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Another pivotal U.S. jobs report this week will determine the market's direction, and Bank of America strategists think it is likely to push stocks to more record highs. The September jobs report is due Friday, with the economy expected to have added 144,000 jobs, up from 142,000 jobs in August, according to a Dow Jones estimate. It projects payrolls grew by 150,000 in September, with the unemployment rate at 4.2%. For options traders, Bank of America is recommending buying calls on cyclical equities, which currently offer the best value across asset classes. It said options on SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) are the most attractive right now to play the jobs data.
Persons: Dow Jones, payrolls Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Regional Banking
When Warren Buffett, the ultimate buy-and-hold investor, sells a stock, it often sends a negative signal about the underlying business and maybe even the entire industry. "We're more reluctant to sell them than most people," Buffett said of his large positions at Berkshire's annual meeting in 2009. Bank of America sales Many top holdings in Berkshire Hathaway's equity portfolio are decades old — Buffett has held Coca-Cola shares since 1988 and American Express since 1991. Buffett said bank failures in 2008 during the Global Financial Crisis , and again in 2023, lessened confidence in the system, made worse by poor messaging by regulators and politicians. At the time, Buffett foresaw more bank failures down the road , but stuck with his Bank of America investment, partly because he personally negotiated the original deal and admired CEO Brian Moynihan.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, — Buffett, Goldman Sachs, Wells, BofA, digitalization, fintech, It's, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Herald, Buffalo News, Bank of America, American Express, Oracle, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp ., Silicon Valley Bank, First, Signature Bank Locations: Omaha, Berkshire, BofA, Wells Fargo, U.S, U.S . Bancorp . Berkshire, Bank, Silicon, First Republic, saviors
The lender disclosed that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau could punish JPMorgan for its role in Zelle, the giant peer-to-peer digital payments network. In response, JPMorgan issued a thinly veiled threat: "The firm is evaluating next steps, including litigation." Trade groups say that in the aftermath of the financial crisis, banks became easy targets for populist attacks from Democrat-led regulatory agencies. Amid the scrutiny, the bank began warning Zelle users on the Chase app to "Stay safe from scams" and added disclosures that customers won't likely be refunded for bogus transactions. While all of these battles are ongoing, the financial industry has racked up several victories so far.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie, Evelyn Hockstein, Tobin Marcus, Joe, Marcus, That's, Biden, Marianne Lake, Zelle, Banks, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Mark Pittman Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S . Senate Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Wall, Capitol, Washington , D.C, Reuters, JPMorgan Chase, Consumer Financial, Democrat, Republican, Wolfe Research, Services, PayPal, Bank of America, Senate, Electronic, Federal Reserve, U.S . Chamber of Commerce, Northern, Northern District of Texas Locations: Washington ,, Zelle, Basel, Wells Fargo, Northern District
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will give a boost to these stocks, according to UBS. UBS strategist Patrick Palfrey identified stocks that have historically outperformed when the Fed lowers interest rates, a move that he expects will especially benefit smaller, more volatile and less-efficient companies. He expects this is true across the large-cap and small-cap universes represented by the S & P 500 and Russell 2000. Here are five S & P 500 stocks UBS expects can benefit most. By comparison, the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is up more than 8% year to date.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Russell, Palfrey Organizations: UBS, Regional Banking, CNBC, Moderna, Resources, National Bank Financial, Perpetua Resources Locations: ROE, Cleveland , Ohio, Idaho
Cramer asked Bettinger whether his company still had an issue with cash shorting, as was suggested by a Thursday story from Barron's. Cash shorting, which occurs when depositors move funds form lower-paying accounts to high-yield ones, plagued Schwab last year, according to Barron's. But Bettinger suggested that cash shorting is not a significant issue. As an investment advisor, Bettinger said Schwab ensures that their clients' cash goes into a high-yielding money market fund. At Thursday's close, Schwab shares were down more than 17% for the week so far.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Charles Schwab, Walt Bettinger, Cramer, Bettinger, Cash, Schwab, Barron's Locations: Thursday's
Dave Sekera, chief US market strategist at Morningstar, says that he’s watching for insights on banks’ delinquency rates. Consumers have increasingly fallen behind on or missed payments in recent months as they get squeezed by high interest rates. But banks could see higher losses compared to 2023 if the economy were to experience a downturn, the Fed warned. Investors are wagering that the central bank will begin easing rates as soon as September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation: higher rates and recession,” Dimon said in an interview with CNBC.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Dave Sekera, Stocks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Matt Egan, it’s, , Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, , Jerome Powell, Erika Tulfo, “ It’s, Neil Saunders, Abrigo, Gen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, United States ’, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morningstar, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, RSM, , Moody’s, CNN, GlobalData, Apple Locations: New York, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, China
Regional bank stocks are having an underwhelming year, but investors who are on the hunt for good dividend payers might find a few gems, according to Piper Sandler. "Given the recent pullback in bank stock prices, we are finding lots of regional and community bank stocks that have eye-catching dividend yields," wrote Mark Fitzgibbon, managing director at Piper Sandler, in a Thursday report. There is more to picking solid dividend stocks than just going by the yield. Piper Sandler further whittled down the list by eliminating companies that had cut their dividends over the past decade. Piper Sandler called out Heritage Commerce of San Jose, California, as a bank worth snapping up.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Fitzgibbon, Andrew Liesch, Matthew Clark, Clark Organizations: Regional Banking, Brookline Bancorp, Heritage Commerce, Pacific Premier Bancorp Locations: Boston, Brookline, San Jose , California, Irvine , California
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to rally
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to jump, according to CNBC Pro. The bank stock has underperformed this year, down more than 7%. But it's expected to surge 19% to its consensus price target, and has a forward P/E of 10.6. The stock is expected to gain 17% from here, and looks relatively cheap with its 10.1 forward P/E. It has a forward P/E of just 8.4.
