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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's tariff threats might be bargaining tools rather than firm policies, says strategistSam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist of CFRA Research, says President-Elect Donald Trump is unlikely to 'upend the apple cart' with his proposed tariffs.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Donald Trump Organizations: CFRA
S&P 500 futures are near flat Thursday night as investors wondered what's next for the market after the postelection rally wavered. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures also slipped 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.2%. The Dow fell more than 200 points in the session, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each slipped about 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite has dropped 0.9% this week, while the S&P 500 and Dow have shed 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively.
Persons: what's, Pizza, Berkshire Hathaway, Dow, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Sam Stovall Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Materials, Berkshire, Federal, Dow, CFRA Locations: New York City, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeed upward earnings revisions to justify current valuations, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the rerating of the current equity market, what's happening with valuations at current levels, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
That’s why Trump, who closely follows the stock market and obsessed over it as president, should be nervous about the recent trend on Wall Street. If the market goes down, the incumbent party gets replaced,” Stovall told CNN in a phone interview Monday. Market indicator was right in 2016 and 2020Vice President Kamala Harris should feel relieved the market has seen solid gains. In 2016, the S&P 500 dipped 2.2% in the lead-up to Trump’s matchup with the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Yet there’s another market indicator that offers a reason for hope for the Harris camp.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall, Trump, ” Stovall, , Stovall, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Dwight Eisenhower, Adlai Stevenson, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Joe Biden, Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Harris, Humphrey, Jimmy Carter, Carter, , Doug Ramsey, Dow, We’re, ” Ramsey Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, , CNN, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Trump, Democratic, State, Democratic Party, Investment, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: New York, Chicago, Vietnam, Iran, Monday’s
Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election. S&P 500 futures and Nasdsq-100 futures edged lower. Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500- 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CFRA Research's Sam Stovall, CNBC's, We've, Jerome Powell, Sarah Min Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NBC, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Traders, Micro, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts
The S&P 500 enjoyed a compound annual growth rate of 12.1% from Trump’s surprise election in November 2016 through Biden’s 2020 victory, according to CFRA. “The Trump market was so strong because of a combination of very low inflation, very low interest rates and tax cuts,” said Stovall. The S&P 500’s growth rate under Democrats is 10% compared with 6.7% under Republicans, according to CFRA. In those six years since 1945, where such a dynamic has been in place, the S&P 500 has enjoyed a sizzling growth rate of 16.8%. In fact, the market has generally performed better during times of higher, not lower, tax rates across changes in all three categories, BMO found.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Biden, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Bill Clinton, Kamala Harris, “ Biden, ” Stovall, Trump, Clinton, , , Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, CFRA, ” Brian Belski, Richard M, Nixon, George W, Bush, . Bush, , Richard Nixon, Bush –, ” Belski, Gridlock, Harris, BMO’s Belski Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden’s, CFRA Research, Biden, Trump, Wall, , Democrats, Republicans, Gross, Democratic, BMO Capital Markets, Clinton, Congress, Investors, Republican, White, BMO Locations: New York
The Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record on Tuesday as investors readied for key corporate earnings releases, including reports from notable tech names. The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.78% to a record close of 18,712.75. Ahead of their earnings releases, shares of Meta jumped 2.6%, and Alphabet advanced 1.8% on Tuesday. This will mark the busiest week of the earnings season with more than 150 S&P 500 companies scheduled to have reported by Friday’s close. Notably, the blue-chip Dow broke a five-day losing streak, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched its eighth positive session of the last nine.
Persons: “ It’s, Sam Stovall, Friday’s, Jonathan Krinsky, , Dow Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Research, Traders, Treasury, U.S
The S & P 500 typically advances about 7% from November to April, compared to the index's average 2% rise from May to October, according to CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. This year's market strength follows a standout 20% gain for the S & P 500 in 2023's "best six months" period, he noted. "This double-dose of double-digit returns has caused investors to wonder if the market has used up its energy reserves and may be headed for tough times," Stovall wrote. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has advanced more than 22% in 2024. Stocks were bhigher on both Friday and Monday , with the S & P 500 trading within a hair's breath of this month's all-time high of 5864.67.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Russell, Stocks, Stovall Organizations: Stock Traders, Research, Investors Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWould not surprise me if earnings results exceed estimates, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Stovall's thoughts on the overall earnings season, what could change for markets post-election, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Earnings growth is falling short of expectations thus far
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Corporate earnings are not meeting expectations thus far. Roughly 160 S & P 500 companies have posted third-quarter results thus far, with their bottom lines growing an average of just 2.6%, per FactSet. The blended growth rate, which includes the reports already out and estimates for those on the docket, points to overall S & P 500 earnings growing at 3.4% from the year-earlier period. The S & P 500 rebounded slightly from a three-day slide on Thursday due in part to strong earnings reports. Companies slated to report earnings after the close Thursday include Deckers, Capital One and DexCom.
Persons: Joseph Cusick, " Cusick, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Calamos Investments, Research, Whirlpool, PayPal, CNBC, Companies, Tech, Amazon, Apple
The U.S. presidential election is fast approaching, but it may not have as much an impact on markets as people may think, some investors say. History suggests the strong performance bodes well for a post-election pop into year's end. When Trump was elected in the 2016 presidential election, investors expected energy would perform well — but the subsequent two years proved unfavorable for the sector. During the 2000 election, volatility lasted for more than 30 days, through December. "We encourage investors to keep their long-term objectives in mind during periods of uncertainty and position for election related volatility," Guerra wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Joe Biden's, Dan Chung, John Stoltzfus, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Monica Guerra, Guerra, Ross Mayfield, Baird Organizations: U.S, NBC News, Republican, Dow Jones Industrial, CFRA, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Presidency, Senate, Republicans, Trump, Morgan Stanley Wealth
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.13% and 0.16%, respectively. Roughly one-fifth of S&P 500 companies are set to report through Friday. Of the 14% of S&P 500 companies that have already posted third-quarter results, 79% have beaten expectations, according to FactSet's John Butters.
