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Indian markets have been under pressure in recent weeks, but strategist Matt Orton remains bullish on the country, revealing "one of his favorite" stocks right now. ICIC Bank One stock that stands out to Orton is private bank and financial services player ICICI Bank . "ICICI Bank is one of my favorite picks because it's just a top-quality asset. ICICIBANK-IN YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in ICICI Bank Orton said ICICI is among the three "domestic systemically important banks," or those considered " too big to fail " banks by the Reserve Bank of India. According to FactSet data, of 44 analysts covering the stock, 41 give it a buy or overweight rating, while the remaining three have a hold call.
Persons: Matt Orton, Raymond James, CNBC's, Orton, it's, ICICI Bank Orton, Jefferies Organizations: Raymond James Investment Management, Bombay Stock Exchange, ICICI Bank, India's, Bombay Stock Exchanges, ICICI, Reserve Bank of India Locations: bullish, India, U.S, Mumbai
India's central bank will launch a pilot program in 2025 offering local cloud data storage to financial firms at affordable prices, according to two sources aware of the matter, who declined to be identified as conversations are confidential. The Reserve Bank of India's planned cloud platform will use local IT firms, pitting it against the likes of Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud and IBM Cloud, in a first-of-its-kind initiative from a major global central bank. In December last year, RBI governor Shaktikanta Das announced plans to set up a public cloud for the financial services industry. Initial work on the cloud is being driven by the research wing of the central bank called the Indian Financial Technology and Allied Services. It will then be developed further in partnership with one or more private sector technology firms, according to the sources.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, EY Organizations: Bank, Reserve Bank of, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Google, IBM, International Data Corporation, Indian Financial Technology, Allied Services, Reuters
Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during an event at the Peterson Institute of Economics (PIIE) during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. Central banks have managed to engineer a soft landing through a period of "continual and unprecedented shocks," but there is still a risk of global inflation returning and of economic growth slowing down, according to India's central bank chief. Speaking Thursday in Mumbai, India, at CNBC-TV18's Global Leadership Summit, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy from global central banks had largely "performed well" in recent years despite conflicts, geopolitical tensions and higher volatility. "A soft landing has been ensured but risks of inflation — as I speak to you here today — risks of inflation coming back and growth slowing down do remain," Das said. Das pointed to several contradictions in global markets to underline his view, including the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, even as the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Peterson Institute of Economics, International Monetary Fund, Bank, CNBC, Leadership, U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Central, Mumbai, India, London
A sign for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sign is displayed inside central bank's headquarters in Mumbai, India. The Reserve Bank of India would be able to tap its large foreign exchange reserves to defend the domestic currency in the event of global market volatility and an outflow of foreign funds, the sources said. There has been a record outflow of more than $10 billion in foreign funds from India stocks, while foreigners pulled $700 million from the debt market. Central bank officials have not committed to or signaled any timing for a rate cut. China's stimulus efforts, which could intensify if U.S. tariffs further hurt its economy, have been a factor driving foreign funds out of India and other emerging markets into China.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Republican, Democratic, Trump Locations: Mumbai, India, China, The U.S, Central
Currently, more than 80% of India's energy needs are met by coal, oil and solid biomass, according to the International Energy Agency. On the demand side, the Indian government has aggressively pushed policies that favor vehicles powered by compressed natural gas (CNG), a derivative of liquified natural gas (LNG). Meanwhile, the number of households that could receive piped natural gas is more than 300 million. For instance, natural gas is a crucial ingredient for making fertilizers, and manufacturing it domestically helps increase food security. Seth is also optimistic about India's growth rate for its third and fourth quarters despite slower capital expenditure in some states.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, Francis Mascarenhas, They're, Maruti Suzuki, GAIL, MGL, of Home Affairs Amit Shah, David Morrison, Shah, Ajay Seth, Seth, Aravind Maiya, Embassy REITs, Maiya, Landsberg Bennett, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Organizations: Gas, Private, Afp, Getty, International Energy Agency, Energy, Reuters, Maruti, Institute for Energy Economics, Rystad Energy, Citi, JPMorgan, Gujarat Gas, of Home Affairs, Foreign, Department of Economic, Reserve Bank of India, CNBC, Embassy, Fortune, Wealth Locations: Dhamra, Bhadrak district, India's Odisha, India, Europe, Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Pune, Gujarat, Canada, U.S
Citi: 'no magic number' for RBI's FX reserves
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti: 'no magic number' for RBI's FX reservesCiti's chief India economist, Samiran Chakraborty clarifies how the Reserve Bank of India shores up its forex reserves, determined by India's balance of payments and capital inflows. He also discusses labor market data, noting that improving skills is a key focus for the Indian government's five-year term.