Persons: Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, It's, Stephens Organizations: CNBC Pro, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking, CNBC, KBW Nasdaq, U.S, Bancorp, U.S . Bancorp, Western Alliance, East West Bancorp Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon
"I am disappointed by press reports indicating that you are personally intervening—after numerous meetings with big bank CEOs—to delay and water down the Basel III capital rules," said Warren. Last year, three U.S. banking regulators including the Federal Reserve unveiled the proposed rules, a long-expected regime shift around bank capital and risky activities such as trading and lending. The regulations incorporate new international standards created as a response to the 2008 global financial crisis. In March, Powell told lawmakers that he expected "broad and material changes" to the proposal in the wake of the industry's campaign against the rules. Warren urged Powell to allow a Federal Reserve Board vote on the original, tougher Basel proposal by the end of this month.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell, Warren, Powell, , JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Donald Trump Organizations: Senate Armed Services, Washington , D.C, Federal, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Bank, JPMorgan, Street, Fed Locations: Afghanistan, South, Central Asia, Washington ,, Basel, Basel III, U.S
The threat from a looming wave of maturing commercial real estate loans has been well telegraphed to investors, but it's possible the metrics they are using to protect themselves from risk are flawed. Many investors have been avoiding bank stocks with high concentrations of commercial real estate (CRE) exposure. Investors have been punishing regional bank stocks, especially when the bank's commercial real estate exposure tops more than 300% of its total equity . While the latter two have some exposure to New York City real estate, both banks benefit from strong management teams, he said. (New York real estate markets are navigating both falling office values as well as the dynamics of rent-regulated multifamily properties.)
Persons: Erika Najarian, Stephens, Matt Breese, Breese, Webster, Najarian, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, Siefers, generalists Organizations: Owners, KBW, Regional Banking, UBS, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve, Kansas City Fed, NBT Bancorp, Webster, National Bancorp, Micron Technology, Financial Group, Citizens Locations: New York City, York, . Connecticut, New, New York, Providence, R.I
Instead, his company has inadvertently been a source of deep pain for thousands of customers who relied on Yotta accounts to receive paychecks, pay bills and save for emergencies. For the past three weeks, 85,000 Yotta customers with a combined $112 million in savings have been locked out of their accounts, Moelis told CNBC. Accounts at crypto firm Juno and at Copper, which offered savings accounts for families and teens, also have been frozen. Adam Moelis, Co-Founder at Yotta Savings. Representatives of the agencies have pointed to efforts they've made to encourage banks to manage the risks of using fintech partners.
Persons: Oscar Wong, Adam Moelis, Trust —, Moelis, Dave, We've, they've Organizations: Synapse, Bank, Trust, CNBC, Evolve Bank, Evolve, Mercury, Yotta Savings, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Locations: Tennessee, Yotta, fintech
East West Bancorp shares have eked out a small gain in 2024, up 2%. Despite the heightened scrutiny around regional banks, little-known East West Bancorp has been able to pull ahead thanks to a key customer base: Asian Americans. American dream = home ownershipPart of what's helping East West succeed with Asian Americans goes all the way back to its origins. East West Bancorp was founded in 1973 as a federal savings and loan in the Los Angeles area to service the Chinese American and immigrant community struggling to obtain mortgages and business loans. East West also drives cross-border activity between the U.S. and other Asian countries, such as Thailand and Vietnam.