Persons: FactSet's John Butters, Sam Stovall Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S, CFRA Research Locations: New York City . U.S
Earnings next week will be key to where stocks head from here. While roughly one-tenth of S & P 500 companies reported over the past week, about 20% of the broader index plans to report next week. He noted that the S & P 500 is trading at a 40% premium to its long-term P/E ratio, while tech stocks are trading at upwards of 60%. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 , it's the first such streak going back to December 2023. Meanwhile, the equal-weighted S & P 500 slightly outpaced the market-cap weighted benchmark this week, a bullish signal for sectors such as health care.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet's John Butters, Butters, it's, Tesla, Lockheed Martin, Russell, Nelson Yu, Harker Organizations: U.S, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Lockheed, GE Aerospace, Business Machines, General Motors, Verizon Communications, United Parcel Services, Southwest Airlines, Nvidia, Philadelphia Reserve, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Locations: Independence, Philadelphia, . Kansas
New York CNN —Wall Street traders are popping champagne and toasting the two-year anniversary of a period of outsized gains known as a bull market. What makes this bull market unusual is how much uncertainty and economic worry investors have had to contend with during its run. Historically, bull markets recover around 194% of the previous downturn, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. While the first two years of a bull market often see significant gains, history shows that the third year can bring challenges, said Stovall. On average, bull markets entering their third year post a modest return of just 2%.
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Adam Turnquist, Quincy Krosby, , Stovall Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, LPL, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Europe, East
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect smooth sailing in the markets for the next 3-6 months, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, how long the bull market can run, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Bull markets tend to sputter in year three
  + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
.SPX mountain 2022-10-12 The S & P 500 has gained more than 60% during this bull market. However, prior bull markets have shown a tendency to lose a little steam in their third year. Bank of America research showed that 10 prior bull markets for the S & P 500 had an average return of -2% in months 25 to 36. Another thing to keep in mind is that even positive third years for bull markets tend to be bumpy. Of course, a slump for the S & P 500 could be an opportunity for small-cap stocks to catch up .
Persons: Ritesh Samadhiya, Sam Stovall, Russell Organizations: Bank of America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeems like China's stimulus hype is fading, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist and Barbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall, Barbara Doran Organizations: CFRA Research, BD8 Capital
The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStovall: We're going to find that wanting a rate cut is more profitable than having oneCFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall says even with the markets' enthusiasm over the Fed's outsized rate cut, we're not out of the woods yet in terms of seasonal patterns.
Persons: Stovall, We're, Sam Stovall, we're
Look for post-election market rally, says CFRA's Stovall
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLook for post-election market rally, says CFRA's StovallSam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, and Dean Maki, chief economist at Point72 Asset Management, join CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" to discuss market movers, economic expectations and more.
Persons: CFRA's Stovall Sam Stovall, Dean Maki Organizations: CFRA Research, Point72 Asset Management
Boeing should be kicked out of the Dow
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The United States is no longer primarily an industrial economy, and the changes in the index over the last 126 years reflect that evolution. Beyond that, there are two other major issues indicating that Boeing no longer belongs in the Dow. Trying to stay relevantBoeing obviously wasn’t an early component of the Dow — the index started seven years before the first plane flew at Kitty Hawk, and 20 years before Boeing was incorporated. In 2020, the Dow dropped ExxonMobil, then struggling with low oil prices during the pandemic, and added tech company Salesforce, then on a tear. Boeing declined to comment when asked about its membership in the Dow.
Persons: , Ron Epstein, Dow, Max, That’s, Sam Stovall, Kitty Hawk, , ” Stovall, Stovall, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Boeing, Bank of America, Steel, Disney, Dow, Alaska Airlines, Federal Aviation Administration, CFRA Research, Electric, Lockheed, GE, GE Aerospace, ExxonMobil, Airbus Locations: New York, United States, Alaska, Ukraine
The S & P 500 was higher Tuesday, one day after the broad market index posted its worst day in nearly two years amid revived fears of a recession. The current pullback has all the hallmarks of a market correction, the strategist said. So, don't rush to try to catch a falling knife," Malek said. The S & P 500 on Tuesday traded about 7% below a record high reached last month. Besides, he said, it is hard to think of a market correction occurring in August, when a bottom is historically more likely to happen in the month of October.
Persons: Thomas Salopek, Salopek, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Strategas, Chris Verrone, Verrone Organizations: Nasdaq, JPMorgan
The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.
Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, , Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S
It may be even harder now that cracks are forming in the labor market. The jobs report was not a disaster, by any stretch, and it’s no guarantee of a looming recession. But it was a surprise, and economists expressed concerns about how quickly the labor market appears to have downshifted. For Wall Street, the surprise slowdown was the bitter cherry on top of a sundae of disappointing tech earnings. (In other words, Wall Street may have overreacted because, well, that’s just kinda the way Wall Street does things.)
Persons: Harris, couldn’t, that’s, , Heidi Shierholz, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, it’s, It’s, Joe Biden’s, Jason Smith of, , Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, Economic Policy Institute, Democratic, CFRA Research, , Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, GOP, Harris Administration, Connecticut GOP Locations: New York, Jason Smith of Missouri, Connecticut
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