Persons: Samiran Chakraborty Organizations: Citi, RBI's FX, Reserve Bank of India Locations: India
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected, but tweaked its policy stance to "neutral," opening the door for rate cuts amid early signs of a growth slowdown in the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee, which consists of three RBI and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for a tenth straight policy meeting. The committee, however, changed its policy stance to "neutral" from "withdrawal of accommodation." The MPC last changed rates in February 2023, when the policy rate was raised to 6.50%. India's overall growth slowed to 6.7% in the June quarter.
Organizations: Bank of, Global, Reserve Bank of India, Monetary, Committee, Reuters, MPC, PMI Locations: Bank of India, Mumbai, India
An aerial view shows the Central Bank of India building, in Mumbai, India, 28 September, 2022. (Photo by Niharika Kulkarni/NurPhoto via Getty Images)Asia-Pacific markets rebounded on Wednesday following a broad decline in the previous session and as Wall Street rallied overnight. Investors are focused on policy decisions from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Reserve Bank of India. New Zealand's central bank is expected to slash its policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, while the RBI is expected to hold rates at 6.5%.
Persons: Niharika Kulkarni Organizations: Central Bank of India, Getty Images, Wall Street, Investors, Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank of India Locations: Mumbai, India, Asia, Pacific, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia's central bank is likely to pivot toward lower rates in the next few months, economist saysKrishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors, discusses the outlook for the Reserve Bank of India's approach to interest rates, saying it's in a "sweet spot."
Persons: Krishna Bhimavarapu Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Reserve Bank of Locations: Asia, Pacific
Asia-Pacific markets mostly climbed on Monday, led by Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 2% as investors look ahead to a week of central bank decisions from around the region. Three central banks are set to release their interest rate decisions this week, namely the Bank of Korea, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Reserve Bank of India. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOK and RBNZ to cut rates, while the RBI will hold. The BOK on Friday is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate to 3.25% from 3.5%, while the RBNZ is expected to enact a 50-basis-point cut to 4.75% on Wednesday. Back in August, the RBNZ surprised economists after it lowered its policy rate to 5.25% from 5.5%.
Persons: BOK Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Bank of, Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters Locations: Seoul . Asia, Pacific, Bank of Korea, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Yet, India's central bank appeared to dismiss the negativity earlier this month and reiterated its bullish view of India's growth rate, still expecting the economy to grow by 7.2%. However, when prompted on whether India's growth rate could compete with what China has already achieved for over two decades, the governor was less buoyant. But if you are looking at 10-plus growth, before I venture into that, I have to really do my homework much more," Governor Das said. This week, China's central bank, President Xi Jinping and other top leaders announced plans to boost the country's economy and attract investment. If India intends to grow as fast as China did, it may have to get a move on.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Narendra Modi, he's, , Xi Jinping, David Tepper, he'd, Kaanhari Singh Organizations: Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Reserve Bank of India, CNBC, Bank, Appaloosa Management, Barclays Locations: Wall, India, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's GovernorCNBC's Tanvir Gill spoke to Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's governor, in an exclusive interview for CNBC Conversations. He discussed the strength of the Indian Rupee, India's inflation outlook, as well as the RBI's interest rate considerations.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, CNBC's Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank, India's, CNBC
Speaking to CNBC in an exclusive interview, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das discussed the issue of slowing growth in bank deposits underperforming an expansion in loans. "So there is a gap of 350 to 400 basis points," he said, referencing the difference between credit and deposit growth. Annual figures from August put loan growth at 13.6% with deposit growth at 10.8%, according to Reuters. When lending outpaces deposits, net interest margins — or the difference between what a bank earns on loans and pays out for deposits — take a hit. India's GDP slowed to 6.7% in the second quarter compared to last year's 8.2%, piling pressure on the central bank to reverse a recent hiking cycle.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das, Ashish Gupta, CNBC's Organizations: CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, Mutual Fund, Monetary, MPC Locations: India
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are not artificially keeping the Indian Rupee strong, says RBI GovernorShaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's Governor discusses the reasons behind Indian Rupee's relative stability against the U.S. dollar the past 2 years.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das Organizations: Reserve Bank, India's, U.S .
Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty ImagesIndia can achieve sustainable economic growth of up to 8% over the medium term, according to the country's central bank governor. The figures have ratcheted up pressure on the central bank to launch its own rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later. Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), speaks during the Global Fintech Fest 2024 in Mumbai, India, on August 28, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt comes as major central banks have started to ease monetary policy in recent months, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Women (silhouetted) walk past Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo displayed at Global Fintech Fest exhibition in Mumbai.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Nurphoto, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, The U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of India, Global Locations: Mumbai, India, Japan, Germany, U.S, China
Axis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this year
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAxis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this yearAshish Gupta, CIO at Axis Mutual Fund sees a pickup in Indian IPOs in response to increased demand to invest in the Indian market, but a more muted earnings picture for banks as the Reserve Bank of India looks to cut rates in 2024.