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Wells, Timur Braziler, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, , Braziler, Christopher Del Moral, Niles, it's, Del, Steven Leung, Leung, CFRA's Yokum, Yokum, Dominic Ng, that's Organizations: East West Bancorp, Regional Banking, Bancorp, West Bancorp, CFRA, Federal Housing Finance Agency, East, East West, U.S, Bancorp's Locations: Southern California, U.S, United States, East, Los Angeles, Asia, FactSet, East West, New York, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Thailand, Vietnam, Washington
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRegional banking consolidation slowdown due to 'settling down' period post-pandemic: Fmr. Truist CEOKelly King, Former Truist CEO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk regional banks and why the U.S. has seen less banking consolidation recently.
Persons: Kelly King
Tom Williams | Cq-roll Call, Inc. | Getty ImagesJamie Dimon thinks shares of JPMorgan Chase are expensive. We're not going to buy back a lot of stock at these prices," Dimon said. JPMorgan shares traded recently for around 2.4 times book value. "Buying back stock of a financial company greatly in excess of two times tangible book is a mistake," Dimon said. The JPMorgan CEO has often resisted pressure from investors and analysts that he deemed short-sighted.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Tom Williams, Dimon, buybacks, Charles Peabody Organizations: JPMorgan, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Wall Street Firms, Cq, Inc, Getty, JPMorgan Chase, Portales Partners, Bank of America
GameStop and fellow meme stock AMC Entertainment are each up more than 160% over the past two days. "This isn't 2021 when the world was locked down and awash with liquidity," said Antoni Trenchev, cofounder of crypto exchange Nexo. To be sure, there's a world of cryptocurrencies beyond bitcoin that includes meme coins. Noelle Acheson, economist and author of the "Crypto is Macro Now" newsletter, added that the meme stock run was "more of a revving of engines than a full take-off" and that macro issues are still pressuring bitcoin. Sylvia Jablonski, CEO and chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs, added that although bitcoin was "lumped into the meme stock category" in 2021, the market is starting to show signs of being taken more seriously now.
Persons: bitcoin, Bitcoin's, Antoni Trenchev, haven't, Shiba, Noelle Acheson, Acheson, Sylvia Jablonski Organizations: GameStop, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Metrics Locations: bitcoin, U.S, BlackRock, Defiance
The rapid shift in expectations away from multiple rate cuts this year may have created a trading opportunity around Wednesday's inflation data, according to Bank of America. We believe squeeze risks for rate-sensitive laggards on a CPI miss outweigh downside risks on a CPI beat," Kwon wrote. Specifically, there could be an opportunity to bet on the squeeze risk through the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , Kwon said. KRE YTD mountain This regional bank ETF is underperforming the broader market year to date. Investors could position for this potential squeeze by just buying the ETF outright, though that does carry the risk of a hot inflation reading pushing regional bank stocks down.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Russell, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America . Equity, Regional Banking, Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic, Bank of America Locations: IWM, Silicon
Bank stocks have been in comeback mode since making a key low post the regional bank crisis in 2023. A new breakout could be on the horizon, according to the charts. Two of the most popular bank ETFs are the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) and the SPDR S & P Bank ETF (KBE) . Both are lagging the S & P 500 in 2024, which is +8.2% YTD. The bottom line is that both KRE and KBE have been forming bullish patterns, and we could see breakout attempts soon.
Persons: KRE, it's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: JPMorgan, Regional Banking, P Bank ETF
That's because inflation is set to fall "dramatically" through the rest of the year, Lee predicted. AdvertisementInvestors should be buying stocks this month, as inflation is bound for a steep decline for the rest of the year, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. Real-time price declines will eventually catch up with the official inflation report. High rates risk tipping the economy into a recession and sparking market volatility, as investors, banks, and consumers grapple with a higher cost of borrowing. It is quite high, and as you know, it's putting a lot of pressure on regional banking ... the cost of money is quite high," Lee said.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, , That's, it'll Organizations: Service, CNBC
Thirteen months ago, Andy Sieg unexpectedly left Merrill Wealth Management to run Citi's ailing wealth unit. His replacements, Lindsay Hans and Eric Schimpf, had big shoes to fill. Hans and Schimpf were company veterans but lesser known before they were anointed to lead the $3 trillion wealth business attached to behemoth Bank of America. Schimpf is more soft-spoken than his cohead Hans, who was promoted to run the private wealth business one month before Sieg left. AdvertisementMerrill has the benefit of being part of a bank with some 69 million consumer bank clients.
