises, if history is any indication. From Election Day 2016 through year-end, the asset class outperformed the S & P 500 by 8% on a relative basis. In fact, from Election Day 2016 through Election Day 2020, smallcaps tumbled more than 22%. Expand the timeline to one year out from Election Day, and the ETF underperformed the broader index by 11%. Energy Energy stocks are expected to get a huge boost from Trump, who made energy a focus of his presidential campaign , and promised to "drill, baby, drill."
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, elect's, Russell, Biden, Wells, Austin Pickle, , smallcaps, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank, Regional Banking, Wells, Investment Institute, Trump, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, . Energy Energy, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, that's year's
Live Nation Entertainment — Shares jumped 5% after the live music and entertainment company posted an earnings beat for the third quarter. Twilio — Shares moved 1.7% higher following an upgrade at Wells Fargo to overweight from equal weight. IAC — Shares rose 3% on news that IAC its weighing a spinoff of home improvement marketplace Angi. Shares rose more than 4% last week on the heels of the president-elect's victory. SentinelOne — Shares rose 1.6% after Deutsche Bank upgraded shares to buy from hold, saying the July outage related to CrowdStrike can help add to SentinelOne's momentum.
Persons: Elliott, Twilio, bitcoin, Robinhood, Microstrategy, Okta, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox, Lisa Han, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: Honeywell —, Elliott Management, Honeywell, Aerospace, Automation, IAC, Trump Media & Technology, Deutsche Bank Locations: Wells
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
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