Persons: Ashish Gupta Organizations: Mutual Fund, Reserve Bank of Locations: Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: interest rate decision will be based on the future trajectory of inflation and growthShaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India, joins CNBC's Tanvir Gill in an exclusive interview, discussing India's inflation outlook, as well as the RBI's interest rate considerations.
Persons: Das, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank of India
RBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainable
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainableThe Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, Shaktikanta Das, joins CNBC's Tanvir Gill in an exclusive interview to discuss India's long-term growth trajectory.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank of India Locations: India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: Monitoring for any signs of stress in banking sectorShaktikanta Das, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, spoke at length about the strict regulation of the NBFC sector, highlighting the RBI's commitment to maintaining India's financial stability.
Organizations: Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Reasonable sense' that consumption in India will rebound, economist saysKrishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors, shares his prediction on when the Reserve Bank of India will cut interest rates.
Persons: Krishna Bhimavarapu Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Reserve Bank of Locations: India, Asia, Pacific, Reserve Bank of India
Historically, a rate cut has been a signal for central banks in emerging markets, like India, to follow by easing monetary policy in their regions. The latest data shows that the inflation rate appears to be heading in the wrong direction in India. The headline inflation rate rose in August to 3.65% compared to 3.6% in the previous month. Instead, markets have simply hit snooze on a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India for the moment. If there's no global recession, a risk-on sentiment will likely help push up emerging market equities in the medium term after the U.S. central bank cuts rates.
Persons: Shah, Mahesh Nandurkar, Surendra Goyal, CNBC's, BofA, Banks Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Reserve Bank, Capital Economics, India, greenback, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, Bank of America, Citi, India Research, Bank Locations: India, U.S
On Thursday, investors in Asia will assess trade data from Japan and interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of India. Global equities and currencies plunged earlier this week after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to their highest levels since 2008, and the U.S. released weaker-than-expected employment numbers. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly down in choppy trading on Thursday after U.S. stock benchmarks fell overnight, while investors assessed trade data from Japan and awaited India's rate decision. "Assuming that the price stability target will be achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025, the Bank should raise the policy interest rate to the level of the neutral interest rate toward that time," the summary read. Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group said in a statement on Wednesday that it would buy back up to 500 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of its shares as part of its efforts to boost shareholder returns.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Lasertec, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, The Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Global, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, Bank, SoftBank, Semiconductor, Isuzu Motors, China's CSI, Cathay, Hong Kong's, Airbus Locations: The Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Japan, U.S, Pacific, Hong, Cathay Pacific
Despite its progressive intentions, the tax failed to raise sufficient revenue for the monarch, as people boarded up their windows to lower their tax liability. Window tax was a property tax based on the number of windows in a house. In addition, the minister also lifted capital gains for stock market investors who cash in within a year from 15% to 20%. While the tax raises more than £3 billion ($3.9 billion) annually, it has given birth to far riskier forms of speculation while simultaneously hurting the stock market. However, given the lofty valuations that Indian stock markets currently trade, the tax to skim the excesses might be a positive development over the longer term.
Persons: Nirmala Sitharaman, Ajay Aggarwal, King William III of, Mike Kemp, Upasana Chachra, Morgan Stanley, Siddhartha Khemka, Motilal Oswal, Michael Langham, Abrdn, it's, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz, Aziz, Raghuram Rajan, Suman Bery, Bery Organizations: Union Finance, Budget Press Conference, National Media Centre, Hindustan Times, Getty Images, Getty, Budget, Motilal, Institute for Fiscal Studies, Reuters, CNBC, Health, Reserve Bank of India Locations: DELHI, INDIA, New Delhi, India, Mayfair, London, United Kingdom, England, Britain, Kerala, Malaysia, Nipah
Tim Graham | Getty ImagesIndia "clearly has a problem" figuring out new drivers for its economic growth even as its economy expands at a fast pace, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz said, following the country's union budget. "If you look at India over the last two years post the pandemic, recorded growth has been strong. But if you look at the drivers of growth, it's essentially these two: Public infrastructure and services export," Aziz, chief emerging markets economist at JPM, told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Tuesday. According to estimates by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India's services exports will likely hit $30.3 billion in June, compared with $27.8 billion in the same month last year. According to the International Monetary Fund's latest World Economic Outlook, the country's growth is predicted to decline to 6.5% in 2025.
Persons: Tim Graham, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz, Aziz, CNBC's, V Anantha Nageswaran, Raghuram Rajan Organizations: Getty, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Services, Reserve Bank, India's, International Monetary, University of Chicago Booth School, Reserve Bank of India Locations: Tardeo South Mumbai, India
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