Persons: Andy Sieg, Lindsay Hans, Eric Schimpf, Merrill, Hans, Schimpf, Sieg, Lindsay, it's, Sieg's, Louis Diamond, Schimpf's, Hans said, AdvisorHub Organizations: Service, Merrill Wealth Management, behemoth Bank of America, Business, Merrill, Army, UBS, Schimpf, Northeast, Merrill . Bank of America, Bank of America, Customers, Bank of, First, JPMorgan Locations: Los Angeles, Coast, New York City, Nevada, First Republic, Merrill
CNBC Pro screened for stocks that are already trending downward to determine which stocks might fall further. According to analysts' consensus price targets, these stocks have an estimated downside of 5% or more, and all have a market capitalization of at least $2 billion. Here are the stocks that are already in a correction and still disliked on Wall Street. Shares have slumped 21.5% since May 2023 and — based on analysts' consensus price target — are estimated to decline another 29.1%. Other stocks already in a correction and vulnerable to additional declines include Palantir Technologies , Dillard's , MGE Energy , GameStop and Advance Auto Parts .
Persons: CNBC's David Faber Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC Pro, Bank of, FactSet, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking ETF, CBS, Paramount Global, Skydance Media, Paramount, Palantir Technologies, MGE Energy, GameStop, Advance Locations: Bank of Hawaii, Silicon, Bank
New York CNN —Despite overcoming a crisis in 2023, the pain isn’t over for America’s regional banks. Shares of New York Community Bank have tumbled 71%, Bank OZK shares have slid 16% and Webster Financial shares have lost 11%. Regional banks reported wide losses on their profits during the first quarter. PNC projects that its net interest income will fall between 4% to 5% in 2024 from last year. “I’m worried about a handful of [regional banks],” Bair told CNBC on Tuesday.
Persons: that’s, Jerome Powell, , ” Powell, Sheila Bair, “ I’m, ” Bair, ” Tesla, Tesla, Elon Musk, Chris Isidore, Musk, Chancellor Kathaleen McCormick, Read, Samantha Delouya, , Maximilian Kotz, Leonie Wenz, Noah Diffenbaugh Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank OZK, Webster Financial, PNC Financial, T Bank, US Bancorp, Citizens, PNC, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, Federal Reserve, Wilson Center, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, CNBC, Tesla, Securities and Exchange Commission, United Nations, Potsdam, Climate, CNN, Stanford University Locations: New York, Delaware, ” Delaware
Citi says it may be too early to classify bitcoin as "digital gold" despite its safe haven properties and recent correlation with the yellow metal. Many bitcoin fans regard the cryptocurrency as a digital version of gold because of its finite supply and its function as a store of value. Citi analyst Alex Saunders acknowledged that it can and has displayed both safe haven and risk asset behaviors, but said the digital gold analogy isn't yet warranted. Bitcoin does not yet exhibit the 'store-of-value' properties of gold, despite both being limited-supply, zero-coupon-bearing instruments." "Adoption of the emergent blockchain technology will be key to the long-term utility of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies," he added.
Persons: Alex Saunders, , Saunders, bitcoin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi Locations: East
"What we've seen is deposit pressures escalate more than previously anticipated," said Alexander Yokum, analyst at CFRA Research, who has a neutral view on regional banks. "A lot of these regional banks, they have less deposits, so if they lose deposits, it can really impact their operating results," Yokum said. "So, higher for longer, I think for a lot of regional banks, would be negative." Here's what Wall Street analysts expect from regional banks this season. Other regional banks reporting this week include Fifth Third Bancorp .
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Yokum, Goldman Sachs, Ryan M, Nash, America's Ebrahim H, Poonawala, CFRA's Yokum, Citi's Keith Horowitz, " Horowitz, Huntington Bancshares Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Regional Banking, U.S . Bancorp, New York Community, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, T Bank, PNC, " Bank, America's, U.S . Bancorp U.S . Bancorp, U.S . Bank, Bank of America, Huntington, Comerica KeyCorp, Comerica, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: U.S, New, Ohio
Regional banks are taking hits this week and investors are increasing their bearish bets on the sector. Higher rates impact Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing money. Higher interest rates can also reduce demand for loans, as borrowing becomes more expensive for consumers and businesses. This can deteriorate the asset quality of regional banks, increasing the need for loan loss provisions, which are expenses set aside to cover potential loan losses. Rising interest rates and inflation can pressure banks' capital adequacy ratios, a measure of a bank's capital relative to its risks.
Persons: Banks Organizations: Regional Banking, Banks
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 7, 2024. Ever since the chaos of last year's regional banking crisis that consumed three institutions, larger banks have mostly fared better than smaller ones. That trend is set to continue, especially as expectations for the magnitude of Federal Reserve interest rates cuts have fallen sharply since the start of the year. On Monday, M&T Bank posts results, one of the first regional lenders to report this period. The focus for all of them will be how the shifting view on interest rates will impact funding costs and holdings of commercial real estate loans.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, there's, Christopher McGratty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, JPMorgan, Bank of America, T Bank Locations: New York City, U.S, KBW
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